The Flu versus Anthrax

Monday, October 18th, 2004

From The Flu versus Anthrax:

Annual U.S. Deaths Due to the Flu: approximately 36,000.
Annual U.S. Deaths Due to Anthrax: approximately 1.

Spending on R&D to fight Flu: $283 million.
Spending on R&D to fight Anthrax and other biological agents: $5.6 billion.

Of course, past performance is not a predictor of future performance. The flu might randomly get worse (e.g., 1918), but we know people have weaponized anthrax in the past, and someone out there is bound to be planning an anthrax-based attack on the US.

Drinking by Men or Women Affects Miscarriage Risk

Monday, October 18th, 2004

Drinking by Men or Women Affects Miscarriage Risk starts with the unsurprising news:

Dr. Tine Brink Henriksen, of Aarhus University Hospital in Denmark and colleagues followed 430 couples who were attempting a first-time pregnancy. The study participants were all 20 to 35 years old.

A total of 186 pregnancies occurred during the study period, of which 55 ended in spontaneous abortion and 131 resulted in childbirth, the investigators report in the American Journal of Epidemiology.

Women who reported consuming 10 or more drinks per week at the time of conception were nearly three times more likely to experience a miscarriage than those who had not consumed any wine, spirits, or beer at the time of conception.

Then it gives the more surprising news:

When men consumed 10 or more weekly drinks at the time of conception, their partners’ risk of spontaneous abortion was up to five times greater than it was for women whose male partners did not drink, the report indicates.

The reason for the association between drinking among males and spontaneous abortion is not fully understood. However, studies have shown that alcohol consumption is associated with chromosomal abnormalities in sperm cells, and many aborted fetuses are known to have chromosomal abnormalities.

Yahoo! News – Bear Kills One, Wounds Nine in Picnic Attack

Monday, October 18th, 2004

From Yahoo! News – Bear Kills One, Wounds Nine in Picnic Attack:

A brown bear in Romania killed one person and severely wounded nine others picnicking on a mountain pasture in Transylvania, a TV station said on Saturday.

Werebear?

Cypriots Claim World Record for Turkish Delight

Monday, October 18th, 2004

I first heard of Turkish delight in C.S. Lewis’s The Lion, the Witch, and Wardrobe, a quasi-Christian children’s fantasy story, where the evil witch-queen tempts one of the protagonists with it. The more I learn about Turkish delight, the odder that seems. From Cypriots Claim World Record for Turkish Delight:

Greeks are trying to beat Turks at their own game in Cyprus, claiming a world record for the biggest slab of Turkish delight, a mouth-watering sweet prized locally as an aphrodisiac.
[...]
“It is made of very pure ingredients and it does invigorate people. It tones you up. And according to our fathers and grandfathers it is very good for sex,” said Tasos Kouzoupos, mayor of Yeroskippou, the northwestern town in ethnically divided Cyprus where the delicacy has traditionally been made.
[...]
Turkish delight, a sugar-based soft rubbery sweet mixed with nuts, has been made for centuries in Cyprus, which was ruled by the Ottomans from 1571 to 1878.

They didn’t mention one popular ingredient: hashish. The college kids of Lewis’s day quite enjoyed a bit of Turkish delight.

Prairie Dogs Move Into Cemetery, Bones Move Out

Monday, October 18th, 2004

What a grisly juxtaposition — cute little prairie dogs and mounds of human bones. From Prairie Dogs Move Into Cemetery, Bones Move Out:

A happy colony of New Mexico prairie dogs hit pay dirt in a cemetery full of historic skeletons, causing grief for town officials who want to protect the final resting place of the state’s notables.

Prairie dogs are gnawing their way through skeletons in a historic cemetery in Sante Fe that houses the remains of three New Mexico governors, 10 mayors and other notables. They are leaving mounds of dirt mixed with human bones in a four-acre (1.6-hectare) lot in the heart of the city.

