Fischer’s Price

Tuesday, July 20th, 2004

In Fischer’s Price, Garry Kasparov addresses Bobby Fischer’s recent detention in Japan:

The stunning news of Bobby Fischer’s detention in Japan came at a moment in which the American former world chess champion was already very much on my mind. I am currently finishing the fourth of my six-volume series on the game’s great players and it is precisely this volume of which Robert James Fischer, forever known as Bobby, is the star.

Clearly, Fischer changed the game:

Despite his short stay at the top there is little to debate about the chess of Bobby Fischer. He changed the game in a way that hadn’t been seen since the late 19th century. The gap between Mr. Fischer and his contemporaries was the largest ever. He singlehandedly revitalized a game that had been stagnating under the control of the Communists of the Soviet sports hierarchy.

When Bobby Fischer rocketed to the top of the chess world in the early 1970s he was a fine wine in a flawed vessel. His contributions to the game, both at the board and from a commercial perspective, were nothing short of a revolution in the chess world. At the same time, his brittle and abusive character showed cracks that deepened with his every step toward the highest title.

Today, it is hard to imagine the sensation of Mr. Fischer’s success when he wrested the world championship away from Boris Spassky in Reykjavik, Iceland, in 1972. In the middle of the Cold War, the Brooklyn-raised iconoclast took the crown from the well-oiled Soviet machine that had dominated the chess world for decades. And this after he barely showed up for the match at all, and then lost the first game and forfeited the second!

Partially due to Mr. Fischer’s outrageous behavior leading up to and during the “match of the century,” the international media coverage was incredible. The games were shown live around the world. I was nine years old and already a strong club player when the Fischer-Spassky match took place, and I followed the games avidly. Fischer, who had crushed two other Soviet grandmasters on his march to the title match, nonetheless had many fans in the Soviet Union. They respected his chess, of course, but many quietly enjoyed his individuality and independence.

After the match ended in a convincing victory for the American, the world was at his feet. Chess was on the cusp of becoming a commercially successful sport for the first time. Mr. Fischer’s play, nationality and natural charisma created a unique opportunity. He was a national hero whose popularity rivaled that of Muhammad Ali. (Would the secretary of state have called Ali before a fight the way Henry Kissinger called Mr. Fischer?) Sales of chess sets and books boomed, and tournament prize funds soared. With Bobby Fischer in the lead, chess was headed for the popularity of golf and tennis.

Then Fischer fell apart, gave up his championship, and began “espousing a virulent anti-Semitism — despite his own Jewish heritage.”

WSJ.com – Despite U.S. Clamor, These Little Piggies Stay Home in Spain

Tuesday, July 20th, 2004

I knew Americans were smuggling in unpasteurized European cheeses; I didn’t know they were sneaking in Spanish ham. From WSJ.com – Despite U.S. Clamor, These Little Piggies Stay Home in Spain:

It’s against the law to import jamon iberico because Spain doesn’t have a single slaughterhouse certified by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Still, the ham ranks as a national treasure in its home country, on a par with Italy’s truffles and Russia’s caviar. Rows of ibericos — swaddled in yellow fat, crusted with a thin film of protective mold and sporting occasional strands of wiry black pig hair — dangle from restaurant ceilings nationwide, with hoofs still attached.

Yeah, sounds delicious…

The only Spanish meat products exported to the U.S. now are made from animals slaughtered at USDA-certified plants outside Spain. That includes jamon serrano, a less prestigious ham that is similar to Italian prosciutto.

That’s when the USDA’s zeal for regulation collided with the Spanish passion for tradition. Jamon iberico is produced in just one region of Spain, mostly by small producers who adhere strictly to time-tested methods. They use only one breed of swine, a black-hoofed Iberian pig indigenous to southwest Spain’s Mediterranean forest ecosystem — where today they still range freely, fattening themselves up on grass, roots and mushrooms.

And acorns. The most desirable hams — about 15% of production — come from the pigs that eat as much as 2,000 pounds of acorns in the two or three months before their slaughter. After butchering, the hams are rubbed with salt and then hung to cure for one to three years.

