Isometrics or Steroids?

Saturday, January 13th, 2007

Isometrics or Steroids? Exploring New Frontiers of Strength in the Early 1960s, from the Journal of Sport History Vol. 20, No. I (Spring 1993), looks at the early haphazard experiments by Dr. Ziegler with weightlifters, combining new isometric training routines, hypnosis, and little pink pills. The article’s conclusion is startling:

It was only in the latter stages of their experiment, by the most haphazard course of trial and error, that steroids were reluctantly identified as an influential agent in the enhancement of strength.

Jidaigeki

Friday, January 12th, 2007

Listen, padawan, and learn:

The term “Jedi” from the Star Wars saga was derived from jidaigeki [Japanese for "period drama"] by George Lucas, as he was heavily influenced by Akira Kurosawa.

Appreciating Our Moral and Mental Development

Friday, January 12th, 2007

Arnold Kling opens his most recent essay, Appreciating Our Moral and Mental Development, by citing Steven Pinker on the decline of violence:

In 16th century Paris, a popular form of entertainment was cat-burning, in which a cat was hoisted on a stage and was slowly lowered into a fire. According to the historian Norman Davies, “the spectators, including kings and queens, shrieked with laughter as the animals, howling with pain, were singed, roasted, and finally carbonized.”

As horrific as present-day events are, such sadism would be unthinkable today in most of the world. This is just one example of the most important and under appreciated trend in the history of our species: the decline of violence.

Iraq’s Natural State

Friday, January 12th, 2007

Arnold Kling argues that Iraq’s Natural State — indeed, the natural state of any state — is not an “open access” democracy like our own but a traditional “limited access” society with a privileged elite:

NWW [North, Wallis, and Weingast] claim that there are three types of societies. Primitive orders are small bands of hunter-gatherers, and they are of little concern here. Limited-access orders are societies that provide meaningful political and economic rights only to narrow elites. Open-access orders are capitalist democracies that give political and economic rights to most citizens. NWW argue that limited-access orders are the natural state: they are stable, they resist economic progress, and they only rarely make the transition to open-access orders.
[...]
The limited-access order achieves stability by providing each potentially violent group with a valuable concession. For example, the ruling general of a military junta, in order to forestall attempted coups, has to give capable colonels plenty of opportunity to profit personally from corruption. Powerful figures who cannot be bought off must be jailed, exiled, or killed.
[...]
A key insight of NWW is that the rulers of a limited-access order must restrict the rights of the masses. If everyone has economic and political rights, then the rulers have nothing special to offer to pacify would-be usurpers. Potential political competitors can only be bought off if they receive rights that are exclusive. But giving exclusive rights to one group necessarily entails restricting the rights of other groups. To say to the rulers of a limited-access order, “We insist that you get rid of corruption” is to ask them to commit political suicide.

Societies may transition from limited-access to open-access after achieving three “doorstep conditions”:

  1. rule of law for elites
  2. perpetual life for organizations
  3. political control of the military

Read the whole article. When you’re done, read Juntas vs. Open Societies.

Molotov cocktail

Friday, January 12th, 2007

The infamous Molotov cocktail was named after a Soviet politician:

The name “Molotov cocktail” is derived from Vyacheslav Mikhailovich Molotov, a Soviet politician who was the People’s Commissar for Foreign Affairs, or the Foreign Minister, of the Soviet Union, with an ironic reference to the 1930s fashion for pre-dinner “cocktails.” During the buildup to World War II, when Finland refused to surrender some strategic ports to the Soviet Union, the Soviets invaded, citing a forged Finnish attack (Shelling of Mainila). The heavily outnumbered Finnish Army, facing Red Army tanks in what came to be known as the Winter War, borrowed an improvised incendiary device design from the 1936–39 Spanish Civil War. In that conflict, the Spanish Nationalists under the orders of General Francisco Franco had used the weapon against Soviet T-26 tanks supporting the Spanish Republicans in a failed 1936 Soviet assault near Tolédo, 30 km from Madrid.[1]

When Molotov claimed in radio broadcasts that the Soviet Union was not dropping bombs but rather delivering food to the starving Finns, the Finns started to call the air bombs satirically “Molotov picnic baskets.” Soon they responded by saluting the advancing tanks with “Molotov cocktails.”

