Yahoo! News – Caesarean Birth May Raise Allergy Risk in Babies

Thursday, October 21st, 2004

An interesting factoid from Yahoo! News – Caesarean Birth May Raise Allergy Risk in Babies:

Researchers at the Children’s Hospital at Ludwig-Maximilians University in Munich found the babies delivered by Caesarean section were twice as likely to be sensitive to cow’s milk and other food allergens than infants born naturally.

The researchers suspect that in babies born by Caesarean section the colonisation of natural bacteria in the gut which promotes health and plays an important role in the immune system response is delayed or altered by a Caesarean birth.

Science Fiction Weekly Interview

Wednesday, October 20th, 2004

Modern fantasy is largely derivative of J.R.R. Tolkien. This Science Fiction Weekly Interview with Michael Moorcock harks back to when he was the other fantasy writer:

I’ve noticed I don’t read a lot of fantasy — I never did. I just started writing it. I just happened to have the facility. Pretty much all the other stuff in that form has been published since I started writing it. So I’m not particularly interested in it as a genre. I didn’t start writing it because there was a big genre out there to write into. There was me and Tolkien. Basically, at the beginning, me and Tolkien were selling about the same, which was very, very few. Tolkien was regarded as just another writer, like [Mervyn] Peake, who had an enthusiastic following, but wasn’t in any way mainstream or likely to take off.
[...]
In a sense, I started writing Elric as much in contrast to Tolkien as I was writing it in contrast to Conan. I didn’t like Tolkien because it had a fairy-story quality. It didn’t have what I would regard as a properly tragic quality. It was too sentimental for my taste. I’m attracted to lyrical, romantic, tragic kind of stuff, rather than the five-people-solve-a-problem-together, which is essentially the Tolkien formula. It’s the formula which most people prefer. It’s the one that goes into RPG games and stuff like that. I’m writing about alienated individuals who are fundamentally solitary, who don’t really want do an awful lot with other people. And again, it’s my own experience. I pretty much brought myself up, and I pretty much looked after myself on my own feet from a very early age. I was earning my own living from the age of 15. I don’t think in terms of five friends getting together to solve a problem.

Good Bad Attitude

Wednesday, October 20th, 2004

In Good Bad Attitude, Paul Graham explores the American nature of the “hacker” attitude:

There is something very American about Feynman breaking into safes during the Manhattan Project. It’s hard to imagine the authorities having a sense of humor about such things over in Germany at that time. Maybe it’s not a coincidence.

Hackers are unruly. That is the essence of hacking. And it is also the essence of American-ness. It is no accident that Silicon Valley is in America, and not France, or Germany, or England, or Japan. In those countries, people color inside the lines.

I lived for a while in Florence. But after I’d been there a few months I realized that what I’d been unconsciously hoping to find there was back in the place I’d just left. The reason Florence is famous is that in 1450, it was New York. In 1450 it was filled with the kind of turbulent and ambitious people you find now in America. (So I went back to America.)

Vioxx, We Hardly Knew Ye

Wednesday, October 20th, 2004

I can remember my father saying that glass would never be approved as a building material if it were introduced today. Vioxx, We Hardly Knew Ye makes a similar case about aspirin:

No other anti-arthritis drug, including aspirin and the older NSAIDs, have been studied over the length of time that Vioxx has been. Even aspirin would not be approved for human use if it had to pass FDA evaluation today, due to its propensity for inducing GI bleeding, allergic reactions, and blood thinning. Indeed, while critics accuse the FDA of being lax, the opposite is true: getting an innovative, life-saving pharmaceutical to market in the US is an incredibly daunting, time-consuming and expensive endeavor.

The Drug War

Wednesday, October 20th, 2004

The Drug War talks about the war on prescription drugs:

As a myopic consumer, I’m all for beating up on the drug companies and forcing them to lower their prices — in the short term. But as an economist trained to appreciate scarcity and the need to finance research and development, the public pillaring of the drug companies gives me lots of pause.

Yes, drugs are expensive. But so are lots of goods and services. Where I live, three bedroom homes cost an outrageous amount. Gasoline has gone through the roof. College tuition is stratospheric. And consuming double espresso latte frappe mocha grande supremos or whatever they call a cup of coffee at Starbucks can bust your budget in no time flat.