Pay or Pray? The Impact of Charitable Subsidies on Religious Attendance

Tuesday, July 20th, 2004

Only an economist would write Pay or Pray? The Impact of Charitable Subsidies on Religious Attendance:

I find strong evidence that religious giving and religious attendance are substitutes: larger subsidies to charitable giving lead to more religious giving, but less religious attendance, with an implied elasticity of attendance with respect to religious giving of -0.92. These results have important implications for the debate over charitable subsidies. They also serve to validate economic models of religious participation.

(Hat tip to Marginal Revolution.)

A Drive-Through Lane to the Next Time Zone

Tuesday, July 20th, 2004

A Drive-Through Lane to the Next Time Zone explains how the order-taker at one Missouri McDonald’s isn’t even in Missouri:

The man who owns the Cape Girardeau restaurant, Shannon Y. Davis, has linked it and 3 other of his 12 McDonald’s franchises to the Colorado call center, which is run by another McDonald’s franchisee, Steven T. Bigari. And he did it for the same reasons that other business owners have embraced call centers: lower costs, greater speed and fewer mistakes.

Cheap, quick and reliable telecommunications lines let the order takers in Colorado Springs converse with customers in Missouri, take an electronic snapshot of them, display their order on a screen to make sure it is right, then forward the order and the photo to the restaurant kitchen. The photo is destroyed as soon as the order is completed, Mr. Bigari said. People picking up their burgers never know that their order traverses two states and bounces back before they can even start driving to the pickup window.

The benefits:

In the fast-food business, time is truly money: shaving even five seconds off the processing time of an order is significant. Mr. Bigari said he had cut order time in his dual-lane drive-throughs by slightly more than 30 seconds, to about 1 minute, 5 seconds, on average. That’s less than half the average of 2 minutes, 36 seconds, for all McDonald’s, and among the fastest of any franchise in the country, according to QSRweb.com, which tracks such things. His drive-throughs now handle 260 cars an hour, Mr. Bigari said, 30 more than they did before he started the call center.

(Hat tip to Marginal Revolution.)

The Chronicle: 7/2/2004: Art History Can Trade Insights With the Sciences

Monday, July 19th, 2004

Art History Can Trade Insights With the Sciences explains a scientific discovery the art historians didn’t want to hear about:

The controversy over Hockney and Falco grew out of Hockney’s discovery of a sudden shift toward naturalism in the 1420s and ’30s in Flanders. Hockney claimed that the shift was too abrupt to have occurred without the use of optical aids that allowed artists to project images of the 3-D world onto a canvas and trace them. With the entry of Falco, evidence took the place of opinion. Falco pointed out that concave mirrors can serve as lenses that project images and that such mirrors were available as early as the 13th century. He went on to analyze anomalies in certain paintings that were consistent with the use of a lens and — most important — difficult to explain otherwise.

Lorenzo Lotto’s painting called “Husband and Wife,” of 1523-24, depicts a carpet with a complex geometric design covering a table. The carpet recedes into space. Falco demonstrated that the lines on two of the borders of the design start off receding toward one vanishing point and then move slightly toward another vanishing point. It’s strange that there are two vanishing points. It’s even stranger that the vanishing points of both borders shift at approximately the same depth into the scene.

But Falco offered an intriguing (somewhat technical, very precise) explanation: Lotto’s use of a lens led to systematic and predictable errors. Falco calculated that Lotto must have placed his lens 150 cm. from the carpet he was painting and 84 cm. from the canvas onto which he was projecting the image of the carpet. He also calculated the focal length (54 cm.) and diameter (2.5 cm.) that Lotto’s lens had to be. Those calculations were all derived from one measurement: a comparison of the shoulder width of the woman in the painting with the average shoulder width of actual women today. The difference in size between the two widths showed how much the objects on canvas were reduced — in this case, by 56 percent.

When a lens is used to project an image, the less that image is reduced in size, the lower the depth of field that the lens can project. Because Lotto was projecting images reduced in size by only 56 percent, he had a problem — he could project only part of the image onto the canvas. Once that part was traced, he would have had to move the lens just a tiny bit to focus farther back. Hence a slightly different vanishing point and a slightly different magnification — both subtle errors. Falco calculated exactly how much the two vanishing points would diverge and the magnification would decrease, and his calculations agreed to within 1 percent with measurements he made from the painting. Falco tested his lens hypothesis against many paintings, and found other instances in which the errors were mathematically predicted by the use of a lens. His hypothesis did not rely only on such predictions; he also found that sometimes highly complex, three-dimensional, nongeometrical objects were rendered so precisely that use of a lens was highly probable. But the litmus test of the lens hypothesis was Falco’s ability to so precisely predict nonrandom errors.

