It would take a combination of three requisite factors to make a bomb

December 11th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesGeneral Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), that in making his initial appraisal of the German atomic picture, Captain Horace K. Calvert knew it would take a combination of three requisite factors to make a bomb:

Those were: (1) a sufficient number of top nuclear scientists and technical assistants; (2) the basic fuel for a bomb—uranium, and possibly thorium, probably combined with uranium; and (3) laboratories to develop it and industrial means to make it.

He started working on the fuel problem first, for we were sure of Germany’s scientific and industrial ability to do the job. Thorium seemed out of the question, since it is mined chiefly in Brazil and India and, because of embargoes, Germany had been unable to import any since the war began, and had had only insignificant stocks on hand before the war. The basic fuel was thought to be uranium. Considering our own firsthand knowledge of the enormous industrial effort required to produce U-235, we were confident that we would have seen evidences of any such program had one existed. It seemed more likely that they would use plutonium. That they had enough to launch an atomic program seemed to be within the realm of possibility, for we knew there had been a large stockpile of refined uranium ore at Oolen, Belgium, a few miles outside Brussels, which originally had been the property of Union Miniere.

The only other possible supply of uranium was the mines at Joachimsthal, Czechoslovakia, which was not a particularly significant source. Most of this ore was shipped to a uranium plant outside Berlin, the Auer-Gesellschaft. British Intelligence kept in touch with the activities of these mines, and in July, 1944, Calvert’s group started periodic aerial surveillance over the entire mining area, studying the pictures in detail for new shafts and aboveground activity. Tailing piles from each mine were microscopically measured from one reconnaissance to the next. By knowing the general grade of the ore and measuring the piles, we could determine with some degree of accuracy the mine’s daily production. There were no signs of extraordinary activity.

It would have been imperative for Hitler to enlist the aid of all his top scientists. Allied Intelligence had established that many of them were working on the “V” weapon; particularly at Peenemiinde, but to our knowledge no nuclear physicists had been reported there. Calvert started a search for some fifty German nuclear scientists. He knew that there must be many young scientists who had come up since Hitler’s rise to power of whom we had no knowledge; however, if we could locate a few of the top people, they should lead us to the rest. All the present and back issues of the German physics journals were scrutinized. Foreign-born nuclear scientists in the United States, like Enrico Fermi, O. R. Frisch and Niels Bohr, as well as anti-Nazi professors and scientists in Switzerland, Sweden and other neutral countries, were questioned in detail to obtain any past or present information they might have on the whereabouts of the German scientists. The names of all German scientists were placed on watch lists with American and British intelligence agencies which were daily scanning German newspapers that had been smuggled out. Before long we had recent addresses for a majority of the scientists in whom we were interested.

The third main category of pre-D-Day investigation, laboratories and industrial plants, was studied in much the same way. Lists were compiled of all of the precious metal refineries, the physics laboratories, the handlers of uranium and thorium, manufacturers of centrifugal and reciprocating pumps, power plants and other such installations as were known to exist in the Axis countries. These were placed on a master list from which they were not removed until we had positive information that they were not engaged in, or supplying, an atomic program. All plants where work of an unknown nature was being conducted were checked through aerial reconnaissance, the underground, OSS and all the numerous intelligence agencies.

A critical problem is one that people are willing to pay a considerable price to have solved

December 10th, 2025

Politics is nothing but an ocean of hyperbole, Bryan Caplan reminds us, as he cites this passage from Edward Banfield‘s 1974 classic, The Unheavenly City Revisited:

A great part of the wealth of our country is in the cities. When a mayor says that his city is on the verge of bankruptcy, he means that when the time comes to run for reelection he wants to be able to claim credit for straightening out a mess that was left to him by his predecessor. What he means when he says that his city must have state or federal aid to finance some improvements is (1) the taxpayers of the city (or some important group of them) would rather go without the improvements than pay for it themselves); or (2) although they would pay for it themselves if they had to, they would much prefer to have some other taxpayers pay for it. Rarely if ever does a mayor who makes such a statement mean (1) that for the city to pay for the improvement would necessarily force some taxpayers into poverty; or (2) that the city could not raise the money even if it were willing to force some of its taxpayers into poverty. In short, the “revenue crisis” mainly reflects the fact that people hate to pay taxes and that they think that by crying poverty they can shift some of the bill to someone else.

