US confirms first combat use of LUCAS one-way attack drone in Iran strikes

Sunday, March 1st, 2026

U.S. Central Command has confirmed that the airstrikes on Iran involved the first combat use of the Low-cost Unmanned Combat Attack System, or LUCAS drone:

The LUCAS platform is a one-way attack drone reverse-engineered after the Iranian Shahed-136.

Built by the Arizona-based SpektreWorks, the drone, which can be launched via catapults, rocket-assisted takeoff and mobile ground systems, is a spinoff of the company’s FLM 136 target model, one designed for counter-drone training while simulating Iran’s Shahed variant.

The FLM 136 model carries a range capability of around 500 miles, with a maximum payload of 40 pounds, or “roughly twice the explosive yield of a hellfire missile,” according to Alex Hollings, host of Sandboxx News’ FirePower.

With a maximum takeoff weight of 180 pounds, the FLM 136 is significantly lighter than the Iranian Shahed. The platforms are also immensely more cost-effective — and scalable — compared to the more advanced munitions in the U.S. arsenal, carrying a price tag of around $35,000 per unit.

Are tanks in urban warfare a burden or benefit?

Friday, February 27th, 2026

Few militaries have tested the limits of armored warfare in dense urban terrain as extensively as the Israel Defense Forces:

After?action reports from the IDF’s Ground Forces Command noted that armored units reduced infantry fatalities by more than 60% compared with operations where tanks were absent or delayed.

The tank’s ability to deliver precise 120 mm fire, thermal imaging, and heavy armor proved decisive in breaking fortified positions.

However, the 2006 Lebanon War exposed vulnerabilities.

Hezbollah’s use of advanced anti?tank missiles such as the Kornet?E inflicted significant damage, prompting the IDF to accelerate the development of the Trophy Active Protection System, which became operational in 2011.

Since its introduction, Trophy has intercepted more than 90% of incoming anti?tank threats in Gaza and Lebanon, according to Israeli defense manufacturer Rafael. This transformed the tank from a liability back into a survivable, mobile fire base.

In the 2014 Gaza War and the 2023–2024 operations in Gaza, tanks again proved essential.

IDF commanders reported that armored brigades enabled rapid breakthroughs in neighborhoods like Shuja’iyya and Jabalia while providing medical evacuation corridors and suppressive fire.

The elite, international, counter-terror force uses suppressed MP10s

Wednesday, February 25th, 2026

Rainbow Six by Tom ClancyI recently listened to the audiobook version of Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six, after finishing Executive Orders. The elite, international, counter-terror force uses suppressed “MP10s,” which are clearly MP5s in 10mm, the hot new round at the time.

In real life, the FBI’s SWAT teams and Hostage Rescue Team briefly used MP5s in 10mm:

Out of a carbine barrel the 10mm round has almost as much energy as a 5.56 round, which needs more barrel to get up to speed, but the faster 5.56 round was deemed a better choice for defeating body armor.

In the novel, they use suppressed guns, which are almost silent — with no mention of special subsonic ammo. The guns also shoot a three-round burst, which has fallen out of fashion. They also use diopter sights, which are quite popular for ISSF target-shooting, where precision is far more important than speed or low-light performance.

In the Pacific fighting of World War II, more men were run through by swords than by bayonets

Friday, February 20th, 2026

Soldier’s Load by S. L. A. MarshallIn The Soldier’s Load and the Mobilty of a Nation, then-Colonel S.L.A. Marshall examines the soldiers’ fire load:

Outdoing Schamhorst, von Moltke in his time decided that 200 rounds of ammunition was a more fitting load for the sturdy Prussian. That became the standard requirement for modem armies. Both sides used it during the Russo-Japanese War, and most armies likewise used it in World War I. So far as may now be learned, no one of any importance saw fit to question whether that figure of 200 rounds had any justification, either in tactics or logistics. In the American Army in France of 1917–18, our commanders usually adhered to the practice of requiring troops to carry a full ammunition load during the approach march, even in moving into a “quiet” sector. And in bot weather the results were brutal. We can write off the general policy with the simple statement that troops usually had to carry ten times as many cartridges as there was any likelihood they would use.

[…]

But we deviated from it, not primarily to lighten the soldier’s load but to make room for other types of ammunition.

For example, during the last two years of operations in the Pacific, the rifleman put across a beach generally carried eighty rounds for his MI or carbine. This special dispensation was simply granted him that he might the better carry eight hand grenades, or in some cases five. It was presumed that in the close-in fighting he was likely to meet, five to eight grenades would give him a wider margin of safety than double the amount of his rifle ammunition.

In the event, such calculations were found to have little practical relation to what took place along the line of fire. When you examined company operations in atoll fighting in detail, it was evident that the soldier who used grenades at all was almost as rare as the man who fired as many as eighty rounds from his rifle in any one day of action. Which is to say that the load of grenades the line was required to carry did not promote either increased safety or greater fire power. Eight grenades are a particularly cumbersome burden. They weigh 10.48 pounds. Had the grenade load of each man been cut by three-quarters (giving him two grenades) it is a reasonable assumption that the over-all and expedient tactical use of that weapon would not have been reduced, and the force so lightened would not have been made more vulnerable.

