What went wrong with red delicious apples?

Sunday, August 7th, 2005

Tyler Cowen asks a question I was just asking myself: What went wrong with red delicious apples? According to Why the Red Delicious No Longer Is, breeders kept tinkering until they ended up with a red, not-delicious apple:

Consider the fate of America’s favorite apple. It emerged from an Iowa orchard in 1880 as a round, blushed yellow fruit of surpassing sweetness.

But like a figure in a TV makeover show, it was an apple that its handlers could not leave alone. They altered its shape. They made it firmer and more juicy. They made it so it could be stored in hermetically sealed warehouses for 12 months. Along the way, they changed its color and hence its name — to Red Delicious.

[...]

Consumers were drawn to the eye candy of brilliantly red apples, so supermarket chains paid more for them. Thus, breeders and nurseries patented and propagated the most rubied mutations, or “sports,” that they could find, and growers bought them by the millions, knowing that these thick-skinned wonders also would store for ages.

“Did they do it because it has less flavor? Obviously not,” said Eugene M. Kupferman, a post-harvest specialist at Washington State University’s tree fruit research center in Wenatchee, Wash. “They did it because it has better legs and they are getting more money for it.”

Pentagon’s New Goal: Put Science Into Scripts

Sunday, August 7th, 2005

Your tax dollars at work. From Pentagon’s New Goal: Put Science Into Scripts – New York Times:

Tucked away in the Hollywood hills, an elite group of scientists from across the country and from a grab bag of disciplines — rocket science, nanotechnology, genetics, even veterinary medicine — has gathered this week to plot a solution to what officials call one of the nation’s most vexing long-term national security problems.

Their work is being financed by the Air Force and the Army, but the Manhattan Project it ain’t: the 15 scientists are being taught how to write and sell screenplays.

At a cost of roughly $25,000 in Pentagon research grants, the American Film Institute is cramming this eclectic group of midcareer researchers, engineers, chemists and physicists full of pointers on how to find their way in a world that can be a lot lonelier than the loneliest laboratory: the wilderness of story arcs, plot points, pitching and the special circle of hell better known as development.

And no primer on Hollywood would be complete without at least three hours on ‘Agents & Managers.’

Exactly how the national defense could be bolstered by setting a few more people loose in Los Angeles with screenplays to peddle may be a bit of a brainteaser. But officials at the Air Force Office of Scientific Research spell out a straightforward syllogism:

Fewer and fewer students are pursuing science and engineering. While immigrants are taking up the slack in many areas, defense laboratories and industries generally require American citizenship or permanent residency. So a crisis is looming, unless careers in science and engineering suddenly become hugely popular, said Robert J. Barker, an Air Force program manager who approved the grant. And what better way to get a lot of young people interested in science than by producing movies and television shows that depict scientists in flattering ways?

Teaching screenwriting to scientists was the brainstorm of Martin Gundersen, a professor of electrical engineering at the University of Southern California and sometime Hollywood technical adviser, whose biggest brush with stardom was bringing a little verisimilitude to Val Kilmer’s lasers in the 1985 comedy ‘Real Genius.’

The Ents of Europe

Saturday, August 6th, 2005

Victor Davis Hanson examines The Ents of Europe and their situation:

One of the many wondrous peoples that poured forth from the rich imagination of the late J. R. R. Tolkien were the Ents. These tree-like creatures, agonizingly slow and covered with mossy bark, nursed themselves on tales of past glory while their numbers dwindled in their isolation. Unable to reproduce themselves or to fathom the evil outside their peaceful forest — and careful to keep to themselves and avoid reacting to provocation of the tree-cutters and forest burners — they assumed they would be given a pass from the upheavals of Middle Earth.

But with the sudden arrival of two volatile hobbits, the nearby evils of timber-cutting, industrial devilry, and mass murder became too much for the Ents to stomach. They finally “wake up” (literally). Then they go on the offensive — and are amazed at the power they still wield in destroying Saruman’s empire.

For Tolkien, who wrote in a post-imperial Britain bled white from stopping Prussian militarism and Hitler’s Nazism, only to then witness the rise of the more numerous, wealthier, and crasser Americans, such specters were haunting. Indeed, there are variants of the Ent theme throughout Tolkien’s novels, from the dormant Riders of Rohan — whose king was exorcised from his dotage and rallied the realm’s dwindling cavalry to recover lost glory and save the West — to the hobbits themselves.

The latter, protected by slurred “Rangers,” live blissfully unaware that radical changes in the world have brought evil incarnate to their very doorstep. Then to their amazement they discover that of all people, a hobbit rises to the occasion, and really does stand up well when confronted with apparently far more powerful and evil adversaries. The entire novel is full of such folk — the oath-breaking Dead who come alive to honor their once-broken pact, or the now-fallen and impotent High Elves who nevertheless do their part in the inevitable war to come.

