Obsolete Yet Deadly

Monday, October 14th, 2013

As US forces prepared for Operation Olympic, the invasion of the Japanese home islands, the Japanese prepared for Ketsu-Go, their own defensive operation, which involved an obsolete yet deadly force:

By the time the Battle of Okinawa was winding down, “Ketsu-Go” was in full swing on Kyushu and a key part of the defense was the use of massed kamikaze attacks. But the state of Japanese aircraft industry was in disarray with the B-29 attacks and the ongoing ore shortages. In July 1945 to meet the required numbers of kamikaze aircraft, all of the training units were converted to kamikaze units which added thousands of experienced pilots but over 5,000 antiquated biplane trainers made of wood and fabric.

But again, at this point in the war, no one in Japan had realized that an elderly biplane trainer was a lot harder to spot on radar — plans at that point were to offset the slow performance of the biplane aircraft by shifting the kamikaze attacks to the night time, the traditional sanctuary period for the American fleet. However, somewhere in the Japanese command structure connected all the dots — on the night of 28 July 1945, the Fletcher-class destroyer USS Callaghan was on radar picket duty off the coast of Okinawa.

In a time before the advent of airborne early warning aircraft, radar picket destroyers patrolled the edges of the fleet to search for inbound kamikazes. On this night, an elderly biplane floatplane, most likely a Yokosuka K4Y1 trainer, was warded off on its first pass, but it came around undetected for a second pass and struck the destroyer, sinking it with the loss of 47 sailors. The following night, another elderly biplane struck another radar picket, the USS Cassin Young — though not sunk, 22 sailors were killed and the ship had to withdraw from action for repairs. A third destroyer, the USS Prichett, was aiding the stricken Callaghan, was very nearly sunk by another elderly biplane on a kamikaze mission.

Yokosuka K5Y biplane trainer

The destroyers had difficulty on downing the attackers for three reasons — it was night, not the usual time kamikazes attacked, secondly, the wood and fabric biplanes were difficult to spot and track on radar, and lastly the wood and fabric construction threw off the proximity fuses of the anti-aircraft guns — the proximity fuse’s sensor that triggered the detonation of the round was optimized for metal aircraft; against the old wood and fabric biplanes, the proximity fuzes detonated the round too late, or in some cases, not at all.

The action that night against those three radar picket destroyers changed thinking on the role of the 5,000+ elderly biplane aircraft that were going to be used as kamikazes for “Ketsu-Go”. Here was an unexpected weapon that could counter the American technological advantages in radar and proximity-fuzed shells fired by anti-aircraft guns. American intelligence analysts had seen the massive change in the air forces of Japan in the summer of 1945 and were well aware of Japanese interests in wood, but it hadn’t occurred to the Navy that this was a possibly game-changing combination that would have threatened initial phases of Operation Olympic.

It was assumed that fuel shortages would keep most Japanese aircraft grounded and this misconception was reinforced by the increasing lack of air action against the B-29 raids and that US warships even managed to get close enough to the Home Islands to shell coastal targets without getting attacked. In fact, the Japanese had stockpiled fuel just for the use of the kamikazes in “Ketsu-Go”.

Art Nouveau Game of Thrones Posters

Sunday, October 13th, 2013

Elin Jonsson has produced a series of Art Nouveau Game of Thrones posters:

Art Nouveau Daenerys

Art Nouveau Margaery

Art Nouveau Sansa

The X Factor for Clutch Performance

Sunday, October 13th, 2013

Do clutch performers have some special X factor? Not exactly, Daniel Coyle says:

At the very top levels, studies show that clutch performers are a persuasive mirage (here and here). Performance under pressure tracks extremely closely with the rest of performance — great performers remain great, average performers remain average. After all, these people rise to the top level precisely because they have the ability to deliver under pressure. The clutchness we perceive is a function of good old luck and our intense desire to believe in it.

At lower levels (where most of us live), performing under pressure is essentially about emotional control — as Kipling put it, of keeping your head when all about you are losing theirs. And that is where intensive practice seems to make a difference (for an example, check out this article on teaching emotional control in school).

In my experience, top performers make a habit of pre-creating pressure situations in vivid detail, so that when the time comes, they’re ready.

The Original 1976 Star Wars Teaser Trailer

Saturday, October 12th, 2013

The original 1976 Star Wars teaser trailer seems oddly menacing — and thus more Dune-like, I suppose:

Genius Half-Volleys

Saturday, October 12th, 2013

These “genius” half-volleys from Roger Federer do impress:

One of the commentators exclaimed that you can’t teach that, but I have to think that some coach out there is putting his players through half-volley drills right now.