Eyes on the Road

Monday, July 19th, 2004

Eyes on the Road notes that entry-level luxury cars now face a lot of competition — it’s not just the BMW 3-series versus the Audi A4:

Think back to four or five years ago. The universe of cars that could compete credibly with the BMW 3-series was relatively small. Cadillac was pushing a rebadged Opel called the Catera without remarkable success. Nissan Motor Corp.’s Infiniti brand was barely on the radar. Mercedes had its C-Class, of course, and Audi did good business with the A4. But other European brands like Volvo and Jaguar were barely in the picture in that segment.

Today, the entry luxury consumer’s biggest challenge is narrowing down the choices. Infiniti’s G35 sedan is outselling the Audi A4. June sales of the G35 sedan and coupe together outpaced sales of all Infiniti brand cars in June 2000. Sales of the new Mercedes C-Class line are up 74% since June 2000. Jaguar’s X-type isn’t a smashing success, but it beats nothing, which is what Jag had to compete with the 3-series four years ago. Cadillac, of course, has established itself as a credible contender with the CTS sedan.

But the real shocker is that Chrysler has come out of nowhere to make its new 300 C sedan the automotive sales equivalent of Spider-Man 2. In June, the Chrysler 300 C, which benefits from engineering expertise borrowed by Chrysler from sister DaimlerChrysler AG unit Mercedes-Benz, outsold all Cadillac brand cars, excluding SUVs, by a margin of 11,300 to 10,584. The 300 C also outsold all Lexus brand sedans and coupes in June, albeit by 168 cars. And the 300 C outsold all BMW 3-series models, combined, by a margin of 1,713 cars, according to figures compiled by Autodata Corp.

I’ve been quite impressed by Chrysler’s external styling these past few years, but I’m not sure I’d want to own one. That said, the new 300 C has a 5.7L HEMI? V8 Engine. Wow.

WSJ.com – As Industry Pushes Headsets In Cars, U.S. Agency Sees Danger

Monday, July 19th, 2004

I now have to check which state I’m in before phoning home — or I have to finally get a hands-free headset. From WSJ.com – As Industry Pushes Headsets In Cars, U.S. Agency Sees Danger:

Earlier this month, New Jersey and Washington, D.C., joined New York in requiring drivers to use headsets or other so-called hands-free devices when they talk on cellphones.

Pushing hands-free headsets may not make phones safer though:

A sizable body of research concludes that headsets and speaker-phones don’t improve safety because it’s the mental distraction of talking on the phone, not holding it, that causes the danger while driving. And recent research suggests the devices could actually increase risk by encouraging people to spend more time on their cellphones and drive faster while doing so.

What’s more, according to a new study by NHTSA that has been reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, people spent more time on the distracting task of dialing when they use headsets and voice-activated dialing systems. The new voice-activated dialing method took nearly twice as long as punching the buttons on the phone the old-fashioned way, according to the study.

What voice-activated dialing method are they talking about? My phone has a convenient key on the side. I press it, it beeps, and I say “home” in a stentorian voice — then it phones home for me. Granted, it may take two or three times — particularly if anyone’s around — but it’s much less distracting than looking at the phone’s display.

Some of these studies mix cause and effect:

In 2001, a Norwegian study of about 9,000 drivers found that hands-free users made more calls than callers who held their phones to their ears, potentially putting drivers more at risk. Meanwhile, the Swedish National Road Administration installed cameras in 40 cars and found that drivers wearing headsets drove faster than drivers holding their phones.

Maybe people who make a lot of phone calls buy a headset? And maybe people who find it harder to drive with phone in hand drive more slowly than people with a hands-free headset.

This looks like a meaningful finding though:

Braking time slowed by as much 45% for cellphone users, with no improvement for those wearing headsets.

