Grylls series ‘to be transparent’

Tuesday, July 24th, 2007

Grylls series ‘to be transparent’ — because it hasn’t been so far:

The US Discovery Channel is to ensure a survival show is “100% transparent” in future after conceding parts could have misled viewers, according to reports.

Man vs Wild — called Born Survivor on Channel 4 in the UK — saw Bear Grylls supposedly abandoned in the wild.

But a consultant said Grylls stayed in a motel and had scenes set up for him.

“Isolated elements” were not “natural to the environment”, Discovery said in a statement to the Hollywood Reporter, and promised greater clarity in future.

“For health and safety concerns, the crew and host received some survival assistance while in the field,” the channel told the publication.

“Moving forward, the programme will be 100% transparent, and all elements of the filming will be explained upfront to our viewers.”

Discovery also promised that any repeats of the series would be “edited appropriately”.

Some specifics:

The issue of scenes being manipulated was raised by Mark Weinert, a US survival consultant.

He told the UK’s Sunday Times that Grylls spent nights in a motel in Hawaii when he was claiming to be stranded on a desert island.

Mr Weinert also alleged that a raft was put together by team members before being taken apart so Grylls could be filmed building it.

Ouch. This is not how to handle the situation:

Channel 4 said the programme never specifically claimed Grylls was coping “unaided”.

From Wales, a box to make biofuel from car fumes

Monday, July 23rd, 2007

From Wales, a box to make biofuel from car fumes:

They have developed a box which they say can be fixed underneath a car in place of the exhaust to trap the greenhouse gases blamed for global warming — including carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide — and emit mostly water vapor.
[...]
If the system takes off, drivers with a Greenbox would replace it when they fill up their cars and it would go to a bioreactor to be emptied.

Through a chemical reaction, the captured gases from the box would be fed to algae, which would then be crushed to produce a bio-oil. This extract can be converted to produce a biodiesel almost identical to normal diesel.

This biodiesel can be fed back into a diesel engine, the emptied Greenbox can be affixed to the car and the cycle can begin again.

The process also yields methane gas and fertilizer, both of which can be captured separately. The algae required to capture all of Britain’s auto emissions would take up around 1,000 acres

Ron Paul at Google

Monday, July 23rd, 2007


I guess I shouldn’t be surprised to see video of Ron Paul at Google, but I am. Kudos to both Ron Paul and Google — and a tip of the hat to the Distributed Republic (formerly Catallarchy).

Christopher Caldwell at the New York Times has also recently written about The Antiwar, Anti-Abortion, Anti-Drug-Enforcement-Administration, Anti-Medicare Candidacy of Dr. Ron Paul:

Thin to the point of gauntness, polite to the point of daintiness, Ron Paul is a 71-year-old great-grandfather, a small-town doctor, a self-educated policy intellectual and a formidable stander on constitutional principle. In normal times, Paul might be — indeed, has been — the kind of person who is summoned onto cable television around April 15 to ventilate about whether the federal income tax violates the Constitution. But Paul has in recent weeks become a sensation in magazines he doesn’t read, on Web sites he has never visited and on television shows he has never watched.

The key to his popularity:

Paul represents a different Republican Party from the one that Iraq, deficits and corruption have soured the country on. In late June, despite a life of antitax agitation and churchgoing, he was excluded from a Republican forum sponsored by Iowa antitax and Christian groups. His school of Republicanism, which had its last serious national airing in the Goldwater campaign of 1964, stands for a certain idea of the Constitution — the idea that much of the power asserted by modern presidents has been usurped from Congress, and that much of the power asserted by Congress has been usurped from the states. Though Paul acknowledges flaws in both the Constitution (it included slavery) and the Bill of Rights (it doesn’t go far enough), he still thinks a comprehensive array of positions can be drawn from them: Against gun control. For the sovereignty of states. And against foreign-policy adventures.

German zoo faces charges for selling animals as food

Monday, July 23rd, 2007

German zoo faces charges for selling animals as food:

Zoo keepers have been accused of killing the animals in their care and selling the meat.

Wild pigs, goats, deer, springboks and even an anteater are said to have been killed with a boltgun before being butchered for sale.

The outrage emerged during a stocktake of animals at Erfurt Zoo in central Germany.

The authorities fear the practice could have been going on for years.

Last August, the deer herd was 14-strong. By November, it was down to 11. Now it has dwindled to seven, plus three newborns.

Police believe the animals earmarked for death were picked out by “customers” of the corrupt zoo keepers and slaughtered the same night.

