Natural Elites, Intellectuals, and the State

Sunday, January 17th, 2010

Hans-Hermann Hoppe presents an interesting theory of natural elites, intellectuals, and the state, starting from the theory presented by Bertrand de Jouvenel:

According to his view, states are the outgrowth of natural elites: the natural outcome of voluntary transactions between private property owners is non-egalitarian, hierarchical, and elitist. In every society, a few individuals acquire the status of an elite through talent. Due to superior achievements of wealth, wisdom, and bravery, these individuals come to possess natural authority, and their opinions and judgments enjoy wide-spread respect. Moreover, because of selective mating, marriage, and the laws of civil and genetic inheritance, positions of natural authority are likely to be passed on within a few noble families. It is to the heads of these families with long-established records of superior achievement, farsightedness, and exemplary personal conduct that men turn to with their conflicts and complaints against each other. These leaders of the natural elite act as judges and peacemakers, often free of charge out of a sense of duty expected of a person of authority or out of concern for civil justice as a privately produced “public good.”

The small but decisive step in the transition to a state consists precisely of the monopolization of the function of judge and peacemaker. This occurred once a single member of the voluntarily acknowledged natural elite was able to insist, despite the opposition of other members of the elite, that all conflicts within a specified territory be brought before him. Conflicting parties could no longer choose any other judge or peacemaker.

Once the origin of a state is seen as the outgrowth of a prior, hierarchically structured order of natural elites, it becomes clear why mankind, insofar as it was subject to government at all, has been under monarchical (rather than democratic) rule for most of its history. There have been exceptions, of course: Athenian democracy, Rome until 31 B.C., the republics of Venice, Florence, and Genoa during the Renaissance, the Swiss cantons since 1291, the United Provinces (the Netherlands) from 1648 until 1673, and England under Cromwell. But these were rare occurrences, and none of them remotely resembled modern, one-man-one-vote democratic systems. Rather, they too were highly elitist. In Athens, for instance, no more than 5% of the population voted and was eligible for positions of rulership. It was not until after the end of World War I that mankind truly left the monarchical age.

From the moment when a single member of the natural elite successfully monopolized the function of judge and peacemaker, law and law enforcement became more expensive. Instead of being offered free of charge or in exchange for voluntary payment, it was financed by a compulsory tax. At the same time, the quality of law deteriorated. Rather than upholding ancient private property laws and applying universal and immutable principles of justice, a monopolistic judge, who did not have to fear losing clients as the result of being less than impartial, would pervert the existing law to his own advantage.

How was this small yet decisive step of monopolizing law and order by a king, which predictably led to higher prices and a lower quality of justice, possible? Certainly, other members of the natural elite would resist any such attempt. Yet this is why the eventual kings typically aligned themselves with the “people” or the “common man.” Appealing to the always popular sentiment of envy, kings promised the people cheaper and better justice in exchange for and at the expense of taxing — cutting down to size — their own betters (the king’s competitors.) Second, kings enlisted the help of the class of intellectuals.
[...]
A fundamental change in the relationship between the state, natural elites, and intellectuals only occurred with the transition from monarchical to democratic rule. It was the inflated price of justice and the perversions of ancient law by kings as monopolistic judges and peacekeepers that motivated the historical opposition against monarchy. But confusion as to the causes of this phenomenon prevailed. There were those who recognized correctly that the problem was with monopoly, not with elites or nobility. However, they were far outnumbered by those who erroneously blamed the elitist character of the ruler for the problem, and who advocated maintaining the monopoly of law and law enforcement and merely replacing the king and the highly visible royal pomp with the “people” and the presumed decency of the “common man.” Hence the historic success of democracy.

