Inequality is here to stay

Tuesday, November 12th, 2013

There are three main reasons inequality is here to stay, Tyler Cowen argues:

The first is just measurement of worker value. We’re doing a lot to measure what workers are contributing to businesses, and, when you do that, very often you end up paying some people less and other people more.

The second is automation — especially in terms of smart software. Today’s workplaces are often more complicated than, say, a factory for General Motors was in 1962. They require higher skills. People who have those skills are very often doing extremely well, but a lot of people don’t have them, and that increases inequality.

And the third point is globalization. There’s a lot more unskilled labor in the world, and that creates downward pressure on unskilled labor in the United States. On the global level, inequality is down dramatically — we shouldn’t forget that. But within each country, or almost every country, inequality is up.

Impressions of the US Military

Tuesday, November 12th, 2013

These impressions of the US military from foreigners who have served alongside US troops reveal that the Americans are friendly, generous, professional, and physically strong — but not quiet in the field, and not able to drink like their allies:

  • When I went boom thanks to an IED, it was a US helicopter that medevaced me.Its hard to put it down in words, but the thought that they’d rush out to save a foreign soldier really stuck with me. The flight medic was professional, and incredibly compassionate. Whenever I think about it, I get overcome with a sense of gratitude, it often brings me to tears.

    I know what they did was just par for the course in terms of being part of the coalition, but for me it will always be an incredible act that really gets me on a personal level.

  • Swedish special forces (Lapplands Jägare) mid 90′s.US forces that we trained with are very, very good (Rangers). They failed our jump test though, even with duct tape to tie shit in their harnesses down it was rattling, fuck even just the M16 made enough noise to fail, the non-folding stock of those also got in their way somewhat. That is the shit we’ll nit-pick about them, really they are just good.

    [What's a jump test?]

    You jump, and if there is any rattle or noise in your equipment you fail. It’s to make sure you don’t give your position away by simply moving around and making noise, or hinder your and your teammates observation. Also, if something rattles it isn’t secured as well as it could.

    It’s probably more important in the silent Nordic forests where you could easily hear the enemy before you can see them than in areas where the US rangers usually operate. I had the same test in the Finnish Defence Forces. Also the Ranger mentality is a bit different I suppose. “No sneaking around, fuck shit up!”

  • As a US Marine, I’ll say one thing. I will never try to out-drink a Royal Marine again. That was a bad life decision.

The Most Perfect Example of the Male Human Form

Tuesday, November 12th, 2013

Eugen Sandow was considered the most perfect example of the male human form and served as the model in Baillière’s Popular Atlas of the Anatomy and Physiology of the Male Human Body (London, 1908):

Eugen Sandow Anatomy Diagram

The Gun That Aims Itself

Monday, November 11th, 2013

Vice‘s The Gun That Aims Itself looks at the TrackingPoint Precision Guided Firearm (PGF):

Fair Prices in Venezuela

Monday, November 11th, 2013

Thousands of Venezuelans lined up outside of Daka stores — their equivalent of Best Buy — after the socialist government forced the company to charge customers “fair” prices:

President Nicolás Maduro ordered a military “occupation” of the company’s five stores as he continues the government’s crackdown on an “economic war” it says is being waged against the country, with the help of Washington.

[...]

Maduro faces municipal elections on Dec. 8. His popularity has dropped significantly in recent months, with shortages of basic items such as chicken, milk and toilet paper as well as soaring inflation, at 54.3% over the past 12 months.

[...]

“This is for the good of the nation,” Maduro said. “Leave nothing on the shelves, nothing in the warehouses … Let nothing remain in stock!”

The president was accompanied on television by images of officials checking prices of 32-inch plasma televisions.

Daka’s store managers, according to Maduro, have been arrested and are being held by the country’s security services. Neither Daka nor the government responded to requests for comment.

Maduro has long blamed the opposition for waging an economic war on the country though critics are adamant that government price controls, enacted by Chávez a decade ago, are the real cause for the dire state of the economy.