Childhood Now a Sex Crime

Monday, July 23rd, 2007

Childhood is now a sex crime, Radley Balko notes, citing this story about boys slapping girls on the butt in their middle school halls:

After hours of interviews with students the day of the February incident, the officer read the boys their Miranda rights and hauled them off in handcuffs to juvenile jail, where they spent the next five days.

Now, Cory Mashburn and Ryan Cornelison, both 13, face the prospect of 10 years in juvenile detention and a lifetime on the sex offender registry in a case that poses a fundamental question: When is horseplay a crime?

Bomb by Bomb, Japan Sheds Military Restraints

Monday, July 23rd, 2007

Norimitsu Onishi, writing for the New York Times, notes that bomb by bomb, Japan is shedding its military restraints:

But from here in Micronesia to Iraq, Japan’s military has been rapidly crossing out items from its list of can’t-dos. The incremental changes, especially since the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, amount to the most significant transformation in Japan’s military since World War II, one that has brought it ever closer operationally to America’s military while rattling nerves throughout northeast Asia.

In a little over half a decade, Japan’s military has carried out changes considered unthinkable a few years back. In the Indian Ocean, Japanese destroyers and refueling ships are helping American and other militaries fight in Afghanistan. In Iraq, Japanese planes are transporting cargo and American troops to Baghdad from Kuwait.

Japan is acquiring weapons that blur the lines between defensive and offensive. For the Guam bombing run, Japan deployed its newest fighter jets, the F-2’s, the first developed jointly by Japan and the United States, on their maiden trip here. Unlike its older jets, the F-2’s were able to fly the 1,700 miles from northern Japan to Guam without refueling — a “straight shot,” as the Japanese said with unconcealed pride.

Japan recently indicated strongly its desire to buy the F-22 Raptor, a stealth fighter known mainly for its offensive abilities such as penetrating contested airspace and destroying enemy targets, whose export is prohibited by United States law.

At home, the Defense Agency, whose profile had been intentionally kept low, became a full ministry this year. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe used the parliamentary majority he inherited from his wildly popular predecessor, Junichiro Koizumi, to ram through a law that could lead to a revision of the pacifist Constitution.

Japan’s 241,000-member military, though smaller than those of its neighbors, is considered Asia’s most sophisticated. Though flat, its $40 billion military budget has ranked among the world’s top five in recent years. Japan has also tapped nonmilitary budgets to launch spy satellites and strengthen its coast guard recently.

Japanese politicians like Mr. Abe have justified the military’s transformation by seizing on the threat from North Korea; the rise of China, whose annual military budget has been growing by double digits; and the Sept. 11 attacks — even fanning those threats, critics say. At the same time, Mr. Abe has tried to rehabilitate the reputation of Japan’s imperial forces by whitewashing their crimes, including wartime sexual slavery.

Japanese critics say the changes under way — whose details the government has tried to hide from public view, especially the missions in Iraq — have already violated the Constitution and other defense restrictions.

“The reality has already moved ahead, so they will now talk about the need to catch up and revise the Constitution,” said Yukio Hatoyama, the secretary general of the main opposition Democratic Party.

The Japanese constitution explicitly renounces war:

Aspiring sincerely to an international peace based on justice and order, the Japanese people forever renounce war as a sovereign right of the nation and the threat or use of force as means of settling international disputes.

That’s what happens when you lose the Second World War.

‘$100 laptop’ production begins

Monday, July 23rd, 2007


‘$100 laptop’ production begins:

Using open source software, OLPC have developed a stripped-down operating system which fits comfortably on the machine’s 1GB of memory.

“We made a set of trade-offs which may not be an office worker’s needs but are more than adequate for what kids need for learning, exploring and having fun,” said Professor Bender.

The XO is built to cope with the harsh and remote conditions found in areas where it may be used, such as the deserts of Libya or the mountains of Peru.

For example, it has a rugged, waterproof case and is as energy efficient as possible.

“The laptop needs an order of magnitude less power than a typical laptop,” said Professor Bender. “That means you can power it by solar or human power.”

Governments that sign up for the scheme can purchase solar, foot-pump or pull-string powered chargers for the laptop.

And because it may be used in villages without access to a classroom, it has also been designed to work outside. In particular, the green and white machines feature a sunlight-readable display.

“For a lot of these children it’s their only book and we want them to have a first class reading experience,” said Professor Bender.

As William Gibson said, “The street finds its own uses for things.”

