Anarchy and Power

Thursday, January 22nd, 2009

In trying to give a gentle introduction to his political thoughts, Mencius Moldbug notes that western civilization has been moving steadily leftward for centuries, away from law and order and toward an odd form of anarchy, all under the influence of intellectuals:

One of the key reasons that intellectuals are fascinated by disorder, in my opinion, is the fact that disorder is an extreme case of complexity. And as you make the structure of authority in an organization more complex, more informal, or both — as you fragment it, eliminating hierarchical execution structures under which one individual decides and is responsible for the result, and replacing them with highly fragmented, highly consensual, and highly process-oriented structures in which ten, twenty or a hundred people can truthfully claim to have contributed to the outcome, you increase the amount of power, status, patronage, and employment produced.

Of course, you also make the organization less efficient and effective, and you make working in it a lot less fun for everyone — you have gone from startup to Dilbert. This is Brezhnevian sclerosis, the fatal disease of organizations in a highly regulated environment. All work is guided by some systematic process, in which each rule was contributed by someone whose importance was a function of how many rules he added. In the future, we will all work for the government. Individually, this is the last thing your average intellectual wants to do, but it is the direction in which his collective acts are pushing us.

In short: intellectuals cluster to the left, generally adopting as a social norm the principle of pas d’ennemis à gauche, pas d’amis à droit, because like everyone else they are drawn to power. The left is chaos and anarchy, and the more anarchy you have, the more power there is to go around. The more orderly a system is, the fewer people get to issue orders. The same asymmetry is why corporations and the military, whose system of hierarchical executive authority is inherently orderly, cluster to the right.

Why so many minds think alike

Thursday, January 22nd, 2009

Recent research explains why so many minds think alike:

A new study in the journal Neuron shows when people hold an opinion differing from others in a group, their brains produce an error signal. A zone of the brain popularly called the “oops area” becomes extra active, while the “reward area” slows down, making us think we are too different.

“We show that a deviation from the group opinion is regarded by the brain as a punishment,” said Vasily Klucharev, postdoctoral fellow at the F.C. Donders Centre for Cognitive Neuroimaging at Radboud University Nijmegen in the Netherlands and lead author of the study.

Is Obama a type P?

Thursday, January 22nd, 2009

Is Obama a type P? Arnold Kling thinks so — but I found his discussion of Judging (J) versus Perceiving (P) more interesting than any characterization of our newly anointed savior:

This Myers-Briggs site explains type P as follows:
A Judging (J) style approaches the outside world with a plan and is oriented towards organizing one’s surroundings, being prepared, making decisions and reaching closure and completion.

A Perceiving (P) style takes the outside world as it comes and is adopting and adapting, flexible, open-ended and receptive to new opportunities and changing game plans.

There is a classic joke about a rabbi who is asked to resolve a dispute. The first disputant makes his case, and the rabbi says, “You’re right.” The other disputant makes his case, and the rabbi says, “You’re right.” A member of the audience complains, “They can’t both be right.” After a pause, the rabbi says, “You’re right, too!”

The rabbi is classic type P.

In Adam Michaelson’s memoir of his days as a marketing manager for Countrywide, he describes one experience in which he and another manager were assigned to be co-leaders of a project. The first time that they get together, it becomes clear that each had been led to expect broad authority, with the result that their conceptions of their jobs overlap and contradict with one another. It is reasonable to presume that the boss who set them up in this was was a type P. It seems to me that President Obama is creating potential issues of this type with so many heavyweight appointees, particularly in domestic policy.

Suppose that you have a project that is in trouble. If the project leader is a type J, she will call a meeting to whip people into shape. She will settle questions, re-affirm deadlines, and get people to commit to tasks. The team members who are J’s will leave the meeting relieved and energized. The team members who are P’s will leave the meeting feeling railroaded and bullied.