With such a shortage of hard currency for importers and regular citizens, dollars sell on the black market for nine times their official, government-set value. Prices, at shops such as Daka, are set according to this black market, hence the government’s crackdown.

Chávez often theatrically expropriated or seized assets from more than 1,000 companies during his 14-year tenure. This, among other difficulties for foreign firms, led to a severe lack of foreign investment in the country which, according to OPEC, has the world’s largest oil reserves.

I couldn’t make that up.

The Evolution of Private Property

Monday, November 11th, 2013

Bryan Caplan deems Herb Gintis’ “The Evolution of Private Propertyone of the most fascinating articles he’s read in years.

Private property depends on the endowment effect — our tendency to value our stuff extra just because it’s ours — which is widespread in nature:

Among the many animal behaviorists who put this theory to the test, perhaps none is more elegant and unambiguous than Davies, who studied the speckled wood (Pararge aegeria), a butterfly found in the Wytham Woods, near Oxford, England. Territories for this butterfly are shafts of sunlight breaking through the tree canopy. Males occupying these spots enjoyed heightened mating success, and on average only 60% of males occupied the sunlit spots at any one time. A vacant spot was generally occupied within seconds, but an intruder on an already occupied spot was invariably driven away, even if the incumbent had occupied the spot only for a few seconds. When Davies “tricked” two butterflies into thinking each had occupied the sunny patch first, the contest between the two lasted, on average, ten times as long as the brief flurry that occurs when an incumbent chases off an intruder.

[...]

In general, the taking of an object held by another individual is a rare event in primate societies (Torii, 1974). A reasonable test of the respect for property in primates with a strong dominance hierarchy is the likelihood of a dominant individual refraining from taking an attractive object from a lower-ranking individual. In a study of hamadryas baboons (Papio hamadryas), for instance, Sigg and Falett (1985) hand a food-can to a subordinate who was allowed to manipulate and eat from it for 5 min before a dominant individual who had been watching from an adjacent cage was allowed to enter the subordinate’s cage. A “takeover” was defined as the rival taking possession of the can before 30 min had elapsed. They found that (a) males never took the food-can from other males; (b) dominant males took the can from subordinate females 2/3 of the time; (c) dominant females took the can from subordinate females 1/2 of the time. With females, closer inspection showed that when the difference in rank was one or two, females showed respect for the property of other females, but when the rank difference was three or greater, takeovers tended to occur.

[...]

Consider, for instance, the sparrows that built a nest in a vine in my garden. The location is choice, and the couple spent days preparing the structure. The nest is quite as valuable to another sparrow couple. Why does another couple not try to evict the first? If they are equally strong, and both value the territory equally, each has a 50% chance of winning the territorial battle.Why bother investing if one can simply steal (Hirshleifer, 1988)? Of course, if stealing were profitable, then there would be no nest building, and hence no sparrows, but that heightens rather than resolves the puzzle.

[...]

Long before they become acquainted with money, markets, bargaining and trade, children exhibit possessive behavior and recognize the property rights of others on the basis of incumbency. In one study (Bakeman and Brownlee, 1982), participant observers studied a group of 11 toddlers (12-24 months old) and a group of 13 preschoolers (40-48 months old) at a day care center. The observers found that each group was organized into a fairly consistent linear dominance hierarchy. They then cataloged possession episodes, defined as a situation in which a holder touched or held an object and a taker touched the object and attempted to remove it from the holder’s possession. Possession episodes averaged 11.7/h in the toddler group, and 5.4/h in the preschool group.

For each possession episode, the observers noted (a) whether the taker had been playing with the object within the previous 60 s (prior possession), (b) whether the holder resisted the take attempt (resistance), and (c) whether the take was successful (success). They found that success was strongly and about equally associated with both dominance and prior possession. They also found that resistance was associated mainly with dominance in the toddlers, and with prior possession in the preschoolers. They suggest that toddlers recognize possession as a basis for asserting control rights, but do not respect the same rights in others. The preschoolers, more than twice the age of the toddlers, use physical proximity both to justify their own claims and to respect the claims of others.