How ironic that monarchism was destroyed by the same social forces that kings had first stimulated and enlisted when they began to exclude competing natural authorities from acting as judges: the envy of the common men against their betters, and the desire of the intellectuals for their allegedly deserved place in society. When the king’s promises of better and cheaper justice turned out to be empty, intellectuals turned the egalitarian sentiments the kings had previously courted against the monarchical rulers themselves. Accordingly, it appeared logical that kings, too, should be brought down and that the egalitarian policies, which monarchs had initiated, should be carried through to their ultimate conclusion: the monopolistic control of the judiciary by the common man. To the intellectuals, this meant by them, as the people’s spokesmen.

As elementary economic theory could predict, with the transition from monarchical to democratic one-man-one-vote rule and the substitution of the people for the king, matters became worse. The price of justice rose astronomically while the quality of law constantly deteriorated. For what this transition boiled down to was a system of private government ownership — a private monopoly — -being replaced by a system of public government ownership — a publicly owned monopoly.

A “tragedy of the commons” was created. Everyone, not just the king, was now entitled to try to grab everyone else’s private property. The consequences were more government exploitation (taxation); the deterioration of law to the point where the idea of a body of universal and immutable principles of justice disappeared and was replaced by the idea of law as legislation (made, rather than found and eternally “given” law); and an increase in the social rate of time preference (increased present-orientation.)

A king owned the territory and could hand it on to his son, and thus tried to preserve its value. A democratic ruler was and is a temporary caretaker and thus tries to maximize current government income of all sorts at the expense of capital values, and thus wastes.

Here are some of the consequences: during the monarchical age before World War I, government expenditure as a percent of GNP was rarely higher than 5%. Since then it has typically risen to around 50%. Prior to World War I, government employment was typically less than 3% of total employment. Since then it has increased to between 15 and 20%. The monarchical age was characterized by a commodity money (gold) and the purchasing power of money gradually increased. In contrast, the democratic age is the age of paper money whose purchasing power has permanently decreased.

Peru’s Subtle Authoritarianism

Sunday, January 17th, 2010

Robert Kaplan describes Peru’s subtle authoritarianism:

In 1990 Peruvian voters elected Alberto Fujimori to dismantle parts of their democracy. He did, and as a consequence he restored a measure of civil society to Peru. Fujimori disbanded Congress and took power increasingly into his own hands, using it to weaken the Shining Path guerrilla movement, reduce inflation from 7,500 percent to 10 percent, and bring investment and jobs back to Peru. In 1995 Fujimori won re-election with three times as many votes as his nearest challenger. Fujimori’s use of deception and corporate-style cost-benefit analyses allowed him to finesse brilliantly the crisis caused by the terrorist seizure of the Japanese embassy in Lima. The commando raid that killed the terrorists probably never could have taken place amid the chaotic conditions of the preceding Peruvian government. Despite the many problems Fujimori has had and still has, it is hard to argue that Peru has not benefited from his rule.

From Was Democracy Just a Moment? (1997).

Toyota Executive Sees Limits to Electric Cars

Sunday, January 17th, 2010

Koei Saga, Toyota’s managing officer of advanced technology and battery development, sees — and admits — limits to electric cars:

He said (through a translator) that limited range means that E.V.’s work best as “very small commuter-type vehicles” for use in major metropolitan areas (he used Europe and Japan as examples). Asked if longer-range E.V.’s were possible with current technology, he said that could happen only “if we forget about battery life and if we forget about the cost incurred for replacement of those batteries.”

Cost remains an issue, Mr. Saga said. In 10 years, he said, Toyota would like to reduce the cost of lithium-ion batteries by more than 50 percent. But he pointed out that the price of batteries for cellphones and computers has fallen much faster.

Battery cars capable of extended highway travel are relatively far in the future, Mr. Saga said. He envisioned such electric cars working best if they could obtain electricity not from batteries, but from an interaction with the highway itself. Just such a system has been tested by the Advanced Institute of Science and Technology of Korea, which uses induction strips and inverters embedded in the road to recharge batteries when cars drive over them.

Such induction strips and inverters alleviate the need for expensive and heavy batteries:

In May, scientists at the Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology demonstrated how induction strips and inverters embedded in a road can carry a current that recharges specially designed electric vehicles on the fly. The cars in such a system — aimed primarily at urban areas — would be equipped with compact batteries that have a 50-mile range.