[…]

That we have not yet been willing to pay the price of solving, or alleviating such “problems” even when the price is a very small one suggests that they are not really critical. Indeed, one might say that, by definition, a critical problem is one that people are willing to pay a considerable price to have solved.

120 kilograms of heavy water were being delivered to the Nazis each month

December 9th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesWe did not make any appreciable effort during the war, General Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), to secure information on atomic developments in Japan:

First, and most important, there was not even the remotest possibility that Japan had enough uranium or uranium ore to produce the necessary materials for a nuclear weapon. Also the industrial effort that would be required far exceeded what Japan was capable of. Then, too, discussions with our atomic physicists at Berkeley, who knew the leading Japanese atomic physicists personally, led us to the conclusion that their qualified people were altogether too few in number for them to produce an effective weapon in the foreseeable future. Finally, it would have been extremely difficult for us to secure and to get out of Japan any information of the type we needed.

[…]

Positive support for our reasoning that the Germans were vitally interested in atomic energy had come from Norway, where before the war, in the town of Rjukan, about seventy-five miles west of Oslo, the Norwegians had constructed a complex of hydroelectric and electrochemical plants. When the Nazis occupied the country in 1940, they had required the operators of the Rjukan works to enter into contracts to produce heavy water which was to be shipped to Berlin for experimental use in the development of atomic energy. In September of 1942 we had estimated that approximately 120 kilograms of heavy water were being delivered to the Nazis each month under the terms of this contract.

[…]

The first attempt to put these works out of commission involved the use of guerrilla forces. Some five months after my request, three Norwegians, especially trained in sabotage techniques, and wearing British uniforms, parachuted into Norway, where they were met by local guerrillas. After nearly a week of hard cross-country skiing, they arrived at Rjukan and attacked the factories there on February 27, 1943.

The first reports on this action were most encouraging. A news dispatch from Oslo, which was relayed to Stockholm, stated that damage was “not extensive except at the place where the attempt was made and there the devastation was total.” Subsequent reports from Sweden were even more encouraging, calling this “one of the most important and successful undertakings the Allied saboteurs have carried out as yet during the war.”

These same Swedish newspapers caused me some headaches when they went on to speculate at considerable length about the importance of heavy water, pointing out that “many scientists have pinned their hopes of producing the ‘secret weapon’ upon heavy water, namely an explosive of hitherto unheard-of-violence.” These items were picked up by the London papers and finally, on April 4, 1943, New York readers were greeted by such headlines as “Nazi ‘Heavy Water’ Looms as Weapon.” Immediately, Dr. Harold Urey, who had discovered heavy water, was deluged with calls from reporters wanting more information. He neatly sidestepped all such inquiries with the statement that “So far as I know, heavy water’s uses are confined solely to experimental biology. I have never heard of an industrial application for heavy water, and know of no way it can be used for explosives.”

Meanwhile, the British were hard at work assessing the damage done to the Rjukan works in the February raid. Their first estimates indicated that heavy-water production had been set back by about two years. We had different information, but our suspicions were not confirmed until we learned definitely that the plant had resumed partial operations in April. Yet doubt can be contagious and, under our gentle prodding, Sir John Dill soon felt himself compelled to inform General Marshall that a more realistic appraisal of the damage indicated that the plant could be completely restored in about twelve months. After some discussion of launching another commando raid—a full-scale one this time—General Marshall, at my behest, proposed to Sir John Dill that, instead, the plants be made a first priority bombing objective. This proposal led ultimately to a massive air attack on Rjukan in November of 1943. Although this mission in itself was not particularly destructive, it apparently led the Germans to believe that more attacks would follow. This belief, together with the problem of constant sabotage by workers in the plants, and probably a lack of appreciation at high government levels of the possible value of the product, caused the Nazis to give up their attempts to repair the damage done by the saboteurs in February. All apparatus, catalyzers and concentrates used in the production of heavy water were ordered shipped to Berlin. Norwegian guerrillas interfered with every step of the transfer, successfully destroying much valuable equipment and even going so far as to sink the ferry which carried a large part of the heavy water.

