In season 4, episode 20 of The Muppet Show, some good ol’ Muppets play The Devil Went Down to Georgia:
Why do I bring this up? Because Aretae found a slightly different version out there.
In season 4, episode 20 of The Muppet Show, some good ol’ Muppets play The Devil Went Down to Georgia:
Why do I bring this up? Because Aretae found a slightly different version out there.
Why are we having so many earthquakes? We’re not; it just seems that way:
We have definitely had an increase in the number of earthquakes we have been able to locate each year. This is because of the tremendous increase in the number of seismograph stations in the world and the many improvements in global communications.
In 1931, there were about 350 stations operating in the world; today, there are more that 4,000 stations and the data now comes in rapidly from these stations by telex, computer and satellite. This increase in the number of stations and the more timely receipt of data has allowed us and other seismological centers to locate many small earthquakes which were undetected in earlier years, and we are able to locate earthquakes more rapidly.
The NEIC now locates about 12,000 to 14,000 earthquakes each year or approximately 50 per day. Also, because of the improvements in communications and the increased interest in natural disasters, the public now learns about more earthquakes. According to long-term records (since about 1900), we expect about 18 major earthquakes (7.0-7.9) and one great earthquake (8.0 or above) in any given year. However, let’s take a look at what has happened in the past 32 years, from 1969 through 2001, so far. Our records show that 1992, and 1995-1997 were the only years that we have reached or exceeded the long-term average number of major earthquakes since 1971. In 1970 and in 1971 we had 20 and 19 major earthquakes, respectively, but in other years the total was in many cases well below the 18 per year which we may expect based on the long-term average.
The population at risk is increasing. While the number of large earthquakes is fairly constant, population density in earthquake-prone areas is constantly increasing. In some countries, the new construction that comes with population growth has better earthquake resistance; but in many it does not. So we are now seeing increasing casualties from the same sized earthquakes.
Better global communication. Just a few decades ago, if several hundred people were killed by an earthquake in Indonesia or eastern China, for example, the media in the rest of the world would not know about it until several days, to weeks, later, long after such an event would be deemed “newsworthy”. So by the time this information was available, it would probably be relegated to the back pages of the newspaper, if at all. And the public Internet didn’t even exist. We are now getting this information almost immediately.
The UK has a drinking problem:
The U.K.’s problem is especially striking because of the contrast to what’s been happening in many other industrialized nations. Per-capita consumption of alcohol in the U.K. rose 19% between 1980 and 2007, compared with a 13% decline for all 30 countries in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, according to the most recent data. Average consumption over that period fell by about 17% in the U.S., 24% in Canada, 30% in Germany and 33% in France, according to the OECD.
David Jernigan, an alcohol expert at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, says higher alcohol taxes and restrictions on marketing have contributed to the declines in many nations. But in the U.K., he says, longer hours for pubs, cheap supermarket booze and the advent of “alcopops”—premixed cocktails favored by young drinkers—have pushed numbers in the other direction.
In Cardiff, the toll on a recent Friday night suggested the scope of the problem. Police and paramedics responded to numerous reports of assault or injury, including drunken revelers tumbling down stairs and a young woman punching two police officers. The city’s main drinking streets were littered with trash and empty bottles. Alleys and doorways reeked of urine.
An employee of one pub found a young woman lying on the sidewalk, vomiting and shivering in a red cocktail dress. Chris Williams, a volunteer “street pastor” who helps Cardiff cope with its night-life casualties, wrapped the woman in a foil blanket and helped her to a bench. Using the ill woman’s cellphone, she called a number marked “Mum” and waited until her mother came.
The average Briton 15 and older drinks the equivalent of about 11.2 liters (about three gallons) of pure alcohol a year, compared with the OECD average of 9.7 liters, and 8.6 liters in the U.S. Over one-quarter of England’s population is “drinking at hazardous levels,” according to a recent report by the Royal College of Physicians and the National Health Service Confederation. The report said treating alcohol-related conditions cost the state-run health service about £2.7 billion (about $4 billion) in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2007, almost double the cost in 2001.