If the project leader is a type P (not as common for project managers), she will call a meeting to gather information. She will find out what everyone’s concerns are and compile a list of issues. She will announce her intentions to take the input from the meeting and, working with other senior leaders, put together a revised work plan. The team members who are P’s will feel relieved and reassured. The team members who are J’s will feel demoralized and directionless.

For a J, the most dysfunctional way to run a meeting is to re-open for discussion late in the meeting an issue that was supposedly settled at the very beginning. For a P, the most dysfunctional way to run a meeting is to make decisions before all aspects of the problem have been thoroughly considered.

The strength of a J manager is clarity. Decisions are clear, and changes of strategy are communicated formally and explicitly. Subordinates know their roles and responsibilities. However, the J manager may stick with a bad plan for too long, just for the sake of sticking to the plan. Moreover, a J manager may cut himself off from useful input, because he lacks the patience to encourage dissent or “thinking out loud.” Some descriptions of President Bush make him sound like a J. Within the organization, unhappiness comes from those who believe that their point of view is being suppressed.

The P manager’s strengths and weaknesses are the opposite. It is more likely that views outside the consensus will be heard. Plans will be more fluid, with few qualms about changing course. In fact, subordinates will often be caught by surprise, because the P manager will have changed direction without bothering to inform everyone. Subordinates may not even be able to tell when a decision has been made. You might leave a meeting believing that your point of view has won out, but in fact the P manager has not really committed himself. People with different points of view can each believe that they are aligned with the leader, so that they feel betrayed when decisions do not go as expected. Within the organization, unhappiness comes from those who believe that the failure to get their way reflects the malevolence and political ruthlessness of their rivals.

Angel of Twins

Thursday, January 22nd, 2009

Argentine historian Jorge Camarasa argues in his new book — Mengele: the Angel of Death in South America — that the infamous Auschwitz “medic” was also the Angel of Twins:

For years scientists have failed to discover why as many as one in five pregnancies in a small Brazilian town have resulted in twins — most of them blond haired and blue eyed.
[...]
He claims that Mengele found refuge in the German enclave of Colonias Unidas, Paraguay, and from there, in 1963, began to make regular trips to another predominantly German community just over the border in Brazil — the farming community of Candido Godoi.
[...]
“I think Candido Godoi may have been Mengele’s laboratory, where he finally managed to fulfil his dreams of creating a master race of blond haired, blue eyed Aryans,” he said.

“There is testimony that he attended women, followed their pregnancies, treated them with new types of drugs and preparations, that he talked of artificial insemination in human beings, and that he continued working with animals, proclaiming that he was capable of getting cows to produce male twins.”

The urbane German who arrived in Candido Godoi was remembered with fondness by many of the townspeople.

“He told us he was a vet,” said Aloisi Finkler, a local farmer interviewed by Mr Camarasa. “He asked about illnesses we had among our animals, and told us not to worry, he could cure them. He appeared a cultured and dignified man.”

Another farmer, Leonardo Boufler, said: “He went from farm to farm checking the animals. He checked them for TB, and injected those that were infected. He said he could carry out artificial insemination of cows and humans, which we thought impossible as in those days it was unheard of.”

But the Nazi eugenicist did not concentrate on animals alone.

A former mayor and town doctor, Anencia Flores da Silva, set out to try to solve the town’s mystery. He interviewed hundreds of people, and discovered one character who crept on cropping up: an itinerant medic calling himself Rudolph Weiss.

Dr da Silva said: “In the testimonies we collected we came across women who were treated by him, he appeared to be some sort of rural medic who went from house to house. He attended women who had varicose veins and gave them a potion which he carried in a bottle, or tablets which he brought with him. Sometimes he carried out dental work, and everyone remembers he used to take blood.”

The people of Candido Godoi now largely accept that a Nazi war criminal was an inadvertent guest of theirs for several years in the early 1960s. The town’s official crest shows two identical profiles and a road sign welcomes visitors to a “Farming Community and Land of the Twins”. There is also a museum, the House of the Twins.

