The Human Calculus of National Security

Monday, November 20th, 2006

In the wake of Senator Boxer’s comments that staying in Iraq is not worth three military deaths per day, Philip R. O’Connor examines The Human Calculus of National Security:

In the full sweep of U.S history, from the commencement of the Revolution on Lexington Green in April 1775, until the sunny morning of September 11, 2001, our average daily sacrifice has been between 14 and 15 military fatalities (1,217,000 fatalities/83,461 days = 14.6/day). Since 9/11, the average daily sacrifice has been 1.7 per day (3200/1900=1.68).

From the Revolutionary War until the American entry into World War I, the average daily rate was about 11 per day (578,000/52,231=11.07). From World War I through the break up of the Soviet Union, the rate was over 16 per day (636,000/38,811=16.39). Or in our long running confrontation with Soviet communism following World War II until the collapse of the Soviet empire, the rate was over between 6 and 7 per day (112,400/16,892=6.65).

As things stand, the conflict with Islamic radicalism involves the lowest average daily military fatality rate of any long run national security era. It may worsen, it may improve. If Congress had been asked on September 12, 2001, to endorse a national defense posture against Islamic radicalism that traded up to 2 military fatalities per day over the subsequent five years in return for no additional homeland attacks, the deposing of terror friendly regimes in Afghanistan and Iraq, the ending of Libya’s nuclear program, what would they have done? Would Congress accept that bargain today?

I enjoyed the Seventh Seal allusion in the graphic, by the way. Or was it a Bill and Ted reference? (No, they play Battleship against Death. And Twister.)

Casino Royale Vocabulary

Saturday, November 18th, 2006

Ian Fleming’s James Bond novels make no literary pretenses, but like much adventure fiction for the common man of 50 to 150 years ago, they are chock full of vocabulary that I do not use on a daily basis. Casino Royale, for example, contains a number of words I wouldn’t expect to find in a John Grisham novel:

Main Entry: 1cosh
Pronunciation: 'käsh
Function: noun
Etymology: perhaps from Romany kas, kast stick, piece of wood
chiefly British : a weighted weapon similar to a blackjack

Main Entry: an·trum
Pronunciation: 'an-tr&m
Function: noun
Inflected Form(s): plural an·tra /-tr&/
Etymology: Late Latin, from Latin, cave, from Greek antron; akin to Armenian ayr cave
: an anatomical cavity within a bone (as the maxilla) or hollow organ (as the stomach)
- an·tral /-tr&l/ adjective

Main Entry: 2boule
Pronunciation: 'bül
Function: noun
Etymology: French, ball — more at BOWL
: a synthetically formed mass (as of sapphire) with the atomic structure of a single crystal

Main Entry: BEM
Function: abbreviation
1 bachelor of engineering of mines
2 British Empire Medal

Morris Minor
The revolutionary Morris Minor (originally called Mosquito) was launched at the Earls Court Motor Show on 20 September, 1948. Named for an earlier Morris Minor car , it was the work of a team led by Alec Issigonis, who later designed the Mini. Sir Alec became famous for his creation of the Mini but he was really proudest of his participation in designing the Morris Minor. He considered it as being a vehicle which managed to combine many of the luxuries and conveniences of a good motor car with a price suitable for the working classes, while the Mini, introduced in 1959, was a spartan mode of conveyance with everything cut to the bone. The Morris Minor, when compared with competitor products in the late 1940s and throughout the 1950s, excelled as a roomy vehicle with superior cornering / handling characteristics.