Specialization is for Insects

Monday, July 23rd, 2007

I just re-stumbled upon one of my favorite Robert A. Heinlein quotes, from Time Enough for Love — which, I must admit, I have not read (yet):

A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects.

Adam Smith might not agree.

Jerry Pournelle on Brutal Repression

Thursday, July 19th, 2007

Since I just finished reading one of his novels, and since African tyrant Mugabe has been in the news, I thought I’d share this bit by Jerry Pournelle on Brutal Repression:

There was damned little “brutal repression” in the British Empire (see the account of Miss mTombe’s toe in Rhodesia as an example; even in the Boer Republic of South Africa the repression was pretty mild compared to, say, Stalin). European colonialism had many faults, but I suspect that many in Rhodesia wish the British Raj and the Queen’s African Rifles were back. I suspect you could find some sentiments for the return of the Brits in Nigeria as well. The slogan “good government is no substitute for self government” is taking a hollow ring in many parts of the world.

Most regimes fall for lack of defenders. When nations no longer believe in what they are doing, the bureaucracy will continue for a while, using paid soldiers and police; but rule with mercenaries who are really mercenaries — that it who don’t believe in any cause and would change sides for more money — seldom works. After a while there are no more defenders.

I also point out that Islamist extremists definitely do believe in what they are doing, witness the recent executions by stoning for adultery in Iran.

Ferdinand of Austria famously said he would rather rule a desert than a Protestant nation, but when Wallenstein took him at his word he found he didn’t believe that after all. Apparently some of the Wahhabi do believe it.

Internal rot doesn’t usually destroy empires from within; see Wittfogel’s Oriental Despotism.

Bootstrapping Society

Thursday, July 19th, 2007

I recently read Lucifer’s Hammer, by Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle, and I realized that it made terrible bed-time reading — because it was entirely too thought-provoking, and I couldn’t get to sleep.

The premise is that a comet collides with the earth — or, rather, that many mountain-sized chunks of the comet collide with the earth — boiling the oceans, hurling tsunami waves to shore, triggering earthquakes, and sending enough water and dust into the air to ruin any hope of farming until next year.

Civilization breaks down, and few people are prepared for the disaster, which defied astronomers’ calculations. What do you do when there’s enough food for everyone for one month, and no more is coming for another year? One way or another, 11 out of 12 “survivors” are going to die. You’d better decide what to do quickly, because the refugees are on their way…

One of the heroes of the book, an übergeek JPL scientist, races back to his home as soon as “the Hammer” falls and frantically packs in plastic all the books mankind will need to rebuild civilization.

This is something I’ve been thinking about since I read Earth Abides years ago. What books go on the list? How do you rebuild 21st-century America, knowing that we haven’t been able to bring most of the existing world to that level, even with a working example?

Kevin Kelly has given the notion a bit of thought over at his Technium blog. There he notes that “A favorite fantasy game for engineers is to imagine how they might re-invent essential technology from scratch”:

Occasionally tinkerers get to engage their fantasy. In February 1942, R. Bradley, a British Officer in the Royal artillery in World War II was captured and then held prisoner by Japanese in Singapore. Their camp was remote, supplies were almost non-existent, and they were treated roughly as POWs; when they rebelled they were locked in a confinement shed without food. But they were tinkerers, too. Together with some other POWs in his camp, Bradley stole hand tools from the Japanese soldiers and from these bits and pieces he transformed scrap metal into a miniature lathe. The small lathe was ingenious. It was tiny enough to be kept a secret, big enough to be useful. It could be disassembled into pieces that could be tucked in a backpack and moved in the camp’s many relocations. Since large pieces of metal were hard to acquire without notice, the tailstock of the lathe was two steel pieces dovetailed together. The original bed plate was cut with a cold chisel.

The lathe was a tool-making egg; it was used to manufacture more sophisticated items. With it the prisoners machined a duplicate key for the solitary confinement shed (!), and manufactured a hidden battery source for a secret radio. During the two years of their interment the lathe remade the tools — like taps and dies — which were first used to create it. A lather has those self-reproductive qualities.

That is a wonderful story, and he presents another such wonderful story of a fellow named Gingery who was able to bootstrap a full-bore machine shop from alley scraps by making rough tools that made better tools, which then made tools good enough to make “real” stuff.

Kelly runs with the notion of bootstrapping and suggests a Forever Book as a seed for regrowing society (or the technium):

Clearly such a library would have to be able to convey, among all the other things, how to make a library full of books, since that is in many ways an essential part of civilization. Thus we have the library that can self-replicate, the forever library. What is the smallest possible self-replicating forever library? It is possible that with digital technology it will someday be no bigger than a book today. And since it contains primarily information we could think of the self-replicating forever library as a self-replicating book, Forever Book.