While the twins birthrate varies widely in different countries, it is typically about one in 80 pregnancies — a statistic that has left Mr Camarasa certain in his claim that Mengele was successfully pursuing his dreams of creating a master race, a real-life Boys from Brazil.

“Nobody knows for sure exactly what date Mengele arrived in Candido Godoi, but the first twins were born in 1963, the year in which we first hear reports of his presence,” he said.

A New Kind of Mind

Thursday, January 22nd, 2009

I finally got around to reading the answers to the Edge Annual Question for 2009:

What will change everything? What game-changing scientific ideas and developments do you expect to live to see?

I like the way Kevin Kelly approaches Artificial Intelligence, which he calls a new kind of mind:

It is hard to imagine anything that would “change everything” as much as a cheap, powerful, ubiquitous artificial intelligence — the kind of synthetic mind that learns and improves itself. A very small amount of real intelligence embedded into an existing process would boost its effectiveness to another level. We could apply mindfulness wherever we now apply electricity. The ensuing change would be hundreds of times more disruptive to our lives than even the transforming power of electrification. We’d use artificial intelligence the same way we’ve exploited previous powers — by wasting it on seemingly silly things. Of course we’d plan to apply AI to tough research problems like curing cancer, or solving intractable math problems, but the real disruption will come from inserting wily mindfulness into vending machines, our shoes, books, tax returns, automobiles, email, and pulse meters.

This additional intelligence need not be super-human, or even human-like at all. In fact, the greatest benefit of an artificial intelligence would come from a mind that thought differently than humans, since we already have plenty of those around. The game-changer is neither how smart this AI is, nor its variety, but how ubiquitous it is.

He sees such AI emerging from the Net:

However, the snowballing success of Google this past decade suggests the coming AI will not be bounded inside a definable device. It will be on the web, like the web. The more people that use the web, the more it learns. The more it knows, the more we use it. The smarter it gets, the more money it makes, the smarter it will get, the more we will use it. The smartness of the web is on an increasing-returns curve, self-accelerating each time someone clicks on a link or creates a link. Instead of dozens of geniuses trying to program an AI in a university lab, there are billion people training the dim glimmers of intelligence arising between the quadrillion hyperlinks on the web. Long before the computing capacity of a plug-in computer overtakes the supposed computing capacity of a human brain, the web — encompassing all its connected computing chips — will dwarf the brain. In fact it already has.

Union of Church and State

Wednesday, January 21st, 2009

In trying to provide a gentle introduction to his political thinking, Mencius Moldbug goes back to one of his earliest Sith mind tricks — looking at the separation of church and state and asking, What do we mean by church?

The question seems difficult. So let’s procrastinate. For a straw definition of church, though, let’s say a church is an organization or movement which specializes in telling people what to think. I would not inquire into this definition too closely — lest you ruin the suspense — but surely it fits Scientology, the Southern Baptists, Buddhism, etc. That’s close enough for now.
[...]
There are two kinds of government: those whose formula of legitimacy depends on popular consent, and those whose doesn’t. Following contemporary usage, we can classify these as authoritarian and democratic.

An authoritarian state has no need to tell its subjects what to think, because it has no reason to care what they think.
[...]
A democratic state which tells its citizens what to think is a political solecism. Think about the motivation for democracy: it consigns the state to the collective responsibility of its citizens, because it feels this is an independent and well-anchored hook on which to hang the common good. Once the republic has an established church, this hook is no longer independent, and the (postulated) value-add of democracy is nullified.

Without separation of church and state, it is easy be for a democracy to indulge itself in arbitrarily irresponsible misgovernment, simply by telling its bishops to inform their congregations that black is white and white is black. Thus misdirected, they are easily persuaded to support counterproductive policies which they wrongly consider productive.

