Climber Pinned by Boulder Cuts Off Arm to Live

Friday, May 2nd, 2003

I heard this news story this morning — and winced. From Climber Pinned by Boulder Cuts Off Arm to Live:

A mountaineer pinned by a heavy boulder in an eastern Utah desert cut off his right arm with a pocketknife after he determined that was the only way he would survive, officials said on Friday.

“He’s pretty darn tough. He wanted to live. He saved himself,” Sgt. Mitch Vetere of the Emery County Sheriff’s Office in Green River, Utah, told Reuters.

Aron Ralston, 27, of Aspen, Colorado, used a pocketknife to cut off his arm below the elbow, then rappelled down a rock wall and hiked until he ran into some hikers who flagged down a rescue helicopter 60 miles south of Green River on Thursday. He had applied a tourniquet to his arm.

Vetere said Ralston would never have been spotted in the remote area where he was pinned by the boulder, which rescuers estimated at between 800 and 1,000 pounds.

Ralston was hiking into a canyon on Saturday when the boulder fell on him. He ran out of water on Tuesday and by Thursday realized he had to take the drastic action.

He was in serious condition on Friday at St. Mary’s Hospital in western Colorado, spokeswoman Kim Williams said.

A rescuer who went back to see if he could retrieve the arm said the boulder was too heavy to move, according to Vetere.

On the radio they referred to it as a 200-pound boulder…which sounded heavy, but not heavy enough that you’d have to cut your own arm off to get out from under it.

Capitalism, Exploitation, and Globalization

Friday, May 2nd, 2003

In Capitalism, Exploitation, and Globalization, Tom G. Palmer, of the Cato Institute, gives his response to an anti-globalist challenge:

Here’s the challenge: 1) Capitalism requires the existence of poverty to function. Without a poor underclass to exploit, the wealth that capitalists brag about cannot be created. Globalization is all about finding new pockets of poor people to take advantage of. If poor people ceased to exist, it would be the end of capitalism as we know it.

Here’s my response: Let’s assume for the sake of argument that it’s true that the wealth of some requires a poor underclass to exploit. If “Globalization is all about finding new pockets of poor people to take advantage of,” then it would be because the previously exploited poor underclasses were no longer available to be taken advantage of. Otherwise, why seek out new ones? If that were true, it would be either because the previously exploited poor had died out, or because they had ceased being poor. Since we know that the former is not true, it must be the latter. And if such a system entailed that the exploitation of poor people resulted in their no longer being poor, in what sense were they exploited?

But the claim (“Without a poor underclass to exploit, the wealth that capitalists brag about cannot be created”) is not true. [...] The argument that voluntary exchange is exploitative has several loose threads which, when pulled, unravel the whole thing.

What a World!

Friday, May 2nd, 2003

In What a World!, Freeman J. Dyson touches on the life and work of politically-active scientist Vladimir Vernadsky, author of The Biosphere, and presents this what-if:

One of the great might-have-beens of history is the world that would have emerged if the statesmen of Europe had had the wisdom to deal peacefully with the Serbian crisis of 1914. If World War I had never happened, the rapid economic growth that Russia experienced from 1905 to 1914 would probably have continued. The Bolsheviks would probably have remained a small group of outlaws without any wide following, and would not have had an opportunity to seize power. The Tsar’s government might have evolved into a constitutional monarchy, and the Kadet party might have emerged as the leader of a liberal parliamentary regime. In that imaginary world, Vernadsky might have been prime minister of Russia, guiding his country along the path of economic and scientific development, ending with full integration into the world community. After reading some of his writings, I have little doubt that he would have chosen to stay in politics if he had had the chance. He would not then have had time to resume his work as a scientist and write The Biosphere. Instead of being the founder of a new discipline of science, he might have been the savior of his country.

Why Do Some Societies Make Disastrous Decisions?

Friday, May 2nd, 2003

I greatly enjoyed Jared Diamond’s Guns, Germs, and Steel. In Why Do Some Societies Make Disastrous Decisions? he addresses a question that intrigued his UCLA students:

I was discussing famous collapses such as those of the Anasazi in the U.S. Southwest, Classic Maya civilization in the Yucatan, Easter Island society in the Pacific, Angkor Wat in southeast Asia, Great Zimbabwe in Africa, Fertile Crescent societies, and Harappan Indus Valley societies. These are all societies that we’ve realized, from archaeological discoveries in the last 20 years, hammered away at their own environments and destroyed themselves in part by undermining the environmental resources on which they depended.