Fragmented Future

Thursday, January 11th, 2007

Steve Sailer cites Harvard professor Robert D. Putnam on our Fragmented Future:

In the presence of [ethnic] diversity, we hunker down. We act like turtles. The effect of diversity is worse than had been imagined. And it’s not just that we don’t trust people who are not like us. In diverse communities, we don’t trust people who do look like us.

Great Dane, Great Pain

Thursday, January 11th, 2007

In Great Dane, Great Pain, Henrik Rasmussen counters recent Denmark-as-Utopia thinking with “a dose of reality from someone who has actually lived in Denmark”:

Taken together, these numbers indicate that the 10% poorest in the United States have roughly the same standard of living as their Danish counterparts while the remaining 90% of Americans are better off than the Danes.

Anecdotal evidence and hard numbers concerning material goods support this conclusion. If we look at housing, the Heritage Foundation estimates that Danes have an average of 558 square feet per person available compared to a US average of 721.2 — almost 30% more living space. The difference is even more striking if we look at cars: According to Eurostat, America has 759 cars per 1000 people compared to 354 in Denmark — a difference of more than 100%. In particular, large passenger vehicles such as SUVs are extremely rare in Denmark.

In addition, Danes tend to have fewer household amenities than Americans. A case in point: my wife and I recently hosted a Danish friend at our home in Virginia. During the clean up after dinner, our guest was astonished by our garbage disposal, having never seen one or even heard of one before in her life.

Ironically, the taxation system, which is designed to redistribute income for the benefit of the poor, is one of the main reasons poor and lower middle class Danes are not doing better than their American counterparts. For instance, Denmark has a value-added tax (VAT) of 25% on all goods and services, which increases prices for everyone regardless of their income. Furthermore, certain goods such as cars and gasoline are taxed at even higher rates. The sales tax on cars is 180%, and the price of gasoline is currently $6.50 per gallon due to taxes. Since the poor tend to spend a larger percentage of their income on consumption than the rich, the high VAT and special sales taxes hit the poor relatively hard.

A “mass exodus is already taking place”:

For instance, estimates of Danes living in London vary between 35,000 and 70,000, which is roughly 1% of the total Danish population of 5.4 million. According to the leading Copenhagen business daily Børsen, the average income of these Danish Londoners is more than $100,000 per year.

Peyote Won’t Rot Your Brain

Thursday, January 11th, 2007

New research shows that Peyote Won’t Rot Your Brain:

In the first study of its kind, researchers have found that peyote — for now, the only legal hallucinogenic drug in the United States — doesn’t rob regular users of brain power over time.

While the findings don’t directly indicate anything about the safety of psychedelic drugs like LSD and mushrooms, they do suggest that at least one hallucinogen is OK to use for months or even years.

“We really weren’t able to find any (mental) deficits,” said Dr. John Halpern, associate director of substance abuse research at McLean Hospital in Belmont, Massachusetts, and co-author of the study, released today in the Nov. 4 issue of the journal Biological Psychiatry.

MIT ethanol analysis confirms benefits of biofuels

Thursday, January 11th, 2007

MIT ethanol analysis confirms benefits of biofuels — sort of:

Using a technique called life cycle analysis, she looked at energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions associated with all the steps in making and using ethanol, from growing the crop to converting it into ethanol. She limited energy sources to fossil fuels. Finally, she accounted for the different energy contents of gasoline and ethanol. Pure ethanol carries 30 percent less energy per gallon, so more is needed to travel a given distance.

While most studies follow those guidelines, Groode added one more feature: She incorporated the uncertainty associated with the values of many of the inputs. Following a methodology developed by recent MIT graduate Jeremy Johnson (Ph.D. 2006), she used not just one value for each key variable (such as the amount of fertilizer required), but rather a range of values along with the probability that each of those values would occur. In a single analysis, her model runs thousands of times with varying input values, generating a range of results, some more probable than others.

Based on her “most likely” outcomes, she concluded that traveling a kilometer using ethanol does indeed consume more energy than traveling the same distance using gasoline. However, further analyses showed that several factors can easily change the outcome, rendering corn-based ethanol a “greener” fuel.