Funny, isn’t it, that no one is accusing Starbucks of price gouging even though millions of Americans are addicted to the place and can’t afford it. But who knows, Starbucks may be next on the hit list, particularly if Senator Lott’s mom is a Frappucino junkie.

The drug companies get our gall because their products are so tiny, yet still cost so much. Take the new purple pill, Nexium. Each pill costs roughly 6 bucks. At one level, this just seems amazing. But spend a day suffering with acid reflux, and you’ll view it as a bargain. Also think of the millions upon millions of dollars that went into researching, developing, testing, and marketing those little purple pills and all the other little pills that didn’t pan out or, like the arthritis drug Vioxx, were introduced to the market only to be recalled.

Of course no one is forced to buy coffee, let alone coffee from Starbucks, whereas we all need to fill our prescriptions. And for those drugs that we buy that are still protected by patents, there aren’t a lot of substitutes. Consequently, drug companies are free to charge what the market will bear, which is typically a high price. Is this immoral? No, it’s exactly what we established our patent system to produce. We want drug companies to charge high prices and reap high profits from new drugs that they discover and/or help bring to market so they’ll have the incentive to keep developing new medications. We also want the business to be profitable so that the industry will experience lots of new entry.

This argument won’t make any sense to people who don’t “get” capitalism:

Dr. Angell would have us believe this virtue is a vice. In a nutshell, she claims the drug companies are super profitable, don’t spend enough on R&D, waste money on marketing and advertising, don’t generate enough new discoveries, and free-ride on government research support. Rather than debate these dubious propositions, let’s assume, for argument’s sake, that they are all true. In this case, Dr. Angell should set up a new drug company or engineer the buyout of an existing company. With her new company, she can choose to spend more on R&D, make more discoveries, bring more drugs to market, cut back, if not eliminate, marketing and advertising, benefit from government research support, and end up with higher profits than current drug companies. That’s the nice thing about an open market. You’re free to invest your time and money where your mouth is.

As far as I know, Dr. Angell is not setting up her own drug company. Nor are new entrants to the drug industry popping up every day. Nor is there a plethora of pending takeovers of existing drug companies. These facts suggest that the market is properly pricing these companies, that the risk-adjusted expected return available to pharmaceuticals on marginal investments is not supernormal, and that the industry isn’t acting stupidly when it comes to deciding how much to spend on R&D, marketing, advertising, etc.

Raimi’s ‘Spider-Man’ Thrills Turn to ‘Grudge’ Chills

Wednesday, October 20th, 2004

This Friday, Sam Raimi’s The Grudge, based on the Japanese film series by Takashi Shimizu and starring Sarah Michelle Gellar (of Buffy, the Vampire Slayer), comes out. From Raimi’s ‘Spider-Man’ Thrills Turn to ‘Grudge’ Chills:

It was produced by Raimi as the first release from Ghost House Pictures, which he formed with long-time partner Rob Tapert to bring horror films to U.S. audiences.

Although best known for directing the two ‘Spider-Man’ movies that combined for nearly $1.6 billion in global ticket sales, Raimi’s early career centered on horror movies with titles like ‘The Evil Dead.’

Sam Raimi’s best known for directing Spider-Man? And his Evil Dead movies are just a footnote? Wow.

An Ownership Society with Opportunity Through Tax Loans

Tuesday, October 19th, 2004

Just the other day, I was asking why there’s little or no discussion of giving out loans rather than subsidies or grants for education, unemployement, welfare, etc. Why subsidize a university education when the problem isn’t that the student has no money; it’s that the student has no money yet? And why give free money to someone who’s fallen on hard times — with the obvious incentive to partake of that free money — when it’s clearly supposed to be a temporary problem?

In An Ownership Society with Opportunity Through Tax Loans, Tom Grey, senior advisor to the F. A. Hayek Foundation in Slovakia, discusses loans enforced via the tax system:

Politicians are drug pushers, voters are drug addicts, and the drug of choice is OPM — Other People’s Money. Free money. Money from the government. Politicians say there’s always more available: more for education, for retirement, for housing, for health care. Political signs say ‘vote for me’ but mean ‘I’ll give you more cash.’ This addictive behavior is explained by the Two Things of Economics:
  1. There’s no such thing as a free lunch.
  2. Incentives matter.

