Why Arabs Lose Wars

Friday, March 21st, 2003

In Why Arabs Lose Wars, de Atkine points out that “Arabs husband information and hold it especially tightly”; sharing your expertise only makes you less valuable:

On one occasion, an American mobile training team working with armor in Egypt at long last received the operators’ manuals that had laboriously been translated into Arabic. The American trainers took the newly minted manuals straight to the tank park and distributed them to the tank crews. Right behind them, the company commander, a graduate of the armor school at Fort Knox and specialized courses at the Aberdeen Proving Grounds ordnance school, promptly collected the manuals from those crews. Questioned why he did this, the commander said that there was no point in giving them to the drivers because enlisted men could not read. In point of fact, he did not want enlisted men to have an independent source of knowledge. Being the only person who could explain the fire control instrumentation or bore sight artillery weapons brought prestige and attention.

Once you’ve seen footage of children in Islamic schools rocking back and forth, memorizing passages of the Koran, this part makes more sense:

Because the Arab educational system is predicated on rote memorization, officers have a phenomenal ability to commit vast amounts of knowledge to memory. The learning system tends to consist of on-high lectures, with students taking voluminous notes and being examined on what they were told. (It also has interesting implications for a foreign instructor, whose credibility, for example, is diminished if he must resort to a book.)

And the biggest difference between western military culture and Arab military culture is that western militaries rely on strong non-commissioned officer corps empowered to make decisions:

Decisions are highly centralized, made at a very high level and rarely delegated. Rarely does an officer make a critical decision on his own; instead, he prefers the safe course of being identified as industrious, intelligent, loyal — and compliant. Bringing attention to oneself as an innovator or someone prone to making unilateral decisions is a recipe for trouble. As in civilian life, conforming is the overwhelming societal norm; the nail that stands up gets hammered down. Decisions are made and delivered from on high, with very little lateral communication. Orders and information flow from top to bottom; they are not to be reinterpreted, amended, or modified in any way.

Past Mideast Invasions Faced Unexpected Perils

Thursday, March 20th, 2003

Past Mideast Invasions Faced Unexpected Perils presents an eerie parallel between Napoleon’s invasion of Egypt and Bush’s invasion of Iraq:

“Peoples of Egypt, you will be told that I have come to destroy your religion,” said Napoleon as he entered Cairo. “Do not believe it! Reply that I have come to restore your rights!”

The Arrogant Empire

Thursday, March 20th, 2003

In The Arrogant Empire, Fareed Zakaria explains that Americans felt vulnerable after 9-11, but “the rest of the world saw something quite different”:

Yet after 9-11, the rest of the world saw something quite different. They saw a country that was hit by terrorism, as some of them had been, but that was able to respond on a scale that was almost unimaginable. Suddenly terrorism was the world’s chief priority, and every country had to reorient its foreign policy accordingly. Pakistan had actively supported the Taliban for years; within months it became that regime’s sworn enemy. Washington announced that it would increase its defense budget by almost $50 billion, a sum greater than the total annual defense budget of Britain or Germany. A few months later it toppled a regime 6,000 miles away — almost entirely from the air — in Afghanistan, a country where the British and Soviet empires were bogged down at the peak of their power.

And here’s some evidence that America has become the world power:

It is now clear that the current era can really have only one name, the unipolar world — an age with only one global power. America’s position today is unprecedented. A hundred years ago, Britain was a superpower, ruling a quarter of the globe’s population. But it was still only the second or third richest country in the world and one among many strong military powers. The crucial measure of military might in the early 20th century was naval power, and Britain ruled the waves with a fleet as large as the next two navies put together. By contrast, the United States will spend as much next year on defense as the rest of the world put together (yes, all 191 countries). And it will do so devoting 4 percent of its GDP, a low level by postwar standards.

Will They Fight?

Thursday, March 20th, 2003

In Will They Fight?, Stuart Herrington, a retired Army counterintelligence officer, recounts what interrogated Iraqi officers said after the first Gulf War:

“Saddam,” one general remarked bitterly, “never wore muddy boots.” The man had no training or skills as a soldier. Saddam, several observed, had no respect for his generals, other than a few in his trusted inner circle. One general recalled wryly, “Only selected Republican Guard commanders had any warning that Kuwait was to be invaded. Most of us learned of the operation from the television news.”

See Men Shredded, Then Say You Don’t Back War

Thursday, March 20th, 2003

In See Men Shredded, Then Say You Don’t Back War, Ann Clwyd, Labour MP for Cynon Valley, starts with an account of Iraqi men being dropped into a shredding machine:

There was a machine designed for shredding plastic. Men were dropped into it and we were again made to watch. Sometimes they went in head first and died quickly. Sometimes they went in feet first and died screaming. It was horrible. I saw 30 people die like this. Their remains would be placed in plastic bags and we were told they would be used as fish food . . . on one occasion, I saw Qusay [President Saddam Hussein's youngest son] personally supervise these murders.