(Hat tip to Paleo Retiree.)

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean

Saturday, October 12th, 2013

Know, O prince, that between the years when the oceans drank Atlantis and the gleaming cities, and the years of the rise of the sons of Aryas, there was an Age undreamed of, when shining kingdoms lay spread across the world like blue mantles beneath the stars… Hither came Conan, the Cimmerian, black-haired, sullen-eyed, sword in hand, a thief, a reaver, a slayer, with gigantic melancholies and gigantic mirth, to tread the jeweled thrones of the Earth under his sandaled feet.
The Nemedian Chronicles

That’s what comes to mind as I behold these once-majestic cities that sank beneath the ocean:

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 01

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 02

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 03

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 04

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 05

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 06

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 07

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 08

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 09

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 10

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 11

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 12

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 13

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 14

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 15

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 16

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 17

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 18

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 19

Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 20

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Once-Majestic Cities That Sank Beneath The Ocean 23

OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERA

“Look upon my works, ye mighty, and despair.”

Those last few remind me of a different Weird Tales regular.

Anyway, those are just some of the images. Check them all out.

The 7th Voyage of Sinbad

Friday, October 11th, 2013

One of the most iconic movie scenes of my childhood is the scene from the original Star Wars of Luke Skywalker grabbing Princess Leia and swinging across the chasm.

Star Wars Luke and Leia Swing

I recently watched The 7th Voyage of Sinbad, the 1958 fantasy film featuring special effects — in Dynamation! — by Ray Harryhausen, and I couldn’t miss the obvious inspiration for Lucas’s later scene.

7th Voyage of Sinbad Swing

I’ve mentioned the skeleton scene before.

Near the end of the movie, Sinbad unchains the dragon guarding the cave entrance so it will fight a cyclops just outside, and the fight is a clear homage to the classic stop-motion match between King Kong and the T-Rex.

Kong uses superior technique:

Everything is a remix.

How Larry Bond Met Tom Clancy

Friday, October 11th, 2013

Larry Bond was a US Navy officer when he published his war game, Harpoon, in 1980 — which brought him to Tom Clancy’s attention:

Foreign Policy: How did you and Tom Clancy meet?

Larry Bond: Harpoon was published in April 1980. I would get letters from enthusiasts with questions about naval systems and stuff. Tom Clancy’s was one of the letters I got with questions about naval warfare. I answered it. Didn’t think more anything about it. Tom sent a follow-up letter with more questions, and we eventually started talking on the phone. We became good friends. He would call and we would chew the fat for hours. That’s why I always answer my mail. You never know where a letter is going to lead.

FP: What was Clancy like?

LB: He was knowledgeable and asked questions. He was always playing with concepts. Can you do this in real life? How does this thing work under the hood? For instance, electronic support measures (ESM), which is using an enemy’s radar and radio signals to determine his location. And he not only figured out how to use cross-bearing to triangulate the target, but he would ask, how wide is that beam? What is your margin of error? He really wanted to know how things worked. He was always exploring whatever issues interested him. He would bang the rocks together and come up with very correct answers.

When we were plotting Red Storm Rising — the core of the story is a NATO-Soviet war in the North Atlantic — he looked at Iceland and said, “this is a strategic piece of real estate. The Russians are going to want this.” I told him the Russian Navy wasn’t set up for this. They didn’t have the amphibious groups we have. Tom goes, “no, no, they need to take this.” We set up a Harpoon battle called the Great Keflavik Turkey Shoot that sort of validated what Tom was saying. If there are U.S. fighters based in Iceland, and Soviet Backfire bombers tried to strike convoys in the Atlantic, even just a few fighters would indeed tear a hunk out of the bomber stream. But what I couldn’t tell him at the time was that I had been working at the Center of Naval Analyses where there were several very classified studies going on about the strategic nature of Iceland. People were thinking about this hard, and Tom just pulled it out of the air.

FP: Is it true that Harpoon was the basis for the Hunt for Red October?

LB: Harpoon was one of the data sources for Hunt for Red October. The real basis for the book was the Storozhevoy Incident (where a Soviet destroyer unsuccessfully attempted to defect in 1975). Tom looked at that and thought, “What if that hadn’t been a surface ship that could be stopped easily, but a sub which couldn’t be easily found? And what if it was a brand-new ballistic missile sub?”