Voters know that somebody has to pay — their big incentive is to have the state pay, to use Other People’s Money. Taxpayers know it is urgent to kick this habit, but how? Yes, cutting taxes, cutting the supply of money to the treasury. But while cutting taxes is popular, the more difficult need is to reduce demand. Americans, Slovaks, the entire democratic world, need a policy to reduce the demand for more state cash. What’s needed is a demand reduction program, starting with higher education.

The government should give people loans instead of grants. One’s loans are repaid by one’s own future money. Loan money is your own money, but shifted in time. When a borrower accepts a state loan, taxes paid would be loan repayments — hence Tax Loan — with an extra loan repayment surcharges. The loan provides the opportunity, the taxes plus surcharge repays the loan, and the surcharge provides the demand reduction.

Tax Loans solve the financing problem for poor people, replacing Robin Hood’s gifts to the poor. Paying for higher education is a big expense everywhere. Students often don’t have the money or opportunity to buy the best education. The usual solution has been some state transfers to Universities, allowing admission of students who pay little or no tuition (especially children of the elite). Instead, that same amount of money should be distributed through individual Tax Loans, to the same students. Tax Loans could be much larger than the current Federal Loan programs, while using taxes to repay the loans increases the transparency, and reduces default.

Investing in an education then emulates business investment cycle — borrow money, invest, and repay through that famous return on investment. The contractual agreement would specify how much money is borrowed, and how it is to be repaid. Just like a real loan. Students who take out Tax Loans become investors in their own human capital, owners of their own education.

Are you down with OPM? (Yeah, you know me!)

Regulatory Overdose

Tuesday, October 19th, 2004

Regulatory Overdose looks at some of Alex Tabarrok’s (and Dan Klein’s) suggestions for improving FDA regulations — largely by reducing them, of course:

There’s an odd contradiction in the current FDA regime: Before marketing a drug, a company must spend years proving it’s effective for a particular condition. Yet once the FDA approves a drug for a single ‘on-label’ use, doctors are free to prescribe it for any other malady, whether closely related or not. Such off-label use is now common, with studies finding most cancer, AIDS and pediatric patients receive off-label prescriptions. ‘Off-label is almost the rule, not the exception, in this country,’ says Dr. Lawrence Reed, a Manhattan plastic surgeon.

Fans of the nanny state might prefer to bar the use of drugs for any patients or purposes the FDA hasn’t approved. But George Mason University economist Alexander Tabarrok has a different idea: Abolish FDA-required efficacy testing altogether. Such testing is a big reason it typically takes 10 to 15 years from the time a new drug is discovered until the FDA approves it for sale. In Phase I trials a company studies how a drug moves through the body and its safety for human use. Then a drug enters Phase II and Phase III trials, which typically take years and focus on efficacy as well as safety. The long wait can cost lives and runs up new-drug costs — to an estimated $900 million per successful drug.

Tabarrok says this system makes little sense; the FDA demands costly, time-consuming efficacy tests for some uses and no tests for others. And while the FDA allows off-label prescribing by docs, it strictly limits the drugmakers’ promotion of such uses to doctors and permits none at all to patients.

Some other suggestions:

Of course, drugs aren’t simply safe or unsafe; all have side effects. If a drug is effective enough, even substantial side effects may be acceptable, while with minimal or no effectiveness they wouldn’t be. The present system gives a drug a green or red light after a combined review of safety and efficacy. Patients might be better off with a system that scored a drug on each attribute and let the doctor and patient make the final decision.

While Tabarrok’s proposal is radical, a recent survey of 500 doctors he carried out with Santa Clara University economist Daniel Klein revealed that 27% backed the idea. Another 15% were undecided. By contrast, just 2% favored banning off-label prescribing.

Tabarrok and Klein also offer some alternative proposals at FDAReview.org. One is to make all FDA testing optional. Drugs that didn’t go through the process would be labeled “Not FDA Approved.” Under this approach, they say, “the FDA would become a genuinely voluntary institution, much like Underwriters Laboratories.” Another idea is for the FDA to award letter grades, A to D, to claims made by drugmakers, much as it is considering doing for health claims for foods and dietary supplements. The FDA could still have its say, but wouldn’t be able to impose long delays, since a new drug could be marketed at first as “unrated.”