The government of South Korea is investing heavily in the project, which was displayed at last month’s C-40 summit in Seoul, a city of 10 million with serious traffic problems.

The Israeli project — a venture of the research and development firm Innowattech, which is linked to the Israel Institute of Technology, takes a slightly different tack. Piezoelectric ceramic tiles are embedded into the asphalt of a road, or the tracks of a rail line, and linked to modules that draw the electricity generated from the pressure exerted by passing vehicles.

Piezoelectric materials are commonly found in micro-electronics, like watches and CD-ROMs, which rely on very small quantities of power.

Looking to adopt a nanotechnology to a macro scale, Innowattech installed its systems under a 50-yard stretch of the outside lanes on a commercial highway that handles about 600 trucks each hour.

The firm’s director of business development, Yael Greenberg, said the system, which has no moving parts, generated the equivalent of 250 kWh per kilometer lane. The capacity, she added, “really depends on the traffic.”

Another option is to go with ultracapacitors, which can’t hold much energy but can recharge almost instantly — at bus stops, for instance.

Pakistan’s Most Successful Period of Governance

Saturday, January 16th, 2010

In 1993, Pakistan briefly enjoyed the most successful period of governance in its history, Robert Kaplan says:

The government was neither democratic nor authoritarian but a cross between the two. The unelected Prime Minister, Moin Qureshi, was chosen by the President, who in turn was backed by the military. Because Qureshi had no voters to please, he made bold moves that restored political stability and economic growth. Before Qureshi there had been violence and instability under the elected governments of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif.

Bhutto’s government was essentially an ethnic-Sindhi mafia based in the south; Sharif’s was an ethnic-Punjabi mafia from the geographic center. When Qureshi handed the country back to “the people,” elections returned Bhutto to power, and chaos resumed. Finally, in November of last year, Pakistan’s military-backed President again deposed Bhutto. The sigh of relief throughout the country was audible. Recent elections brought Sharif, the Punjabi, back to power. He is governing better than the first time, but communal violence has returned to Pakistan’s largest city, Karachi.

I believe that Pakistan must find its way back to a hybrid regime like the one that worked so well in 1993; the other options are democratic anarchy and military tyranny. (Anarchy and tyranny, of course, are closely related: because power abhors a vacuum, the one necessarily leads to the other. One day in 1996 Kabul, the Afghan capital, was ruled essentially by no one; the next day it was ruled by Taliban, an austere religious movement.)

From Was Democracy Just a Moment? (1997).

Sir Humphrey’s Political wisdom

Saturday, January 16th, 2010

Sir Humphrey from Yes, Prime Minister shares this political wisdom:

This is a British democracy… British democracy recognizes that you need a system to protect the important things of life and keep them out of the hands of the barbarians [i.e. the people]. Things like the opera, radio 3, the countryside, the law, the universities (both of them) and we are that system [the permanent national bureacracy]… we run a civilized, aristocratic government machine tempered by occasional general elections. Since 1832, we have been gradually excluding the voter from government. Now, we’ve got them to a point where the just vote once every five years for which bunch of buffoons will try to interfere with our policies…

Book Of Eli Reboots Zardoz

Saturday, January 16th, 2010

I have never watched the post-apocalyptic cult-classic, Zardoz — which is infamous, more than anything, for putting Sean Connery in a truly terrible costume — but I was intrigued to find out that Denzel Washington’s Book Of Eli “reboots” Zardoz — and arguably misses the point, by changing the “zinger” ending, which the original title hints at.