Alan Campbell, a minister in charge of crime reduction for the U.K.’s Home Office, says the ministry has taken various steps to combat alcohol-related problems, including cracking down on stores that sell booze to minors, hauling parents of underage drinkers into court, and financing advertisements that mock the sloppy behavior of binge drinkers.
Health experts say the availability of cheap alcohol is a major factor. U.K. supermarkets have long sold alcohol at a steep discount or even a loss to attract customers, and some market researchers say discounting appears to have intensified during the recession. Low prices, in turn, have prompted some pubs and clubs to cut drink prices and offer promotions including “all you can drink” specials.
You’ll notice that there’s little or no mention of holding drunks accountable for their behavior.
If, for some reason, you don’t think it’s possible to arrest drunks for assault, public urination, etc., at least you can tax alcohol, right? Naturally that’s not quite the policy recommendation in play:
Last year, Britain’s chief medical adviser, Liam Donaldson, said the country should enforce a minimum price for alcohol, warning that “cheap alcohol is killing us as never before.”
Some alcoholic-beverage companies and supermarkets oppose the idea. Paul Walsh, chief executive of liquor company Diageo PLC, says the government has “enough to focus on and should not be fiddling around with this.” Adds Krishan Rama, spokesman for the British Retail Consortium: “We don’t think minimum pricing is the answer. We think education and changing cultural attitudes would make a much bigger difference.”
Some pubs say they’re fed up with supermarkets’ rock-bottom prices and would welcome minimum-price legislation.
“We find a lot of people will go and spend £10 on three bottles of wine before they come out on a Friday and Saturday night, so they’re already well on their way to being absolutely plastered before they’ve even stepped in your door,” says Cardiff pub manager Rebecca How. “I think most publicans and licensing bodies as well would probably support setting a minimum price for a unit of alcohol.”
Notice how ludicrous the countermeasures have become:
U.K. towns and regions also are taking action. Blackpool has mandated the use of plastic cups on weekend nights at pubs, to cut down on accidental cuts and “glassings,” in which pint glasses are used as weapons. There are 87,000 “glass attacks” in the U.K. each year, according to the Home Office. Police in the city of Hull fine disorderly drinkers, photographing them and collecting their cellphone numbers.
Cardiff has mounted one of the most comprehensive responses, stepping up scrutiny of irresponsible pubs, parking ambulances on the busiest drinking streets and closing them off to traffic, and hiring extra city workers to maintain an orderly taxi line for drinkers trying to get home. Recently, city officials took the unusual step of refusing supermarket giants Tesco PLC and J Sainsbury PLC licenses to sell alcohol at new branches in the city center, telling them there already was too much alcohol sloshing around.
Rather than put drunks in prison for assault with a deadly weapon, mandate plastic cups. Rather than hold drunks responsible for their behavior, refuse Tesco a liquor license. Another example:
Police and city officials set up a “traffic-light” system for cracking down on pub violence. They tally assaults and other disturbances at each bar and assign points for each incident. If a pub or club accumulates a certain number of points over a six-month period, it enters a “red” zone, and police assign it a plan for improvement, including switching to plastic cups and adding extra closed-circuit television cameras and bouncers.
Pubs that don’t comply or that fail to improve could lose their liquor licenses, says Trevor Jones, a police officer who helped create the program.
Closed-circuit TV cameras? That’s the answer to everything, apparently. Notice the complete naiveté concerning moral hazard:
Ms. Williams and her fellow Street Pastors, a Christian volunteer group, have been helping manage alcohol-related problems in Cardiff for 18 months or so. The volunteers, clad in blue parkas and baseball caps marked with the Street Pastor logo, walk the main drinking streets in pairs, looking for people to help.