At the least, Tabarrok argues, the FDA should permit drug companies to sell any drug that has been approved by other sophisticated drug regulators, such as those in Canada, Australia or the European Union. Under such a system U.S. patients would get speedier access to new medicines without losing out on safety protection.

And why isn’t big pharma fighting for these changes?

Tabarrok’s cynical view is that big pharma companies like the status quo because it drives up costs, thus forcing many entrants to sell off their discoveries to established drug companies.

Boing Boing: Live-action women’s Dungeons and Dragons show

Tuesday, October 19th, 2004

I’m not sure what to say. From Boing Boing: Live-action women’s Dungeons and Dragons show:

Dungeon Majesty is a cable-access TV show in which four young women play Dungeons and Dragons — the show is intercut with Z-grade green-screen masks of them staging D&D fights in front of fakey caves or deep in spooky woods, and illustrated with flip-book animations fo D&D monsters drawn in pen on lined paper. This is really fantastic stuff — it’s got nerd pride to burn, and production values that make MST3K look slick.

Enjoy the teaser video.

The New Yorker: Northern Lights

Tuesday, October 19th, 2004

In Northern Lights, David Denby explores “how modern life emerged from eighteenth-century Edinburgh,” while reviewing James Buchan’s Crowded with Genius:

Edinburgh in the early eighteenth century, Buchan says, ?looked and smelled like a medieval city.?

It was an inauspicious place for intellectual revolution. Yet there were long-standing institutions of true distinction in Edinburgh, including the printing presses and the university. And Scottish Protestantism, however sour and intrusive, was a revolutionary force. John Knox, the brimstone-tempered Scot who founded the Presbyterian movement in the sixteenth century, had insisted on universal literacy; worshippers were expected to read the Bible and enter into intense communion with God on their own. Every congregation had its school, its local library, its contentious readers. And those who were well educated were extraordinarily well educated. Scotland had long maintained close ties to universities in Holland and France, and the scholars returning from Leiden or the Sorbonne were up to date on European intellectual currents in a way that men at Cambridge and Oxford often were not.

The tie with England was fraught with ambiguous tensions and dependencies, but, in the end, the economic benefits were real. The country?s political union with England, in 1707, may have occasioned resentment and nationalist nostalgia, but it gave Scotland access to world markets dominated by the British Empire. By the middle of the eighteenth century, Edinburgh had become prosperous from foreign trade.

Thailand: Bird Flu Killed 23 Tigers

Tuesday, October 19th, 2004

I don’t mind a flu-vaccine shortage so much, but I may be in the market for a bird-flu vaccine. From Thailand: Bird Flu Killed 23 Tigers:

Twenty-three tigers have died from bird flu at a private zoo in Thailand after being fed the carcasses of chickens infected with the disease, a government official said Tuesday.

The tigers had been dying at the Sriracha Tiger Zoo in central Chonburi province since Sept. 14, said Charal Trinvuthipong, director of the Bird Flu Prevention and Elimination Center. The animal park was forced to close its doors to the public while authorities investigated.

“We’ve discovered that all 23 dead tigers had bird flu,” he said. “We’ve found that another 30 tigers are sick. We believe that the tigers contracted bird flu because they ate chicken carcasses, and we believe the carcasses had bird flu.”

Note to self: no more raw chicken.

Adam Smith Institute Blog – The Beckham Rule of Welfare

Tuesday, October 19th, 2004

The Beckham Rule of Welfare explains unintended consequences with an example from English football (soccer):

For those of you who don’t read the sports pages, there has recently been a row about David Beckham, the England football captain. In his latest match for England he deliberately fouled someone.

Why? Not because his team would gain any advantage.

He had sustained an injury to his ribs, so he knew he would be unable to play in the next England game. By fouling someone in the way he did, he knew he would get a yellow card. This would be added to the yellow card he had previously received in another match and the two together would cause him automatically to be banned from his next game. But that was fine, because he knew he could not play in the next game anyway. By getting himself banned for one game, he would wipe away the yellow card already on his record. He would then be able to play in the rest of the tournament with less risk of getting banned for a game.

David Beckham was being, as he put it, ‘clever’. Of course Beckham is well known, despite his footballing talent, for not being an outstanding intellectual. But he is obviously bright enough to work the system (if not quite bright enough not to brag about it).