Main Entry: strep·to·my·cin
Pronunciation: -'mI-s&n
Function: noun
: an antibiotic organic base C21H39N7O12 that is produced by a soil actinomycete (Streptomyces griseus), is active against many bacteria, and is used especially in the treatment of infections (as tuberculosis) by gram-negative bacteria

Main Entry: de·fal·ca·tion
Pronunciation: "dE-"fal-'kA-sh&n, "dE-"fol-, di-; "de-f&l-
Function: noun
1 archaic : DEDUCTION
2 : the act or an instance of embezzling
3 : a failure to meet a promise or an expectation

Main Entry: baize
Pronunciation: 'bAz
Function: noun
Etymology: Middle French baies, plural of baie baize, from feminine of bai bay-colored — more at BAY
: a coarse woolen or cotton fabric napped to imitate felt

Main Entry: 1dock·et
Pronunciation: 'dä-k&t
Function: noun
Etymology: Middle English doggette
1 : a brief written summary of a document : ABSTRACT
2 a (1) : a formal abridged record of the proceedings in a legal action (2) : a register of such records b (1) : a list of legal causes to be tried; also : the caseload of a court or judge (2) : a calendar of business matters to be acted on : AGENDA
3 : an identifying statement about a document placed on its outer surface or cover

superhet
The superheterodyne receiver (or to give it its full name, the supersonic heterodyne receiver – often abbreviated superhet) was invented by Edwin Armstrong in 1918.

mairie
French, city hall.

Main Entry: car·il·lon
Pronunciation: 'ker-&-"län, -l&n, 'ka-r&-; 'ker-E-"än, -"On, 'ka-rE-; k&-'ril-y&n
Function: noun
Etymology: French, alteration of Old French quarregnon, modification of Late Latin quaternion-, quaternio set of four — more at QUATERNION
1 a : a set of fixed chromatically tuned bells sounded by hammers controlled from a keyboard b : an electronic instrument imitating a carillon
2 : a composition for the carillon

Main Entry: mi·mo·sa
Pronunciation: m&-'mO-s&, mI-, -z&
Function: noun
Etymology: New Latin, from Latin mimus mime
1 : any of a genus (Mimosa) of trees, shrubs, and herbs of the legume family that occur in tropical and warm regions and have usually bipinnate often prickly leaves and globular heads of small white or pink flowers
2 : SILK TREE
3 : a mixed drink consisting of champagne and orange juice

Main Entry: par·terre
Pronunciation: pär-'ter
Function: noun
Etymology: French, from Middle French, from par terre on the ground
1 : an ornamental garden with paths between the beds
2 : the part of the main floor of a theater that is behind the orchestra; especially : PARQUET CIRCLE

Main Entry: prink
Pronunciation: 'pri[ng]k
Function: verb
Etymology: probably alteration of 2prank
: PRIMP
- prink·er noun

briar pipe
A briar pipe begins as a Burl (or growth) on the root system of the White Heath Tree, a squat, hearty, shrub-like plant which grows primarily in the dry, arid, rocky wastelands around the Mediterranean Sea. Of all woods, the Briar Burl is unique for making pipes; its tough, porous and nearly impervious to heat. Burls for fine quality pipes can often be 50 to 100 years old when harvested for pipe making.

Hoagie Carmichael
Hoagland Howard Carmichael, famous (white) jazz musician.

huissier
In France, a huissier de justice is a member of the legal profession whose responsibility it is to make available to the public the decisions of the courts and is in charge of the execution of the courts’ decisions, such as seizures and evictions. The most common English translation for huissier de justice is bailiff.

“Mais n’enculons pas des mouches”
“Let’s not split hairs.” French, literally, “But let’s not bugger flies.”

Ronson
Brand of cigarette lighter.

Main Entry: paw·ky
Pronunciation: 'po-kE
Function: adjective
Etymology: obsolete English dialect pawk trick
chiefly British : artfully shrewd : CANNY

Main Entry: rack rent
Function: noun
Etymology: 4rack
1 : an excessive or unreasonably high rent
2 British : the highest rent that can be earned on a property

Main Entry: 1gib
Pronunciation: 'gib
Function: noun
Etymology: Middle English, from Gib, nickname for Gilbert
: a male cat; specifically : a castrated male cat

Main Entry: 2gib
Function: noun
Etymology: origin unknown
: a plate of metal or other material machined to hold other parts in place, to afford a bearing surface, or to provide means for overcoming looseness

Belinograph
Early fax machines.