That same Friday, Ms. Williams and her partner saw a young man being kicked out of a club because he was drunk and stumbling. They helped him walk to the nearest cash machine to withdraw money, then gave him water to try to sober him up before putting him in a cab.
Around 2:30 that morning, they came across a common after-hours sight: a woman walking barefoot because she was having trouble walking in her high heels. Ms. Williams handed the woman a free pair of flip-flops. “By that time of night you have urine and glass on the street,” she says.
In Super Crunchers, Ian Ayres notes that Visa can predict divorce — which leads to more missed payments — from credit-card data.
Now debt-collectors are using a combination of data-mining and psychology to improve their collection rates. In this example, debt-collector Rudy Santana treats a recently divorced man with compassion and suggests that it will really help him find peace to pay back as much of the $29,000 he owes as possible:
Eventually, the man from Massachusetts called Santana back with a proposal. He had spoken to his ex-wife, he said. They wanted to wipe out their debt by paying just $10,000 — only 35 percent of what they owed.
Santana had actually already sought permission from the bank to settle for as little as $10,000. It’s an open secret that if a debtor is willing to wait long enough, he can probably get away with paying almost nothing, as long as he doesn’t mind hurting his credit score. So Santana knew he should jump at the offer. But as an amateur psychologist, Santana was eager to make his own diagnosis — and presumably boost his own commission.
“I don’t think that’s going to work,” Santana told the man. Santana’s classes had focused on Abraham Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, a still-popular midcentury theory of human motivation. Santana had initially put this guy on the “love/belonging” level of Maslow’s hierarchy and built his pitch around his relationship with his ex-wife. But Santana was beginning to suspect that the debtor was actually in the “esteem” phase, where respect is a primary driver. So he switched tactics.
“You spent this money,” Santana said. “You made a promise. Now you have to decide what kind of a world you want to live in. Do you want to live around people who break their promises? How are you going to tell your friends or your kids that you can’t honor your word?”
The man mulled it over, and a few days later called back and said he’d pay $12,000.
“Boom, baby!” Santana shouted as he put down the phone. “It’s all about getting inside their heads and understanding what they need to hear,” he told me later. “It really feels great to know I’m helping people in pain.”
Credit cards grew in popularity once credit-card companies realized there was more money in people who didn’t pay off their balances every month:
Today Americans carry an average of 5.3 all-purpose cards in their wallets, and the average household has $10,679 in credit-card debt, according to the industry publication The Nilson Report.
Canadian Tire doesn’t sell just tires, and studying its house credit card’s purchase data revealed who was risky and who wasn’t:
His data indicated, for instance, that people who bought cheap, generic automotive oil were much more likely to miss a credit-card payment than someone who got the expensive, name-brand stuff. People who bought carbon-monoxide monitors for their homes or those little felt pads that stop chair legs from scratching the floor almost never missed payments. Anyone who purchased a chrome-skull car accessory or a “Mega Thruster Exhaust System” was pretty likely to miss paying his bill eventually.
Martin’s measurements were so precise that he could tell you the “riskiest” drinking establishment in Canada — Sharx Pool Bar in Montreal, where 47 percent of the patrons who used their Canadian Tire card missed four payments over 12 months. He could also tell you the “safest” products — premium birdseed and a device called a “snow roof rake” that homeowners use to remove high-up snowdrifts so they don’t fall on pedestrians.
It’s all pretty obvious in retrospect, isn’t it? (And I shouldn’t be surprised that there’s a whole class of people like me, paying their bills and keeping their floors safe, while watching the birds at the birdfeeder from a CO-free living room.)
American Express is using data to choose which customers to pay to leave:
Selected members — the company won’t say how many — received letters with the voluntary offer a couple weeks ago, according to Molly Faust, an American Express spokesperson. Each letter came with an RSVP code that, when submitted online, immediately cancels that member’s card. Members have until the end of April to pay off their balance, after which they will receive a $300 Amex prepaid gift card. If they do not pay off their balance in time, they do not get the gift card and their accounts will still be closed, Ms. Faust said.