For example, the Easter Islanders, Polynesian people, settled an island that was originally forested, and whose forests included the world’s largest palm tree. The Easter Islanders gradually chopped down that forest to use the wood for canoes, firewood, transporting statues, raising statues, and carving and also to protect against soil erosion. Eventually they chopped down all the forests to the point where all the tree species were extinct, which meant that they ran out of canoes, they could no longer erect statues, there were no longer trees to protect the topsoil against erosion, and their society collapsed in an epidemic of cannibalism that left 90 percent of the islanders dead. The question that most intrigued my UCLA students was one that hadn’t registered on me: how on Earth could a society make such an obviously disastrous decision as to cut down all the trees on which they depended?

Minus the amusing anecdotes, here’s his breakdown:

First of all, a group may fail to anticipate a problem before the problem actually arrives. Secondly, when the problem arrives, the group may fail to perceive the problem. Then, after they perceive the problem, they may fail even to try to solve the problem. Finally, they may try to solve it but may fail in their attempts to do so.

They just can’t help it

Friday, May 2nd, 2003

In They just can’t help it, Simon Baron-Cohen explains his theory that the female brain is predominantly hard-wired for empathy, and that the male brain is predominantly hard-wired for understanding and building systems — although not all females have a “female” brain, and not all males have a “male” brain. He calls his theory the empathising-systemising (E-S) theory, and his simple E-S tests are on-line. (No doubt about it: male.) There’s plenty of anecdotal evidence for this, but Baron-Cohen prefers scientific evidence:

Baby girls, as young as 12 months old, respond more empathically to the distress of other people, showing greater concern through more sad looks, sympathetic vocalisations and comforting. This echoes what you find in adulthood: more women report frequently sharing the emotional distress of their friends. Women also spend more time comforting people.

When asked to judge when someone might have said something potentially hurtful, girls score higher from at least seven years old. Women are also more sensitive to facial expressions. They are better at decoding non-verbal communication, picking up subtle nuances from tone of voice or facial expression, or judging a person’s character.
[...]
How early are such sex differences in empathy evident? Certainly, by 12 months , girls make more eye contact than boys. But a new study carried out in my lab at Cambridge University shows that at birth, girls look longer at a face, and boys look longer at a suspended mechanical mobile. Furthermore, the Cambridge team found that how much eye contact children make is in part determined by a biological factor: prenatal testosterone. This has been demonstrated by measuring this hormone in amniotic fluid.
[...]
Some psychological tests also show the male advantage in systemising. For example, in the mental rotation test, you’re shown two shapes, and asked if one is a rotation or a mirror image of the other. Males are quicker and more accurate on this test. Reading maps has been used as another test of systemising. Men can learn a route in fewer trials, just from looking at a map, correctly recalling more details about direction and distance. If you ask boys to make a map of an area that they have only visited once, their maps have a more accurate layout of the features in the environment, eg, showing which landmark is south-east of another.

If you ask people to put together a 3D mechanical apparatus in an assembly task, on average, men score higher. Boys are also better at constructing block buildings from 2D blueprints. These are constructional systems. And in Nick Hornby’s novel, High Fidelity, the male protagonist is obsessed with his record collection, and works in a second-hand record shop catering for (almost all male) customers searching for that one missing item in their collections of music. Collections (of albums, or anything else) are often highly systematic in nature.

The male preference for focusing on systems again is evident very early. Our Cambridge study found that at one year old, little boys showed a stronger preference to watch a film of cars (mechanical systems), than a film of a person’s face (with a lot of emotional expression). Little girls showed the opposite preference. And at one day old, little boys look for longer at a mechanical mobile.

The record-collecting thing really rang true.

We each have our own little story

Friday, May 2nd, 2003

In We each have our own little story, Martin Vander Weyer reviews The Truth About Markets, by John Kay, and briefly addresses the anti-globalist misunderstanding of capitalism as a zero-sum game:

There is no reason to castigate the rich just because the social context in which their markets flourish cannot be transplanted to less stable parts of the world. “We who live in rich states are not rich because those who live in poor states are poor”; trading with us can only help poor states become richer. In that sense, the anti-globalisation movement has got it all wrong, most especially in its claim, expressed on one Seattle protester’s banner, that capitalism should be replaced by “something nicer”. Perhaps, Kay concludes, “that something nicer is capitalism itself”, set in a better social balance.