An interesting study:

Most recently, three Utah psychology professors — Frank Drews, Monisha Pasupathi and Dr. Strayer — put 48 adults behind the wheel of a driving simulator. They found drivers talking on the phone with headsets missed four times as many exits as drivers talking to another passenger. The study notes that a fellow passenger “collaborates in the task of driving safely by referring to traffic and conversing about it … something that a person on the other end of a cellphone cannot do.”

Stevenson At Play

Sunday, July 18th, 2004

While I knew that H.G. Wells published the first commercial wargame rules (Little Wars, 1913), I didn’t know that Robert Louis Stevenson also designed and played a wargame. Stevenson At Play, from Scribner’s Magazine, December 1898, describes it:

This game of tin soldiers, an intricate “kriegspiel,” involving rules innumerable, prolonged arithmetical calculations, constant measuring with foot-rules, and the throwing of dice, sprang from the humblest beginnings — a row of soldiers on either side and a deadly marble. From such a start it grew in size and complexity until it became mimic war indeed, modelled closely upon real conditions and actual warfare, requiring, on Mr. Stevensons’ part, the use of text-books and long conversations with military invalids; on mine, all the pocket-money derived from my publishing ventures as well as a considerable part of my printing stock in trade.

It ends with this clever poem:

For certain soldiers lately dead
Our reverent dirge shall here be said.
Them, when their martial leader called,
No dread preparative appalled;
But leaden-hearted, leaden-heeled,
I marked them steadfast in the field.
Death grimly sided with the foe,
And smote each leaden hero low.
Proudly they perished, one by one:
The dread Pea-cannon’s work was done!
O not for them the tears we shed,
Consigned to their congenial lead;
But while unmoved their sleep they take,
We mourn for their dear Captain’s sake,
For their dear Captain, who shall smart
Both in his pocket and his heart,
Who saw his heroes shed their gore
And lacked a shilling to buy more!

Wargame Developments Handbook: Black Game

Sunday, July 18th, 2004

The Wargame Developments Handbook defines a number of wargaming terms. I wasn’t familiar with the “black game” — but I was intrigued:

Sometimes referred to as ‘bad taste’ wargaming. A game specifically designed to explore the unpleasant or uncomfortable aspects of conflict. Most of these deal with areas not usually considered ‘suitable’ for games, such as terrorist attacks, bombing of population centres, or the moral dilemmas arising from conflict. Most wargames, however, contain ‘black’ elements; after all, playing a game about war can be considered in poor taste in itself. A controversial area of WD activities, surrounded by much hypocrisy. Two very successful examples of ‘Black Games’ were ‘Home Front 86′ where the players believed they were running a ‘refugee centre in Wales in WW3′ but ended up running a Concentration Camp similar in operation to Bergen-Belsen (See Disguised Scenario) and an experimental ‘Northern Ireland Workshop’ (See Workshop) where every aspect of the ‘troubles’ were examined using improvised theatre, role-play, and traditional gaming techniques.

Little Wars

Sunday, July 18th, 2004

H.G. Wells is known for practically creating the science-fiction genre (along with Jules Verne), but he also published the first set of commercial wargame rules, Little Wars, a follow-up to his Floor Games, about all the indoor games he played his sons. Little Wars opens with this amusing, if politically incorrect, intro:

Little Wars is the game of kings — for players in an inferior social position. It can be played by boys of every age from twelve to one hundred and fifty — and even later if the limbs remain sufficiently supple, — by girls of the better sort, and by a few rare and gifted women.

Wells’ wargame is really just a slightly formalized way of playing with toy soldiers. In fact, the rules depend on a particular toy artillery piece:

The beginning of the game of Little War, as we know it, became possible with the invention of the spring breechloader gun. This priceless gift to boyhood appeared somewhere towards the end of the last century, a gun capable of hitting a toy soldier nine times out of ten at a distance of nine yards. It has completely superseded all the spiral-spring and other makes of gun hitherto used in playroom warfare. These spring breechloaders are made in various sizes and patterns, but the one used in our game is that known in England as the four-point-seven gun. It fires a wooden cylinder about an inch long, and has a screw adjustment for elevation and depression. It is an altogether elegant weapon.