With all hands carrying eight grenades, the number of men making any use of that weapon at all was consistently less than six per cent of the total in any general action. Research showed further that the grenade was rarely put to any practical use in the initial stage of an amphibious attack. This was also true in Europe.

[…]

This same argument would eliminate altogether any further issuing of the bayonet. That weapon ceased to have any major tactical value at about the time the inaccurate and short-range musket was displaced by the rifle. But we have stubbornly clung to it-partly because of tradition which makes it inevitable that all military habits die a slow death, but chieffy because of the superstition that the bayonet makes troops fierce and audacious, and therefore more likely to close with the enemy.

[…]

In the Pacific fighting of World War II, more men were run through by swords than by bayonets.

In our European fighting there is only one bayonet charge of record. That was the attack by the 3d Battalion, 502d Parachute Infantry, at the Pommerague Farm during the advance on Carentan, France, in June 1944. In that attack three of the enemy were actually killed by American bayonets. It is a small irony, however, that these killings took place about six minutes after the main charge had subsided. And it is a somewhat larger irony that the one junior officer who actually closed with the bayonet and thrust his weapon home was subsequently relieved because he was not sufficiently bold in leading his troops.

Polonium-210, Novichok, and now Epibatidine

Sunday, February 15th, 2026

Epibatidine is a chlorinated alkaloid that is secreted by the Ecuadorian frog Epipedobates anthonyi and poison dart frogs from the genus Ameerega. It’s also a neurotoxin that interferes with nicotinic and muscarinic acetylcholine receptors that Putin used to eliminate opposition leader Alexei Navalny:

The foreign ministries of the U.K., France, Germany, Sweden and the Netherlands said analysis in European labs of samples taken from Navalny’s body “conclusively confirmed the presence of epibatidine.” The neurotoxin secreted by dart frogs in South America is not found naturally in Russia, they said.

[…]

Navalny, who crusaded against official corruption and staged massive anti-Kremlin protests as President Vladimir Putin’s fiercest foe, died in an Arctic penal colony on Feb. 16, 2024, while serving a 19-year sentence that he believed to be politically motivated.

[…]

Russian authorities said that the politician became ill after a walk and died from natural causes.

[…]

Navalny was the target of an earlier poisoning in 2020, with a nerve agent in an attack he blamed on the Kremlin, which always denied involvement. His family and allies fought to have him flown to Germany for treatment and recovery. Five months later, he returned to Russia, where he was immediately arrested and imprisoned for the last three years of his life.

The U.K. has accused Russia of repeatedly flouting international bans on chemical and biological weapons. It accuses the Kremlin of carrying out a 2018 attack in the English city of Salisbury that targeted a former Russian intelligence officer, Sergei Skripal, with the nerve agent Novichok. Skripal and his daughter became seriously ill, and a British woman, Dawn Sturgess, died after she came across a discarded bottle with traces of the nerve agent.

[…]

Russia also denied poisoning Alexander Litvinenko, a former Russian agent turned Kremlin critic who died in London in 2006, after ingesting the radioactive isotope polonium-210.

Tom Clancy Speaks at the National Security Agency

Thursday, February 12th, 2026

I’ve been slowly working my way through the Tom Clancy novels, and I just stumbled across this old talk he gave at NSA, after writing his first two novels:

This is not our trash

Thursday, January 22nd, 2026

I Have Known the Eyes Already by Morgan WorthyIn his memoir, I Have Known the Eyes Already, Morgan Worthy mentions a traumatic event from his childhood:

The day was Tuesday, December 2, 1941. I was five years old. The time was between noon and 1p.m. That, I learned later. I want to stick to just what I remember. I came out into our front yard and saw a pint milk bottle that someone had thrown into the shallow ditch that separated our small front yard from the street. I also saw that the little boy next door, Tommy Pearson, was in his front yard. I picked up the milk bottle and said to Tommy something like, “This is not our trash. It must be your trash,” and threw the bottle into their front yard. Tommy said it was not and threw it back into my yard. We kept throwing that milk bottle back and forth. I felt good. I was going to win this battle. Tommy must have been getting more and more frustrated because he said, “I will just get a gun and shoot you.” He went into the house and when he came back, he had what I thought was a toy gun. I was standing at the edge of our yard. He came over to where I was, pointed the pistol at me and said, “Now I am going to kill you.” He tried to pull the trigger. Nothing happened. He moved back toward his house as he continued to manipulate the pistol. I stood in the same spot between our two houses watching him. Suddenly there was an explosion that I will never forget or entirely get over. The bullet went into his face and up through his head. To say that I saw an explosion is the right way to say it. I must have stood looking no more than a split second. My next memory is of running between the two houses and into the back door of my house. I could not find my mother. (She had been inside working at her sewing machine; she had heard the shot and went out the front door to check on me.)

I remember only one other thing. I looked out the back window, or back side window, and saw men coming toward the scene, running on a path that ran to the street behind us. One was my father; he was wearing high top brogans. It is the only time I can ever remember seeing him or a group of workmen run like that. It was terrifying. I have no more memories of that day.