We just want every child to reach their full potential

December 8th, 2025

Freddie deBoer is exasperated with anti-hereditarians who talk as though Blank-Slatism is some reviled niche perspective, when in fact the blank slate represents the bipartisan and cross-ideological assumption that has dominated debate in education policy since before he was born:

Perhaps the reason I am so regularly exasperated with people like Hoel or Eric Turkheimer or any number of others in this conversation is because I have been marinated in the ed policy world for a long, long time, and in that world there is no debate at all: every child is capable of any academic outcome. There is no limit to what education can do. Go to your average charter school conference and the idea that individual students have any inherent or intrinsic academic tendency isn’t just unpopular, it will get you shouted out of the room. Try being a public school teacher of a 25th percentile student, telling his parents that it’s not realistic to hope to turn him into a 90th percentile student, and see how that goes for you professionally. Even if you can get people to concede that our goal shouldn’t be equality of educational outcomes, or even that students perhaps don’t all have perfectly equal potentials, such concessions will remain in the realm of the vague and the general.

(When I ask people if they think we should try to establish summative educational equality of outcomes, they say of course not, that’s a straw man, we just want every child to reach their full potential. When I ask if they think it would be alright if, say, 15% of students were a full standard deviation or more below the mean, they say that’s outrageous, we should never condone that level of failure! And it’s like, guys….)

The two most important American educational bills in the 21st century have been No Child Left Behind (bipartisan, signed by a Republican president) and the Every Student Succeeds Act (bipartisan, signed by a Democratic president). Those names are not coincidental or empty; they express exactly what the politicians who drafted them believed was possible. They reflect a cross-ideological and remarkably durable assumption in our education politics that all students can be pushed through the college-to-affluence pipeline. I wish people on the genetics research side of this debate would stop talking as though there’s some rigid hereditarian consensus when, in the ed policy world, there is in fact the exact opposite.

It was difficult to arrive at a proper price

December 7th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesIt was difficult to arrive at a proper price, General Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), for uranium ore:

By this time it was certain that the material was of immense value to the United States, provided the bomb worked. To the seller it was of great potential value if atomic energy should prove to have either military or peacetime value. Otherwise, it was worth only the value of its radium content. And if our reactor theories were sound, the radium would lose most of its value since radioactive cobalt could largely replace it.

It did have one definite value and that was what it cost to produce. Yet even this was difficult to establish fairly, for the unit production cost was much less at Shinkolobwe than in Canada or on the Colorado Plateau. Its value had never been determined in the open market and now there was only one purchaser and one seller.

As a Belgian, Sengier appreciated fully the absolute necessity of an Allied victory. It was his broad, statesman-like attitude that made it possible for us to reach an agreement satisfactory to all.

It was a distinct pleasure for me after the war to recommend the award of the Medal of Merit, the highest civilian award made by our government, to Edgar Sengier for his great services to the United States, to Belgium and the free world in making available to us adequate supplies of Belgian Congo uranium. It was also my pleasure to present this award at a ceremony in my office in Washington. Security restrictions had not yet been lifted on this phase of the MED operations and the ceremony was private and unpublicized. It has always been a source of regret to me that Sengier’s services, and particularly his foresight, could not receive full public recognition at the time.

A cruise ship the size of a country

December 6th, 2025

On his way to India last year, Bryan Caplan connected through Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and toured its sister-city, Dubai, too. He shares his reflections on the United Arab Emirates:

In cleanliness and crime, UAE rivals Japan.

[…]

The key ingredient of Emirati success: 88% of UAE’s population is foreign-born. That’s the highest share of any country on Earth.

[…]

I chatted with workers from both Zimbabwe and Sierra Leone. Yes, would-be migrant workers face a government approval process, so the border is not 100% open. But if you want to work hard to make a better life for yourself, your prospects of landing a work visa are decent no matter how humble your credentials.

Abu Dhabi and Dubai are living proof that Michael Clemens’ “Trillion Dollar Bills on the Sidewalk” is literal truth. Both cities look like Coruscant from Star Wars. They are absolute marvels: Gleaming cities of the future where humanity gathers to produce massive wealth. And without mass immigration, almost none of this could have been built!