Main Entry: 2flex
Function: noun
Etymology: short for flexible cord
chiefly British : an electric cord

Main Entry: tre·foil
Pronunciation: 'trE-"foi(-&)l, 'tre-
Function: noun
Etymology: Middle English, from Anglo-French, from Latin trifolium, from tri- + folium leaf — more at BLADE
1 a : CLOVER 1 ; broadly : any of several leguminous herbs (as bird’s-foot trefoil) with leaves that have or appear to have three leaflets b : a trifoliolate leaf
2 : an ornament or symbol in the form of a stylized trifoliolate leaf
[trefoil illustration]

Main Entry: 2cosset
Function: transitive verb
: to treat as a pet : PAMPER

Main Entry: tus·sah
Pronunciation: 't&-s&, -"so
Variant(s): or tus·sore /-"sOr, -"sor/
Function: noun
Etymology: Hindi & Urdu tasar
: silk or silk fabric from the brownish fiber produced by larvae of some saturniid moths (as Antheraea paphia)

Main Entry: dis·trait
Pronunciation: di-'strA
Function: adjective
Etymology: Middle English, from Anglo-French destreit, from Latin distractus
: apprehensively divided or withdrawn in attention : DISTRACTED

Main Entry: Nem·bu·tal
Pronunciation: 'nem-by&-"tol
Function: trademark
– used for the sodium salt of pentobarbital

Main Entry: sa·loon
Pronunciation: s&-'lün
Function: noun
Etymology: French salon, from Italian salone, augmentative of sala hall, of Germanic origin; akin to Old High German sal hall; akin to Lithuanian sala village
1 a chiefly British : SALON 1 b chiefly British : an often elaborately decorated public hall c (1) : a usually large public cabin on a ship (as for dining) (2) : the living area on a yacht d chiefly British : SALON 4 e : BARROOM
2 : SALON 2
3 British a : PARLOR CAR b : SEDAN2a — called also saloon car

Main Entry: trip·tych
Pronunciation: 'trip-(")tik
Function: noun
Etymology: Greek triptychos having three folds, from tri- + ptychE fold
1 : an ancient Roman writing tablet with three waxed leaves hinged together
2 a : a picture (as an altarpiece) or carving in three panels side by side b : something composed or presented in three parts or sections; especially : TRILOGY

Afghanistan: Let ‘Em Eat Hams

Saturday, November 18th, 2006

Gary Brecher, the War Nerd, describes the situation in Afghanistan by analogy:

If your exterminator says he just killed 200 rats down in the basement, is that good news or bad news?

On the one hand, it’s good those rats are dead. On the other hand, I thought we got rid of them years ago, and now there’s hundreds? What’s going on?

That’s the Big Question everyone should be asking in Afghanistan. NATO’s claiming we killed 500 Taliban near Kandahar this month. That’s a mighty impressive body count, sure, but if Nam taught us one thing, it’s that body counts are a bad sign. For all sorts of reasons, starting with basic common sense: if we’re killing that many, how many more are running around out there?

Then he offers a solution, of sorts:

Too bad we didn’t give the Brits total control of the so-called GWOT and let them play it their way. I can tell you what the old 19th c. Brits would’ve done. Problem: huge, restless tribe (Pushtun) smarting from recent defeat and totally uninterested in “peace.” Solution: ship every Pushtun of military age to Sunni Triangle as honored guests of the British Empire and give them enough ammo to make the place as quiet and boring as Mary Poppins’s bedroom.

The Pushtun would be happy as the Seven Dwarves, whistling while they worked on quieting down the Sunni; the Sunni would be. .. well, maybe not happy but definitely quiet — “quiet as the grave,” as the saying goes. And the Brits would step back into the shadows and let them fight it out till the end of time. A great system, worked for centuries.