Nicholas Ciarelli also shares some data-mining discoveries from a non-credit-card company, Hunch:
For instance, Hunch has revealed that people who enjoy dancing are more apt to want to buy a Mac, that people who like The Count on Sesame Street tend to support legalizing marijuana, that pug owners are often fans of The Shawshank Redemption, and that users who prefer aisle seats on planes “spend more money on other people than themselves.”
Intriguing.
I wasn’t familiar with David Mills, the journalist and TV writer, before he recently passed away due to a brain aneurysm, but a passing reference brought me to his Undercover Black Man blog and led me from the Giant Negro scare of a century ago to another historical post, on the 1911 Encyclopedia Britannica entry for the Ku Klux Klan:
The current Encyclopedia Britannica describes the Klan as “either of two distinct secret terrorist organizations in the United States, one founded immediately after the Civil War…, the other beginning in 1915…”
But the word “terrorist” wasn’t used in the 1911 edition. To say the least. Here is how the 1911 entry begins:
“KU KLUX KLAN, the name of an American secret association of Southern whites united for self-protection and to oppose the Reconstruction measures of the United States Congress, 1865-1876.”
The past is a foreign country.
The original article mentions that the Klan’s rituals and costumes — which included weird masks, not just hoods — had a great influence over the lawless but superstitious blacks, which leads Edshugeo to comment:
I remember seeing a scene from Birth Of A Nation in some documentary (that illustrated the above point) and immediately thinking of Batman’s “criminals are a superstitious lot” moment.
I think Bob Kane was Jewish, so he wasn’t trying to glorify the Klan or anything. Just saw a decent idea and ran with it.
Not related to the above, but when I hear Ziggy Stardust, the line “when the kids had killed a man, I had to break up the band” recalls something I (think I) read on a newsgroup a while back about the Klan being founded by a Freemason who disbanded the group when they got too violent.
I love Batman and David Bowie, but sometimes they remind me of the Klan.
Many Japanese sushi-eaters may have received a genetic gift from marine microbes to their own gut bacteria, the genes for algae-munching enzymes:
The enzymes break down algal carbohydrates including one found in red algae of the genus Porphyra, best known to sushi lovers as nori.
Probably no one has coined as many memorable phrases about belief as G.K. Chesterton, Richard Fernandez says:
His key insight was to observe that “human nature simply cannot subsist without a hope and aim of some kind”. Hope is like a drug which humanity can’t survive without. Therefore hope — and the faith that it will be fulfilled – is “as dangerous as fire.” The wisest treat it with caution because it can be twisted into a noose around their necks; but the most careless of humanity imagine themselves above it and fall into it more completely than those who see it from what it is. Chesterton wrote that “the modern world is filled with men who hold dogmas so strongly that they do not even know that they are dogmas. It may be said even that the modern world, as a corporate body, holds certain dogmas so strongly that it does not know that they are dogmas.”
The history of secularization can be understood not as a replacement of belief by reason, but an exchange of one belief for another. The traditional monotheisms were hustled out of the way so that they could sell Lenin in the place left vacant by Jesus. Perhaps no other century has seen more god-men than the 20th. Lenin, Joseph Stalin, Adolf Hitler, Benito Mussolini, Mao Zedong, Nicolae Ceau?escu, Saparmurat Niyazov, Ho Chi Minh, Kim Il-Sung, Ayatollah Khomeini, Sukarno, and Kim Jong-Il promoted a cult of personality. And there’s a reason for that. The dictators could only sell the box of matches with their likeness on the cover if they could darken the sun of faith. “During the peak of their regimes, these leaders were presented as god-like and infallible. Their portraits were hung in homes and public buildings, with artists and poets legally required to produce only works that glorified the leader.” Maybe Chesterton was right when he predicted that “the first effect of not believing in God is to believe in anything.”