This is one of the many witness statements that were taken by researchers from Indict — the organisation I chair — to provide evidence for legal cases against specific Iraqi individuals for war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide. This account was taken in the past two weeks.

I won’t quote what they did to Iraqi women.

Bars Go Dry on British Warships Ahead of War

Thursday, March 20th, 2003

I’m not too surprised that the British navy allows drinking on a daily basis. From Bars Go Dry on British Warships Ahead of War:

Unlike American warships, which are dry, British ships have full-functioning bars for officers and a three-can-a-day beer allowance for enlisted sailors.

This I do find odd though; they subsidize liquor:

The tax-free tipple is a bargain — a glass of brandy on board the flagship carrier Ark Royal costs a mere 13 pence (20 U.S. cents).

Tales of the Tyrant

Wednesday, March 19th, 2003

The Atlantic has published an interesting article on Saddam Hussein by Mark Bowden, author of Black Hawk Down: Tales of the Tyrant. This passage about Saddam’s oldest son, Uday, and the Iraqi Olympic team caught my eye:

Raed Ahmed was an Olympic weightlifter who carried the Iraqi flag during the opening ceremonies of the Atlanta games, in 1996. “Uday was head of the Olympic Committee, and all sports in Iraq,” Ahmed told me early this year, in his home in a suburb of Detroit. “During training camp he would closely monitor all the athletes, keeping in touch with the trainers and pushing them to push the athletes harder. If he’s unhappy with the results, he will throw the trainers and even the athletes into a prison he keeps inside the Olympic Committee building. If you make a promise of a certain result, and fail to achieve it in competition, then the punishment is a special prison where they torture people. Some of the athletes started to quit when Uday took over, including many who were the best in their sports. They just decided it was not worth it. Others, like me, loved their sports, and success can be a stepping-stone in Iraq to better things, like a nice car, a nice home, a career. I always managed to avoid being punished. I was careful never to promise anything that I couldn’t deliver. I would always say that there was a strong possibility that I would be beaten. Then, when I won, Uday was so happy.”

PM: More than the fate of the Iraqi regime at stake

Wednesday, March 19th, 2003

Despite the fact that Tony Blair considers himself a student of Bill Clinton, I find him credible — something I could never say of his slick mentor. PM: More than the fate of the Iraqi regime at stake gives the text of his recent speech on Iraq, and I enjoyed (if that’s the right word) this passage:

From December 1998 to December 2002, no UN inspector was allowed to inspect anything in Iraq. For four years, not a thing. What changed his mind? The threat of force. From December to January and then from January through to February, concessions were made. What changed his mind?

The threat of force.

And what makes him now issue invitations to the inspectors, discover documents he said he never had, produce evidence of weapons supposed to be non-existent, destroy missiles he said he would keep? The imminence of force.

The only persuasive power to which he responds is 250,000 allied troops on his doorstep.
And yet when that fact is so obvious that it is staring us in the face, we are told that any Resolution that authorises force will be vetoed.

Not just opposed. Vetoed. Blocked.

Pandemic

Tuesday, March 18th, 2003

In Pandemic, Den Beste brings up an interesting point about influenza:

One of the dirty little secrets in infectious disease research is that most new strains of flu come from China. It doesn’t get talked about much because there really isn’t much that can be done about it.

It turns out that they emerge as the result of genetic crosses between human flu and avian flu, which is mostly a disease of geese and ducks. But humans don’t easily get avian flu, and birds don’t easily get human influenza. However, pigs can get both quite easily, and if a given pig is infected with both simultaneously, then it’s possible for one of its cells to have both kinds of viruses inside at the same time, merrily hijacking the cell’s mechanisms to make more viruses. In that case, there’s a chance of genetic mixing.

So it turns out that this is most likely to happen in places where humans, geese or ducks, and swine all live in close proximity in relatively primitive and unclean conditions, and that turns out to mean China’s collectivized farms. Similar conditions exist elsewhere but they’re much less common. More modern industrialized livestock farming, such as is practiced in the US, isn’t susceptible to this risk.

Popular Weight Loss Supplement May Damage DNA

Tuesday, March 18th, 2003

Popular Weight Loss Supplement May Damage DNA reports a scary discovery:

Chromium picolinate, a popular supplement marketed as building muscle and promoting weight loss, may damage DNA, a new study shows.

Consumption of the supplement led to lethal genetic mutations and sterility in fruit flies, according to a study published in the advance online edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
[..]
To answer this question, Vincent and his colleagues raised four generations of fruit flies on a medium containing chromium picolinate.

In each generation, 20 percent to 30 percent fewer flies reached adulthood among the group fed chromium picolinate, compared to those not given the supplement.

In another experiment, the researchers fed chromium picolinate only to the male flies. “Then we looked at the effect of that on the flies’ grandchildren,” Vincent said. “Two generations removed there were very high rates of mutations.”