Of course, engineers generally side-step the much larger issue of creating a society where technological progress is likely to happen, where it’s rewarded, and where the fruits of ingenuity aren’t immediately seized or declared heretical.

Would texts on anthropology and economics be more important than texts on engineering?

One colleague made the interesting suggestion of using texts full of practical know-how to ensure literacy. If everyone learns the basics of daily survival through books like The Foxfire Book — which covers “Hog Dressing, Log Cabin Building, Mountain Crafts and Foods, Planting by the Signs, Snake Lore, Hunting Tales, Faith Healing, Moonshining” — then perhaps they won’t need literacy foisted upon them.

At any rate, I’d love to find a good book on bootstrapping technology.

When I read The Mysterious Island years ago, I realized that — unlike the Victorian-era engineer protagonist — I had no idea how to perform any useful chemical reactions without nicely labeled jars of simple compounds.

Frankly, in primitive conditions, I’m afraid I’d end up like the 20th-century American in Poul Anderson’s “The Man Who Came Early” (which is reason enough to buy The Best Time Travel Stories of the 20th Century). In Viking-age Iceland, without modern infrastructure, he finds himself useless, as none of his technical innovations are practical.

The Equity Equation

Thursday, July 19th, 2007

Paul Graham gives The Equity Equation:

An investor wants to give you money for a certain percentage of your startup. Should you take it? You’re about to hire your first employee. How much stock should you give him?

These are some of the hardest questions founders face. And yet both have the same answer:

1/(1 – n)

Whenever you’re trading stock in your company for anything, whether it’s money or an employee or a deal with another company, the test for whether to do it is the same. You should give up n% of your company if what you trade it for improves your average outcome enough that the (100 – n)% you have left is worth more than the whole company was before.

For example, if an investor wants to buy half your company, how much does that investment have to improve your average outcome for you to break even? Obviously it has to double: if you trade half your company for something that more than doubles the company’s average outcome, you’re net ahead. You have half as big a share of something worth more than twice as much.

In the general case, if n is the fraction of the company you’re giving up, the deal is a good one if it makes the company worth more than 1/(1 – n).

For example, suppose Y Combinator offers to fund you in return for 6% of your company. In this case, n is .06 and 1/(1 – n) is 1.064. So you should take the deal if you believe we can improve your average outcome by more than 6.4%. If we improve your outcome by 10%, you’re net ahead, because the remaining .94 you hold is worth .94 x 1.1 = 1.034. [1]

One of the things the equity equation shows us is that, financially at least, taking money from a top VC firm can be a really good deal. Greg Mcadoo from Sequoia recently said at a YC dinner that when Sequoia invests alone they like to take about 30% of a company. 1/.7 = 1.43, meaning that deal is worth taking if they can improve your outcome by more than 43%. For the average startup, that would be an extraordinary bargain. It would improve the average startup’s prospects by more than 43% just to be able to say they were funded by Sequoia, even if they never actually got the money.

Dan Dennett on Dangerous Memes

Wednesday, July 18th, 2007

The folks at TED call this talk by Dan Dennett on dangerous memes “one of those talks that can change your view of the world forever.” I call it a damn good talk.

Peanuts as Manga

Wednesday, July 18th, 2007

I’m not sure what to make of these Peanuts characters redrawn in Japanese manga fashion. Charlie Brown looks like he’s about to unleash his devastating psychic powers…

What could happen if U.S. pulls troops out of Iraq

Wednesday, July 18th, 2007

Recent war games led by retired Marine Col. Gary Anderson looked at what could happen if U.S. pulls troops out of Iraq and found three developments likely:

  • Majority Shiites would drive Sunnis out of ethnically mixed areas west to Anbar province.
  • Southern Iraq would erupt in civil war between Shiite groups.
  • The Kurdish north would solidify its borders and invite a U.S. troop presence there.

In Anderson’s terms, it wouldn’t be apocalyptic, but it would be ugly.

Hell on Earth

Wednesday, July 18th, 2007

World War I trench warfare probably qualifies as Hell on Earth:

Never seen before, these astonishing photographs, lovingly hand-touched in colour to bring to life the nightmare of Passchendaele, were released this week to commemorate the 90th anniversary of the battle that, between July and November 1917, claimed a staggering 2,121 lives a day and in total some quarter of a million Allied soldiers.