But that hardly solves the problem. Caught between the need to believe and the danger of believing, what’s a society to do? For starters, it should be careful.
The most fascinating thing about cults in America, Western Europe and Japan is how ridiculous the objects of their veneration were. In 1973 a convict named Donald Defreeze, having failed to impress his fellow black prisoners, realized that the more educated the dupes, the better. Cons were allergic to cons. So he did the smart thing, went to Berkeley and he introduced himself as Field Marshal “Cinque” to the white middle class. His prospects improved immediately and DeFreeze proceeded to start the Symbionese Liberation Army, convert Patty Hearst and raise hopes for one tantalizing moment that he was going to lead the Revolution. If gunplay wasn’t your style, James Edward Baker who was the owner of a Sunset Strip health food restaurant before he renamed himself “Father Yod” or “Ya Ho Wa 13? could offer you membership in the Source Family. He led this quintessential cult until he died after stepping off a 1,300 foot cliff in a hanglider he had not learned to fly.
If you were tired of mainline churches, there was David “Mo” Berg of the Children of God whose female followers used sex to attract new adherents into his fold. His conversion rate was said to approach 100%, proof if any were needed, that if there is something more attractive than faith it is faith plus sex. But he was small potatoes besides Jim Jones, the founder of the People’s Temple, who threw socialism and politics into the mix. Jones convinced his followers to establish a “socialist paradise” in the middle of a South American jungle where he persuaded 913 people to drink poisoned Kool-Aid served out of galvanized iron buckets. It was the greatest single loss of civilian American life until September 11. For style, no one could surpass Charles Manson. Manson was the apocalypse, plus murder, plus music all rolled into one. All he left out were the flying saucers. Facile and evil, Manson recruited a coterie of followers called the Family. Hunkered down in a California ranch against the outbreak of Helter-Skelter, a race war he predicted would be triggered by the denial of white women to black men, Manson sent his killers out to Hollywood to butcher his enemies in cinematic horror style.
Nor were the Europeans, even after their experience with Hitler and Stalin, totally immune from the attractions of the dark flame. There was Raelism, founded by a French race car driver, which is described as “the largest UFO religion in the world”. And even in Japan, where you would think the directions up and down were well known, some persons turned to venerating Shoko Asahara. Asahara would impress his devotees by supposedly levitating, a feat apparently achieved by twitching his buttocks and farting, a process reminiscent of the half-propeller, half-jet aircraft drive of the 1950s. Ashara ordered a nerve gas attack on the Tokyo subway in 1995. People too sophisticated to believe in Jesus may have no trouble believing in Xenu — or Gaia.
Stu Wall began working at a bootstrapped start-up after graduating from Harvard Business School, so he feels qualified to explain why MBAs fail at entrepreneurship:
Group Think – Figure out what’s popular, then do the opposite
MBAs idealize jobs and ideas that used to offer outstanding returns. Private Equity and Hedge Funds offered outstanding salaries to HBS students from 06-08 and thus attracted “top” HBS students. As more talented students pursued these options it became conventional wisdom that everyone should be doing the same.
It turns out we’re good at picking sectors to avoid. The Harvard MBA Index has rightly predicted shorting the stock market when over 30% of HBS students go into finance. In 2008 the index hit an all-time high of 41%. Students aren’t the only ones showing up late to parties — in June of 2000 HBS initiated an ill-fated Silicon Valley Campus.
Howard Aiken has a great quote: “Don’t worry about people stealing your ideas. If your ideas are any good, you’ll have to ram them down people’s throats.” Have the courage to take a path that may not be obvious to your peers.
I’ve mentioned the Harvard indicator before.
Isn’t it wrong for people to suffer in a rich country?, John Stossel asks:
David Boaz, executive vice president of the Cato Institute, took the discussion to a deeper level.“Instead of asking, ‘What should we do about people who are poor in a rich country?’ The first question is, ‘Why is this a rich country?’ …
“Five hundred years ago, there weren’t rich countries in the world. There are rich countries now because part of the world is following basically libertarian rules: private property, free markets, individualism.”