When soccer’s governing body drew up the rules on fouls, did it intend to incentivise the England captain deliberately to foul someone?

No, of course not. The people involved surely thought they were creating rules which were fair. They probably felt they were writing rules which were the footballing equivalent of ‘social justice’ — a fair amount of punishment for a particular amount of crime. They assumed that behaviour on the football pitch was a given and that the rules should merely reward and punish in a ‘fair’ way. They did not think that changing the rules would change behaviour. But, as Beckham has shown, the rules certainly did change behaviour.

This very same mistake is at the core of the failure of the welfare state. People — including all the famous politicians and many clever civil servants — have thought they could change the rules — even whole structures — without changing behaviour.

Dear Limey Assholes

Monday, October 18th, 2004

Dear Limey Assholes explains the “reaction from the US to the Guardian’s Clark County project”:

Last week G2 launched Operation Clark County to help readers have a say in the American election by writing to undecided voters in the crucial state of Ohio. In the first three days, more than 11,000 people requested addresses. Here is some of the reaction to the project that we received from the US.

Some of my favorite responses:

Consider this: stay out of American electoral politics. Unless you would like a company of US Navy Seals — Republican to a man — to descend upon the offices of the Guardian, bag the lot of you, and transport you to Guantanamo Bay, where you can share quarters with some lonely Taliban shepherd boys.

United States

I just read a hilarious proposal to involve your readership in the upcoming US presidential election. At least, I’m hoping that it is genius satire. Nothing will do more to undermine the Democratic cause in Ohio than having patronising Brits wander around Clark County telling people how to vote. Just, for a second, imagine if the Washington Post sent folks from Ohio to do the same in Oxfordshire. I’m saying this as a Democrat, and as someone who has spent the last few years in the UK. That is, with all due respect. Please, please, be rational, and move slowly away from the self-defeating hubris.

United States

Gear: Microsoft Brings TV to Xboxl

Monday, October 18th, 2004

From Gear: Microsoft Brings TV to Xbox:

Microsoft is set to release its Windows Media Center Extender for Xbox mid-November. The device will allow you to view recorded and downloaded media content stored on your PC via your Xbox.

Any PC running Windows Media Center Edition 2005 can serve as a hub of sorts for the device, essentially acting as a media library. Pop in the Media Center Extender disc in your Xbox along with the infrared receiver (the same as included in the DVD playback kit) and you’ll have access to the complete media library on your PC.

Videos and music can be streamed to your living room from anywhere in the house you can manage to run a network connection to. The package comes with a full-blown remote and the mentioned receiver for easy browsing through your media from your couch.

Not only will the Media Center Extender allow you to view your saved content, but it’ll allow you to control the central PC, so you can set up TV recordings or music downloads from the convenience of your living room.

The unit will retail for $79.99 and will be available on November 15th.

Interesting — particularly if you own both an Xbox and a Windows Media Center PC — but it doesn’t get around the central “issue” of a Media Center PC: that you have to keep your PC next to the cable box in order to record anything. And if your PC is already right next to the cable box in order to record TV, then it’s already right next to the TV for playback.

Criswell’s Razor

Monday, October 18th, 2004

Criswell’s Razor ties in nicely with recent talk about the role of faith in our leaders:

Ask anyone his or her favorite closing line in a movie, and you will probably get a melodramatic climax (such as “Tomorrow is another day!” from Gone With the Wind) or a melodramatic dénouement (such as “This looks like the beginning of a beautiful friendship.” from Casablanca).

But for sheer contemporary poignancy, no closing words can match the gauntlet thrown down in the closing seconds of Plan 9 from Outer Space.

Directed by the legendary transvestite filmmaker Ed Wood Jr. (portrayed by Johnny Depp in Tim Burton’s valentine of a tribute Ed Wood), and narrated by TV weatherman turned psychic Criswell the Great, Plan 9 is considered by many to be the worst film ever made.

After 75 minutes of ludicrous proceedings in which aliens whose spaceship is furnished with wooden tables unsuccessfully try to conquer the earth by bringing three dead people (including the actually deceased Bela Lugosi) back to life, Criswell makes a final appearance, haranguing the audience with the ultimate challenge: “Can you prove it didn’t happen?!”

Who would have thought that these six simple words (referred herein as “Criswell’s Razor”) could undergird so much of today’s political discussion?