As far as technical stats, there are very few numbers in Hunt for Red October. People always focus on where he got all his information. If you pick up The Boy’s Book of Submarines, and The Boy’s Book of Sonar, you have 90 percent of what Tom had. What he got out of Harpoon was some weapon names, speed of ships, and so on.

When I wrote Harpoon, I was still in the Navy, so I deliberately did not go to any classified data sources I had. But there was a Navy training game called NAVTAG [Naval Tactical Game]. It was classified, which made it hard to distribute. So I wrote Harpoon as a training game. It wasn’t classified so we could leave the game lying around. I wrote it with simple rules because most naval officers are not gamers. But I was thinking about making Harpoon a commercial release, so in the game, I explained things like what a convergence zone was, or how passive sonar worked. And I think that’s what Tom liked. There was so much explanatory text in the game.

Conservation is Hard

Friday, October 11th, 2013

Conservation is hard, Greg Cochran notes — but so is driving a prey animal to extinction:

Even if the population as a whole would be better off if a given prey species persisted in fair numbers, any single individual would benefit from cheating — even from eating the very last mammoth.

More complicated societies, with private property and draconian laws against poaching, do better, but even they don’t show much success in preserving a tasty prey species over the long haul. Considers the aurochs, the wild ancestor of the cow. The Indian version seems to have been wiped out 4–5,000 years ago. The Eurasian version was still common in Roman times, but was rare by the 13th century, surviving only in Poland. Theoretically, only members of the Piast dynasty could hunt aurochsen — but they still went extinct in 1627.

How then did edible species survive in pre-state societies? I can think of several ways in which some species managed to survive voracious humans, but none of them involve green intent.

First you have to realize that driving a prey species to extinction is unusual: it doesn’t happen often with normal predators. Specialized predators obviously can’t do it — when their prey gets scarce, so do they. On the other hand, unspecialized predators generally won’t be as efficient. On the gripping hand, at any given moment, a predator and its prey have been co-evolving (and co-existing) for millions of years. Both are highly optimized — which means that further improvements would be difficult — and it shouldn’t easy for the predator to suddenly develop a crushing superiority. This argument doesn’t apply to newly introduced predators, of course.

Mass extinction is even less likely, because even an unspecialized predator should become rare when the total amount of prey (all relevant species) goes way down.. Unless this potent predator is really an omnivore — but that means even less specialization in predation. Omnivores (bears, for example) usually aren’t that effective.

If we go back far enough, protohumans simply weren’t very good hunters, because they weren’t smart. Lions manage to be pretty good predators without being particularly smart, but humans, who don’t have impressive natural armament, have to succeed in hunting through tools and social cooperation. They were probably death on turtles early on, but in general early humans advanced slowly, giving prey species lots of time to adapt — African and Eurasian species, that is.

The pace of innovation gradually increased, and I can think of some species in Africa and Eurasia that were probably ganked by humans a long time ago — but it wasn’t dramatic. Progress in hunting, new tactics and weapons, was still slow enough to allow adaptive response in prey species. Consider the Neanderthals: I can’t think of a single species they wiped out. Wimps.

By the Upper Paleolithic, modern humans were innovating much more rapidly, and human-driven extinction starts to become really important. It wasn’t just better hunting that mattered. Better food preparation — getting more out of each carcass — increased human density, and thus hunting intensity. You might think that greater efficiency would mean that we didn’t need to bring down as many beasts — not so, in a Malthusian world.

Developing new ways of gathering food other than hunting, such as fishing and better preparation of plant foods, meant that human density could stay high even as mammal biomass crashed. Innovations in clothing and housing let people colonize the high Arctic, and eventually the Americas. Invention of boats and rafts led to the colonization of Australia and numerous islands.

We were omnivores and generalists: population collapse of prey species couldn’t stop us. We could kill anything — but the biggest threat of extinction was to large animals, which were worth a lot (mucho calories for the tribe) and bred slowly. Worst off were those animals that had never had a chance to adapt to humans.

There were some modifying factors. It probably wasn’t just adaptation to humans that saved much of the African megafauna: African pathogens may have played a role too, keeping human numbers down and possibly even creating natural game preserves (I’m thinking of sleeping sickness). Contrariwise, Australia and the Americas were almost disease-free, as far as humans were concerned.

War is bad for us, good for our prey. The no-man’s land between hostile tribes is oddly full of game, since people are afraid to go there. In much the same way, rabbits flourished next to the Berlin Wall, while Asiatic black bears and musk deer inhabit the Korean DMZ.