Everyone says they want creativity, but creativity is not rewarded:
There have been countless studies, too many to cite here, on teacher opinions of creative behavior in classrooms. In one example, a study by Westby and Dawson looked at characteristics of creative and non-creative students, then asked teachers to rate their favorite and least favorite students based on those traits.
First, teachers were asked if they valued creativity and enjoyed working with creative students, and they overwhelmingly answered “yes”. Next, they were asked to look at their own students and rate them on a variety of traits, ranging from highly creative traits, such as being determined, independent, individualistic, impulsive, and likely to take risks, to traits that are associated with low levels of creativity, such as peaceable, reliable, tolerant, steady, and practical. After they rated their students on these traits, they were asked to rate them from their least favorite to most favorite students.
Interestingly, there was a significant negative correlation between the degree of creativity of the student and his favorable rating by the teachers. This means that the most creative students were the least favorite of the teachers, across the entire sample surveyed. Additionally, the students that were rated as favorites of the teachers possessed traits that would seem counter-productive to creative behavior, such as conformity and unquestioning acceptance of authority. On the other hand, these are behaviors that fit well in a classroom setting. Even back in 1975, Feldhusen and Treffinger reported that 96% of teachers felt that creativity should be promoted in the classroom. However, when asked which students they actually liked to teach, they chose the students that were more compliant. Why the inconsistency?
Teachers say they want creativity, but that is not the behavior that is rewarded. In this study (as well as in many others), they found that there is a discrepancy between what teachers, and schools in general, say they value and desire, and what behaviors they actually reward and encourage. Teachers don’t want the student who is always raising their hand and questioning the assignment; they want the student who unquestioningly follows the outline given to them and turns the assignment in on time. After all, what a hassle it would be to allow a student to creatively revise an assignment, even if the new method still met the project objectives. Any type of questioning of the pre-set format is viewed as challenging and defiant behavior. Bad.
Unfortunately, once you leave school, society does not get much more supportive of really creative behavior. The most highly valued employees are the ones who blindly accept the ideology of the company, don’t challenge authority, and do the work that is required of them, no questions asked.
People don’t say what they think, Eric Falkenstein says:
Professors love creative students, as demonstrated by those who extend their work in predictable yet difficult dimensions. The ‘creativity’ is evidenced merely by embracing their-own paradigm shifting work. A truly creative person, like a true risk taker, is seen as a crank in real-time, and indeed on average they are. But sometimes they are right.
Like risk-taking, what these creativity lovers mean is, they like positive surprises. Risk-taking of a regular sort that leads to failure is considered just dumb, or worse, full of hubris. Creativity is great if it generates an obviously valuable thing, otherwise, it’s annoying, and just inappropriate.
I once read an article that accompanied an exposition on the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and its implication that expected return was positively related to risk (via the ‘beta’, now an anachronism). They asked a bunch of well-known portfolio managers about their greatest risks, and each one was an unqualified success. This gives one the feeling that risk is related to return, because in these biased samples they are. Kids, and adults, should know that risk-taking usually fails, and so the only key is to know when to stop, and to keep trying, learning along the way.
The governments of the US and UK have democratized, then bureaucratized and centralized, over the past couple centuries. Oh, and grown:
The entire US federal government used to spend roughly the amount — adjusted for the size of the total economy — that we now spend on the military alone. That shouldn’t be too surprising, because in the early years — say, 1800 — the federal government didn’t spend money on much else.
And that points to something else: those spikes in spending correspond to wars. You can’t miss the US Civil War, WWI, and WWII. And then spending just stays high. Is this the natural evolution of democracy toward socialism? Or is government spending a luxury good — as countries get rich, the parasites come out of the woodwork?