Tolkien always denied an allegorical motif or any allusions to the contemporary dangers of appeasement or the leveling effects of modernism. And scholars bicker over whether he was lamenting the end of the old England, old Europe, or the old West — in the face of the American democratic colossus, the Soviet Union’s tentacles, or the un-chivalrous age of the bomb. But the notion of decline, past glory, and 11th-hour reawakening are nevertheless everywhere in the English philologist’s Lord of the Rings. Was he on to something?

More specifically, does the Ents analogy work for present-day Europe?

His conclusion:

But gut-check time is coming for Europe, with its own rising unassimilated immigrant populations, rogue mosques entirely bent on destroying the West, declining birth rate and rising entitlements, the Turkish question, and a foreign policy whose appeasement of Arab regimes won it only a brief lull and plenty of humiliation. The radical Muslim world of the madrassas hates the United States because it is liberal and powerful; but it utterly despises Europe because it is even more liberal and far weaker, earning the continent not fear, but contempt.

The real question is whether there is any Demosthenes left in Europe, who will soberly but firmly demand assimilation and integration of all immigrants, an end to mosque radicalism, even-handedness in the Middle East, no more subsidies to terrorists like Hamas, a toughness rather than opportunist profiteering with the likes of Assad and the Iranian theocracy — and make it clear that states that aid and abet terrorists in Europe due so to their great peril.

So will the old Ents awaken, or will they slumber on, muttering nonsense to themselves, lost in past grandeur and utterly clueless about the dangers on their borders?

Stay tuned — it is one of the most fascinating sagas of our time.

Punitive Liberalism

Saturday, August 6th, 2005

In the days following Reagan’s death, James Piereson penned a piece on What Reagan vanquished, Punitive Liberalism:

From the time of John Kennedy’s assassination in 1963 to Jimmy Carter’s election in 1976, the Democratic party was gradually taken over by a bizarre doctrine that might be called Punitive Liberalism. According to this doctrine, America had been responsible for numerous crimes and misdeeds through its history for which it deserved punishment and chastisement. White Americans had enslaved blacks and committed genocide against Native Americans. They had oppressed women and tyrannized minority groups, such as the Japanese who had been interned in camps during World War II. They had been harsh and unfeeling toward the poor. By our greed, we had despoiled the environment and were consuming a disproportionate share of the world’s wealth and resources. We had coddled dictators abroad and violated human rights out of our irrational fear of communism.

Given this bill of indictment, the Punitive Liberals held that Americans had no right at all to feel pride in their country’s history or optimism about its future. Those who expressed such pride were written off as ignorant patriots who could not face up to the sins of the past; and those who looked ahead to a brighter future were dismissed as naive ‘Pollyannas’ who did not understand that the brief American century was now over. The Punitive Liberals felt that the purpose of national policy was to punish the nation for its crimes rather than to build a stronger America and a brighter future for all.

Here the Punitive Liberals parted company from earlier liberal reformers such as FDR, Kennedy, and Lyndon Johnson, who viewed reform as a means of bringing the promise of American life within reach of more of our people. The earlier reformers believed deeply that the American experiment in self-government was inherently good, and that the task of policy was to improve it. But in the troubled years following Kennedy’s death, the reform tradition took on a furrowed brow and a punitive visage.

What Business Can Learn from Open Source

Saturday, August 6th, 2005

Paul Graham explains What Business Can Learn from Open Source:

So these, I think, are the three big lessons open source and blogging have to teach business: (1) that people work harder on stuff they like, (2) that the standard office environment is very unproductive, and (3) that bottom-up often works better than top-down.

The Methamphetamine Epidemic — Less Than Meets the Eye

Saturday, August 6th, 2005

The Methamphetamine Epidemic — Less Than Meets the Eye notes that while there’s “an ever louder cacophony of news reports about the ‘methamphetamine epidemic’ sweeping the nation,” the numbers don’t agree:

Fortunately, there is less here than meets the eye. A review of the standard indicators of drug use, such as the Monitoring the Future (MTF) surveys of students, the National Household Survey (now known as the National Survey on Drug Use and Health), and the Drug Abuse Warning Network (DAWN) of hospital emergency room reports, does not show any rapid increase in methamphetamine use in recent years. In the MTF surveys, 15.4% of 12th graders in 1991 reported ever using amphetamines. By 1998, that figure had inched up to 16.4%, but by last year the figure had declined back to 15.0%, indicating that amphetamine use over the past decade has remained essentially flat. When MTF looked only at methamphetamine, which it separated out from other amphetamines only in 1999, it found that the percentage of seniors who reported ever using the drug actually declined from 8.2% in 1999 to 6.2% in 2004.