Without a Doubt

Monday, October 18th, 2004

Ron Suskind’s Without a Doubt paints a frightening portrait of President Bush as a man with too much faith, too much certainty:

Bruce Bartlett, a domestic policy adviser to Ronald Reagan and a treasury official for the first President Bush, told me recently that ”if Bush wins, there will be a civil war in the Republican Party starting on Nov. 3.” The nature of that conflict, as Bartlett sees it? Essentially, the same as the one raging across much of the world: a battle between modernists and fundamentalists, pragmatists and true believers, reason and religion.

Everything I’ve heard about the President says that he’s well educated and intelligent, but a poor public speaker. This anecdotes suggests that the book matches its cover:

In the Oval Office in December 2002, the president met with a few ranking senators and members of the House, both Republicans and Democrats. In those days, there were high hopes that the United States-sponsored ”road map” for the Israelis and Palestinians would be a pathway to peace, and the discussion that wintry day was, in part, about countries providing peacekeeping forces in the region. The problem, everyone agreed, was that a number of European countries, like France and Germany, had armies that were not trusted by either the Israelis or Palestinians. One congressman — the Hungarian-born Tom Lantos, a Democrat from California and the only Holocaust survivor in Congress — mentioned that the Scandinavian countries were viewed more positively. Lantos went on to describe for the president how the Swedish Army might be an ideal candidate to anchor a small peacekeeping force on the West Bank and the Gaza Strip. Sweden has a well-trained force of about 25,000. The president looked at him appraisingly, several people in the room recall.

”I don’t know why you’re talking about Sweden,” Bush said. ”They’re the neutral one. They don’t have an army.”

Lantos paused, a little shocked, and offered a gentlemanly reply: ”Mr. President, you may have thought that I said Switzerland. They’re the ones that are historically neutral, without an army.” Then Lantos mentioned, in a gracious aside, that the Swiss do have a tough national guard to protect the country in the event of invasion.

Bush held to his view. ”No, no, it’s Sweden that has no army.”

The room went silent, until someone changed the subject.

A few weeks later, members of Congress and their spouses gathered with administration officials and other dignitaries for the White House Christmas party. The president saw Lantos and grabbed him by the shoulder. ”You were right,” he said, with bonhomie. ”Sweden does have an army.”

Bush has been called the CEO president:

Bush has been called the C.E.O. president, but that’s just a catch phrase — he never ran anything of consequence in the private sector. The M.B.A. president would be more accurate: he did, after all, graduate from Harvard Business School. And some who have worked under him in the White House and know about business have spotted a strange business-school time warp. It’s as if a 1975 graduate from H.B.S. — one who had little chance to season theory with practice during the past few decades of change in corporate America — has simply been dropped into the most challenging management job in the world.

One aspect of the H.B.S. method, with its emphasis on problems of actual corporations, is sometimes referred to as the ”case cracker” problem. The case studies are static, generally a snapshot of a troubled company, frozen in time; the various ”solutions” students proffer, and then defend in class against tough questioning, tend to have very short shelf lives. They promote rigidity, inappropriate surety. This is something H.B.S. graduates, most of whom land at large or midsize firms, learn in their first few years in business. They discover, often to their surprise, that the world is dynamic, it flows and changes, often for no good reason. The key is flexibility, rather than sticking to your guns in a debate, and constant reassessment of shifting realities. In short, thoughtful second-guessing.

George W. Bush, who went off to Texas to be an oil wildcatter, never had a chance to learn these lessons about the power of nuanced, fact-based analysis. The small oil companies he ran tended to lose money; much of their value was as tax shelters. (The investors were often friends of his father’s.) Later, with the Texas Rangers baseball team, he would act as an able front man but never really as a boss.

Ar creepy anecdote:

In the summer of 2002, after I had written an article in Esquire that the White House didn’t like about Bush’s former communications director, Karen Hughes, I had a meeting with a senior adviser to Bush. He expressed the White House’s displeasure, and then he told me something that at the time I didn’t fully comprehend — but which I now believe gets to the very heart of the Bush presidency.