One Mind, Any Weapon

Thursday, October 10th, 2013

I recently mentioned that the US Army has dropped bayonet training and watered down combatives training.

I don’t know how I missed this video from a few years ago, but it suggests that the Marines take close-quarters combat rather seriously:

It also makes the point that mixed-martial artists, despite their cross-training, have hyper-specialized on one-on-one, unarmed combat.

The Marines they’re dealing with aren’t run-of-the-mill Marines, of course. They’re likely black-belts in the Marine Corps Martial Arts Program. I don’t know how much training they have over and above the bare requirements, but a black-belt in that system only requires as many hours as a BJJ blue belt (the first belt after white).

By the way, that “Last of the Mohicans” exercise looks like fun.

Consulting Disruption

Thursday, October 10th, 2013

Two factors — opacity and agility — have long made consulting immune to disruption.

Like most other professional services, consulting is highly opaque compared with manufacturing-based companies. The most prestigious firms have evolved into “solution shops” whose recommendations are created in the black box of the team room. It’s incredibly difficult for clients to judge a consultancy’s performance in advance, because they are usually hiring the firm for specialized knowledge and capability that they themselves lack. It’s even hard to judge after a project has been completed, because so many external factors, including quality of execution, management transition, and the passage of time, influence the outcome of the consultants’ recommendations. As a result, a critical mechanism of disruption is disabled.

Therefore, as Andrew von Nordenflycht, of Simon Fraser University, and other scholars have shown, clients rely on brand, reputation, and “social proof” — that is, the professionals’ educational pedigrees, eloquence, and demeanor — as substitutes for measurable results, giving incumbents an advantage. Price is often seen as a proxy for quality, buoying the premiums charged by name-brand firms. In industries where opacity is high, we’ve observed, new competitors typically enter the market by emulating incumbents’ business models rather than disrupting them.

The agility of top consulting firms — their practiced ability to move smoothly from big idea to big idea — allows them to respond flexibly to threats of disruption. Their primary assets are human capital and their fixed investments are minimal; they aren’t hamstrung by substantial resource allocation decisions. These big firms are the antithesis of the U.S. Steel of disruption lore. Consider how capably McKinsey and others were able to respond when BCG started to gain fame for its strategy frameworks.

Westgate Mall Attack

Wednesday, October 9th, 2013

This account of the Westgate mall attack in Nairobi, Kenya included a few bits that jumped out at me. The attack started at lunch time:

1pm

[Kenyan navy sergeant major] Musungu had run out through the vehicle exit from the basement on the far side of Westgate from the attackers. He found armed guards from a bank’s private security firm, who had abandoned an armoured car used for money collections, cowering in a corner. He shouted at them: “Why don’t you return fire?”

1.10pm

Officers from Nairobi police’s flying squad arrived at the scene but initially refused to enter. Meanwhile, armed volunteers from a neighbourhood watch scheme run by Kenyan-Indians in the nearby district of Parklands arrived.

Together with at least two uniformed police, Musungu and his colleague, they numbered roughly 30 and split into two groups. One team was detailed to take the ground floor, the other, led by Kenya Red Cross secretary-general Abbas Gullet, climbed the ramp to the roof-top parking. Other armed “samaritans” including Somali-Kenyan Abdul Hajji, the son of a former defence minister, Mohamed Yussuf Hajji, who had been texting his brother who was trapped inside, reached the scene soon afterwards.

1.15pm

The ground floor team said they saw at least two gunmen who were “walking not running”, picking their targets. Terrified shoppers ran into the cavernous supermarket pursued by the attackers who exchanged fire with Musungu’s irregular band. His friend from the diplomatic police was hit in the thigh and Musungu helped him outside. Several people were injured and Reuters photographer Goran Tomasevic, who had entered the mall after the attacks began, helped to get them outside.

In some places the gunmen stopped to separate Muslims from non-Muslims. In one case, shocked by the audacity of four-year-old British boy Elliot Prior, who scolded a gunman for shooting and injuring his mother, the militant showed mercy and spared his life. In others cases, such as at the Urban Gourmet Burger restaurant — where Australian-Briton Ross Langdon and his Dutch partner Elif Yavuz died — people were slaughtered en masse.

On the roof, a British man with close-cropped hair and a background in the SAS ushered the survivors through a side entrance to the third floor Java Coffee shop, from where a fire escape led to the ground floor and safety.