Richard W. Rahn thinks we should be learning from what works, not dwelling on what doesn’t — and that means studying Switzerland, not Haiti:
Economists, political scientists, reporters and pundits spend too much of their time looking at dysfunctional societies and trying to explain why there are poverty, joblessness and hopelessness. In many ways, Haiti is easy to explain – no rule of law and 200 years of corrupt and incompetent governments. Switzerland is the polar opposite. It has almost no corruption and has the rule of law with honest, competent judges and government administrators. The question should be, “What can we learn from the Switzerlands of the world about how to do things right” rather than, “What is wrong with the Haitis of the world?” Switzerland manages to run a smaller government as a share of gross domestic product than the United States and most other countries while providing a higher level of service, security, prosperity and freedom. How does it do that?
In many ways, Switzerland seems unlikely to be such a long-term global success story. It is a small country with religious and language differences; nevertheless, the Swiss have managed to live peaceably together for a long time. It has few natural resources, yet it has managed to have one of the highest per capita incomes in the world. It has a world-class health care system, which is privately run. Health care insurance is subsidized, and everyone has access regardless of income, but there is no “public option.”
Switzerland is not perfect, but it is clean, prosperous, well-managed, pleasant, humane and very free. In the more than three decades I have been coming to Switzerland, I have been convinced that the United States and the rest of the world can learn from many things the Swiss have done. The Swiss are practical rather than ideological, but they do revere liberty. They protect private property and free markets and restrain themselves from rampant deficit spending. The Swiss maintain a sound currency, which has been rising against the euro, dollar and pound. Capital, goods and services, with few exceptions, move freely into and out of the country.
Long ago, the Swiss understood that most things government needs to do and constructively does are at the local level. So, unlike in most modern nation-states, local government has the bulk of the resources and activities, while the central government remains relatively small and less important in the daily lives of the people. In the U.S., roughly two-thirds of government is at the federal level, and one third is at the state and local level. Switzerland is just the opposite, with roughly two-thirds of government being at the state (canton) and local level. Both the United States and Switzerland are federal republics. If one reads the Federalist Papers and the other works of the American Founding Fathers, it is clear they envisioned a nation that operates much more like Switzerland than one with the large central government the U.S. now has.
The maximum marginal tax rate at the federal level in Switzerland is about 11.5 percent, while in the U.S., it will be more than 40 percent as a result of Obamacare and the planned expiration of the George W. Bush tax-rate cuts at the end of this year. In Switzerland, maximum income tax rates in the cantons range from 10.9 percent in Zug to about 30 percent in places like Geneva. In the U.S., state and local income tax rates range from zero in places like Texas and Florida to roughly 12 percent in New York City and California. Thus, the overall maximum income tax rate in Switzerland ranges from roughly 20 percent to 40 percent, depending on location, while in the U.S., the maximum rate ranges from 40 percent to 51 percent.
Switzerland also does not impose a capital gains tax, and most cantons allow large deductions for interest and dividends. On the negative side, Switzerland imposes a value-added tax (VAT) and a very small wealth tax. On the positive side, the average combined federal-canton corporate tax rate is 21.3 percent (and may be as low as 11.8 percent in some places) while in the U.S., the average combined federal-state rate is more than 40 percent.
Apparently the Taliban rank-and-file can’t shoot straight, because they rely on spray and pray automatic fire — almost literally, Inshallah — but they are crafty, Marine Captain Grace explains:
We operated the entire deployment, on every patrol, in the horns of a dilemma. Insurgent forces would engage our forces from a distance with machine-gun fire and sporadic small arms and carefully watch our immediate actions. From day one, at the sound of the sonic pop of the round, Marines are taught to seek immediate cover and identify the source/location of the fire. Cover is almost always available in Afghanistan in the form or dirt berms, dry/filled canals and buildings. Marines tend to gravitate toward the aforementioned terrain features.