When I think of the evolution of private property, I think of David Friedman, who gave A Positive Account of Property Rights back in 1994:

We frequently observe behavior which looks like the claiming of rights and the recognition of rights in contexts where neither a moral nor a legal account seems relevant.

Consider, for example, Great Britain’s “right” to control Hong Kong, Kowloon, and the New Territories. It is difficult to explain Communist China’s willingness to respect that right on legal grounds, given that, from the Maoist standpoint, neither the government of Britain nor previous, non-communist governments with which it had signed agreements were entities entitled to any moral respect. It seems equally difficult to explain it on legal grounds, given the general weakness of international law and the fact that for part of the period in question Great Britain (as a member state of the United Nations) was at war with China. An alternative explanation — that the Chinese government believed that British occupation of Hong Kong was in its own interest — seems inconsistent with the Chinese failure to renew the lease on the New Territories, due to expire in 1997.

A second example is presented by the 1982 Falklands war. On the face of it, the clash looks like an attempted trespass repelled. Moral and legal accounts seem irrelevant, given the attitude of Argentina to the British claim. Yet the willingness of Britain to accept costs far out of proportion to the value of the prize being fought over is difficult to explain except on the theory that the British felt they were defending their property, which raises the question of what that concept means in such a context.

A further difficulty with moral accounts of rights, in particular of property rights, is the degree to which the property rights that people actually respect seem to depend on facts that are morally irrelevant. This difficulty presents itself in libertarian accounts of property as the problem of initial acquisition. It is far from clear even in principle how unowned resources such as land can become private property. Even if one accepts an account, such as that of Locke, of how initial acquisition might justly have occurred, that account provides little justification for the existing pattern of property rights, given the high probability that any piece of property has been unjustly seized at least once since it was first cleared. Yet billions of people, now and in the past, base much of their behavior on respect for property claims that seem either morally arbitrary or clearly unjust.

A further difficulty with legal accounts of rights is that they are to some degree circular. We observe that police will act in certain ways and that their action (and related actions by judges, juries, etc.) implies that certain people have certain rights. But the behavior of police is itself in part a consequence of rights — such as the right of the state to collect taxes and pay them to the police as wages and the property right that the police then have over the money they receive.

For all of these reasons, I believe it is worth attempting a positive account of rights — an account which is both amoral and alegal. In part I of this essay I present such an account — one in which rights, in particular property rights, are a consequence of strategic behavior and may exist with no moral or legal support. The account is presented both as an explanation of how rights could arise in a Hobbesian anarchy and as an explanation of the nature of rights as we observe them around us. In Part II I suggest ways in which something like the present structure of rights might have developed.

One puzzling feature of rights as we observe them is the degree to which the same conclusions seem to follow from very different assumptions. Thus roughly similar structures of rights can be and are deduced by libertarian philosophers trying to show what set of natural rights is just and by economists trying to show what set of legal rules would be efficient. And the structures of rights that they deduce seem similar to those observed in human behavior and embodied in the common law. In Part III of this essay I will try to suggest at least partial explanations for this triple coincidence — the apparent similarity between what is, what is just, and what is efficient.

Definitely read the whole thing.

Hormesis

Sunday, November 10th, 2013

The concept of hormesis — that a low dose of poison or some other stressor is good for you — makes a wonderful excuse for many vices.

Having a little too much to drink or having a cigar is good for me, as long as I don’t overdo it.

Cold showers are also good for you, if not as much fun as other stresors:

As one form of hydrotherapy, the health benefits of cold water therapy are numerous. Cold showers provide a gentle form of stress that leads to thermogenesis (internal generation of body heat), turning on the body’s adaptive repair systems to strengthen immunity, enhance pain and stress tolerance, and ward off depression, overcome chronic fatigue syndrome, stop hair loss, and stimulate anti-tumor responses.