A common syndrome is the case in which a purported solution is in fact the cause of the problem. As a Russian politician once said of his opponents: “These people think they are the doctors of society. In fact, they are the disease.” (It is indeed surprising that Nassim Taleb has just learned the word iatrogenic. BTW, if you know Taleb, please point him at UR. If you know someone who knows Taleb, please…)

Union of church and state can foster stable iatrogenic misgovernment as follows. First, the church fosters and maintains a popular misconception that the problem exists, and the solution solves it. Secondly, the state responds by extruding an arm, agency, or other pseudopod in order to apply the solution. Agency and church are thus cooperating in the creation of unproductive or counterproductive jobs, as “doctors.” Presumably they can find a way to split the take.

The root problem with a state church in a democratic state is that, to believe in democracy, one must believe that the levers of power terminate with the voters. But if your democracy has an effective state church, the actual levers of power pass through the voters, and go back to the church. The church teaches the voters what to think; the voters tell the politicians what to do. Naturally, it is easy for the politicians to short-circuit this process and just listen to the bishops.

Thus the government has a closed power loop. With the church at its apex, of course. Which is exactly what we were hoping to avoid when we decided to make our state democratic, rather than authoritarian — an independent and unaccountable authority, which is in charge of everything else. In this case our authority is, of course, the church itself. Oops! We have engineered ourselves a big bucket of FAIL.

In other words, our so-called democracy is dependent not on the wisdom of the people, but on the internal power politics of the official church. If these politics produce a political platform which translates to responsible and effective actions, the government will be good. If they don’t, it will suck. Either way, we have consigned the state to an unaccountable conclave of bishops. Why this is an improvement on monarchy, or any other form of autocracy, is unclear.

This political architecture, an abortion by any standard, is commonly known as a theocracy. Oddly enough, the classic historical case of a theocracy is… wait, hang on, I’m forgetting… oh, yes! Right here, in North America. Under those strange people we call the “Puritans.”
[...]
Notice that our definition of church has not invoked any of the typical attributes of religion. In particular, we have avoided any requirement that (a) the doctrines of the church be either partially or entirely supernatural in nature (think of Buddhism or Scientology — or, for that matter, Nazism or Bolshevism), or (b) the structure of the church be in any way centrally organized (a Quaker theocracy is just as excluded as a Catholic theocracy — and once your church is united with the state, there is no shortage of structure).

We have just said: a church is an organization or movement which tells people how to think. A broad definition, but it turns out to be perfectly adequate to validate our case for separation of church and state. And it contains all our test cases.

There’s just one problem. The definition is slightly too broad. It captures some cases which we obviously don’t want to include. You see, under this definition, Harvard is a church.

And we surely can’t mean that there should be separation of Harvard and state. Yet somehow — this is the result the computer keeps giving us. Perhaps there is some mistake?

We have stumbled, of course, into Professor Staloff’s definition. Unlike the Harvard of 1639, the Harvard of 2009 bases its authority not on the interpretation of scripture, but on some other intellectually legitimating principle like reason or rationality. Everything else is the same.

It could be, of course, that Harvard of 2009′s application of reason or rationality is inherently accurate, ie, endowed with an automatic efficacy that need simply be applied to any problem to generate a univocal solution. Whether or not this is the case, many behave as if it were.

But even if it is, all we are looking at is a condition we rejected earlier as unsatisfactory: a state church which teaches only the truth. Perhaps Harvard of 2009 teaches only the truth. And Harvard of 2010? 2020? We resign the answer to the tempests of academic power politics. If this is transparent and accountable, so is mud.

The basic security hole is this word, education. Education is defined as the inculcation of correct facts and good morals. Thus an institution which is educational and secular, such as Harvard, simply becomes a “Church, which shall Teach only the Truth.” Like the Puritans of old New England, in seeking to disestablish one state church, we have established another.

It is also hard to argue that we enjoy separation of Harvard and state. Harvard is conventionally described as a “private” university. This term is strictly nominal. Vast streams of cash flow from the taxpayer’s pocket into Harvard’s — as they do not flow to, say, the Vatican.

