Why Is Income Inequality in America So Pronounced?

Saturday, May 19th, 2007

Why Is Income Inequality in America So Pronounced? Tyler Cowen explains:

The most commonly cited culprits for the income inequality in America — outsourcing, immigration and the gains of the super-rich — are diversions from the main issue. Instead, the problem is largely one of (a lack of) education.

The extent of outsourcing, for instance, is not yet high enough to have much effect on American wages. Even if a call center is set up in India, this helps American business expand at home. Most generally, the net flow of investment is into the United States, not away from it. It appears that more American jobs are “in-sourced” than outsourced.

Nor should we be distracted by the gains of the top 1 percent. The goal should be to elevate the poor, not knock down the tall poppies. Microsoft has created cheap software and many jobs, and its co-founder, Bill Gates, is giving away most of his fortune.

For the economy as a whole, labor’s share of national income has stayed roughly constant at just above 70 percent. What has changed is that highly skilled laborers earn more labor income than low-skilled workers.

Many of the very wealthy have built their fortunes by taking companies private, buying the right securities at the right time or running successful hedge funds. Arguably, these activities improve the allocation of capital and thus enhance productivity.

But even if these individuals perform no socially useful function, their gains reallocate wealth from one class of investors to another. That is, one group of investors reaps profits by buying in first and bidding up equity prices, thereby causing later investors to pay more for the same companies. This process transfers value from the relatively wealthy to the extremely wealthy, but it doesn’t much hold back the poor.

Nor are recent changes in equality about the tax system. Whatever one thinks of President Bush’s reductions in marginal tax rates, pretax incomes also show greater inequality.

Immigration has a smaller influence on wages than is often believed as well. Claudia Goldin and Lawrence F. Katz, both professors of economics at Harvard, estimate the numbers in their recent paper, “The Race Between Education and Technology: The Evolution of U.S. Educational Wage Differentials, 1890 to 2005,” soon to be expanded into a book.

College graduates have been gaining relative to high school graduates. But competition from immigrant labor accounts for only 10 percent of the change in the wages of unskilled workers, relative to the skilled, since 1950.

Starting about 1950, the relative returns for schooling rose, and they skyrocketed after 1980. The reason is supply and demand. For the first time in American history, the current generation is not significantly more educated than its parents. Those in need of skilled labor are bidding for a relatively stagnant supply and so must pay more.

The return for a college education, in percentage terms, is now about what it was in America’s Gilded Age in the late 19th century; this drives the current scramble to get into top colleges and universities. In contrast, from 1915 to 1950, the relative return for education fell, mostly because more new college graduates competed for a relatively few top jobs, and that kept top wages from rising too high.

Professors Goldin and Katz portray a kind of race. Improvements in technology have raised the gains for those with enough skills to handle complex jobs. The resulting inequalities are bid back down only as more people receive more education and move up the wage ladder.

Income distribution thus depends on the balance between technological progress and access to college and postgraduate study. The problem isn’t so much capitalism as it is that American lower education does not prepare enough people to receive gains from American higher education.

Disparate but Not Serious

Saturday, May 19th, 2007

In Disparate but Not Serious, James Taranto argues that “College is an expensive way of taking an IQ test”:

What accounts for the increasing insistence on college degrees as a prerequisite for entry-level professional jobs? Ms. Ehrenreich offers this theory: “Employers prefer college grads because they see a college degree chiefly as mark of one’s ability to obey and conform.”

To a nonconformist dropout like me, this explanation is emotionally appealing. But I think it’s bunk. For one thing, not all white-collar jobs require obedience and conformity. Some employers prize creativity and enterprise–but even they do not generally go out of their way to hire people without degrees. For another, it’s hard to believe that employers today value the “ability to obey and conform” twice as highly as they did in the era of “The Man in the Gray Flannel Suit.”

I have a better theory. I blame the Supreme Court.

What most professional jobs require is basic intellectual aptitude. And what has changed since the 1970s is that the court has developed a body of law that prevents employers from directly screening for such aptitude. The landmark case was Griggs v. Duke Power Co. (1971). A black coal miner claimed discrimination because his employer required a high-school diploma and an intelligence test as prerequisites for promotion to a more skilled position. The court ruled 8-0 in the miner’s favor. “Good intent or absence of discriminatory intent does not redeem employment procedures or testing mechanisms that operate as ‘built-in headwinds’ for minority groups,” Chief Justice Warren Burger wrote.