You don’t often see these stats cited:

But even if meth use isn’t on the rise, it’s still a highly addictive drug whose users are not amenable to treatment, right? Wrong. ‘The research shows it’s pretty much the same as any other drug,’ said Duncan. ‘If you look at usage information, you see that of all the people who ever used the drug, one in 10 used in the past year. Of those, one in 10 used in the past week. And among those past week users, the majority only used it once.’ It’s the same story with treatment, he said. ‘All the data show the same success rate with meth as any other drug dependence — except for tobacco, which is by far the most addictive drug. It doesn’t matter if you’re talking about meth or heroin or alcohol — in each case most of the people who become addicted wind up getting off the drug.’

The real problem:

“It is not meth use that we need to be so concerned about, but home manufacturing,” said Duncan. “It is a serious environmental and public health problem, but it is one that is caused entirely by the war on drugs. If meth users could go to a pharmacy and get pure meth, not only would they be better off, but so would everyone else. This meth lab stuff helps feed the frenzy. It doesn’t matter if it’s just some guy with a Bunsen burner on his kitchen counter, you still get all these headlines about meth labs.”

The law of unintended consequences strikes again:

As for laws aimed at home labs, such as the ones either passed or under consideration in 40 states that restrict the sales of cold remedies containing pseudoephedrine, they are having unintended consequences, said McVay. “If you look at Oklahoma, which led the way with those Sudafed laws, what you are seeing is, yes, a 90% drop in lab busts, but the number of ice seizures has increased five-fold. Ice is the smokeable meth being imported by the Mexican gangs. In terms of overall meth use, these laws really do nothing except protect the market share of the Mexicans.”

Nuclear Explosion

Friday, August 5th, 2005

Fred Iklé describes the Nuclear Explosion:

President Eisenhower became deeply concerned about these trends. Based on careful deliberations, he decided in December 1953 to launch the Atoms for Peace Program at the U.N. His address received more praise — at home and abroad — than any other presidential speech. The purpose of Atoms for Peace was to enlist international support against weapons proliferation by donating or selling nuclear technology labeled “peaceful.” Spurred by this American multilateralism, a shopping mall opened, making U.S., Soviet, Canadian, French, British, and other reactors available for “peaceful” research and electric power. This “peaceful” technology was sold or donated to Iraq, North Korea, Iran, Vietnam, the Congo, Laos, India, Pakistan, etc. No other U.S. policy, no commercial initiative, no theft of technology has done more to accelerate and expand the global spread of nuclear bombs. There is an echo of Greek tragedy here: Arms control initiatives meant to avert a calamity morph into the agent that exacerbates the feared outcome.

I can’t help but think of Dr. Strangelove:

Deterrence can ward off deliberate attacks; it cannot prevent an accident or dissuade a madman. But such perils must not be ignored. Until 1957, U.S. nuclear weapons had no safety locks, and sometimes just one person (say an airman) might have been given access to a weapon. One man alone could have triggered an unauthorized nuclear detonation. I recall this problem well because I analyzed it at RAND, then an Air Force think tank. My study recommended that two people always be in charge of critical controls and that coded locks be installed to safeguard nuclear weapons and missiles. RAND sent me to brief the Pentagon. Luckily, Gen. Curtis LeMay heard of it, and being a steely guy, he knew how to cut through bureaucratic molasses. He commanded a blizzard of actions to implement every one of the recommendations.

Notable & Quotable

Friday, August 5th, 2005

The Wall Street Journal‘s latest Notable & Quotable column cites an editorial in yesterday’s China Daily:

China National Offshore Oil Corp has to bear the cost of its abandoned bid for the American oil company Unocal. But the fallout from the bid will not only affect the Chinese side. The idea of the United States as a self-appointed champion of the free market has become questionable….

The unjustified U.S. opposition, largely politically motivated, will … poison the current prevailing mood as bilateral economic ties between China and the United States are enhanced. The high-profile takeover battle demonstrated to the world that the United States is not a free economy as it claimed to be. In the U.S. market, an asset for sale has not gone to the buyer that most prized it, because of regulatory concerns fuelled by bogus fears and hidden interests.

Sticking Up for Thimerosal

Friday, August 5th, 2005

Sticking Up for Thimerosal explains that there’s scant evidence for vaccines as the cause of autism:

In 1990, Congress made autism one of the disabilities that qualified for federal funding. Thereafter, states were obliged to report all cases of autism. In a Minnesota study, to take one example, admissions of autistic children to developmental programs jumped starting in the 1991 school year and continued to do so for a decade. Often these increases occurred within the same grade. For example, 13 autism cases were reported per 10,000 Minnesota 6-year-olds in the 1995-96 school year — that is, among children born roughly in 1989. Five years later, the prevalence rate for this cohort was reported at 33 per 10,000. These were the same kids. Between the ages of 6 and 11, they’d suddenly ‘become’ nearly three times as autistic — or rather, doctors, parents, and school counselors were enrolling them in programs more aggressively.