And we can see easily that Harvard is attached to something, because the perspective of Harvard in 2009, while wildly different from the perspective of Harvard in 1959, is not in any way different from the perspective of Stanford in 2009. If a shared attachment to Uncle Sam isn’t what keeps Harvard and Stanford on the same page, what is? It’s not football.

Except for a few unimportant institutions of non-mainstream religious affiliation, we simply do not see multiple, divergent, competing schools of thought within the American university system. The whole vast archipelago, though evenly speckled with a salting of contrarians, displays no factional structure whatsoever. It seems almost perfectly synchronized.

There are two explanations for this synchronization. One, Harvard and Stanford are synchronized because they both arrive at the same truth. I am willing to concede this for, say, chemistry. When it comes to, say, African-American studies, I am not quite so sure. Are you? Surely it is arguable that the latter is a legitimate area of inquiry. But surely it is arguable that it is not. So how is it, exactly, that Harvard, Stanford, and everyone else gets the same answer?

I’m afraid the only logical alternative, however awful and unimaginable, is the conclusion that Harvard and Stanford are synchronized because both are remoras attached, in some unthinkable way, to some great, invisible predator of the deep — perhaps even Cthulhu himself.

Certainly, the synchronization is not coordinated by any human hierarchical authority. (Yes, there are accreditation agencies, but a Harvard or a Stanford could easily fight them.) The system may be Orwellian, but it has no Goebbels. It produces Gleichschaltung without a Gestapo. It has a Party line without a Party. A neat trick. We of the Sith would certainly like to understand it.

Ancient Persians ‘gassed Romans’

Wednesday, January 21st, 2009

Simon James, an archaeologist at the University of Leicester, says that the Persian Empire used poisonous gases, produced by igniting bitumen and sulphur crystals, during the siege of the Roman city of Dura, Eastern Syria, in the 3rd Century AD.

The Persians dug a mine under the walls, and the Romans dug a counter-mine to intercept them — all standard operating procedure in an ancient siege.

The Persians then ignited the bitumen and sulphur crystals and likely used underground bellows or chimneys to rapidly overwhelm the Roman troops with deadly fumes:

“For the Persians to kill 20 men in a space less than 2m high or wide, and about 11m long, required superhuman combat powers — or something more insidious,” said Dr James.

“The Roman assault party was unconscious in seconds, dead in minutes.”

Excavations showed that the soldiers’ bodies were stacked near the counter-mine entrance by the attackers to create a protective barricade before setting the tunnel on fire.

The Persian mine failed to collapse the city wall and adjacent tower, but the attackers nonetheless conquered the city.

Wolves Promote Forest Growth

Wednesday, January 21st, 2009

Orson Scott Card reviews Where the Wild Things Were, which makes the case that top predators can play important roles in maintaining a healthy, well-balanced ecological system:

For instance, the coastal waters of several north Pacific shores had little sea life — mostly a few huge sea urchins that consumed anything else that might sprout.

Then sea otters were reintroduced to these shores. Sea otters love to eat sea urchins. And with the sea urchin population falling, plant life began to thrive again. When the seaweeds and other plants returned, fish also came back to the newly-lush jungle.

Sea otters, in other words, made a rich ecology possible because they, as top predators, kept down the voracious sea urchins.

Or take Yellowstone. For generations there has been almost no new growth among the key species of trees. Why? Because the elks eat the new saplings right down to the ground. With their favorite foods gone, there were too many elk — and they were starving.

Hunters were fine with that — the more elk there are, the more licenses to hunt them that get issued.

But then wolves were reintroduced to Yellowstone, and the surprising result was that wolves killed far fewer elk than human hunters — but changed elk behavior in such a way that new trees were able to grow.

Why? Because wolves hunt by chasing their prey until their hearts or lungs give out and they stand there, exhausted, to be hauled down and torn apart.