Some people advocate starting with a warm shower, and switching over to cool or cold water only at the end of the shower. This is fine, particularly if you are afraid that a pure cold shower would just be too uncomfortable or intolerable. But I prefer just jumping right in. When you start with cold water, you will experience the phenomenon of cold shock, an involuntary response characterized by a sudden rapid breathing and increased heart rate. This in itself is very beneficial. The extent of cold shock has been shown to decrease with habituation, and exposure to colder water (10C or 50F) appears to be more effective than just cool water (15 C or 59F) in promoting habituation. The habituation itself is what is most beneficial, both objectively and subjectively. There is an analogy here with high intensity resistance exercise and interval training, both of which elevate heart rate and lead to long term adaptations to stress, with improved cardiovascular capacity and athletic performance.

But cold showers provide a different and probably complementary type of habituation to that which results from exercise. A study of winter swimmers compared them with a control group in their physiological response to being immersed in cold water: Both groups responded to cold water by thermogenesis (internal production of body heat), but the winter swimmers did so by raising their core temperature and did not shiver until much later than the controls, whereas the control subjects responded by shivering to increase their peripheral temperatures. The winter swimmers also tolerated much larger temperature differences and conserved their energy better. Other studies confirm that the benefits of habituation show up only after several weeks of cold showering. For example, adaptation to cold leads to increased output of the beneficial “short term stress” hormones adrenaline and thyroxine, leading to mobilization of fatty acids, and substantial fat loss over a 1-2 week period.

So regular cold showers, like high intensity exercise, and intermittent fasting, appear to provide similar, but not identical hormetic benefits.

I’m in no hurry to try an ice bath.

(Hat tip to our Slovenian guest.)

Old Spock battles New Spock

Saturday, November 9th, 2013

I don’t know how I missed Old Spock versus New Spock in the greatest car commercial ever:

The latest episode of NOVA, by the way, features the Audi smart car.

(Hat tip à mon père.)

Radish Guide to the Political Spectrum

Saturday, November 9th, 2013

Radish’s guide to the political spectrum presents “progress” as social decay masked by technological progress:

Radish Guide to Political Spectrum

Titan Arm

Friday, November 8th, 2013

A team of engineering students from Penn has won James Dyson’s $45,000 Prize for their Titan Arm:

In its current form, the Titan Arm focuses on one mechanized joint — the elbow — giving the user roughly a 40-pound boost in strength. The team settled on a cable drive system which works similarly to the brakes on a bike. The main advantage was that it let the arm draw from a battery pack that could be worn on the back, thus allowing for the mobility they’d set out to achieve. What’s more is that they did it all with just $2,000 or so in components.

“We loved the way it had been executed,” Sir Dyson himself says of the design. “The previous versions of this thing were mounted on the necks and shoulders, or the lower back, but utilizing the whole back was a great step forward. We liked the fact that they’d actually made it work. And the fact that they know how to make it much cheaper than existing exoskeleton arms is really important. I gather this kind of thing isn’t usually covered by medical insurance.”

Daft Punk Gets Lucky

Friday, November 8th, 2013

Daft PunkWSJ Magazine declares Guy-Manuel de Homem-Christo and Thomas Bangalter of Daft Punk its Entertainment Innovators of 2013:

Bangalter and de Homem-Christo had funded the record’s production, but instead of releasing it independently, they turned to Columbia Records, one of the oldest major labels in the world — and also one of the last. “Before we’d heard the record, we met with them to talk about their philosophy,” says Columbia Chairman Rob Stringer. “Their attitude was, records do still sell, if they have quality and imagination behind them. We talked about campaigns that were really based on the golden age of the record industry, in the ’70s and ’80s, when the Sunset Strip was as much about music as it was about movies.”

Random was introduced using a mix of retro showmanship and new-media cunning. Instead of announcing the record online, the band teased it with a brief, vague ad on Saturday Night Live, a clip that featured little more than their helmeted visage and a quick snippet of “Get Lucky.” That was followed by billboards in cities like New York and London; a series of YouTube interviews with the likes of Pharrell and Rodgers; and a reveal of the album’s track-listing on the video-sharing app Vine.