When my mother could not find me outside, she went back in our house and found me sitting on the floor in a back room playing. She assumed that I had come back into the house when Tommy had gone back into his house. I did not tell her or anyone else that I had been there when it happened. It was my secret. My world changed on that day.

Then, a couple years later:

One day when my mother was at the farm, she took my brother and me with her to visit neighbors, the Long family, who lived on a nearby farm. My brother and I went with one of the sons about our age, Henry Long, to his bedroom. He showed us his 410 shot gun. He assured us it was unloaded and started pretending he was hunting. As he swung the gun around, he said, “Yonder goes a rabbit,” and pulled the trigger. Again, I saw and heard an explosion. This time it was only a wall that suffered the damage. Before his mother or our mother could get there my brother and I were out the front door and ran all the way home.

And then:

The third gun accident involved an “unloaded” air rifle, which my cousin aimed at my face and pulled the trigger. The BB came through a windowpane and just missed my left eye. He was more upset than I was. We managed to cover the hole in the window such that it would not be noticed by my aunt and uncle. At least this time I had someone who shared in the guilty secret.

This tactic pairs two tanks with continuous drone support

Tuesday, January 13th, 2026

Recent statements from the Russian Ministry of Defense indicate that Russia is adopting a new tank tactic:

This tactic pairs two tanks with continuous drone support. One tank operates from a standoff position to deliver fire, while the second conducts a rapid forward maneuver toward the line of contact. Drones help coordinate movement and fires by providing target detection, fire correction, and battlefield awareness. The two tanks switch roles frequently to avoid becoming stationary targets, while still laying down a significant amount of fire against adversarial lines. This approach emphasizes desynchronizing enemy sensors and strike systems while pushing forward to achieve immediate, decisive penetration.

[…]

Large movements are quickly detected by reconnaissance drones and subsequently targeted. In the urban terrain where many of these units operate, natural bottlenecks are common, such that a single destroyed tank can block movement and bring an assault to a halt. Once immobilized, the remaining tanks become easy targets, as seen during a tank assault near Pokrovsk in early 2025.

[…]

While dismounted assaults have achieved limited penetration into Ukrainian lines, they generally lack the firepower required to hold captured positions. The new tank deployment tactic has the potential to provide this additional firepower, enabling dismounted troops to penetrate more deeply and retain control of seized terrain.

Directed Infrared Counter Measures use a sophisticated laser to disrupt the incoming missile’s infrared “heat-seeking” sensor

Monday, January 5th, 2026

Early MANPADS (Man Portable Air Defence Systems) would lock onto the exhaust plumes of aircraft and were countered by deploying flares. Modern Directed Infrared Counter Measures (DIRCM) use a sophisticated laser to disrupt the incoming missile’s infrared “heat-seeking” sensor:

With a laser energy source embedded in a highly agile enclosed turret system, a DIRCM can be infinite in duration and provide protection for the whole mission, keeping aircrews safe even in dense threat engagement environments.

[…]

Whereas flares are omnidirectional, a DIRCM focusses a beam of light directly at an incoming missile. However, that beam of light needs to:

  • Be able to have line of sight to the missile — a DIRCM with a twin or triple turret system allows for multiple threats to be countered simultaneously, no matter how the aircraft may be manoeuvring
  • Be able to track and engage in a very short space of time — MANPADS can be supersonic in less than a second after firing
  • Emit significant laser energy power to disrupt the missile seeker for long enough so the missile is unable to acquire, re-acquire or track the aircraft

Not so blinding as New Mexico test because of bright sunlight

Sunday, January 4th, 2026

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. Groves At about 4:30 a.m. the Duty Officer delivered General Groves the detailed hoped-for cable from Farrell, as Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), which had been dispatched after the bomber returned to Tinian. It read:

Following additional information furnished by Parsons, crews, and observers on return to Tinian at 060500Z. Report delayed until information could be assembled at interrogation of crews and observers. Present at interrogation were Spaatz, Giles, Twining, and Davies.

Confirmed neither fighter or flak attack and one tenth cloud cover with large open hole directly over target. High speed camera reports excellent record obtained. Other observing aircraft also anticipates good records although films not yet processed. Reconnaissance aircraft taking post-strike photographs have not yet returned.

Sound—None appreciable observed.

Flash—Not so blinding as New Mexico test because of bright sunlight. First there was a ball of fire changing in a few seconds to purple clouds and flames boiling and swirling upward. Flash observed just after airplane rolled out of turn. All agreed light was intensely bright and white cloud rose faster than New Mexico test, reaching thirty thousand feet in minutes it was one-third greater diameter.

It mushroomed at the top, broke away from column and the column mushroomed again. Cloud was most turbulent. It went at least to forty thousand feet. Flattening across its top at this level. It was observed from combat airplane three hundred sixty-three nautical miles away with airplane at twenty-five thousand feet. Observation was then limited by haze and not curvature of the earth.

Blast—There were two distinct shocks felt in combat airplane similar in intensity to close flak bursts. Entire city except outermost ends of dock areas was covered with a dark grey dust layer which joined the cloud column. It was extremely turbulent with flashes of fire visible in the dust. Estimated diameter of this dust layer is at least three miles. One observer stated it looked as though whole town was being torn apart with columns of dust rising out of valleys approaching the town. Due to dust visual observation of structural damage could not be made.