[…]

In a country where everyone is rich, rich people would have to hire other rich people to clean their homes, cook their food, and watch their kids. In a nativist UAE, the only way to get good value for your money would be to leave the country!

[…]

A typical demagogue would have objected, “We don’t want to become a minority in our own homeland,” but Zayed boldly forged ahead — and created a cruise ship the size of a country. Since 1971, UAE’s population has grown from 280K people to 9.5 million. A miraculous multiple of 34x.

[…]

Most observers glowingly describe UAE’s overflowing welfare state. In a sense, they’re right.

[…]

In a more important sense, however, the UAE’s welfare state is admirably austere, because these lavish benefits are limited to Emirati citizens — and these citizens are a tiny minority of the population. If 88% of the residents of Sweden were ineligible for redistribution, no one would call it “a generous welfare state” — no matter how high the benefits for the remaining 12% happened to be.

[…]

Instead, the UAE has decisively Westernized two initially un-Western populations: native Arab Muslims and Third World migrants. How? By creating an economy dominated by Westernized multinationals. Though the Western population is low, their “soft power” has slowly but surely taken over the soul of the UAE. Verily, Western culture is a hardy weed.

[…]

“What about businesses withholding their workers’ passports?” That’s now illegal, and locals tell me the new law is well-enforced. But either way, it’s a rounding error. Foreign workers have phones, so what do you think they tell their friends and family back home? “Don’t come; they’ll confiscate your passport”? Or, “Definitely come; in five years you’ll return a rich man”?

Ponder this: If a foreigner causes problems in the UAE, the standard punishment is deportation. So how dire could the problem of withholding passports have ever been? The main function of the new UAE law is not to protect foreign workers from employers but to protect the UAE’s reputation from international muckrackers.

Small slide rules emerged from several coat pockets

December 5th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesProblems at Los Alamos included those that can always be expected to arise in any isolated community, General Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project):

They were aggravated by the fact that the two dominant sectors of the group were composed of people of almost directly opposite backgrounds: scientists with little experience outside the academic field; and uniformed members of the armed services, nearly all nonprofessionals, who had little experience in, or liking for, the academic life and who were interested simply in bringing the war to a quick and successful end.

There was always some undercurrent of feeling between small segments of these two groups, though Oppenheimer, Parsons, Tyler and Ashbridge made every effort to bring them together. On social occasions, for instance, they included both civilian and military personnel. On one evening at least, it was a notable success.

This was a dinner given by Tyler and his wife, soon after their arrival at Los Alamos. Shortly before, an item had appeared in a daily column syndicated in several Eastern newspapers advancing the theory that if one wished to expedite the freezing of ice cubes in a refrigerator he might do so by filling the ice trays with boiling hot water. In a casual way, the hostess mentioned the item, and wondered whether any of the guests knew whether the freezing of water could, indeed, be hastened in this way. Any qualms she might have felt about a topic of conversation that would absorb the interest of the leading physicists of the United States were now dispelled. One highly eminent scientist stated that the proposal was a ridiculous one. Another said that the theory was quite possibly true. Small slide rules emerged from several coat pockets; pencils and pads of paper were requested; there were heated arguments in which some of the military guests with engineering background joined, as did some of the scientists’ wives, while others looked quietly resigned, as if they had many times endured similar scenes. There is no record that any agreement was finally reached; but later it was rumored that several participants in the discussion hurried home and conducted experiments in their own refrigerators.

Physicists remain divided on the effect‘s reproducibility, precise definition, and underlying mechanisms.

It’s living proof that “trillion dollar bills on the sidewalk” is not silly blackboard economics

December 4th, 2025

Bryan Caplan argues that the so-called “cultural costs” of immigration would have to be astronomical to outweigh the tens of trillions of dollars of gains we’re forfeiting every year from restricting it:

And they’re clearly not. If natives really cared so much about their cultures, they would be migrating en masse to low-immigration areas of their countries. They aren’t.

[…]

Since they almost never do, we should infer that their cultural attachment is weak.

This first comment, from Torches Together, offers a British perspective:

The first point seems incredibly poorly thought through.

People very clearly do move away from high-immigration neighbourhoods! This is well documented in the UK and France at the population level.