Taking Control of Electric Bill, Hour by Hour

Thursday, January 11th, 2007

Most residential consumers of electricity don’t pay more for that electricity at peak times, and they don’t pay less at non-peak times. Taking Control of Electric Bill, Hour by Hour, looks at what happens when they do:

Most people are not aware that electricity prices fluctuate widely throughout the day, let alone exactly how much they pay at the moment they flip a switch. But Ms. Kinch and her husband are among the 1,100 Chicago residents who belong to the Community Energy Cooperative, a pilot project to encourage energy conservation, and this puts them among the rare few who are able to save money by shifting their use of power.

Just as cellphone customers delay personal calls until they become free at night and on weekends, and just as millions of people fly at less popular times because air fares are lower, people who know the price of electricity at any given moment can cut back when prices are high and use more when prices are low. Participants in the Community Energy Cooperative program, for example, can check a Web site that tells them, hour by hour, how much their electricity costs; they get e-mail alerts when the price is set to rise above 20 cents a kilowatt-hour.

If just a fraction of all Americans had this information and could adjust their power use accordingly, the savings would be huge. Consumers would save nearly $23 billion a year if they shifted just 7 percent of their usage during peak periods to less costly times, research at Carnegie Mellon University indicates. That is the equivalent of the entire nation getting a free month of power every year.

Big Pictures

Thursday, January 11th, 2007

In Big Pictures, David Denby looks at Hollywood’s future from a number of angles.

I enjoyed his description of watching a big-screen movie on a small-screen iPod:

My ears, fed by headphones, were filled with such details as the chafing of hawsers and feet stomping on straw, but there below me Johnny Depp and Orlando Bloom were duelling like two angry mosquitoes in a jar.

I had a similar experience trying to watch extreme widescreen (CinemaScope or Panavision) movies on a small 4:3 TV before I upgraded.

Why do we see so few intelligent movies for adults? Because teenagers will go see anything bright and shiny, of course:

When the adult audience does go to a low- or mid-budget movie released in winter or in spring — say, “Crash” or “Inside Man” — the studios consider the hit an anomaly, a “non-repeatable event.” In the jargon of the trade, such movies are “execution dependent” (they have to be good to succeed), rather than “audience dependent” (the audience will show up regardless of the quality).

Movie financing may finally mature a bit too:

Steven Soderbergh is one director who is positively evangelical about reform. He has an alternative business plan, which he put into practice with “The Good German,” that goes like this: The A-list talent (actors, directors, writers) work for relatively small up-front payments — not the market-driven “quotes” of five or ten or even twenty million but a “nominal” fee of, say, a million or two. (If the talent doesn’t like this arrangement, they can be paid more up front but they will have to forfeit special arrangements, like “gross points,” which are paid later.) When revenues start coming in, the take is divided according to fixed percentages. If the studio and its financing partners have put up the production budget, they get the biggest piece — say, fifty or sixty cents of every dollar. Star A gets six cents, star B five, writer X two, and so on. If the movie is a bomb theatrically, the ancillary markets will minimize the studio’s loss, as they do now. If the movie is a hit, everyone owns a piece of it forever. And the artistic payoff is a lessening of fear. “If the initial outlay is kept down this way,” Soderbergh said to me, “then there’s a good chance that the studios will make more interesting choices of material.”

At the moment, the smart money may be going small budget. Just recently, wealthy individuals, pooling their money in hedge funds, have begun setting up deals not with studios but with successful producers like Joel Silver and producer-directors like Ivan Reitman. The production money will go to genre films — thrillers and comedies and horror pictures — in the low-budget (about twenty-million-dollar) range. John C. Malone, the chairman of Liberty Media Corporation, is opening his own studio to make movies on a similar scale. Some of these pictures will undoubtedly be routine, but the relatively low stakes could also allow producers to hire writers and directors who are willing to do more daring work, the way B-movie directors, toiling quietly on back lots, did sixty years ago.

Films made fast and cheap in this way would still need studio distribution and marketing, but once the theatres go digital that may no longer be true.