At no time was there any idea of testing the gun-type bomb

Monday, December 29th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. Groves In late June, as the forces under General MacArthur and Admiral Nimitz approached within bombing range of the Japanese homeland, General Groves realized that they had not been told about the ban on certain cities, as he explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), for at the time it was imposed they had been too far away to make it necessary:

This concern was soon removed, however, for when we brought the matter to the attention of the Joint Chiefs, they hastily reserved our targets from all air attack.

We were fairly sure by now that we would be able to test the Fat Man, the implosion-type bomb, sometime around the middle of July. (At no time was there any idea of testing the gun-type bomb.) Planning for this operation, which carried the code name of Trinity, had begun back in the spring of 1944 when Oppenheimer and I decided that a test might be necessary to make certain that the complex theories behind the implosion bomb were correct, and that it was soundly designed, engineered, manufactured and assembled—in short, that it would work.

We thought then that we might want to explode the first bomb inside a container, so that if a nuclear explosion did not take place or if it was a very small one, we might be able to recover all or much of the precious plutonium. Also, we wanted to prevent its being scattered over a wide area and creating a health hazard that would make it necessary to guard the area against trespassers for many years.

Consequently we ordered from Babcock and Wilcox a heavy steel container, which because of its great size, weight and strength was promptly christened Jumbo. To move it from the manufacturing plant in the East to New Mexico, it had to be loaded onto specially reinforced cars and carefully routed over the railroads. At the nearest railroad stop to the test site it was unloaded onto a specially built trailer with some thirty-six large wheels, and then driven overland about thirty miles to Alamogordo.

But by the time of the test we had decided we would not need to use Jumbo, for we had learned enough to be reasonably certain of a fair-sized nuclear explosion. Even if it were as low as 250 tons, as many of our scientists were predicting, the container would only create additional dangers.

It is interesting to speculate about what would have happened, with the actual explosion of almost twenty thousand tons, if we had used Jumbo. That the heat would have completely evaporated the entire steel casing is doubtful. If it did not, pieces of jagged steel would probably have been hurled for great distances.

The scientist in charge of the test was Dr. K. T. Bainbridge, who had the unusual qualification of being a physicist with undergraduate training in electrical engineering.

[…]

I had ruled out using Los Alamos for the test on grounds of security and also because I doubted if the area could be expanded sufficiently. Later, we decided that we would need a site measuring approximately seventeen by twenty-four miles, that it should be in a generally non-populated area, and that it should be no further from Los Alamos than necessary. I added one special prohibition: that it should have no Indian population at all, for I wanted to avoid the impossible problems that would have been created by Secretary of the Interior Harold L. Ickes, who had jurisdiction over the Bureau of Indian Affairs. His curiosity and insatiable desire to have his own way in every detail would have caused difficulties and we already had too many.

[…]

Air travel has improved considerably since those days. The field we used at Pasadena was very small, and our approach to it was impeded by some high-tension lines at the end of the strip. As he came in, our pilot found himself lined up on the taxiway and quite low. Instead of circling the field, he came in over the wires and then side-slipped, landing with a terrific bounce—both horizontal and vertical. Our landing brought everyone out of the small operations office, including one of my security officers who had missed the plane in San Francisco, and who was waiting to rejoin us in Pasadena. He remarked afterward that, if not the first, at least the second thought that flashed through his mind was: “How am I going to explain the accidental death of Bush, Conant and Groves, without publicity to the project and resulting breaches of security?”

We left the next morning from March Field in Riverside in order to be sure that the predicted Los Angeles fog would not interfere with our taking off.

[…]

The main problem was the weather. We had obtained the very best men that the armed forces had on long-range weather forecasting, and, for a considerable period, they had been making accurate long-range weather predictions for the test site. The only time they were not right was on the one day that counted. The weather that evening was quite blustery and misty, with some rain. Fortunately, the wind seemed to be in the right direction.

We were interested in the weather for a number of reasons: First and foremost, we wanted to avoid as much radioactive fallout2 as possible, particularly over populated areas. This was a matter that had not received any attention until about six months earlier, when one of the Los Alamos scientists, Joseph Hirschfelder, had brought up the possibility that it might be a real problem. For this reason, we felt it would be desirable to explode the bomb when rain was unlikely, since rain would bring down excessive fallout over a small area instead of permitting it to be widely distributed and therefore of little or no consequence. In reaching this decision we could not ignore the old reports that heavy battle cannonading had sometime brought on rain, even though no scientific basis was known for a such phenomenon.

Second, it was extremely important that the wind direction be satisfactory, because we did not want the cloud, if one developed, to pass over any populated areas until its radioactive contents were thoroughly dissipated. It was essential that it not pass over any town too large to be evacuated. The city about which we were most concerned was Amarillo, some three hundred miles away, but there were others large enough to cause us worry. The wind direction had to be correct to within a few degrees.

