Where Drugs Come From: The Numbers

Wednesday, November 10th, 2010

Derek Lowe looks at a new Nature Reviews Drug Discovery paper that explains where drugs come from:

First, the raw numbers. In the 1997-2005 period, the 252 drugs break down as follows. Note that some drugs have been split up, with partial credit being assigned to more than one category. Overall, we have:

58% from pharmaceutical companies.
18% from biotech companies..
16% from universities, transferred to biotech.
8% from universities, transferred to pharma.

First, the raw numbers. In the 1997-2005 period, the 252 drugs break down as follows. Note that some drugs have been split up, with partial credit being assigned to more than one category.

46% from pharmaceutical companies.
30% from biotech companies.
23% from universities (transferred to either biotech or pharma).

And now to innovation — 118 of the drugs during this period were considered to have scientific novelty (46%), and of those:

44% were from pharmaceutical companies.
25% were from biotech companies, and
31% were from universities (transferred to either biotech or pharma).

So why does this happen?

This paper doesn’t put it one word, but I will: money. It turns out that the novel therapies are disproportionately orphan drugs (which makes sense), and although there are a few orphan-drug blockbusters, most of them have lower sales. And indeed, the university-to-pharma drugs tend to have much higher sales than the university-to-biotech ones.

The bigger drug companies are (as you’d expect) evaluating compounds on the basis of their commercial potential, which means what they can add to their existing portfolio. On the other hand, if you have no portfolio (or have only a small one) than any commercial prospect is worth a look. One hundred million dollars a year in revenue would be welcome news for a small company’s first drug to market, whereas Pfizer wouldn’t even notice it.

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