(Hat tip to Marginal Revolution.)

An Interview with Art De Vany, Ph.D.

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2005

Testosterone Nation has An Interview with Art De Vany, Ph.D.:

Dr. Art De Vany describes himself as a scientist/athlete. He’s competed in Olympic weightlifting, motocross, and even played minor league baseball. At 6’1′ and 208 pounds, today he carries only 8% body fat. Pretty admirable. De Vany barely had time to do this interview. He was headed off to Colorado to ride in the KTM Rocky Mountain Raid, an adventure motorcycling event.

Oh, did I mention Dr. De Vany is pushing 70 years old?

Apple Mighty Mouse: Hands On Review

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2005

Russell Beattie’s Apple Mighty Mouse: Hands On Review describes the product many potential Mac-switchers have been waiting for:

So, after all that, how does it work? Well, it’s different! I guess I didn’t read the Apple page about the Mighty Mouse very closely, because I didn’t realize that that nub you see is actually a scroll ball which moves in two directions! It definitly gives you some tactile feedback, which is nice. I was afraid that it’d be too smooth, but it gives off a slight ‘click click click’ sound when scrolling, and with each tick a small movement of the page. I loaded up FireFox and my website to test and it works great, I also opened Preview and zooomed way into a picture and tried the left-right movement as well and that also works — no diagnol though, it’s one direction or the other at a time (and you can turn these on/off in the settings as well). I’m pretty used to the BIG scroll wheels on most mice, so this will take a little getting used to, but it definitely works as advertised.

There’s no other moving parts besides the main clicker. I’m not sure what sort of magic Apple put into this thing, but it detects left, right and middle clicking accurately, even though there’s no other buttons. It’s pretty wild. What’s amusing is that I used a one-button mouse for a while when I first got my Mini, and I kept ‘right-clicking’ using that mouse and obviously nothing happened. The same movement, and the same feeling on this mouse actually causes a right-click event — it’s very cool. The middle click also works (fantastic for multiple tabs in Firefox — and a deal breaker if it wasn’t there), and again, there’s no moving parts in the middle click, you simply press down on the scroll ball and a middle click happens.

"Rembrandt" Hope

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2005

I didn’t realize that Bob Hope was — briefly — a boxer:

Bob also worked briefly as a newspaper reporter and tried amateur boxing under the name of Packy East. Bob gave up boxing when he “was not only being carried out of the ring, but into the ring.”

He also said, “I was called ‘Rembrandt’ Hope in my boxing days, because I spent so much time on the canvas.”

Public Schools Begin to Offer Gym Classes Online

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2005

Public Schools Begin to Offer Gym Classes Online:

Sound like an oxymoron? Not in Minneapolis, where a physical education course joined the school district’s growing online catalog in the spring and already has a waiting list.

‘I’ve never seen a response like this to any course,’ said Frank Goodrich, a veteran football coach who is one of two instructors teaching online physical education this summer to about 60 high school students.

The course allows students to meet requirements by exercising how they want, when they want. They are required to work out hard for 30 minutes four times a week and report to their teachers by e-mail. Parents must certify that the students did the workouts.

What could possibly go wrong with an iron-clad program like that?

‘Once Upon A Time in Italy’: The Films of Sergio Leone

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2005

NPR has a surprisingly long (40-minute) interview with “cultural historian” Christopher Frayling, whose new book, Once Upon A Time in Italy: The Westerns of Sergio Leone, chronicles the history of the spaghetti western.

Reading News The GTD Way

Tuesday, August 2nd, 2005

Reading News The GTD Way explains how to apply David Allen’s Getting Things Done philosophy to news/blog reading:

The way most of us take in daily news is horribly inefficient. The problem isn’t how fast we read, or even what sites we go to — it’s the process of finding news, taking it in, and returning to work. Our current habits are based in the need for distraction and the fear that we’re missing something. We wander back and forth between our main sites — refreshing each one multiple times per day, or even per hour. This approach is guaranteed to leave you 1) feeling frustrated, and 2) far less productive. There’s a better way.

Enter GTD.

The better way is pretty simple:

  1. Use an RSS aggregator. (He recommends NetNewsWire for OS X. His buddy uses Bloglines. I use My Yahoo!)
  2. Open every interesting story in a separate tab in Firefox. (Which I’ve been doing.)

Here’s the silly little detail that blew my mind though:

My buddy runs it [Bloglines] from Firefox (naturally), which lets one simply wheel-click links to get them to open in a new tab, just like I do within NetNewsWire by pressing enter or double-clicking a story.

Wheel-click? This whole time I’ve been right-clicking, then selecting the second option.