Third, we wanted suitable flying weather so that we could have observation planes flying over the near-by areas; and finally, we wanted to avoid prior heavy rain or continuous dampness, which might ruin our electrical connections, both for firing the bomb, and for the various instruments.

[…]

I was extremely anxious to have the test carried off on schedule. One reason for this was that I knew the effect that a successful test would have on the issuance and wording of the Potsdam ultimatum. I knew also that every day’s delay in the test might well mean the delay of a day in ending the war; not because we would not be ready with the bombs, for the production of fissionable material would continue at full tilt anyway, but because a delay in issuing the Potsdam ultimatum could result in a delay in the Japanese reaction, with a further delay to the atomic attack on Japan. Obviously, a reasonable time had to be allowed for the Japanese to consider the ultimatum.

From a purely technical point of view, also, it was desirable to avoid a postponement, for the chances of short circuits and a misfire would increase appreciably with every hour that our connections were subjected to excessive moisture.

[…]

It had originally been scheduled for 4 a.m. on July 16. This hour had been fixed with the thought that an explosion at that time would attract the least attention from casual observers in the surrounding area, since almost everyone would be asleep. We expected there would be a tremendous flash of light, but thought it would not be great enough to waken many people who were well removed from the burst. Then, too, we wanted the darkness for our photography.

[…]

As the hour approached, we had to postpone the test—first for an hour and then later for thirty minutes more—so that the explosion was actually three and one half hours behind the original schedule. While the weather did not improve appreciably, neither did it worsen. It was cloudy with light rain and high humidity; very few stars were visible. Every five or ten minutes, Oppenheimer and I would leave the dugout and go outside and discuss the weather. I was devoting myself during this period to shielding Oppenheimer from the excitement swirling about us, so that he could consider the situation as calmly as possible, for the decisions to be taken had to be governed largely by his appraisal of the technical factors involved.

[…]

Everyone was told to lie face down on the ground, with his feet toward the blast, to close his eyes, and to cover his eyes with his hands as the countdown approached zero. As soon as they became aware of the flash they could turn over and sit or stand up, covering their eyes with the smoked glass with which each had been supplied.

[…]

As I lay there, in the final seconds, I thought only of what I would do if, when the countdown got to zero, nothing happened. I was spared this embarrassment, for the blast came promptly with the zero count, at 5: 30 A.M., on July 16, 1945.

My first impression was one of tremendous light, and then as I turned, I saw the now familiar fireball. As Bush, Conant and I sat on the ground looking at this phenomenon, the first reactions of the three of us were expressed in a silent exchange of handclasps. We all arose so that by the time the shock wave arrived we were standing.

I was surprised by its comparative gentleness when it reached us almost fifty seconds later. As I look back on it now, I realize that the shock was very impressive, but the light had been so much greater than any human had previously experienced or even than we had anticipated that we did not shake off the experience quickly.

Unknown to me and I think to everyone, Fermi was prepared to measure the blast by a very simple device. He had a handful of torn paper scraps and, as it came time for the shock wave to approach, I saw him dribbling them from his hand toward the ground. There was no ground wind, so that when the shock wave hit it knocked some of the scraps several feet away. Since he dropped them from a fixed elevation from near his body which he had previously measured, the only measurement he now needed was the horizontal distance that they had traveled. He had already calculated in advance the force of the blast for various distances. So, after measuring the distance on the ground, he promptly announced the strength of the explosion. He was remarkably close to the calculations that were made later from the data accumulated by our complicated instruments.

I had become a bit annoyed with Fermi the evening before, when he suddenly offered to take wagers from his fellow scientists on whether or not the bomb would ignite the atmosphere, and if so, whether it would merely destroy New Mexico or destroy the world. He had also said that after all it wouldn’t make any difference whether the bomb went off or not because it would still have been a well worth-while scientific experiment. For if it did fail to go off, we would have proved that an atomic explosion was not possible. Afterward, I realized that his talk had served to smooth down the frayed nerves and ease the tension of the people at the base camp, and I have always thought that this was his conscious purpose. Certainly, he himself showed no signs of tension that I could see.

[…]

These plans proved utterly impracticable, for no one who had witnessed the test was in a frame of mind to discuss anything. The reaction to success was simply too great. It was not only that we had achieved success with the bomb; but that everyone—scientists, military officers and engineers—realized that we had been personal participants in, and eyewitnesses to, a major milestone in the world’s history and had a sobering appreciation of what the results of our work would be. While the phenomenon that we had just witnessed had been seriously discussed for years, it had always been thought of as a remote possibility—not as an actuality.

[…]

Several days after I got back to Washington, Dr. R. M. Evans, of the du Pont Company, came to see me about some of the operating problems at Hanford. After we had finished and as he was leaving, he turned, his hand on the doorknob, and said, “Oh, by the way, General, everybody in du Pont sends you their congratulations.” I quickly replied, “What are you talking about?” He answered, “It’s the first time we ever heard of the Army’s storing high explosives, pyrotechnics and chemicals in one magazine.” He went on to add that the radio announcement on the Pacific Coast had been teletyped in to Wilmington from Hanford. My only response was: “That was a strange thing for the Army to do, wasn’t it?”