This became known as the “disparate impact” test, and it applies only in employment law. Colleges and universities remain free to use aptitude tests, and elite institutions in particular lean heavily on exams such as the SAT in deciding whom to admit. For a prospective employee, obtaining a college degree is a very expensive way of showing that he has, in effect, passed an IQ test.

Salvador Dali on "What’s My Line?"

Saturday, May 19th, 2007

There’s something almost surreal about watching Salvador Dali on “What’s My Line?”, the 1950s game show.

(Hat tip to Jane Galt.)

Drinking farm milk may cut asthma risk

Saturday, May 19th, 2007

Drinking farm milk may cut asthma risk:

Consumption of farm milk appears to reduce the risk of asthma and allergy, according to findings from a European study.

“All the children drinking unpasteurized farm milk and eating other farm-related dairy products showed the same level of protection against asthma and allergies, regardless of whether they were living on a farm or not,” lead author Dr. Marco Waser, from the University of Basel in Switzerland, said in a statement. The benefits were greatest when consumption of farm milk began during the first year of life, he added.

Salvador Dali on "What’s My Line?"

Saturday, May 19th, 2007

There’s something almost surreal about watching Salvador Dali on “What’s My Line?”, the 1950s game show.

(Hat tip to Jane Galt.)

Are We Rome?

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Cullen Murphy has written a new booking asking, Are We Rome? On his site, he answers some related questions, like, What are some of the similarities you see between America and Rome?:

One of them is the way we both view ourselves as the center of the world — the place the entire planet revolves around. This leaves us blind to what’s going on beyond our borders, and makes us think we’re more powerful than we are — makes us think we can always act alone. Another similarity is the strange nature of our capital cities. Washington and Rome are both economically pointless, engorged on vast revenues, detached from the nation at large, and obsessed with image and status. Washington even looks like Rome, and in August it feels like Rome. A third similarity is the way more and more of the things that government is supposed to do are being put into private hands — in the end, government stops being able to function, and things get done only when money changes hands. This is happening right before our eyes. We’re selling off highways, airports, and naming rights in national parks. Hired guards far outnumber police. Money secures public office, and public office secures money. A Roman would have felt right at home.

I don’t share his thoughts on privatization — I believe he conflates corruption and privatization — but, judging from his NPR interview, he seems to understand the basic point Orson Scott Card noted a few months back in How Our Civilization Can Fall:

There’s a right way and a wrong way to learn from history.

The wrong way is to make an analogy between some event in the past and our present situation, and then assume that everything will work the same.

For instance: Rome was the hyperpower of the ancient world, and it fell, so we’re going to fall, too!

Analogies might make an interesting point or raise an intriguing possibility, but they prove nothing. America is like Rome in some ways, and radically different in others. You can’t just ignore the differences and think you’ve said anything smart.

Colonial shipwreck yields $500M in coins

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Colonial shipwreck yields $500M in coins — a new record:

Deep-sea explorers said Friday they have mined what could be the richest shipwreck treasure in history, bringing home 17 tons of colonial-era silver and gold coins from an undisclosed site in the Atlantic Ocean. Estimated value: $500 million.

A jet chartered by Tampa-based Odyssey Marine Exploration landed in the United States recently with hundreds of plastic containers brimming with coins raised from the ocean floor, Odyssey co-chairman Greg Stemm said. The more than 500,000 pieces are expected to fetch an average of $1,000 each from collectors and investors.
[...]
The richest ever shipwreck haul was yielded by the Spanish galleon Nuestra Senora de Atocha, which sank in a hurricane off the Florida Keys in 1622. Treasure-hunting pioneer Mel Fisher found it in 1985, retrieving a reported $400 million in coins and other loot.

It seems that the Black Swan meme is spreading:

In keeping with the secretive nature of the project dubbed “Black Swan,” Odyssey also isn’t talking yet about the types, denominations and country of origin of the coins.

Interestingly, Odyssey is a public, for-profit company:

“We have treated this site with kid gloves and the archaeological work done by our team out there is unsurpassed,” Odyssey CEO John Morris said. “We are thoroughly documenting and recording the site, which we believe will have immense historical significance.”

The news is timely for Odyssey, the only publicly traded company of its kind.

The company salvaged more than 50,000 coins and other artifacts from the wreck of the SS Republic off Savannah, Ga., in 2003, making millions. But Odyssey posted losses in 2005 and 2006 while using its expensive, state-of-the-art ships and deep-water robotic equipment to hunt for the next mother lode.