So what the insurgents would do was booby-trap those areas with I.E.D.s. Whether they were pressure plates or pressure release, they were primed to detonate as Marines dove for cover. Back to the horns of a dilemma. Do I jump for the nearest cover? Run to the nearest building? Jump in the nearest canal? Do I take my chances and stand where I am and drop in place? Not necessarily the things you need to be contemplating as rounds are impacting all around you.
A commenter named Jeff adds some history — and a wee bit of game theory:
During WW-2 our airborne troops on patrol would never go for cover or stay in place but would quickly rush any attacking force counting on fear and the resulting poor marksmanship of their adversaries; not being elite troops in most cases, to gain the advantage and quickly force them to retreat or face annihilation. Of course in most cases the paratroopers were not facing prepared ambushes, but even facing dug in troops immediate almost reflexive frontal and flanking assaults proved to be very effective because it would mentally unhinge the adversary.
No doubt our commanders should mix up their responses to Taliban attacks. If they encounter Taliban on our terms our troops should be more aggressive using rapid assaults to close and overwhelm the enemy and then destroy their retreat with accurate fire. If we encounter the Taliban on their terms we should vary our response from digging in ( a system can be set up where some soldiers dig while others shot suppressing fire, and digging just enough so they feel less exposed), or getting prone, to retreating and regrouping rather than taking cover in places the Taliban can predict and mine.
I suppose it complicates things that our modern Marines have better long-range weapons than the Taliban, but our WWII airborne troops likely would have had worse long-range weapons than the Germans. But sometimes even a bayonet charge works, with enough élan.
David Boaz argues that there never was any golden age of lost liberty in America’s past, because — wait for it — blacks and women did not have the same rights as white men.
I consider his point true, but disingenuous, because no libertarian is arguing for the return of the entirety of 18th-century law and culture; they’d be happy to cut out the incongruities, as I argued to Aretae:
I think it’s a bit disingenuous to attack a nostalgic longing for the liberty of yesteryear by pointing to the un-free elements of the past.
One can attack, say, the privileged Southern aristocracy as dependent on slavery and be largely correct, but the minimalist government of the 18th century did not depend on chattel slavery, women’s limited property rights, etc.; it merely coexisted with them.
The “typical” white male Christian citizen lived in a fairly libertarian world, particularly with respect to the federal government, and the maltreatment of other groups is easy to see as the aberration, not the core, of the system — and these un-free elements were hardly top-down mandates from some tyrant; they were accepted bottom-up elements of the common law.
Where this all gets ugly and awkward is in the transition toward broader acceptance of the rights of former-slaves, women, etc., because that often involves massive transfers of wealth and power, combined with day-to-day life turning upside down.
And I don’t think democracy necessarily smooths that transition.
That last line wasn’t mean to imply that Aretae had said anything with respect to democracy, pro or con, just to point out that when suffrage becomes a right, then the fight over who deserves (any) rights can get ugly:
You wouldn’t, for instance, have to be the least bit bigoted to fear black suffrage in the South during Reconstruction. A new majority with no property and no prospects deciding who gets taxed how much and how those tax dollars get spent?
Anyway, I don’t think the orthodox libertarian position points to the Antebellum or Reconstruction Deep South as its Golden Age, but to, say, Pennsylvania and New York — and the frontier West, of course, where there’s that pesky issue of Indian Wars, which the common man on the frontier wanted won right quick.
Foseti has decided to listen to some of the great religious works, like Milton’s “Paradise Lost” — and they’re beautiful:
I’m fully persuaded by many of the arguments made by the religious in favor of religion. I would prefer to live a religious society (I’m speaking Christianity and Judaism here) than an nonreligious one. Art is better in a religious society. The average person is probably better. The list goes on. I’ll grant all those things.
My hold up with religion is that I just don’t believe in a God that alters things in the world and judges cosmically-meaningless human actions. I’m willing to go to church on Sundays, if it helps keep the average dullard a believer — I just don’t believe. Too much pro-religion writings focuses on the arguments of the strident atheists and not on the metaphysical stuff which would probably do more to help convince the marginal atheist.