[…]

Mr. Stimson’s diary for Sunday, July 22, 1945, is most enlightening:

Churchill read Groves’ report in full. He told me that he had noticed at the meeting of the Three yesterday that Truman was much fortified by something that had happened, that he had stood up to the Russians in a most emphatic and decisive manner, telling them as to certain demands that they could not have and that the United States was entirely against them. He said, “Now I know what happened to Truman yesterday. I couldn’t understand it. When he got to the meeting after having read this report, he was a changed man. He told the Russians just where they got on and off and generally bossed the whole meeting.” Churchill said he now understood how this pepping up had taken place and he felt the same way.

The Pumpkins began to arrive at the end of June

Saturday, December 27th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesGeneral Groves was highly impressed with Curtis Lemay, as he explains in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project:

It was very evident that he was a man of outstanding ability. Our discussion lasted about an hour, and we parted with everything understood and with complete confidence in each other. This feeling lasted throughout the operation and into the years since then.

I explained to him the anticipated outcome of our work, describing the probable power of the bombs, their expected delivery dates and probable production rates, and said that we fully expected to drop each bomb as soon as it was ready. I also went into the general organization and state of training of the 509th Group; the responsibilities of the supporting groups from Los Alamos; the factors governing the altitude from which the bomb would have to be dropped, which was approximately the maximum altitude of the B-29; the approximate weights of the two types of bomb; the targets that we had selected; and the type of instructions that would be issued to the field. I made it perfectly clear that the conduct of the operation would be entirely under his control, subject, of course, to any limitations that might be placed upon him by his instructions. Finally, I explained the roles of the two weaponeers, Parsons and Ashworth—the men who would actually arm the bomb—giving him a resume of their particular qualifications.

LeMay asked a few very pertinent questions, and then announced that he would want to carry out the bombing operation using a single unescorted plane. In explaining his reasons for preferring this radical tactic, he pointed out that the Japanese were unlikely to pay any serious attention to a single plane flying at a high altitude, and would probably assume that it was on either a reconnaissance or a weather mission. I replied that I thought his plan was sound, but that this phase of the operation came under his responsibility. I added, however, that some arrangement should be made for the necessary observation planes to be present in the general area at the time the bomb was dropped.

[…]

Because they had been modified to carry the atomic bomb, the B-29’ s of the 509th Group could not easily carry standard conventional bombs. They could, however, deliver bombs having the same shape as the Fat Man, and such a bomb had been developed and produced to provide training and experience to the crews. Known as the Pumpkin, this bomb contained 5,500 pounds of explosives, and was designed for blast effect only, with a proximity fuse that would permit its use for an air burst. Although it was primarily a training device, we had always recognized that it could have tactical uses; now as part of the group’s security cover, we let it leak out on Tinian that its mission was the delivery of Pumpkins in battle. We also hoped that analysis of the results obtained by the use of the Pumpkins might help us to refine the ballistic data for the real bomb.

The Pumpkins began to arrive at the end of June. Reaction to these bombs were mixed. The members of the 509th who, with a few exceptions, still did not know the real reason for their training, were somewhat disappointed that they had spent so much time in practicing to deliver this fairly modest weapon. On the other hand, some members of the other Air Force units based on Tinian, who likewise did not know what the 509th’s real purpose was, became quite enthusiastic about the effectiveness of the Pumpkin’s air bursts over enemy targets and set up a clamor to have more of them made available to their theater.

[…]

As I have explained, a high air burst was necessary for maximum results. It was also dictated by our desire to eliminate, if possible, or in any case to decrease, residual radioactivity on the ground below the burst; to decrease to a negligible degree any harmful fallout downwind; and to diminish to a minimum serious radioactive injuries to the population in the bombed area. We felt that the high burst would confine casualties for the most part to nonradioactive injuries; namely, those due directly and indirectly to the force of the unprecedented explosion.

To be well removed from the point of burst, the bombing plane would have to maneuver as no heavy bomber had ever had to maneuver before. As soon as the bomb was “away,” the plane was to make a sharp diving turn to get as far as possible from the point of explosion. This was one of the reasons why the run was made at the then unprecedented altitude of some thirty thousand feet. The high altitude also greatly reduced the danger of gunfire from enemy airplanes, permitting the removal of the fuselage turrets and all other armament except for the tail guns. This weight reduction appreciably increased the plane’s range and the height at which it could fly.

Studies made at Los Alamos had determined that with a bomb of twenty thousand tons of TNT equivalent, a B-29 plane ten miles away from the burst would be safe from destruction by a factor of two. Under these conditions, the aircraft, which had been designed to withstand a force of four times gravity, would be subjected to a force equivalent to no more than two times gravity. It was calculated that by making a sharp diving turn, the sharpest possible consistent with safety, the B-29 could reach a point at least ten miles from the burst by the time the bomb exploded.

It took years, if not decades and centuries, after their first use for their revolutionary influence upon warfare to be felt

Tuesday, December 23rd, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesThere has never been an improvement in weapons comparable in degree and in sudden impact to the atomic bomb, General Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project):

In the case of other developments, such as explosives, the airplane, the tank, long-range artillery, armor-clad warships, submarines, and even rifles, it took years, if not decades and centuries, after their first use for their revolutionary influence upon warfare to be felt. In the case of the atomic bomb it took only a few hours.