Nothing is more dangerous than debate in a crowd

Friday, January 15th, 2010

The battle between liberal and neoconservative moralists who are concerned with human rights and tragic realists who are concerned with security, balance-of-power politics, and economic matters is a variation on the dispute between the twentieth-century liberal humanist Isaiah Berlin and the seventeenth-century monarchist Thomas Hobbes:

In May of 1953, while the ashes of the Nazi Holocaust were still smoldering and Stalin’s grave was fresh, Isaiah Berlin delivered a spirited lecture against “historical inevitability” — the whole range of belief, advocated by Hobbes and others, according to which individuals and their societies are determined by their past, their civilization, and even their biology and environment. Berlin argued that adherence to historical inevitability, so disdainful of the very characteristics that make us human, led to Nazism and communism — both of them extreme attempts to force a direction onto history. Hobbes is just one of many famous philosophers Berlin castigated in his lecture, but it is Hobbes’s bleak and elemental philosophy that most conveniently sums up what Berlin and other moralists so revile.

Hobbes suggested that even if human beings are nobler than apes, they are nevertheless governed by biology and environment. According to Hobbes, our ability to reason is both a mask for and a slave to our passions, our religions arise purely from fear, and theories about our divinity must be subordinate to the reality of how we behave. Enlightened despotism is thus preferable to democracy: the masses require protection from themselves. Hobbes, who lived through the debacle of parliamentary rule under Cromwell, published his translation of Thucydides in order, he said, to demonstrate how democracy, among other factors, was responsible for Athens’s decline. Reflecting on ancient Athens, the philosopher James Harrington, a contemporary and follower of Hobbes, remarked that he could think of “nothing more dangerous” than “debate in a crowd.”

From Was Democracy Just a Moment? (1997).

Shelby Foote on Reconstruction

Friday, January 15th, 2010

Shelby Foote wrote a three-part narrative of the Civil War and shared his view on Reconstruction with Elizabeth Farnsworth of PBS:

The [Confederate] flag is a symbol my great grandfather fought under and in defense of. I am for flying it anywhere anybody wants to fly it. I do know perfectly well what pain it causes my black friends, but I think that pain is not necessary if they would read the confederate constitution and knew what the confederacy really stood for.

This country has two grievous sins on its hands. One of them is slavery — whether we’ll ever be cured of it, I don’t know. The other one is emancipation — they told 4 million people, you’re free, hit the road, and they drifted back into a form of peonage that in some ways is worse than slavery. These things have got to be understood before they’re condemned.

They’re condemned on the face of it because they take that flag to represent what those yahoos represent as — in their protest against civil rights things. But the people who knew what that flag really stood for should have stopped those yahoos from using it as a symbol of what they stood for. But we didn’t — and now you had this problem of the confederate flag being identified as sort of a roughneck thing, which it is not.
[...]
I don’t object to any individual hiding from history, but I do object to their hiding history from me. And that’s what seems to me to be going on here. There are a lot of terrible things that happened in American history, but we don’t wipe ‘em out of the history books; we don’t destroy their symbols; we don’t forget they ever happened; we don’t resent anybody bringing it up. The confederate flag has been placed in that position that’s unique with an American symbol. I’ve never known one to be so despised.

(Hat tip to Neofusionist.)

Multicultural Critical Theory. At Business School?

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

I don’t know if the writer, Lane Wallace, or a New York Times editor came up with the headline — Multicultural Critical Theory. At Business School? — but it’s terribly misleading:

Learning how to think critically — how to imaginatively frame questions and consider multiple perspectives — has historically been associated with a liberal arts education, not a business school curriculum, so this change represents something of a tectonic shift for business school leaders. Mr. Martin even describes his goal as a kind of “liberal arts M.B.A.”

“The liberal arts desire,” he says, is to produce “holistic thinkers who think broadly and make these important moral decisions. I have the same goal.”

Ever since 1959, when two influential studies by the Ford and Carnegie Foundations chastised business schools as being too vocational, most M.B.A. programs have taken anything but a broad approach to their subject matter.

With few exceptions, traditional instruction has involved separate disciplines like finance, marketing and strategy, with an emphasis on quantifiable analyses and methods. While some valued what a liberal arts background could provide, the dominant view was that those elements had no place in professional business schools.