This origin story rings true:

It was with one of these guns that the beginning of our war game was made. It was at Sandgate — in England.

The present writer had been lunching with a friend — let me veil his identity under the initials J.K.J. — in a room littered with the irrepressible debris of a small boy’s pleasures. On a table near our own stood four or five soldiers and one of these guns. Mr J.K.J., his more urgent needs satisfied and the coffee imminent, drew a chair to this little table, sat down, examined the gun discreetly, loaded it warily, aimed, and hit his man. Thereupon he boasted of the deed, and issued challenges that were accepted with avidity….

By the way, “little wars” is a clever double entendre — the “little wars” of Queen Victoria were fought against various native groups in the colonies.

Kriegspiel

Sunday, July 18th, 2004

Wargames have been around, in some form or another, for quite some time. Most modern wargames derive from the Kriegspiel (literally wargame) of 19th-century Prussia:

The nineteenth-century Prussian game started life with a rigid structure and copious formal rules. The two sides were each placed in a separate room with a model of the terrain or a map. The umpires moved from one room to another collecting orders from the players, and then retired to a third room to consult the rules and find the results of combat. A great deal of their time was consumed in leafing through voluminous sets of rules, consulting tables and giving rulings on fine legal points. By about 1870, however, this rigid system was starting to be thought rather clumsy and time-consuming. Quite apart from the many defects and loopholes in the rules themselves, it reduced the umpires, who were often very senior officers, to the role of mere clerks and office boys. clearly, such a state of affairs was intolerable.

Most “modern” games of the 1980s (e.g., Squad Leader, Third Reich) followed the “voluminous sets of rules” model, but the Prussians moved away from it 100 years earlier:

It was General von verdy du Vernois who finally broke with this system, and abolished the rule book altogether. His approach to the wargame was the free kriegspiel, in which the umpire had a totally free hand to decide the result of moves and combats. He did not do this according to any set of written rules, but just on his own military knowledge and experience. He would collect the players’ moves in exactly the same way as before; but he would then simply give a considered professional opinion on the outcome. This speeded up the game a very great deal, and ensured that there was always a well thought-out reason for everything that happened. This was a great help in the debrief after the game, and it allowed players to learn by their mistakes very quickly.

A modern “free kriegspiel” often combines umpiring with a randomizer (e.g., a ten-sided die, or “nugget”):

The system for finding the results of combat in a free kriegspiel is classically simple. First of all the umpire looks at the position of each side: how many and what type of troops are involved; how their morale is bearing up; and what orders they have been given. He next considers the ground on which the action will be fought, and any special tactical problems which either side might encounter; whether there are any obstacles in the way of an attacker; whether a flank attack might be possible, and so on.

When the umpire has all relevant information at his disposal, he ought to be able to give an informed opinion on the probabilities of the result. He will not simply say something like ‘The French infantry hassuccessfully stormed the hill’, but will quote possibilities, such as: ‘The French have a 50% chance of storming the hill successfully; a 30% chance of capturing half of it, while disputing the rest; and a 20% chance of being totally repulsed. High scores favour the French’. It is important that the umpire is as specific as possible with these figures, as this forces him to consider all the factors involved in the combat and to think through the full implications of his decision. He must also be clear whether a high dice roll will be good or bad for the attacker, i.e., whether the top 50% (a die roll of 5-9) or the bottom 50% (a roll of 0-4) will mean the hill has been carried. In this case he has stated that the high score will be good for the attacker.

Excel ate my DNA | The Register

Sunday, July 18th, 2004

When Microsoft finally researched how their customers used Excel, they learned that they rarely used it as a spreadsheet; they used it primarily as a database (of sorts). Geneticists have been using Excel to process the massive amounts of data coming out of microarrays — but Excel wasn’t designed for that. From Excel ate my DNA:

Excel is widely used in genetic research to process microarray data. A microarray chip detects amounts of protein produced from thousands of different genes, enabling researchers to see which particular gene is being expressed in a sample of diseased tissue, for example.

The errors are introduced because some genetic identifiers look very like dates to Excel. If the spreadsheet is not properly set up, it will convert an identifier, such as SEPT2 to a date: 2-Sep. The conversion, the researchers say, is irreversible: once the error has been introduced, the original data is gone.