[…]

When I told Arnold there was a chance that we might not be able to fit the bomb into the B-29, no matter how hard we tried, he asked me what I would do then. I said that if the B-29 could not be used, we would have to consider the use of a British plane, the Lancaster, which I was sure the Prime Minister would be glad to make available to us.

This brought from him the characteristic reply that I had hoped and expected to hear: that he wanted an American plane to deliver our bomb, and that the Air Force would make every effort to ensure that we had a B-29 capable of doing the job.

[…]

Fortunately, as time went on, we were able to make changes in the design of both types of bombs, so that it became possible to fit them into a specially modified B-29.

[…]

The effects of General Arnold’s wholehearted co-operation became very evident when elements of the Air Force appeared reluctant to furnish the necessary number of B-29’ s. Their reaction was quite understandable, for these planes were in such short supply that it was impossible to give the crews that were to operate them overseas even the desired minimum of training.

After exploring the situation, Wilson told me that the only way we could get the planes was for me to go see Arnold myself. Even then, in his judgment, we would not get them until shortly before the actual operation.

General Arnold did not hesitate. He fell in with my request almost without discussion, without any evidence of disinclination, and without any suggestion that I might get along with a smaller number. This was typical of all my experiences in dealing with him. He fully realized the importance of the project and never expressed the slightest doubt of our ultimate success.

As I left Arnold’s office to walk down to Wilson’s to tell him how I had made out, he met me in the hall and said that Arnold had just telephoned him. When he added that he was completely surprised and quite impressed by Arnold’s prompt agreement, I replied that I was not the least bit surprised; it was just what I had expected.

Not only did Arnold’s action in this case provide us with the planes we so urgently needed, but it indelibly impressed upon all his staff that MED requests were to be granted without argument.

This stood us in good stead until a few months before our actual operations against the Japanese began, when Parsons reported that he did not think our planes were in the best operating condition, and said they should be replaced by new ones. Investigation showed that he was right, but again Wilson felt it would be impossible to do much about it because of the tremendous demands for B-29’ s in the Pacific Theater.

When I appealed to Arnold, however, his response again was quick and emphatic. He said that in view of the vast national effort that had gone into the Manhattan Project, no slip-up on the part of the Air Force was going to be responsible for a failure. He then asked me how many new planes I needed, and I replied that as a minimum I would need one to carry the bomb. While several more to carry instruments and make observations would be desirable, they were not essential. I made it clear, however, that no matter what else might suffer, we must have one plane that would be in absolutely perfect working condition when we were ready for the final take-off. Immediately Arnold said that he would order fourteen new planes for us, and fourteen more to be placed in reserve to meet emergency needs. He repeated that no matter what else might go wrong, no one would ever be able to say that the Air Force did not do its utmost to support the Manhattan Project. In this, he was entirely correct.

The new lot of B-29’ s was delivered to Wendover Field, Utah, during the spring of 1945. These planes had fuel injection engines, electrically controlled reversible propellers, and were generally much better than their predecessors, particularly from the standpoint of ruggedness.

[…]

Tibbets had been the Operations Officer of the 97th Bombardment Group in the North African and European Theater of Operations, where he had flown the usual number of combat missions, and had then been returned to the United States. Since his return, he had been engaged in testing the B-29 and in formulating the instructions for its use in combat. He was a superb pilot of heavy planes, with years of military flying experience, and was probably as familiar with the B-29 as anyone in the service.

[…]
Insofar as possible the group’s officers should have been men who might reasonably be expected to remain in the regular service after the war. We should have recognized the importance of this but, as far as I know, nobody did. Although this mistake made no difference in the accomplishment of our immediate goal, in the postwar years it has been most unfortunate that we have not had in the regular service as many men as possible who were experienced in the use of atomic bombs in actual war. Indeed, sixteen years after Hiroshima and Nagasaki, only four—Tibbets and Ashworth, a weaponeer, and the two bombardiers, Ferebee and Beahan—remain on active duty.

[…]

The total authorized strength of the 509th Group was set at 225 officers and 1,542 enlisted men. It was a completely self-contained unit, including besides its Heavy Bombardment Squadron, a Troop Carrier Squadron and all other essential supporting units.

[…]

In September, after it became clear that we would use both a gun-assembly bomb (the Little Boy) and an implosion bomb (the Fat Man), 4 we decided to freeze the external shapes of the three models then existent—one Little Boy and two Fat Men. This was to permit completion of the necessary modifications to the B-29 so that the training of the 509th would not be delayed. The first planes were ready in October and were delivered to Colonel Tibbets at the Wendover Army Air Base, which went under the code name of “Kingman” and sometimes “W-47.” The ballistic tests were begun that same month and were continued until August 8, 1945, by which time each of the two models finally adopted had been dropped in combat.