But even before the financial upheaval last year, business executives operating in a fast-changing, global market were beginning to realize the value of managers who could think more nimbly across multiple frameworks, cultures and disciplines. The financial crisis underscored those concerns — at business schools and in the business world itself.

Historically, a liberal arts education was the education proper to a free man — grammar, rhetoric, logic, etc. — not an education in liberal political thought — like the multicultural critical theory of the headline.

Our post-Cold War mission to spread democracy is partly a pose

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

Our post-Cold War mission to spread democracy is partly a pose, Robert Kaplan says:

In Egypt and Saudi Arabia, America’s most important allies in the energy-rich Muslim world, our worst nightmare would be free and fair elections, as it would be elsewhere in the Middle East. The end of the Cold War has changed our attitude toward those authoritarian regimes that are not crucial to our interests — but not toward those that are. We praise democracy, and meanwhile we are grateful for an autocrat like King Hussein, and for the fact that the Turkish and Pakistani militaries have always been the real powers behind the “democracies” in their countries. Obviously, democracy in the abstract encompasses undeniably good things such as civil society and a respect for human rights. But as a matter of public policy it has unfortunately come to focus on elections.

From Was Democracy Just a Moment? (1997).

Space 2099

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

I only have the vaguest recollections of Space 1999, but now it has been “rebooted” as Space 2099 — unofficially:

A Space 1999 fan named Eric Bernard has boiled down most episodes of the first three seasons of the show into easy-to-watch chunks of 2-3 minutes each. And he’s added more effects, attempted to create better continuity, and even edited dialogue so that everybody says they’re in 2099 instead of 1999. Essentially, he’s made the show addictively watchable again.

For each episode Bernard supplies a summary and explains what he’s changed:

This episode contains several modifications the major one being at the crucial moment when the second nuclear waste dump explodes. This event now creates a rupture in the fabric of space sucking the moon into its void and propulsing it into an uncharted area of the universe. At the end, the decision to stay on Moonbase Alpha is now a more obvious one and John Koenig alone assumes responsibility. Fans will also notice that the travel tube has been adapted to look more accurate with the actual studio set and that the Meta signal has been removed to be re-used in another context later in the series.

On the Pharma Gravy Train

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

Megan McArdle is now on the Pharma gravy train:

Today, I became a big beneficiary of the enormous marketing budgets of pharmaceutical companies. I know many of y’all suspected it all along. But sadly, there was no massive check waiting for me in the mail today. No, what happened is, I went to the pulmonologist for a lung function test, because my asthma has been steadily getting worse for months.

The bad news is what I already knew — I am no longer well controlled enough with Singulair and a rescue inhaler, and I need to go on inhaled steroids. The good news is that I left with an armful of free samples, so that I can figure out which inhaled steroid works for me most cost-effectively. That’s courtesy of those bloated marketing budgets you hear so many complaints about, more than half of which go to free samples.

This isn’t such a great deal for the pharmaceutical industry, since otherwise I’d be paying full freight for one of their products. All it does for the pharma firms is buy them a seat at the table — a chance to win my business. But it’s a great deal for me, and millions of consumers like me who get a chance to try multiple products before we commit to one.

One of the things that bugs activists about this practice is that the pharmaceutical companies record the cost of the marketing as the full price of the product, not the cost of producing it. But this is actually the right accounting rule, precisely because of what I outlined above: the samples cost them a full price sale. One could argue that it should be slightly lower, because I might have insurance which would pay a discounted rate for the product. But whatever the exact right price is, it’s closer to the market price of the product than to the production cost. Keep that in mind the next time you hear someone complaining that pharma spends more on marketing than development; if it weren’t for all those free samples, and the reps who bring them to the doctors, they’d spend considerably less.

She makes some interesting points, but, no, I don’t think that is the right accounting rule. Commenter Tim H. explains:

If a customer has four competing products to choose from, all else being equal each firm is only losing a 25% chance of a full price sale. The value of a 25% chance at a sale is obviously not the same as an actual sale.