Dime and Dimer

Saturday, November 18th, 2006

In Dime and Dimer, Gary Brecher, the War Nerd, describes Dense Inert Metal Explosives:

This is a weapon designed to splatter thousands of tiny tungsten pellets into everybody within a 4-meter radius, without hurting anybody who happens to be standing outside that radius. In tests at the Air Force Research Laboratories, the freakish thing worked so well that it destroyed most of the instruments placed within its 4-meter destructo-zone. They actually had to design new metrics that could withstand those high-temperature tungsten pellets.

At the same time, a big part of the design effort was developing a casing that wouldn’t hurt people. They came up with a nice light carbon-composite casing that shreds into harmless confetti.
[...]
To see why they’ve put so much effort into a weapon like this, you have to understand that it’s being used in Gaza by the IDF. There’ve been reports out of Gaza that when the Israelis blast one of these Hamas guys outside a coffee house or his home, there’ve been weird injuries to the people standing next to the target — their arms and legs get sheared off clean, as if God himself lowered a big rotary saw over him and lifted him up into the sky like a core sample from an oil rig, along with the odd arm or leg of other people who happened to be inside the magic 4 meters. The wounds have supposedly stopped clean at that point, cauterized by the blast.

The Israelis aren’t the only ones looking at DIME munitions. The US military is looking at such weapons too:

The Small Diameter Bomb will be a small bomb — less than 6 feet long, less than 8 inches in diameter, and weighing less than 300 pounds. By contrast, versions of the Joint Direct Attack Munition — the primary GPS-guided bomb currently in the U.S. arsenal — range in length from 10 feet to more than 12 feet and in weight from 1,000 lbs. to 2,000 lbs.

The Small Diameter Bomb’s diminutive size gives it two great advantages. First, aircraft can carry more of them, and thus attack more targets per mission. The new F-22 fighter can carry two 1,000-pound Joint Direct Attack Munitions or, alternatively, eight Small Diameter Bombs. The B-2 bomber will be able to carry more than 200 of the little bombs. Second, the Small Diameter Bombs will limit collateral damage. If the target is a house, a car or even an individual terrorist, a small bomb will work just as well as a bigger bomb. With GPS guidance, generals no longer need a big blast to compensate for a near miss.

The Pentagon is poised to go even further. It is researching what it calls focused lethality munitions, which could be fitted to small bombs in the future. These munitions are encased in a composite material that, unlike steel, will not fragment into thousands of pieces of shrapnel upon detonation. This means that the effect of a bomb’s explosion is far more focused around the point of impact — ideally, nothing but the intended target itself is destroyed. To increase the bomb’s effect on its intended target alone, the Pentagon is also experimenting with Dense Inert Metal Explosive (DIME), which uses tungsten powder in the explosive to act as a kind of shrapnel at close ranges. Because the shrapnel itself is only a powder, however, it cannot travel nearly as far as the steel fragments resulting from traditional bomb blasts.

Naturally, such precise munitions are considered a crime against humanity — because tungsten powder can cause cancer.

Casino Royale

Saturday, November 18th, 2006

Casino Royale departs from the tradition of earlier Bond films by treading close to the tone of the original book.

Nonetheless, it opens with a heart-pounding chase scene that is not in the book but is entirely in the tradition of the Bond movies. I hadn’t done much research going into the film, so I didn’t already know who played Mollaka, but within seconds of the chase starting, I knew that under the burn makeup, that man was Sébastien Foucan — except that I didn’t really know Sébastien Foucan’s name; I knew him as that guy.

By the way, James Bond drinks any number of interesting drinks in the books — he doesn’t stick to a martini, shaken not stirred — and the movie even includes his signature drink from the novel, the Vesper, served in a deep champagne goblet:

“Three measures of Gordon’s, one of vodka, half a measure of Kina Lillet. Shake it very well until it’s ice-cold, then add a large thin slice of lemon peel. Got it?”