Sun Exposure Variation, Modern and Ancient

Thursday, January 11th, 2007

Art De Vany examines Sun Exposure Variation, Modern and Ancient:

One of the odd things about modern life is that we have dampened the routine exposure we get to sunlight through our use of shelter, clothing, and (now) avoidance of sun and sunblocks. This lessened daily exposure to sun causes our systems to down regulate vitamin D and melatonin production. Both are known to be protective of cancer.

Then we take the family to Cancun and lay in the sun for a week. Or, we hike in bright sun and thin air. Or, spend a week on Palm Springs golf courses. Or, run a marathon or two. This is quite a shock to a body that is adapted to low sun exposure. This kind of low-level exposure with intermittent big shocks may paradoxically be far worse than a higher level of more routine exposure. The protection thought to be provided by routine avoidance sets us up for greater shock and damage when we take the plunge of high exposure. This highly discontinuous variation in sun exposure is far from a natural rhythm of more constrained variation that would have been true in evolutionary times and even in the recent past.

Constrained variation dampens adaptive capacity. Discontinuous variation then becomes a potentially damaging shock to a system that has reduced adaptive capacity. I have made this argument before about exercise and eating and even alluded to the need for temperature variations too. All challenge and expand our adaptive capacity and are protective.

The pill may raise odds of having allergic kids

Tuesday, January 9th, 2007

The pill may raise odds of having allergic kids — after the mother-to-be goes off the pill, of course:

To investigate, the researchers studied 618 asthmatic children aged 5 or 6 years and compared them with 564 similar but unaffected children.

The team found that, compared to children whose mothers had not used oral contraceptives, those who had taken the pill within a year of becoming pregnant had a 67 percent greater likelihood of having a child with allergic rhinitis, or nasal allergy.

This was particularly the case in families where the parents had allergies, and this association was stronger in boys.

There was no association between mothers’ use of the pill and the occurrence of asthma or eczema in their offspring.

Little Asia on the Hill

Monday, January 8th, 2007

The New York Times calls UC Berkeley Little Asia on the Hill:

What is troubling to some is that the big public school on the hill certainly does not look like the ethnic face of California, which is 12 percent Asian, more than twice the national average. But it is the new face of the state’s vaunted public university system. Asians make up the largest single ethnic group, 37 percent, at its nine undergraduate campuses.
[...]
This year, in a class of 4809, there are only 100 black freshmen at the University of California at Los Angeles — the lowest number in 33 years. At Berkeley, 3.6 percent of freshmen are black, barely half the statewide proportion. (In 1997, just before the full force of Proposition 209 went into effect, the proportion of black freshmen matched the state population, 7 percent.) The percentage of Hispanic freshmen at Berkeley (11 percent) is not even a third of the state proportion (35 percent). White freshmen (29 percent) are also below the state average (44 percent).

An interesting stat:

About 95 percent of Asian freshmen come from a family in which one or both parents were born outside the United States.

Asians have become what Daniel Golden calls the “new Jews” — minorities admitted in limited numbers to top universities despite their fine academic records.

Little Asia on the Hill

Monday, January 8th, 2007

The New York Times calls UC Berkeley Little Asia on the Hill:

What is troubling to some is that the big public school on the hill certainly does not look like the ethnic face of California, which is 12 percent Asian, more than twice the national average. But it is the new face of the state’s vaunted public university system. Asians make up the largest single ethnic group, 37 percent, at its nine undergraduate campuses.
[...]
This year, in a class of 4809, there are only 100 black freshmen at the University of California at Los Angeles — the lowest number in 33 years. At Berkeley, 3.6 percent of freshmen are black, barely half the statewide proportion. (In 1997, just before the full force of Proposition 209 went into effect, the proportion of black freshmen matched the state population, 7 percent.) The percentage of Hispanic freshmen at Berkeley (11 percent) is not even a third of the state proportion (35 percent). White freshmen (29 percent) are also below the state average (44 percent).

An interesting stat:

About 95 percent of Asian freshmen come from a family in which one or both parents were born outside the United States.

Asians have become what Daniel Golden calls the “new Jews” — minorities admitted in limited numbers to top universities despite their fine academic records.