The Courage Necessary for Tyranny

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

“But it seemed to her that he wanted to be a tyrant without having the courage necessary for tyranny.”
— Trollope

Neofusionist adds:

This problem has been rampant in my working experience. If you are in charge, you need to make decisions, and you will therefore be wrong sometimes. Being afraid to be wrong means you won’t be decisive, which makes you a bad leader. Not deciding is itself a decision to be ineffective.

Tongue twisters

Thursday, January 14th, 2010

The Economist looks at difficult languages — or, rather, languages that are difficult for English-speakers to learn — and raises an issue I pondered ages ago while studying first-, second-, and third-person conjugations in singular and plural:

A truly boggling language is one that requires English speakers to think about things they otherwise ignore entirely. Take “we”. In Kwaio, spoken in the Solomon Islands, “we” has two forms: “me and you” and “me and someone else (but not you)”. And Kwaio has not just singular and plural, but dual and paucal too. While English gets by with just “we”, Kwaio has “we two”, “we few” and “we many”. Each of these has two forms, one inclusive (“we including you”) and one exclusive. It is not hard to imagine social situations that would be more awkward if you were forced to make this distinction explicit.

Santa, the Tooth Fairy, and the Candy Witch?

Wednesday, January 13th, 2010

Jacqueline Woolley, a psychology professor at the University of Texas at Austin, has conducted a series of studies involving Santa, the Tooth Fairy and a newly made-up character known as the “Candy Witch” to examine how children distinguish between real people and make-believe:

In one study involving 91 children, Dr. Woolley asked young kids if a number of people and characters, including Santa and the garbage man, were real. She found that 70% of 3-year-olds reported that Santa Claus was real, while 78% believed in the garbage man. By age 5, kids’ certainty about the garbage man grew, and Santa believers peaked at 83%. It wasn’t until age 7 that belief in Santa declined. By 9, only a third believed in Santa while nearly all reported the garbage man was real.

So, “if kids have the basic distinction between real and not real when they’re 3, why do they believe in Santa until they’re 8?” says Dr. Woolley.

The researchers found that while children as young as 3 understand the concept of what is real and what isn’t, until they are about 7 kids can be easily misled by adults’ persuasive words or by “evidence.” They hold onto their beliefs about some fantastical characters — like Santa — longer than others, such as monsters or dragons. Most of the kids in the study were Christian, and the numbers of those who believed in Santa would likely be smaller if there were children of other religious backgrounds in the sample, says Dr. Woolley.

Logically, from what young kids observe, it makes sense to think that Santa is real, says Dr. Woolley. And Santa and the trash collector share certain characteristics. Both are people whom kids have heard about but have likely never met before. There is proof for Santa’s existence — the gifts that appear on Christmas morning — as well as for the garbage man’s — he makes trash disappear — even though kids don’t usually see them in action. A 5-year-old has the cognitive skills to put together the pieces of evidence, but because the pieces are misleading, he or she comes to the wrong conclusion. Younger children may not have the cognitive skills to put the pieces of evidence together, so may in fact be less likely to believe in Santa’s existence. The realness of some other characters, such as Sesame Street’s Elmo, can perplex kids because they know Elmo is a puppet, but does that make him real or not?

Dr. Woolley has also looked to see what types of cues and contexts are most convincing to children. In another experiment involving 44 children, her research team went into preschoolers’ classrooms and told them about a new character dubbed the Candy Witch, a friendly woman who arrives on Halloween and replaces the candy kids have collected with a toy. The researchers showed the kids a picture of the witch, and in some cases told the parents to provide “evidence” of the witch’s existence by making the candy and toy swap at home.

Nearly two-thirds of the children were convinced that the Candy Witch was real. Those kids who were “visited” by the witch were more convinced of it. And, like with Santa Claus, older preschoolers, who were on average 5 years old, were more convinced than younger preschoolers who averaged 3.5 years old. These results were published in the journal Developmental Science in 2004.