Elks quickly learned to avoid streambeds, because it was precisely as they slowed to climb the far bank that the wolves invariably caught up with them. Elks on riverbanks were in greater danger than anywhere else; they learned not to linger there.

And since riverbanks are where most trees grow in the American west, the elks’ avoidance of those areas allowed huge numbers of new shoots to grow until they had a chance of thriving as actual trees. And the small animals that thrive in that environment now had new habitat. Again, a whole ecology was restored.

So wolves, in effect, promote forest growth!

Meanwhile, human hunters never had any such effect. What can the elks learn from the annual elk hunt? To avoid public lands in October and private lands in November?

(I’ve noted before how returning wolves to Yellowstone changed the ecosystem.)

The Origin of Singaporean Crime Policy

Wednesday, January 21st, 2009

Bryan Caplan shares The Origin of Singaporean Crime Policy — which is famously harsh:

When I was filling out my customs form for Singapore, I was chilled to see the all-capital letters, “DEATH FOR DRUGS IN SINGAPORE.”  Philosophically, I have nothing against the death penalty, but of course I have everything against drug prohibition.  Still, I was intrigued to discover the origin of Singapore’s draconian approach.  From Mauzy and Milne, Singapore Politics Under the People’s Action Party:
The death penalty is mandatory for murder, drug trafficking, treason, and certain firearms offenses.  Lee Kuan Yew was impressed that there was no crime in Singapore during the Japanese occupation because punishment was severe.  “As a result, I have never believed those who advocate a soft approach to crime and punishment, claiming that punishment does not reduce crime.”

Not only does Singapore execute a lot of people; by being strident in the face of international criticism (and using all-capital letters!), it also takes advantage of availability bias to amplify the death penalty’s deterrent effect.

Blue Pills Soaked in Red #3

Tuesday, January 20th, 2009

Mencius Moldbug tries to provide a gentle introduction to his “reactionary” blog, Unqualified Reservations, but he realizes there’s no such thing:

There is no such thing as a gentle introduction to UR. It’s like talking about a “mild DMT trip.” If it was mild, it wasn’t DMT.

UR is a strange blog: its goal is to cure your brain. We’ve all seen The Matrix. We know about red pills. Many claim to sell them. You can go, for example, to any bookstore, and ask the guy behind the counter for some Noam Chomsky. What you’ll get is blue pills soaked in Red #3.

Mencius hijacked my brain last year with his list of ten red pills:

  1. Peace, prosperity, and freedom
    • Democracy is responsible for the present state of peace, prosperity, and freedom in the US, Europe and Japan.
    • The rule of law is responsible for the present state of peace, prosperity and freedom in the US, Europe and Japan.

  2. Democracy, freedom, and law
    • Democracy is inseparable from freedom and law.
    • At best, democracy is sand in the gears of freedom and law. At worst it excludes them entirely, as in Iraq.

  3. Fascism and communism
    • The disasters of fascism and communism demonstrate the importance of representative democracy.
    • Fascism and communism are best understood as forms of democracy. The difference between single-party and multiparty democracy is like the difference between a malignant tumor and a benign one.

  4. The nature of the state
    • The state is established by citizens to serve their needs. Its actions are generally righteous.
    • The state is just another giant corporation. Its actions generally advance its own interests. Sometimes these interests coincide with ours, sometimes they don’t.

  5. The power structure of the West
    • Power in the West is held by the people, who have to guard it closely against corrupt politicians and corporations.
    • Power in the West is held by the civil service, that is, the permanent employees of the state. In any struggle between the civil service and politicians or corporations, the civil service wins.

  6. The extent of the state
    • The state consists of elected officials and their appointees.
    • The state consists of all those whose interests are aligned with the state. This includes NGOs, universities, and the press, all of whose employees are effectively civil servants, and side with the civil service in almost all conflicts.