The buildup to the record was so steadily intriguing that, as Random’s release date came closer, its success felt like a fait accompli — which is strange, given that, for all their success, Daft Punk had never broken into the top 40 in the U.S. So when the album finally debuted at number 1, no one was surprised — in part because of its persuasive marketing, but also because, by that point, “Get Lucky” was beginning to lodge itself in the country’s collective hippocampus.

And though it never actually reached the top of the singles charts in America—denied entry by Robin Thicke’s “Blurred Lines,” also featuring Pharrell—it’s hard to think of another song this year that proved as joyfully egalitarian, or as reliably escapist, as “Get Lucky.”

Anglo-Peruvian

Friday, November 8th, 2013

Daniel Hannan grew up in a large Anglo-Peruvian community — which has since disappeared:

When I was four years old, a mob attacked our family farm. There was a back entrance, a footpath into the hills, and my mother led me there by the hand. “We’re going to play a game,” she told me. “If we have to come this way again, we must do it without making a sound.”

My father was having none of it. He had a duty to the farm workers, he said, and wasn’t going to be driven off his own land by hooligans bussed in from the city.

He was suffering, I remember, from one of those diseases that periodically afflict white men in the tropics, and he sat in his dressing-gown, loading his revolver with paper-thin hands.

This was the Peru of General Velasco, whose putsch in 1968 had thrown the country into a state of squalor from which it has only recently recovered. Having nationalized the main industries, Velasco decreed a program of land reform under which farms were broken up and given to his military cronies.

As invariably happens when governments plunder their citizens, groups of agitators decided to take the law into their own hands. It was the same story as in the Spanish Second Republic, or Allende’s Chile: The police, seeing which way the wind was blowing, were reluctant to protect property.

Knowing that no help would come from the authorities, my father and two security guards dispersed the gang with shots as they attempted to burn down the front gates. The danger passed.

Not everyone was so lucky. There were land-invasions and confiscations all over the country. The mines and fishing fleets were seized. Foreign investment fled and companies repatriated their employees. The large Anglo-Peruvian community into which I had been born all but disappeared.

The World’s First Real 3D-Printed Gun

Thursday, November 7th, 2013

The “professional engineers working with professional machines for professional clients” at Solid Concepts have 3D-printed a 1911-style pistol — using laser sintering:

Netflix Picks Up Four Marvel Live-Action Series

Thursday, November 7th, 2013

Netflix is “picking up” four live-action series featuring Marvel characters:

Led by a series focused on “Daredevil,” followed by “Jessica Jones,” “Iron Fist” and “Luke Cage,” the epic will unfold over multiple years of original programming, taking Netflix members deep into the gritty world of heroes and villains of Hell’s Kitchen, New York. Netflix has committed to a minimum of four, thirteen episodes series and a culminating Marvel’s “The Defenders” mini-series event that reimagines a dream team of self-sacrificing, heroic characters.

Wow.

The World Today

Thursday, November 7th, 2013

If you’d gone to a publisher in 1981 with a proposal for a science-fiction novel that consisted of the world today, William Gibson says, they’d have read your proposal and said, this is impossible:

This is ridiculous. This doesn’t even make any sense. Granted, you have half a dozen powerful and really excellent plot drivers for that many science-fiction n­ovels, but you can’t have them all in one novel.

Fossil fuels have been discovered to be destabilizing the planet’s climate, with possibly drastic consequences. There’s an epidemic, highly contagious, lethal sexual disease that destroys the human immune system, raging virtually uncontrolled throughout much of Africa. New York has been attacked by Islamist fundamentalists, who have destroyed the two tallest buildings in the city, and the United States in response has invaded Afghanistan and Iraq.

You haven’t even gotten to the Internet. By the time you were telling about the Internet, they’d be showing you the door. It’s just too much science fiction.