Fortunately, I doubt many life-extension enthusiasts are fruit flies eating their bodyweight in chromium picolinate daily.

Action Film Trailer Generator

Sunday, March 16th, 2003

OK, this is too much fun: the Action Film Trailer Generator. Some samples:

In a cursed kingdom of madness, in an age of hopelessness, a dancer combats terrorism.

In a godless universe, in a time of danger, a secretary and a spy quest for hope and oppose lawlessness.

In a lost universe, in an era of sin, an armorer and a bounty hunter battle terrorism.

In an infernal world, four acrobats and a tomb-robber seek a mystic artifact.

In an ominous empire, in a time of wonder, six assassins quest for love and fight terrorism.

Bridget Fonda to Wed Danny Elfman

Saturday, March 15th, 2003

This headline caused a serious double-take: Bridget Fonda to Wed Danny Elfman. Here’s what it says:

Bridget Fonda won’t be a single white female much longer — she’s engaged to film composer Danny Elfman.

It will be the first marriage for the 39-year-old star of such films as “Single White Female” and “A Simple Plan,” and the second for Elfman, the former Oingo Boingo lead singer, People magazine reported in its March 24 issue.

Fonda has been recovering from a back injury she suffered when her car went over an embankment last month on rain-slicked Pacific Coast Highway in Malibu, Calif.

The actress is part of a performing dynasty that includes father Peter Fonda, aunt Jane Fonda, and the late Henry Fonda, who was her grandfather.

Elfman, 49, is best known for his work on such Tim Burton films as “Batman,” “Beetlejuice” “Pee-wee’s Big Adventure” and “Sleepy Hollow.” He also composed the theme song for the Fox series “The Simpsons.”

No pictures of Danny Elfman — just lots of pictures of Bridget with Dwight Yoakam. Inappropriate, maybe?

Flight Attendant Accused of Spiking Juice

Friday, March 14th, 2003

Flight Attendant Accused of Spiking Juice tells a story the evokes outrage — and, perhaps, a teensy bit of understanding too:

A former Northwest Airlines flight attendant was charged with assault for allegedly putting a prescription depressant in a toddler’s apple juice to stop her crying on an international flight.
[...]
The girl’s mother, Beate Turner, told FBI special agent Terry Booth that Cunningham seemed upset when her 19-month-old daughter became restless and began squirming and crying on the flight. Cunningham offered the apple juice three times before Turner accepted, according to the agent’s affidavit. The girl suffered no serious injury.

Turner later noticed the juice was bitter and foamy and had blue and white specks floating in it. Ten days after the flight, she took the juice to University Laboratories in Novi, which confirmed the presence of Xanax, a prescription medication used to treat panic attacks and anxiety, the FBI said.
[...]
Cunningham also has been charged with importing more than 100 tablets of a non-narcotic controlled substance into the United States on a different flight in October. The tablets included Xanax and Valium.

Hey, haven’t you ever wished someone would sedate the crying kid on your flight?

Revenge: What is it good for?

Wednesday, March 12th, 2003

This isn’t a new idea, but its irony makes it interesting. As Revenge: What is it good for? points out, warfare grows out of our ability to cooperate:

“Humans developed the ability to model actions before they happen. This means we can plan collective violence. It explains why we have warfare,” Dr. Roscoe says. Research on chimps confirms that once you can gang up and launch a surprise attack on outnumbered victims, killing becomes a dramatically more attractive option.

If every fight’s one on one, the odds are rarely strongly on your side. Once you can gang up on enemies though, you can expect to win with only minor losses.

Singapore Seeks to Change Boring Image

Wednesday, March 12th, 2003

Singapore always makes me chuckle. Nervously. Now they want to mandate creativity and excitement. From Singapore Seeks to Change Boring Image:

Straight-laced Singapore is urging its young people to figure out what turns them on and help the government make the city-state less boring, a lawmaker said Tuesday.

“I do not believe it is possible to be creative if you do not know how to enjoy yourself,” said Vivian Balakrishnan, Minister of State for National Development, as he urged youth to take part in a government-organized street festival.

“We need to reach deep inside ourselves to find out what turns us on,” said Balakrishnan, chairman of the government-appointed “Remaking Singapore” committee — a panel tasked with getting public feedback on how to make Singaporeans more lively and artistic.

The specifics are what really make the story though:

Among the events scheduled for the June street festival are graffiti, street wear and inline-skating contests.

Singapore is widely known for its tight controls on media. Cosmopolitan magazine and HBO’s television hit “Sex in the City” are banned, along with home satellite TV antennae and even some popular songs deemed too racy.

In recent years, officials have taken small steps to spice up the nightlife, such as allowing some explicit language in plays.

The government may soon allow bar-top dancing and let nightspots stay open 24 hours, instead of closing at 3:00 a.m. as currently required.