The Fertitta brothers gamble with Ultimate Fighting

Saturday, November 18th, 2006

Joel Stein of Business 2.0 magazine has done a story on the Fertitta brothers, who have turned Ultimate Fighting into a business bonanza — only Mr. Stein doesn’t get some of the subtleties of grappling:

This would be a particularly awesome time for the Fertitta brothers to finally disagree. That’s because the dispute resolution clause in their ownership contract of the Ultimate Fighting Championship states that “in order to resolve a Deadlock among the LLC Members, Frank and Lorenzo shall engage in a Sport Jiu-Jitsu match under the rules as set forth herein.”

Those would be three five-minute rounds refereed by UFC president Dana White and “decided by submission or points.” Points, of course, being accrued by kicking the other guy in the face.

Um, no. In jiu-jitsu, points are not “accrued by kicking the other guy in the face.” In fact, kicking the other guy at all is categorically against the rules, since jiu-jitsu is a grappling sport, like wrestling. When you add striking to the mix, you get mixed martial arts, what they do in the UFC.

Anyway, it took a while for their UFC investment to pay off:

By 2004 they were $34 million deep into the UFC and had little to show for it.

Having allowed the Discovery Channel to shoot the reality show American Casino at Green Valley, the brothers decided that a series where a bunch of UFC fighters live together and face weekly elimination in the ring was their Trojan horse for getting on television. Their pitch was turned down by every network. So they made Spike TV, the only channel specifically designed for overly testosteroned young men, an offer it couldn’t refuse: The Fertittas agreed to produce the $10 million show themselves; Spike could just air it with no production costs.

The show the Fertittas put together, called Ultimate Fighter, debuted last year, became the anemic channel’s first hit, and made White a TV star. Between live bouts, taped fights, wrap-up programs, and the fourth season of the reality show, Spike TV now beams an average of 15 hours of UFC programming each week. The live fight that ended Ultimate Fighter last season drew more viewers than any HBO boxing match this season and twice as many as a Nascar race televised at the same time.

This year the show outdrew preseason football with men ages 18 to 49. Front-row spectators at recent fights have included Donald Trump, Cindy Crawford, and Paris Hilton. A UFC videogame has been made. The Fertittas are about to launch a European UFC division and have a five-year plan that they hope will put them in Canada and Mexico.

Now the financial payoff is coming. The Matt Hughes vs. Royce Gracie fight in May generated an estimated $30 million in pay-per-view fees; a UFC tournament in August drew a live gate of $3.1 million.

Hovering in History

Friday, November 17th, 2006

Hovering in History looks at the US Army’s many attempts to puts its soldiers into the sky, inclusing the Williams WASP:

At around the same time, Bell Aerosystems was developing a series of rocket and jet packs for military use. The army lost interest when it found that maximum practical flight time was less than thirty seconds, but the small kerosene jets used in these jet packs were later employed in other configurations. This engine would become the basis for Williams Research Corporation’s WASP (Williams Aerial Survey Platform). Test pilots would come to give it the nickname “Flying Pulpit”.

The WASP, later named the X-Jet, was the result of fifteen years of development. It looked a bit like a flying garbage can, with the pilot standing on the fuel tank and a 600-pound turbofan engine mounted in front of him. Performance of the WASP was impressive, with a speed of 60 mph and a service ceiling of 10,000 feet. Maximum flight time was just over 30 minutes. The craft was listed in Jane’s All the World’s Aircraft as late as the 1985 edition but once again the army, which had financed its development, lost interest.

Why I Like Deficits

Friday, November 17th, 2006

Jerry Bowyer opens Why I Like Deficits with an asmusing anecdote:

A reporter once asked President Reagan if he had anything to say in defense of his deficits. “No” answered Reagan, “they’re big enough to defend themselves.” Liberals howled, and conservatives chuckled, but no one questioned the premise of the question: that deficits are inherently a bad thing. The argument has always about whether the bad thing called deficits are too large and whether they will ever be paid off, not whether they can actually be good for our country. For the record the answers are: no, they’re not too big (see attached chart); no, they will never be paid off, and yes, they can be a good thing.