The aide said that guys like me were ”in what we call the reality-based community,” which he defined as people who ”believe that solutions emerge from your judicious study of discernible reality.” I nodded and murmured something about enlightenment principles and empiricism. He cut me off. ”That’s not the way the world really works anymore,” he continued. ”We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality — judiciously, as you will — we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors … and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do.”

For those who don’t get “it” (faith):

And for those who don’t get it? That was explained to me in late 2002 by Mark McKinnon, a longtime senior media adviser to Bush, who now runs his own consulting firm and helps the president. He started by challenging me. ”You think he’s an idiot, don’t you?” I said, no, I didn’t. ”No, you do, all of you do, up and down the West Coast, the East Coast, a few blocks in southern Manhattan called Wall Street. Let me clue you in. We don’t care. You see, you’re outnumbered 2 to 1 by folks in the big, wide middle of America, busy working people who don’t read The New York Times or Washington Post or The L.A. Times. And you know what they like? They like the way he walks and the way he points, the way he exudes confidence. They have faith in him. And when you attack him for his malaprops, his jumbled syntax, it’s good for us. Because you know what those folks don’t like? They don’t like you!” In this instance, the final ”you,” of course, meant the entire reality-based community.

Wired News: Girl Gamers Tackle Male Field

Monday, October 18th, 2004

Wired News: Girl Gamers Tackle Male Field comments on the latest “e-sports” developments:

At first glance, Les Seules might look like an all-girl rock band — complete with sassy attitudes and fawning male groupies — but the Swedish septuplet doesn’t play instruments. They play competitive video games. [...] In French, their name means The Outsiders.

I guess you could translate Les Seules as The Outsiders, but it literally means The Lone Ones — which I found amusing, much like The Lone Rangers from Airheads. A team of multiple lone ones? Multiple loners?

Also, The Outsider is one translation of L’Étranger, Camus’s famous novel, more often known as The Stranger. If you wanted to be The Outsiders (feminine), you’d probably go with Les Étrangères or Les Inconnues (literally The Unknown Ones).

(Take this all with a grain of salt though; I haven’t spoken French in a long, long time.)

Pirates & Emperors

Friday, October 15th, 2004

Pirates & Emperors takes a Schoolhouse Rock approach to international relations, starting with a fairly valid, age-old concept — that conquering emperors are simply really successful robbers — then goes off into Chomsky-land:

‘Cause there are

pirates and emperors, but they’re really the same thing

When they go and try to reach the same ends

By using the same means.

Well they do it big

or they do it small

From a little tiny boat,

or from hallowed halls.

Bully is as bully does, that’s plain to see.

IFILM – Short Films: Fellowship 9/11

Friday, October 15th, 2004

I must heartily recommend Fellowship 9/11:

Michael Moore’s searing examination of the Aragorn administration’s actions in the wake of the tragic events at Helms Deep. [...] He looks at how — and why — Aragorn and his inner circle avoided pursuing the Saruman connection to Helms Deep, despite the fact that 9 out of every 10 Orcs that attacked the castle were actually Uruk-hai who were spawned in and financed by Isengard.

(Hat tip to Reason’s Hit & Run.)

Reason: Knowledge Problems: If voters paid attention, maybe they’d never make up their minds

Friday, October 15th, 2004

The other day at lunch, I stunned some colleaques by saying, If you’re only going to vote because P. Diddy told you to “rock the vote,” you probably shouldn’t be voting. Then I found out that Matt Stone and Trey Parker had more or less said the same thing. Reason: Knowledge Problems: If voters paid attention, maybe they’d never make up their minds explains:

‘If you don’t know what you’re talking about,’ South Park co-creator Matt Stone recently told Rolling Stone, ‘there’s no shame in not voting.’ The comment upset actor-activist Sean Penn, who scolded Stone for ‘not mentioning the shame of not knowing what you’re talking about.’