  7. The danger of right-wing politics
    • Right-wing politicians, and the ignorant masses who support them, are a danger to democracy. They must be stopped.
    • Right-wing politicians are a classic democratic phenomenon. Domestically, they have little power and are mostly harmless. Their international adventures are destructive, but they are inescapable consequences of democracy itself.

  8. Democracy and nonpartisan government
    • True democracy is not merely the rule of politicians. For a democracy to succeed, a nonpartisan decisionmaking process is essential. Civil servants, especially judges, must be isolated from politics, or they will become corrupt.
    • Democracy is politics. Any other definition is Orwellian. The absence of politics is the absence of democracy, and apolitical civil-service government is indeed better than democracy. But this is a low standard to surpass.

  9. The history of Western government
    • The present system of Western government is the result of adapting 19th-century classical liberalism to the complex modern world.
    • Western governments today are clones of the quasi-democratic FDR regime, whose best modern comparisons are leaders like Mubarak, Putin or Suharto. Its origin was the Progressive movement, which broke classical liberalism, then complained that it didn’t work.

  10. The future of Western government
    • The Western world is moving toward a globalized, transnational free market in which politics is increasingly irrelevant, and technocratic experts and NGOs play larger roles in fighting corruption, protecting the environment, and delivering essential public services.
    • Civil-service government works well at first, but it degrades. Its limit as time approaches infinity is sclerotic Brezhnevism. Its justification for ruling is inseparable from democracy, which is mystical nonsense and is rapidly disappearing. It cannot survive without a captive media and educational system, which the Internet will route around. Also, its financial system is a mess and could collapse at any minute. The whole thing will be lucky if it lasts another ten years.

Mencius laments, “Alas, our genuine red pill is not ready for the mass market.”

Environmental Heresies

Tuesday, January 20th, 2009

Stewart Brand, co-founder of The Whole Earth Catalog — and author of How Buildings Learn — presents four environmental heresies, key issues where he believes the environmental movement will soon reverse its position:

  1. population growth
  2. urbanization
  3. genetically engineered organisms
  4. nuclear power

He also notes that the environmental movement is driven by two powerful forces — romanticism and science — that are often in opposition:

The romantics identify with natural systems; the scientists study natural systems. The romantics are moralistic, rebellious against the perceived dominant power, and combative against any who appear to stray from the true path. They hate to admit mistakes or change direction. The scientists are ethicalistic, rebellious against any perceived dominant paradigm, and combative against each other. For them, admitting mistakes is what science is.

There are a great many more environmental romantics than there are scientists. That’s fortunate, since their inspiration means that most people in developed societies see themselves as environmentalists. But it also means that scientific perceptions are always a minority view, easily ignored, suppressed, or demonized if they don’t fit the consensus story line.

Brand straddles both camps. I don’t. Nonetheless, I can recommend the article, because it attempts to explain the realities of population growth, urbanization, genetically engineered organisms, and nuclear power to the puritanical majority of the movement:

The world population growth rate actually peaked at 2 percent way back in 1968, the very year my old teacher Paul Ehrlich published The Population Bomb. The world’s women didn’t suddenly have fewer kids because of his book, though. They had fewer kids because they moved to town.

Cities are population sinks — always have been. Although more children are an asset in the countryside, they’re a liability in the city. A global tipping point in urbanization is what stopped the population explosion. As of this year, 50 percent of the world’s population lives in cities, with 61 percent expected by 2030. In 1800 it was 3 percent; in 1900 it was 14 percent.

The environmentalist aesthetic is to love villages and despise cities. My mind got changed on the subject a few years ago by an Indian acquaintance who told me that in Indian villages the women obeyed their husbands and family elders, pounded grain, and sang. But, the acquaintance explained, when Indian women immigrated to cities, they got jobs, started businesses, and demanded their children be educated. They became more independent, as they became less fundamentalist in their religious beliefs. Urbanization is the most massive and sudden shift of humanity in its history.