How can this be?

When strong nations go to war, they borrow money. Weak nations, not so much. That’s because strong nations usually win, and winning nations usually repay their creditors. Rich and successful people don’t have any problem getting someone to loan them money. The same holds for wealthy and successful nations. That’s why, historically, the interest rate of a nation’s bonds is a pretty good inverse indicator of investor confidence in the war effort. The more trouble investors see on the horizon, the more compensation they demand for the added risk.

The Rothschild banking clan kept an extensive network of couriers throughout Europe for just this reason. The Rothschilds were generally the first people informed about the turning points in battles, even ahead of heads of state. This gave them a tremendous edge in forecasting the bond markets upon which they built one of the world’s greatest fortunes.

This is the way the world works, some might say, but is it right? What about the children? Is it really fair for them to shoulder the burden of our wars? Heck yeah, it’s fair. Number one, they won’t be children when they start to share the burden of the national debt. Number two, they benefit.

America has never paid off its original national debt. In 1800, we owed about $75 million. By the 1830s it got down to as low as $33,000. After the civil war, the debt exploded again. Ditto for WWI, WWII and WWIII (the cold war). My generation is now paying for the cold war. Do I mind? When I was a child 20,000 nuclear-tipped missiles were aimed at my country, and now they’re not. I think that’s a pretty good deal.

Politically incorrect paper of the month

Friday, November 17th, 2006

Tyler Cowen presents the politically incorrect paper of the month:

Many studies have shown that women are under-represented in tenured ranks in the sciences. We evaluate whether gender differences in the likelihood of obtaining a tenure track job, promotion to tenure, and promotion to full professor explain these facts using the 1973-2001 Survey of Doctorate Recipients. We find that women are less likely to take tenure track positions in science, but the gender gap is entirely explained by fertility decisions.

Milton Friedman, a Leading Economist, Dies at 94

Thursday, November 16th, 2006

Milton Friedman, a Leading Economist, Dies at 94.

Tyler Cowen weighs in.

Google points to many more news stories.

PopSci’s Best of What’s New 2006

Thursday, November 16th, 2006

PopSci’s Best of What’s New 2006 has named its Innovation of the Year — and it’s a nail:

Hurricane winds rip apart nailed-together walls, and earthquakes shake houses so violently that a nailhead can pull straight through a piece of plywood. Since we can’t stop natural disasters, Bostitch engineer Ed Sutt has dedicated his career to designing a better nail. The result is the HurriQuake, and it has the perfect combination of features to withstand nature’s darker moods. The bottom section is circled with angled barbs that resist pulling out in wind gusts up to 170 mph. This “ring shank” stops halfway up to leave the middle of the nail, which endures the most punishment during an earthquake, at its maximum thickness and strength. The blade-like facets of the nail’s twisted top—the spiral shank—keep planks from wobbling, which weakens a joint. And the HurriQuake’s head is 25 percent larger than average to better resist counter-sinking and pulling through. The best part: It costs only about $15 more to build a house using HurriQuakes.

PopSci also recommends this obviously better wrench:

Maybe you thought wrench technology had progressed as far as it could — but then you see the X-Beam. Its handle is twisted in the middle, putting its ends at a 90-degree angle from each other, so, unlike with standard wrenches, you always grip a wide, flat surface, not an uncomfortable edge.

Guinness "Evolution"

Thursday, November 16th, 2006

When an ad combines fine stout beer and evolution, it’s bound to catch my attention. Enjoy this Guinness “Evolution” ad, which did not play in the U.S.

Is Democracy Like Sex?