“The outside world now understands that what we do is a real business and is repeatable and not just a lucky one shot deal,” Stemm said. “I don’t know of anybody else who has hit more than one economically significant shipwreck.”

In January, Odyssey won permission from the Spanish government to resume a suspended search for the wreck of the HMS Sussex, which was leading a British fleet into the Mediterranean Sea for a war against France in 1694 when it sank in a storm off Gibraltar.

Historians believe the 157-foot warship was carrying nine tons of gold coins to buy the loyalty of the Duke of Savoy, a potential ally in southeastern France. Odyssey believes those coins could also fetch more than $500 million.

But under the terms of a historic agreement Odyssey will have to share any finds with the British government. The company will get 80 percent of the first $45 million and about 50 percent of the proceeds thereafter.

Fill your car up with aluminum?

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Fill your car up with aluminum?:

Pellets made out of aluminum and gallium can produce pure hydrogen when water is poured on them, offering a possible alternative to gasoline-powered engines, U.S. scientists say.
[...]
In the experiment conducted at Purdue University in Indiana, “The hydrogen is generated on demand, so you only produce as much as you need when you need it,” said Jerry Woodall, an engineering professor at Purdue who invented the system.

Woodall said in a statement the hydrogen would not have to be stored or transported, taking care of two stumbling blocks to generating hydrogen.

This guy can do anything

Friday, May 18th, 2007

When I received an e-mail saying “This guy can do anything,” I didn’t know what to expect. Then I realized the linked article, Briton paraglides over Mt. Everest, was about Bear Grylls, host of Man vs. Wild:

Bear Grylls, 32, flew 140 meters (460 feet) above the world’s highest peak at 8,850 meters (29,035 feet) on Monday after taking off on a powered paraglider from a village in the Khumbhu region where Everest is located, Explore Himalaya agency said Friday.

“Bear” first made his name as a mountain climber:

Bear Grylls first entered the record books in 1997 by being the youngest Briton to summit Ama Dablam in the Himalayas, a peak famously described by Sir Edmund Hillary as ‘unclimbable’. Then one year later at only 23 years old Bear Grylls gained another record when he became the youngest Briton to climb Mount Everest and come down alive. Both these achievements are made even more remarkable by the fact that a mere two years earlier he almost severed his spinal cord in a near fatal parachuting accident in Africa.

Who Won Iraq?

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Who Won Iraq? Gary Brecher, the War Nerd, asks. Anyone who stayed out. His general rules for “Who wins wars?”:

  1. In a big bloodbath like the Thirty Years War or WWI, the winner is usually the powers that don’t fight, but dabble in spycraft and wet ops, meanwhile consolidating their own economic power.

  2. The biggest loser is almost always the country on whose territory the war is fought. (Note: You could argue that America entered WWII fairly early and still came out ahead, but on the European Front up to D-Day our role was supplying materiel to the Russians and letting them do all the bleeding for us. On both fronts we were far away from the action and that allowed us to pick where and when to commit money and troops, so the generalization still holds: the further away you are, the better.)
  3. In a regional war, the big winner will be any neighboring states that can stay out of the war and work out supply contracts with the richer combatant (Thailand during Nam, Argentina in WWI, Switzerland in every war since Ur took on Ur South).
  4. However, if there’s an ethnic spillover, like Turkey has with the Kurds, this relationship can backfire.
  5. The worst thing a major power can do is go to war alone for “moral” reasons. This is how medieval France wasted its huge advantages on pointless Middle Eastern crusades that did nothing but revitalize the Muslims and drive down the price of white slaves in the Cairo market.

Lloyd Alexander

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Fantasy writer Lloyd Alexander died of cancer yesterday at his home in Drexel Hill, Pennsylvania:

He completed three major series — the Chronicles of Prydain, which focuses on the maturity of an assistant pig keeper named Taran and is loosely based on Welsh mythology; the Westmark trilogy of political intrigue, whose main character is a printer’s apprentice on the run in a corrupt European kingdom; and the Vesper Holly series, about a young Philadelphian who comes to the rescue of President Ulysses S. Grant.

Mr. Alexander won a 1971 National Book Award for “The Marvelous Misadventures of Sebastian,” about a 19th-century fiddler who helps a princess defy an autocrat who wants to marry her.

He won a 1982 American Book Award for “Westmark,” the debut novel of the series of the same name.