Evidently, most voters are “abysmally ignorant” of the issues:

A survey conducted last April, Somin notes, found that 70 percent of Americans did not know about the ballyhooed, budget-busting Medicare drug benefit, “the largest new federal entitlement in decades, and arguably the most important piece of domestic legislation adopted during the administration of George W. Bush.” In a February survey, more than 60 percent of respondents did not realize increases in domestic spending under Bush have contributed substantially to skyrocketing federal budget deficits.

A month and a half after Congress passed the “partial birth” abortion ban, 65 percent of survey respondents did not know about it. As of April, 58 percent admitted to knowing “not much” or “nothing” about the PATRIOT Act.

There’s a reason people stay ignorant:

Unlike Sean Penn, Somin is not optimistic that Americans can be shamed into learning more. “Perhaps the most fundamental cause of ignorance resides in the collective action problem created by the insignificance of any individual vote in determining an electoral outcome,” he writes. “Acquiring significant amounts of political knowledge for the purpose of becoming a more informed voter is, in most situations, simply irrational.”

Malaria Vaccine Has Promising Test Results

Friday, October 15th, 2004

Glaxo has introduced a malaria vaccine that won’t eliminate the disease entirely but should reduce it by a third:

The vaccine, which GlaxoSmithKline Bio has been developing for 20 years, was tested in 2,022 children aged 1 to 4 in Mozambique, where the mosquito-borne disease is endemic.

After the children were treated with malaria drugs to get rid of any traces of the parasite, half got three shots of the malaria vaccine in three consecutive months, while the other half got other childhood vaccines.

The children were followed up for about six months and blood was taken every few weeks to check for malaria. Any new cases were immediately treated.

The researchers, led by Dr. Pedro Alonso at the University of Barcelona, found infection in 30 percent fewer children in the vaccine group than in the comparison group. The vaccine also reduced the risk of getting sick by 30 percent, the risk of getting repeated attacks by 30 percent, and cut by 58 percent the chance of developing severe malaria.

Within the comparison group, four children died of severe malaria, while none of the children who got the vaccine died of malaria.

The vaccine was most impressive in children under 2, in whom the disease is most dangerous. The vaccine reduced the number of severe malaria episodes in that age group by 77 percent.

Malaria is caused by the parasite Plasmodium falciparum, which is carried by mosquitoes. When the parasite is injected into the human body it is in a form that can only infect the liver, where it transforms and multiplies. After about a week, 10,000 daughter parasites leave the liver, now in a form that can infect red blood cells.

When one parasite invades a red blood cell, 10 pop out and in doing so, rip open the cell, killing it.

The vaccine, which targets the parasite before it invades red blood cells, is made using an antigen, a piece of a protein that sits on the surface of the parasite and can be recognized by the immune system. When the vaccine is injected, the immune system kicks into attack mode and makes antibodies.

When a mosquito later injects the parasite, the immune system recognizes it.

Dali-Disney Collaboration Premieres

Friday, October 15th, 2004

How did I not know about this? From Dali-Disney Collaboration Premieres:

A narrow waisted, emerald-eyed brunette flits through a desert full of melting clocks and wacky perspectives, looking for her lover. Giant telephones levitate. Bicyclists with bread loaf helmets pedal by.

No, it’s not a delusion — it’s “Destino,” a film by Salvador Dali and Walt Disney. Only six-minutes long, the fantastical jewel packs enough symbols to keep art historians and psychologists busy for years.

Begun in 1946 but shelved because of financial difficulties, the film was finally completed in 2003 by Roy E. Disney, Disney’s nephew and son of Walt Disney Co.’s co-founder. It is showing for the first time in New York City as the centerpiece of a new exhibit at Animazing Gallery.