White Britons tend to move to majority-white (95%+) areas in their 30s when having kids.

We also see macro-level shifts in the classic “white flight” cases: Bradford, Saint-Denis, Southall, Blackburn, Tower Hamlets. Entire neighbourhoods that were 99% White in the 1950s are now over 90% minority.

And the answer to the question “Why don’t people move across the country?” is already in the preceding paragraph. “Somewheres” are defined by attachment to place, not race or nation or ethnicity. If you’re from south London and you’re uneasy about the pace or nature of demographic change, your options typically look like:

1) Stay put – keep your attachment to place, with less attachment to the area’s shifting ethnic profile. Quite common.; 2) Move nearby to somewhere whiter but still kinda “your area” (Essex is the classic example) – also common. 3) Move across the country to somewhere 99+% white – this is less common because you have no attachments there!

Living near productive people is attractive to other productive people and to parasites.

Bryan offers the straightforward economic solution no one seems to consider:

If the problem is negative externalities, then the usual Pigovian logic applies: Governments should measure these negative externalities — remembering to subtract any positive externalities — then impose an immigration tax of equal magnitude. Anyone who pays the tax gets in.

A tax on work visas would resolve many issues — as would stricter enforcement of ordinary laws:

I keep “gushing” [about the United Arab Emirates] because it’s living proof that “trillion dollar bills on the sidewalk” is not silly blackboard economics. Emirates is a cruise ship the size of a country, where the world’s poorest and richest come together for the betterment of both. The West is demonstrably missing a golden opportunity to enrich their citizens and humanity by tens of trillions of dollars.

The US lacks the will to enforce the rules that would make mass immigration feasible.

These people were accustomed to making their views known to similar committees

December 3rd, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesGeneral Groves was advised, he explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), that he could improve his working relationship with the Los Alamos scientists if he appointed a committee to review their work:

[Dr. James B. Conant] pointed out that these people were accustomed to making their views known to similar committees appointed by their university administrations, and that our adoption of this system would meet with their approbation. A further advantage which we both recognized was that a review committee, with its fresh outlook, might be able to make a suggestion that would be eagerly seized upon, whereas if the same suggestion came from me, it might be regarded as interference.

Personally, I never found the idea of a committee particularly obnoxious so long as I recalled the opinion of a very wise and successful Chief of Engineers, General Jadwin. When some of his subordinates intimated to him that there was no need to appoint a board of consultants on the Mississippi River, since its members would have neither the knowledge nor the background in this field possessed by many officers of the Corps of Engineers, Jadwin replied: “I have no objection to committees as long as I appoint them.”

[…]

Out of the Review Committee’s work came one important technical contribution when Rose pointed out, in connection with the Thin Man, that the durability of the gun was quite immaterial to success, since it would be destroyed in the explosion anyway. Self-evident as this seemed once it was mentioned, it had not previously occurred to us. Now we could make drastic reductions in our estimates of the Thin Man’s size and weight. Because the gun-type bomb thus became militarily practical at an early date, work on it could go ahead on an orderly and not too hurried basis.

And the handsome sleeping lieutenants were massacred

December 2nd, 2025

Wind, Sand And Stars by Antoine de Saint-ExupéryDavid Foster sees a murderous parallel between the recent D.C. shooter and this passage from St-Exupery’s Wind, Sand, and Stars:

I had known el Mammun when he was our vassal. Loaded with official honors for services rendered, enriched by the French Government and respected by the tribes, he seemed to lack for nothing that belonged to the state of an Arab prince. And yet one night, without a sign of warning, he had massacred all the French officers in his train, had seized camels and rifles, and had fled to rejoin the refractory tribes in the interior.

Treason is the name given to these sudden uprisings, these flights at once heroic and despairing of a chieftain henceforth proscribed in the desert, this brief glory that will go out like a rocket against the low wall of European carbines. This sudden madness is properly a subject for amazement. And yet the story of el Mammun was that of many other Arab chiefs. He grew old. Growing old, one begins to ponder. Pondering thus, el Mammun discovered one night that he had betrayed the God of Islam and had sullied his hand by sealing in the hand of the Christians a pact in which he had been stripped of everything.