In 1969, he received the Newbery Medal for “The High King,” the fifth of his six-book series, the Chronicles of Prydain. Disney made an animated film, “The Black Cauldron” (1985), from the series.

Are We Rome?

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Cullen Murphy has written a new booking asking, Are We Rome? On his site, he answers some related questions, like, What are some of the similarities you see between America and Rome?:

One of them is the way we both view ourselves as the center of the world — the place the entire planet revolves around. This leaves us blind to what’s going on beyond our borders, and makes us think we’re more powerful than we are — makes us think we can always act alone. Another similarity is the strange nature of our capital cities. Washington and Rome are both economically pointless, engorged on vast revenues, detached from the nation at large, and obsessed with image and status. Washington even looks like Rome, and in August it feels like Rome. A third similarity is the way more and more of the things that government is supposed to do are being put into private hands — in the end, government stops being able to function, and things get done only when money changes hands. This is happening right before our eyes. We’re selling off highways, airports, and naming rights in national parks. Hired guards far outnumber police. Money secures public office, and public office secures money. A Roman would have felt right at home.

I don’t share his thoughts on privatization — I believe he conflates corruption and privatization — but, judging from his NPR interview, he seems to understand the basic point Orson Scott Card noted a few months back in How Our Civilization Can Fall:

There’s a right way and a wrong way to learn from history.

The wrong way is to make an analogy between some event in the past and our present situation, and then assume that everything will work the same.

For instance: Rome was the hyperpower of the ancient world, and it fell, so we’re going to fall, too!

Analogies might make an interesting point or raise an intriguing possibility, but they prove nothing. America is like Rome in some ways, and radically different in others. You can’t just ignore the differences and think you’ve said anything smart.

Fill your car up with aluminum?

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Fill your car up with aluminum?:

Pellets made out of aluminum and gallium can produce pure hydrogen when water is poured on them, offering a possible alternative to gasoline-powered engines, U.S. scientists say.
[...]
In the experiment conducted at Purdue University in Indiana, “The hydrogen is generated on demand, so you only produce as much as you need when you need it,” said Jerry Woodall, an engineering professor at Purdue who invented the system.

Woodall said in a statement the hydrogen would not have to be stored or transported, taking care of two stumbling blocks to generating hydrogen.

The Aesthetic Imperative

Friday, May 18th, 2007

Virginia Postrel cites a New York Times article on “Hewlett-Packard’s remarkable success with a business strategy straight out of The Substance of Style” to explain The Aesthetic Imperative:

Hewlett-Packard’s effort to transform its personal computers from low-margin commodities into more stylish devices has started to pay off.

As shown by the company’s fiscal second-quarter earnings, announced Wednesday afternoon, a new PC strategy has become a major driver of growth. Revenue increased 12.7 percent from the period a year earlier, to $25.5 billion, and the PC division was an important factor.

Revenue from notebook PCs rose 45 percent, and the company was able to increase sales of desktop computers, which have been flat for the industry, by 9 percent.

Furthermore, H.P. is also making more money on each PC it sells. The division’s operating profit margin increased to 4.8 percent last quarter from 3.6 percent in the period last year, and is more than double what it was two years ago….

Samir Bhavnani, research director of Current Analysis West, a market research firm based in San Diego, said Hewlett-Packard “was very wise in understanding that as the market shifts from desktops to notebooks, that style mattered.”

He faulted Dell’s thicker, chunkier notebooks for its weak sales. “H.P. is like the plain girl from high school that you see three years later and she is a bombshell, while Dell is the hot girl from high school who has gained 30 pounds,” Mr. Bhavnani said.

Hewlett-Packard’s design-focused strategy had a heightened impact at a time when corporate PC sales were flagging. Its efforts weakened Dell when Dell seemed ill prepared to react in any fashion other than by cutting prices. While PC prices continue to decline, H.P.’s average selling price — about $967, according to Current Analysis — is more than 17 percent above the industry average price of $822. It used to be at or slightly below the average. (Apple and Sony have much higher prices, and it is no coincidence that those two companies also emphasize design.)

Top 25 Noir Films

Thursday, May 17th, 2007

Eddie Muller lists his Top 25 Noir Films, and I have a lot of watching to do.

I have seen Sunset Boulevard, number 3 on his list, though, and I love his take:

To those who think this isn’t noir: Man uses woman. Woman uses man. Queasy sex. Betrayal. Madness. Gunshots. He’s face down in the pool he always wanted. Case closed.