How to Deconstruct Almost Anything

Thursday, May 1st, 2003

In How to Deconstruct Almost Anything, Chip Morningstar, a software engineer, takes a look at post-modern deconstruction. Here’s what he found tolerable:

It is clear that the forms used by academicians writing in this area go right off the bogosity scale, pegging my bogometer until it breaks. The quality of the actual analysis of various literary works varies tremendously and must be judged on a case-by-case basis, but I find most of it highly questionable. Buried in the muck, however, are a set of important and interesting ideas: that in reading a work it is illuminating to consider the contrast between what is said and what is not said, between what is explicit and what is assumed, and that popular notions of truth and value depend to a disturbingly high degree on the reader’s credulity and willingness to accept the text’s own claims as to its validity.

With New Patent, Mayo Clinic Owns a Cure for the Sniffles

Thursday, May 1st, 2003

Ah, the glory of mucous! With New Patent, Mayo Clinic Owns a Cure for the Sniffles:

Dr. Ponikau says his quest to solve the sinusitis mystery goes back to an assignment he received in 1994 during a six-month stint at Mayo. Eugene Kern, a veteran ear, nose and throat expert at Mayo, asked him to do a report on a handful of seemingly anomalous cases in which fungi — a common class of organism that includes molds and yeasts — were detected in patients with chronically inflamed sinuses. The problem: Many patients had symptoms that suggested an immune response to fungi, but actual fungi were detected in only 3% to 4% of them. Dr. Ponikau headed home to his father’s small ear, nose and throat clinic in Hof convinced that fungi must exist in more patients.

The answer lay in an unorthodox area of investigation: human mucus. Traditionally, pathologists have studied sinusitis by examining the excised tissue of patients who undergo sinus surgery. In such surgery, doctors usually suction out the mucus first and discard it. By removing the mucus, which traps dust and other particles in the airways, “you destroy the evidence,” says Dr. Ponikau, chuckling at the way scientists sometimes miss clues right under their noses. “You won’t believe what we all did to make sure we didn’t find anything.”

At the Hof clinic, Dr. Ponikau took liquefied mucus samples and ran them through a centrifuge that would force any fungi to drift to the bottom. When he put the solution on a bed of nutrients, fungi grew like crazy, proving they had been present in the original mucus.

He proceeded to offer a few patients at the clinic an antifungal solution. Soon noses that had been stuffed for years cleared up.
[...]
Dr. Ponikau realized that the white blood cells were marching through the sinus tissue to get to the open space of the sinus , a gathering space for fungi that the patients inhaled. Once there, the white blood cells fired off toxins to subdue the fungi — but the toxins also were destroying the outer lining of the sinus tissue, clearing the way for a bacterial infection that caused inflammation. Dr. Ponikau then looked at the mucus of healthy people. The eosinophil cells were absent, meaning the destructive immune-system response never got started.

It’s not clear that Ponikau is right and that he’s got the cure, but the Mayo clinic seems convinced:

Mayo doctors have now prescribed their antifungal agents to more than 1,000 patients, making it a standard treatment for chronic sinusitis at the clinic, although the method isn’t approved by the FDA. A study published last year by the Mayo team showed that a common, generic antifungal drug, amphotericin B, reduced nasal obstruction in 38 of 51 patients, removing it completely in 25 cases. (Daily doses of the drug are needed to prevent recurrence.) A larger placebo-controlled double-blind trial is now under way at Mayo. Long-term effects of the treatment, including potential side effects, aren’t known yet. Side effects of amphotericin B — when used in other treatments — could include fever and vomiting.

At this point, there’s nothing to stop a doctor from prescribing a standard antifungal drug such as amphotericin B for sinusitis. But few doctors are familiar with the treatment, and a pharmacist would have to prepare the drug — which comes in a variety of forms, from ointments to pills — so that it could be taken nasally.

But that’s not all…

Recently, Dr. Ponikau has been working on an even more explosive theory — that chronic asthma is essentially the same disease as chronic sinusitis, and can also be cured with an antifungal spray. The theory sprang from anecdotal reports by Mayo patients who said that the antifungal solution for their sinuses cleared up their lungs, too.

Schools Use Software Programs To Prepare Students for Tests

Thursday, May 1st, 2003

According to Schools Use Software Programs To Prepare Students for Tests, schools are increasing using regular computerized testing (“ongoing assessment”) as part of their curriculum, in response to mandated standardized tests (with consequences):

Some educators worry that such frequent monitoring of progress toward test goals raises the risk that schools will focus on “teaching to the test” at the expense of other important lessons. “What has happened is you see the testing tail wagging the curriculum dog,” says Alex Molnar, an education professor at Arizona State University in Tempe.

No one should be the least bit surprised that schools would teach to the test; that’s what a test is for. The problem only arises when teaching to the test means that student’s aren’t learning the material they’re supposed to be learning — in other words, when the test isn’t well-designed.