At the same time, a shaven-headed man who two witnesses said was Israeli had reached Hakim and others on the second floor. The man asked Hakim if he knew how to use a weapon and offered him a handgun. “I’d never fired a gun, so I had to say no,” he said. Along with at least a dozen others, the clerk was led up one floor and out through the fire escape.

4pm

Three-and-a-half hours after the first shots were fired, Kenya’s equivalent of a Swat team, the police reconnaissance unit known as the “recce group”, arrived at the mall. Wearing black body armour and helmets, armed with machine guns and trained for hostage and siege situations, they were the best-equipped to deal with the attackers, and were able to pin them down inside Nakumatt.

The first army units also arrived, including infantry from the Embakasi base outside Nairobi and US-trained Kenyan rangers from their base in the Rift Valley. Behind the scenes a power struggle was emerging between the police chief David Kimaiyo and the army head, Julius Karangi, over whose forces would take the lead. First to move in was the recce group, followed shortly afterwards by Kenyan army (KDF) soldiers.

5.30pm

Now with substantial numbers of military or paramilitary personnel on site, the authorities had not yet established a clear command and control structure. With no radio communications between army and police units, KDF soldiers opened fire on what they thought was an armed suspect — but who was in fact one of the commanders of the recce group. The man died, and three police officers and one soldier were wounded in the exchange. After this all units were pulled out of the mall and for the next two hours the operation came to a standstill as heated arguments raged that went all the way to the State House and the office of Uhuru Kenyatta, Kenya’s president.

“There was a lot of politics going on,” said one soldier close to the makeshift command centre. As night fell and no nightvision equipment was available, it was decided that the police chief, Kimaiyo, would be in overall charge of the operation.

The aftermath does not point to Kenyan competence:

A day later, footage emerged of the inside of Artcaffe showing scores of empty beer and spirit bottles littering the tables and lining the bar, where only Kenyan security forces had any access during the siege.

The owners of the second floor Millionaire’s Casino — who had emptied the safe while the siege was still officially underway — returned four days later to discover that while the premises were under government control someone had attempted to shoot their way into the safe.

The Secret Race

Wednesday, October 9th, 2013

The Secret Race deserves to be read alongside The Sports Gene, Malcolm Gladwell says:

“Lance and Ferrari showed me there were more variables than I’d ever imagined, and they all mattered: wattages, cadence, intervals, zones, joules, lactic acid, and, of course, hematocrit,” Hamilton writes. “Each ride was a math problem: a precisely mapped set of numbers for us to hit…. It’s one thing to go ride for six hours. It’s another to ride for six hours following a program of wattages and cadences, especially when those wattages and cadences are set to push you to the ragged edge of your abilities.”

Hematocrit, the last of those variables, was the number they cared about most. It refers to the percentage of the body’s blood that is made up of oxygen-carrying red blood cells. The higher the hematocrit, the more endurance you have. (Mäntyranta had a very high hematocrit.) The paradox of endurance sports is that an athlete can never work as hard as he wants, because if he pushes himself too far his hematocrit will fall. Hamilton had a natural hematocrit of forty-two per cent — which is on the low end of normal. By the third week of the Tour de France, he would be at thirty-six per cent, which meant a six-per-cent decrease in his power — in the force he could apply to his pedals. In a sport where power differentials of a tenth of a per cent can be decisive, this “qualifies as a deal breaker.”

For the members of the Postal Service squad, the solution was to use the hormone EPO and blood transfusions to boost their hematocrits as high as they could without raising suspicion. (Before 2000, there was no test for EPO itself, so riders were not allowed to exceed a hematocrit of fifty per cent.) Then they would add maintenance doses over time, to counteract the deterioration in their hematocrit caused by races and workouts. The procedures were precise and sophisticated. Testosterone capsules were added to the mix to aid recovery. They were referred to as “red eggs.” EPO (a.k.a. erythropoietin), a naturally occurring hormone that increases the production of red blood cells, was Edgar — short for Edgar Allan Poe. During the Tour de France, and other races, bags of each rider’s blood were collected in secret locations at predetermined intervals, then surreptitiously ferried from stage to stage in refrigerated containers for strategic transfusions. The window of vulnerability after taking a drug — the interval during which doping could be detected — was called “glowtime.” Most riders who doped (and in the Armstrong era, it now appears, nearly all the top riders did) would take two thousand units of Edgar subcutaneously every couple of days, which meant they “glowed” for a dangerously long time. Armstrong and his crew practiced microdosing, taking five hundred units of Edgar nightly and injecting the drug directly into the vein, where it was dispersed much more quickly.