(Hat tip to Boing Boing.)

NPR : Status of Women in Iraq, Part II: Villages

Friday, July 16th, 2004

NPR : Status of Women in Iraq, Part II: Villages surprised me by noting that Oprah is the most popular television show in rural Iraq:

Women in Iraq’s cities have made strides in education and civil rights since the fall of Saddam Hussein. But rural women still struggle with illiteracy, poverty and confining traditions. They rarely leave their villages. Now the outside world is creeping into their lives via satellite TV. But shows like Oprah ? a favorite ? also underscore the problems facing rural women and the paucity of solutions to those problems.

One of the women interviewed (via interpreter) mentioned how she loved the stories about people surviving terrible medical conditions ? people in Iraq don’t get cured like that, she noted.

NPR : The Industrious Nature of ‘Bolero’

Friday, July 16th, 2004

The other night, I caught NPR : The Industrious Nature of ‘Bolero’:

Bolero started out as a ballet score commissioned by dancer Ida Rubenstein. Her troupe danced the composition’s first performance at the Paris Opera in 1928. It was an instant hit.

Ravel, whose roots were in the Basque country on the French-Spanish border, originally called the piece Fandango. As romantic as it may seem, Ravel said the pulsing, rhythmic composition was inspired by one of the factories he had visited with his father, who was an engineer.

“It’s the orchestra that makes it work,” Hoffman says. “It’s the colors in the orchestra. He keeps adding instruments, he keeps changing the orchestration. But he doesn’t change the tune, he doesn’t change the harmony, he doesn’t change the rhythm. Nothing changes except the orchestration — and the volume.”

The radio show cited an amusingly named CD compilation of nothing but Bolero variants: Ravel’s Greatest Hit: The Ultimate Bolero. (Note the singular Hit.)

Hating America

Thursday, July 15th, 2004

Bruce Bawer’s Hating America explains how he discovered America’s strengths:

I moved from the U.S. to Europe in 1998, and I’ve been drawing comparisons ever since. Living in turn in the Netherlands, where kids come out of high school able to speak four languages, where gay marriage is a non-issue, and where book-buying levels are the world’s highest, and in Norway, where a staggering percentage of people read three newspapers a day and where respect for learning is reflected even in Oslo place names (“Professor Aschehoug Square”; “Professor Birkeland Road”), I was tempted at one point to write a book lamenting Americans’ anti-intellectualism—their indifference to foreign languages, ignorance of history, indifference to academic achievement, susceptibility to vulgar religion and trash TV, and so forth. On point after point, I would argue, Europe had us beat.

Yet as my weeks in the Old World stretched into months and then years, my perceptions shifted. [...] Living in Europe, I gradually came to appreciate American virtues I’d always taken for granted, or even disdained — among them a lack of self-seriousness, a grasp of irony and self-deprecating humor, a friendly informality with strangers, an unashamed curiosity, an openness to new experience, an innate optimism, a willingness to think for oneself and speak one’s mind and question the accepted way of doing things.

While reviewing a number of books on the subject, he cites some ideas from Revel’s Anti-Americanism:

Item by item, Revel refutes the European media’s picture of America. Poverty? An American at the poverty level has about the same standard of living as the average citizen of Greece or Portugal. (Indeed, according to a recent study by the Swedish Trade Research Institute, Swedes have a slightly lower standard of living than black Americans—a devastating statistic for Scandinavians, for whom both the unparalleled success of their own welfare economies and the pitiable poverty of blacks in the racist U.S. are articles of faith.) Crime? America has grown safer, while the French ignore their own rising crime levels, a consequence of “permanent street warfare” by Muslim immigrants “who don’t consider themselves subject to the laws of the land” and of authorities with “anti-law-and-order ideologies.” Revel contrasts France’s increasingly problematic division into ethnic Frenchmen and unassimilated immigrants with “America’s truly diverse, multifaceted society,” pointing out that “the success and originality of American integration stems precisely from the fact that immigrants’ descendants can perpetuate their ancestral cultures while thinking of themselves as American citizens in the fullest sense.” Bingo. (Most Americans, I think, would be shocked to realize how far short of America Europe falls in this regard.)