FAA Mulls Adding 10 Pounds To Estimated Weight of Fliers

Thursday, May 1st, 2003

FAA Mulls Adding 10 Pounds To Estimated Weight of Fliers discusses the changing estimate of passenger weight:

A draft proposal circulating within the FAA suggests the government’s assumptions of how much the average flier weighs — 180 pounds in summer and 185 pounds in winter, including clothes and carry-on items — errs on the light side. The document, prepared by the FAA’s Flight Standards Office, suggests adding at least 10 pounds to the estimated passenger weight, which airlines add up to determine whether a plane is too heavy to fly.

That average is, presumably, of all passengers, male and female (and children?), including shoes, clothes, and one “personal item” (e.g. a purse, but not a full-size carry-on). That doesn’t seem like a particularly light estimate. According to JAMA, the average American man weighs 187 pounds, and the average American woman weighs 151 pounds — without heavy clothes and a bag.

If weight is such an issue, would it be that hard to weigh passengers and their carry-ons while they’re checking in and going through all that security? Well, probably it would be an issue — even with all that junk added in, people don’t like to get weighed, and they certainly don’t want to get charged a premium for weighing too much.

Fiscally Fit

Thursday, May 1st, 2003

Today’s Fiscally Fit column addresses couples getting married and comingling their assets. It brings up some interesting stats:

The average college graduate carried student-loan debt of $22,000 in 2002, compared with $8,200 a decade ago, says Mr. Viale. That’s a joint $44,000. “For many, it’s the equivalent of their grandparents’ first mortgage,” he says.

In addition, more than 80% of American college students leave school carrying more than $2,300 in revolving credit-card debt, according to a 2002 survey by government-sponsored loan provider Nellie Mae.

That last stat’s a bit odd; neither the 80th percentile nor the $2,300 mark seem like natural breakpoints. What’s the median? What fraction of college students leave school carrying more than $2,500 in debt?

Only men bake cookies in these parts

Thursday, May 1st, 2003

Only men bake cookies in these parts reviews Diane Ravitch’s The Language Police, How Pressure Groups Restrict What Students Learn and describes how textbook publishers have preemptively censored themselves with “bias and sensitivity” guidelines:

What do dinosaurs, mountains, deserts, brave boys, shy girls, men fixing roofs, women baking cookies, elderly people in wheelchairs, athletic African Americans, God, heathens, witches, owls, birthday cake and religious fanatics all have in common? Trick question? Not really. As we learn from Diane Ravitch’s eye-opening book “The Language Police,” all of the above share the common fate of having been banned from the textbooks or test questions (or both) being used in today’s schools.

It only gets worse:

Among those rejected by the “bias and sensitivity” panel was a passage about the patchwork quilts made by 19th century frontier women: “The reviewers objected to the portrayal of women as people who stitch and sew, and who were concerned about preparing for marriage.” The fact that the passage was historically accurate was considered no defense for its “stereotypical” image of women and girls.

Another story about two young African American girls, one an athlete, the other a math whiz, who help each other learn new skills, was red-flagged for stereotyping blacks as athletic (even though one of the girls was not an athlete but a mathlete).

A passage on the uses and nutritional values of peanuts was rejected because some students are allergic to peanuts. Stranger still, a story about a heroic blind youth who climbed to the top of Mt. McKinley was rejected, not only because of its implicit suggestion that blind people might have a harder time than people with sight, but also because it was alleged to contain “regional bias”: According to the panel’s bizarre way of thinking, students who lived in non-mountainous areas would theoretically be at a “disadvantage” in comprehending a story about mountain climbing. Stories set in deserts, cold climates, tropical climates or by the seaside, Ravitch learned, are similarly verboten as test topics, since not all students have had personal experience of these regions.

Also forbidden: owls (the animals are taboo for Navajos), Mt. Rushmore (offensive to Lakotas), dinosaurs (suggestive of evolution, hence offensive to creationists), dolphins (regionally offensive because they live in the sea) and Mary McLeod Bethune (this early 20th century civil rights pioneer had the lack of foresight to use the no-longer-fashionable word “negro” in the school she founded).

Both the right and left wings have made their demands felt:

Meanwhile, thanks to the fundamentalists, “controversial” subjects like divorce, magic, ghosts and disobedient children have been banned from textbooks, while, thanks to their left-wing counterparts, children need not encounter nasty words like “handicapped,” “hearing-impaired,” “handyman,” “fraternize,” “brotherhood,” “actress,” “heathen” or “backward country” in their increasingly banal, denatured reading.

As Ravitch says, “Rewarding groups that complain by allowing them to censor words and images that they don’t like only encourages them.”