“The Secret Race” is full of paragraphs like this:

The trick with getting Edgar in your vein, of course, is that you have to get it in the vein. Miss the vein — inject it in the surrounding tissue — and Edgar stays in your body far longer; you might test positive. Thus, microdosing requires a steady hand and a good sense of feel, and a lot of practice; you have to sense the tip of the needle piercing the wall of the vein, and draw back the plunger to get a little bit of blood so you know you’re in. In this, as in other things, Lance was blessed: he had veins like water mains. Mine were small, which was a recurring headache.

Hamilton was eventually caught and was suspended from professional cycling. He became one of the first in his circle to implicate Lance Armstrong, testifying before federal investigators and appearing on “60 Minutes.” He says that he regrets his years of using performance-enhancing drugs. The lies and duplicity became an unbearable burden. His marriage fell apart. He sank into a depression. His book is supposed to serve as his apology. At that task, it fails. Try as he might — and sometimes he doesn’t seem to be trying very hard — Hamilton cannot explain why a sport that has no problem with the voluntary induction of anorexia as a performance-enhancing measure is so upset about athletes infusing themselves with their own blood.

“Dope is not really a magical boost as much as it is a way to control against declines,” Hamilton writes. Doping meant that cyclists finally could train as hard as they wanted. It was the means by which pudgy underdogs could compete with natural wonders. “People think doping is for lazy people who want to avoid hard work,” Hamilton writes. For many riders, the opposite was true:

EPO granted the ability to suffer more; to push yourself farther and harder than you’d ever imagined, in both training and racing. It rewarded precisely what I was good at: having a great work ethic, pushing myself to the limit and past it. I felt almost giddy: this was a new landscape. I began to see races differently. They weren’t rolls of the genetic dice, or who happened to be on form that day. They didn’t depend on who you were. They depended on what you did — how hard you worked, how attentive and professional you were in your preparation.

The Last Lion

Tuesday, October 8th, 2013

Foseti opens his review of The Last Lion by Paul Reid with this quote from the book, which is a biography of Winston Churchill:

Given their distrust of Stalin, why did two such brilliant politicians as Churchill and Roosevelt remain so loyal to an ideological enemy who for almost twenty years had terrorized his own people while declaring capitalism to be his mortal foe?

Good question!

Churchill fought the war to save the empire. Alas, his only strategy for winning the war consisted in getting the US to join the war on his side. The price the US would ultimately demand was the end of the empire.

Churchill once said that if hell would fight Hitler, he’d find something nice to say about the devil. I’m sure he meant it in jest — but it ended up being all too true. A fact Churchill saw well before the war ended and decades before the most brilliant minds in US diplomacy figured it out.

In the end, the story of Churchill is a tragedy. The very values he fought for were compromised by the Allies he ultimately chose. Far from delivering the world into the sun-lit uplands of liberty, his victory delivered most of the world into hands of horrors at least bad — likely worse — than the ones he fought.

I suspect we all have trouble seeing the war through the eyes of the people who hadn’t fought it yet, and they had trouble seeing the war playing out so differently from the previous war.

The Russians needed all the help they could get, because they were obviously going to get knocked out of the war by the Germans.

When France fell almost overnight, they interpreted that as not as this is a very different war but as Germany is even stronger this time around.

I think. I’m no expert, and, as I’ve said before, this all makes less sense the more I learn.

Suppressors in Combat

Tuesday, October 8th, 2013

Weapons Man points to a “ruined” video demonstrating just how quiet a suppressed .22 can be to suggest that most armies will be using suppressors in combat in the near future:

It is an extreme advantage for a small element to have suppressors, when the enemy does not. In combat, the distinct sound and light signatures of friendly and enemy weapons are very important for both sides to assess the action and identify key opposing weapons.

If you’re suppressed and he’s not, he’s got a whole lot of kaBANG going off close to his ears, and he is going to have a hard time detecting, let alone locating, the toonks your suppressed weapons are making.

Since suppressors are cheap — they’re only $50 to $100 worth of machine time and material, in series production, or only $1000 to $2000 after the overhead of the Defense Acquisitions Process is larded on to them, which is still cheap as DOd buys go — the time will come when everybody has them. That time will come very quickly to all the world’s armies as they start to see the results of firefights with asymmetrical use of suppression.

The counterpoint is that doinkers lose.