Intriguing:

Roy Disney became interested in “Destino” while working on the movie “Fantasia 2000,” and decided to animate it after learning that, legally, the company did not own Dali’s work until the film had been completed in the manner first intended. He and director Dominique Monfery had the original recording of Armando Dominguez’s ballad, “Destino,” and the memories of studio artist John Hench, who worked with Dali on the story, as guides.

“Way back when they were working on it, Walt used to say, ‘There’s nothing to it ? it’s just a simple little love story,’” Disney quipped.

“Destino” garnered a 2003 Academy Award nomination for best short film. Rendered with 21st-century technology, the result may be better than any film its creators could have made. A documentary DVD about “Destino” is planned.

Also on display at Animazing are 150 pieces of animation art from the 1920s through the mid-1950s ? Disney’s “Golden Years” ? paintings by company artists Harrison and Peter Ellenshaw and one of Dali’s ink drawings from “Destino.” According to Animazing director Heidi Leigh, it’s the first of Dali’s story boards from the film to be shown or offered for sale in the United States, and has an estimated value of $45,000.

Call Him a Cranky Libertarian Conservative

Friday, October 15th, 2004

Call Him a Cranky Libertarian Conservative cites an amusing passage by The Boston Globe‘s Jeff Jacoby:

Call me a cranky libertarian conservative, but just once I would like to hear a candidate for president answer a question by saying, “Sorry, the Constitution limits the role of the federal government — the issue you’re asking about is one for the states or the private sector, not Washington.”

Study Confirms Ephedrine Diet Supplements Can Kill

Friday, October 15th, 2004

This headline, Study Confirms Ephedrine Diet Supplements Can Kill, presents the findings in a fairly dramatic manner:

‘For our experiment, we went to the local health food store, bought ephedrine supplements and gave our animals the dose recommended on the label,’ Adamson told a briefing sponsored by the American Medical Association.

‘In past experiments on obese, otherwise healthy individuals, ephedrine did not raise their heart rates when they were either at rest or exercising,’ Adamson added.

‘When we gave healthy animals ephedrine, we found exactly the same thing. But the moment they developed a blockage in their heart artery, which we are able to cause reversibly, their heart rates went through the roof.’

These fast heart rates, called fibrillation, can kill.

So, ephedrine has no negative effects on healthy individuals, but it can cause fast heart rates in individuals with clogged arteries. And that “certainly supports the FDA’s decision to ban ephedrine from dietary supplements”?

Nobels Bring Prestige to California Colleges

Friday, October 15th, 2004

From Nobels Bring Prestige to California Colleges:

“UC is not just Berkeley,” said Bill Parker, vice chancellor for research at the fast-growing Irvine campus, located in the middle of Orange County’s suburban sprawl. “The campuses formed 30, 40 years ago are now emerging as some of the best in the country.”

Since 1994, UC Irvine researchers have collected three Nobels, including one last week. Santa Barbara has picked up five in the past six years, including two in recent weeks.

By comparison, UCLA got two Nobels in the past decade, while Berkeley — the system’s first campus and consistently rated the nation’s top public university by U.S. News & World Report — collected three.

The stockpiling of prizes in Irvine and Santa Barbara comes after years of steady enrollment growth prompted in part by crowded conditions at other UC sites. Undergraduate applications to UC Santa Barbara have doubled over the past 10 years and the mean GPA of enrolled freshmen has climbed to 3.71.

The secret? Specialization:

To build their academic reputations, UC administrators have concentrated on a handful of disciplines and avoided spreading resources too thin.

“Not everybody can be good at everything any more, so you try to focus on those things that have a competitive advantage,” said David Ward, president of the American Council on Education, a Washington-based lobbying group.

Irvine zeroed in on chemistry and molecular and evolutionary biology — though its sports teams haven’t dropped their quirky anteater mascot.

Give ‘em the tongue! Give ‘em the tongue! Zot! Goooooooooooo, ‘eaters!