[…]

In December, the 393rd Squadron was sent to Batista Field, Cuba, for two months of special training in long over-water flights. The program also included training in high-altitude visual and radar bombing. On these practice missions, formation flights were habitually avoided and the crews grew accustomed to operating singly. This was not because we anticipated sending unescorted single planes against Japan, but rather because we were not sure that the escort planes would accompany the bomb-carrying plane all the way from its take-off to the target and back; therefore, we wanted it to be fully capable of independent navigation.

This special training proved very fortunate indeed when later General Curtis LeMay adopted the plan of using a single plane for each bombing mission. This placed all navigational responsibility on the navigator of that plane and was completely at variance with the standard Air Force navigational procedures. Normally, bomber missions were flown by massive formations, with the lead plane carrying a thoroughly competent navigator. The navigators in the other planes were not as a rule nearly so experienced. Fortunately, because of our insistence upon a high state of navigational training throughout the 393rd Squadron, the 509th Group was not caught short when LeMay’s proposal was put into effect.

After the 393rd Bombing Squadron returned to Wendover from the Caribbean, its training continued, and the fliers gained much valuable experience in the course of the ballistic testing of dummy bombs similar in dimensions and weight to the atomic bombs that were eventually used. At first the dummies were inert; later some were filled with normal high explosives. They were never, of course, loaded with any fissionable material. Most of our ballistic testing was conducted at a range in the Salton Sea area. Out of these tests came the information we needed to aim the final bombs accurately.

Each drone costs around $50,000

Saturday, December 20th, 2025

A BBC defence correspondent in Kyiv reports on their secret missile factory:

We’re driven blindfolded to a secret location where Ukraine is making one of its latest weapons.

We’re told to turn off our phones — such is the secrecy around the production of Ukraine’s Flamingo cruise missile.

For Ukraine, dispersing and hiding the production of weapons like this is key to survival. Two factories belonging to the company that makes it — Fire Point — have already been hit.

Inside the one we’re visiting we’re told not to film any features such as pillars, windows or ceilings. We’re also asked not to show the faces of workers on the assembly line — where Flamingo missiles are at various stages of completion.

Even under fire, Ukraine is ramping up its arms industry. President Volodymyr Zelensky says the country now produces more than 50% of the weapons it uses on the front line. Almost its entire inventory of long-range weapons is domestically made.

[…]

The head of Ukraine’s Armed Forces, General Oleksandr Syrskyi, says Ukraine’s long-range strikes have already cost the Russian economy more than $21.5bn this year.

[…]

Of course Russia has been doing the same, and on a greater scale. On average it has been launching around 200 Shahed drones a day; Ukraine’s response has been about half that number.

[…]

Fire Point didn’t even exist before Russia’s full-scale invasion. But the start-up is now producing 200 drones a day. Its FP1 and FP2 drones, each the size of a small aeroplane, have carried out 60% of Ukraine’s long-range strikes. Each drone costs around $50,000 — a third of the price of a Russian Shahed drone. Russia is still producing nearly 3,000 of those a month.

[…]

Until the end of last year, under President Biden, the United States supplied nearly $70bn-worth of military support to Ukraine. That was soon stopped under President Trump — instead he has set up a scheme to allow European Nato to purchase US weapons.

Ukraine still needs outside help, not least with intelligence, targeting and money. But it is trying to be more self-sufficient.

The Russians want to increase the zone of contested airspace

Thursday, November 20th, 2025

The third function Russian fighters are optimized for, escort and interdiction, is carried out by a range of aircraft, from the Su-30SM and MIG-31BM to the Su-35S, and will likely involve the Su-57 in the future:

In these missions, Russian aircraft fly beyond the protection of friendly air defences. They are also tasked with trying to disrupt the penetration of Russian airspace by NATO very-low observable (VLO) aircraft. As a result, these mission sets are also those where the gaps between Russian and NATO aircraft are most problematic for the VKS. Conceptually, the Russians want to increase the zone of contested airspace. By expanding the launch points for aero-ballistic missiles, such as the Kinzhal, and low-signature cruise missiles, such as the Kh-69, they hope to reduce NATO’s comfort zone. Because aircraft are exposed during these missions, it is critical for them to reduce the radar cross-section (detectability) of the aircraft. It is important to note that demonstrating an ability to have a reduced radar cross-section airframe — even if not a VLO one — allows Russia to suggest to the world that it can keep up with evolving technological trends. While the Russians therefore use a variety of aircraft in this mission set, it is the future procurement of the Su-57 that will be critical to Russia’s ability to credibly undertake this mission.

While the inherent flexible nature of airpower means that Russia can employ combat aircraft in a wider set of roles — as it attempted in the opening phase of its full-scale invasion of Ukraine — its failures reflected in 2022 how an air force can struggle to operate beyond what it is trained for. Considering, however, the clear tasks for which Russia has optimised its aircraft and aircrew training, it is reasonable to assess that investment within Russian aviation will continue to prioritise Su-34, Su-35S and Su-57 models. The key point is that despite technological inferiority, Russian combat aircraft make a material contribution to Russian combat power, but as Russia’s struggle to build a VLO aircraft demonstrate, the capacity of its aerospace sector to continue to innovate and modernise is fundamental to the capacity of the VKS to expand its opportunities on the battlefield. NATO should therefore be closely concerned with the performance of this sector.