Thursday, November 16th, 2006

Is Democracy Like Sex? Glen Reynolds thinks so, but not in the way you may be thinking — in the way that evolutionary biologists think of sex, as a way to mix up the genes in the gene pool to confound parasites:

My thought has been that elections play the same role for the body politic that sex plays for the body physical: Every so often, the voters throw the rascals out, and vote in a new set of rascals, meaning that the special interest groups, lobbying outfits, etc., that parasitize the body politic have to adapt to a shifting target. As scientist Thomas Ray has said, one rule of nature is that every successful system accumulates parasites. The American political system has been successful for a long time.

Oh, the Huge Manatee!

Wednesday, November 15th, 2006

Oh, the Huge Manatee! What a delightfully awful pun.

Naturally this led me to read up a bit on the Hindenburg disaster:

The disaster is remembered partly because of extraordinary newsreel coverage, photographs, and Herbert Morrison’s recorded radio witness report from the landing field. The crush of journalists was in response to a heavy publicity push about the first trans-Atlantic Zeppelin passenger flight to the US of the year. (The ship had already made one round trip from Germany to Brazil that year.) Morrison’s recording was not broadcast until the next day. Parts of his report were later dubbed onto the newsreel footage (giving an incorrect impression to some modern eyes accustomed to live television that the words and film had always been together). Morrison’s broadcast remains one of the most famous in history — his plaintive words “Oh, the humanity!” resonate with the impact of the disaster.

Herbert Morrison’s famous words should be understood in the context of the broadcast, in which he had repeatedly referred to the large team of people on the field, engaged in landing the airship, as a “mass of humanity.” He used the phrase when it became clear that the burning wreckage was going to settle onto the ground, and that the people underneath would probably not have time to escape it. Although there is some speculation as to whether his actual words were “Oh, the humanity” or “all the humanity”, (the radio recording is unclear) it was most likely “Oh, the humanity” as the complete sentence is “Oh, the humanity and all the passengers…”

Going Quietly?

Wednesday, November 15th, 2006

Thomas Sowell wonders if Western civilization is going quietly by confusing squeamishness with morality:

How many times, in its thousands of years of history, has Europe gone 60 years without a major war, as it has since World War II? That peace has been due to American nuclear weapons, which was all that could deter the Soviet Union’s armies from marching right across Europe to the Atlantic Ocean.

Having overwhelming military force on your side, and letting your enemies know that you have the guts to use it, is being genuinely antiwar. Chamberlain’s appeasement brought on World War II and Reagan’s military buildup ended the Cold War.

The famous Roman peace of ancient times did not come from negotiations, ceasefires, or pretty talk. It came from the Roman Empire’s crushing defeat and annihilation of Carthage, which served as a warning to anyone else who might have had any bright ideas about messing with Rome.

Only after the Roman Empire began to lose its own internal cohesion, patriotism, and fighting spirit over the centuries did it begin to succumb to its external enemies and finally collapse.

That seems to be where Western civilization is heading today.

How is Western civilization declining?

Internal cohesion? Not only does much of today’s generation in Western societies have a “do your own thing” attitude, but defying rules and flouting authority are actually glorified. Balkanization through “multiculturalism” has become dogma.

Patriotism? Not only is patriotism disdained, the very basis for pride in one’s country and culture is systematically undermined in our educational institutions at all levels.

The achievements of Western civilization are buried in histories that portray every human sin found here as if they were peculiarities of the west.

The classic example is slavery, which existed all over the world for thousands of years and yet is incessantly depicted as if it was a peculiarity of Europeans enslaving Africans. Barbary pirates alone brought twice as many enslaved Europeans to North Africa as there were Africans brought in bondage to the United States and the American colonies from which it was formed.

How many schools and colleges are going to teach that, going against political correctness and undermining white guilt?

How many people have any inkling that it was precisely Western civilization that eventually turned against slavery and began stamping it out when non-Western societies still saw nothing wrong with it?

How can a generation be expected to fight for the survival of a culture or a civilization that has been trashed in its own institutions, taught to tolerate even the intolerance of other cultures brought into its own midst, and conditioned to regard any instinct to fight for its own survival as being a “cowboy”?