Hydra Bactericide

Monday, January 19th, 2009

A new family of antibacterial agents has been uncovered in the hydra — the tiny fresh-water creature, not the multi-headed serpent of myth:

The protein identified by Joachim Grötzinger, Thomas Bosch and colleagues at the University of Kiel, hydramacin-1, is unusual (and also clinically valuable) as it shares virtually no similarity with any other known antibacterial proteins except for two antimicrobials found in another ancient animal, the leech.

Hydramacin proved to be extremely effective though; in a series of laboratory experiments, this protein could kill a wide range of both Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacteria, including clinically-isolated drug-resistant strains like Klebsiella oxytoca (a common cause of nosocomial infections). Hydramacin works by sticking to the bacterial surface, promoting the clumping of nearby bacteria, then disrupting the bacterial membrane.

Grötzinger and his team also determined the 3-D shape of hydramacin-1, which revealed that it most closely resembled a superfamily of proteins found in scorpion venom; within this large group, they propose that hydramacin and the two leech proteins are members of a newly designated family called the macins.

Know Your Prehistory

Monday, January 19th, 2009

Cartoonist Rosemary Mosco offers up what she calls her paleobet with the admonition to know your prehistory.

You might also enjoy her “highly unscientific educational chart” of the parts of the bird or her demonstration of why evolution sucks if you’re a prehistoric terror bird.

The Empire Reaps Tribute

Monday, January 19th, 2009

In 2000, the richest county in America was Douglas County, Colorado, Radley Balko points out, but by 2007 it had dropped to sixth, and the top three counties were Loudon County, Virginia; Fairfax County, Virginia; and Howard County, Maryland — all suburbs of DC.

The Empire Reaps Tribute, Arnold Kling says:

If you thought it was unproductive for the best and brightest to go to Wall Street to become investment bankers to decide to use other people’s money, watch what happens when the best and brightest come to Washington to decide how to use other people’s money.

Euhemerism

Monday, January 19th, 2009

I had never heard of Euhemerus, until a friend mentioned Gaiman‘s American Gods, and I stumbled across a reference to Euhemerism, while reading up on Baldr, the Norse god:

In the 12th century, Danish accounts by Saxo Grammaticus and other Danish Latin chroniclers recorded a euhemerized account of his story. Compiled in Iceland in the 13th century, but based on much older Old Norse poetry, the Poetic Edda and the Prose Edda contain numerous references to the death of Baldr as both a great tragedy to the Æsir and a harbinger of Ragnarök.

So, who was Euhemerus, and what is Euhemerism?

Euhemerus (????????, Euh?meros) (working late fourth century B.C.) was a Greek mythographer at the court of Cassander, the king of Macedon. Euhemerus’ birthplace is disputed, with Messina in Sicily or Messene in the Peloponnese as the most probable locations, while others champion Chios, or Tegea.

He is chiefly known for a rationalizing method of interpretation, known as Euhemerism, that treats mythological accounts as a reflection of actual historical events shaped by retelling and traditional mores. In the skeptic philosophical tradition of Theodorus of Cyrene and the Cyrenaics, Euhemerism forged a new method of interpretation for the contemporary religious beliefs. Though his work is lost, the reputation of Euhemerus was that he believed that much of Greek mythology could be interpreted as natural events subsequently given supernatural characteristics. Living at court in the generation following the superhuman feats of Alexander the Great and Alexander’s subsequent deification, with the contemporaneous “pharaoization” of the Ptolemies in a fusion of Hellenic and native Egyptian traditions, Euhemerus was trained in the rational philosophizing current of Hellenistic culture; the two strains meet in his materialist rationalizing of Greek myth. “Euhemerus may be credited as the writer who systematized and explained an ancient and widely accepted popular belief, namely that the dividing line between gods and men is not always clear,” S. Spyridakis, among others, has observed.

Again, this was in the late fourth century B.C.