Indeed what were barley and peace to him? A warrior disgraced and become a shepherd, he remembered a time when he had inhabited a Sahara where each fold in the sands was rich with hidden mysteries; where forward in the night the tip of the encampment was studded with sentries; where the news that spread concerning the movements of the enemy made all hearts beat faster round the night fires. He remembered a taste of the high seas which, once savored by man, is never forgotten. And because of his pact he was condemned to wander without glory through a region pacified and voided of all prestige. Then, truly and for the first time, the Sahara became a desert.

It is possible that he was fond of the officers he murdered. But love of Allah takes precedence.

“Good night, el Mammun.”

“God guard thee!”

The officers rolled themselves up in their blankets and stretched out upon the sand as on a raft, face to the stars. High overhead all the heavens were wheeling slowly, a whole sky marking the hour. There was the moon, bending towards the sands, and the Frenchmen, lured by her tranquility into oblivion, fell asleep. A few minutes more, and only the stars gleamed. And then, in order that the corrupted tribes be regenerated into their past splendor, in order that there begin again those flights without which the sands would have no radiance, it was enough that these Christians drowned in their slumber send forth a feeble wail. Still a few seconds more, and from the irreparable will come forth an empire.

And the handsome sleeping lieutenants were massacred.

His arrival was announced by a frantic guard

December 1st, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesWilliam S. Parsons was the first Navy officer to be assigned to Los Alamos, General Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), and he appeared at the gate wearing his Navy summer uniform:

His arrival was announced by a frantic guard, who telephoned his sergeant: “Sergeant, we’ve really caught a spy! A guy is down here trying to get in, and his uniform is as phony as a three dollar bill. He’s wearing the eagles of a colonel, and claims that he’s a captain.”

The Navy kept chasing a 100% solution to the point where they ended up with 0% of the ship being delivered

November 30th, 2025

After eight years of development, billions of dollars invested, and five years since a production contract was awarded, the U.S. Navy is cancelling its Constellation-class frigate program:

By the time the final axe came down on the LCS program in 2023, the Navy had already awarded a production contract to Wisconsin-based Fincantieri Marinette Marine to build an entirely new type of advanced frigate: the Constellation class. In order to expedite production and keep costs down, the Navy opted to base this new frigate on an existing design: the Italian-French FREMM multi-mission frigate that was already being built in two variants, one for Italy and one for France. The plan was to retain roughly 85% of the original FREMM design, while changing roughly 15% to better suit the U.S. Navy’s needs and regulations.

[…]

However, it wasn’t long before the Navy decided to depart from the FREMM design to better accommodate all of the necessary hardware. Italy and France’s FREMM frigates measure between 434 and nearly 466 feet long, but America’s new Constellation would add another 30 feet to the largest FREMM iterations, reaching 496 feet. This also came with a substantial increase in weigh from around 6,000 tons to 7,291.

Yet, making the ship bigger and heavier quickly became a problem, especially as the frigate’s requirements continued to change too. For instance, in 2022, the Navy decided to cancel plans to install a new anti-submarine warfare module into its troubled LCS ships and instead, shoehorn it into the new Constellation-class as well, citing its ability to integrate with the ship’s existing SQQ-89 ASW combat system.

In 2020, when the production contract was awarded, the Navy projected the first new Constellation-class frigates would be delivered in 2026. But by 2022, with construction underway on the first new ship, the design was still not finalized. With design elements of the ship’s structure, piping, ventilation, and other systems still incomplete, production was forced to stall, driving up costs. By the following year, the weight growth issue was becoming too big to ignore, with the ship’s displacement growing by 10% and already exceeding its maximum weight margin, calling into question whether the ship could even carry any future upgrades. The Navy even considered reducing its requirements for the ship’s speed as a result, which also called into question its ability to keep pace with fast-moving carrier strike groups.

By 2024, the first ship of the class was 36 months behind schedule, with the second already considered two years behind before its keel was even laid. The plan, as I mentioned before, was to retain roughly 85% of the FREMM frigate design to expedite production, but by that point, the Constellation design retained only about 15% of its parent design. This caused a cascade of other issues, like the need to write new code for a reported 95% of the ship’s control system software due to deviations from the FREMM design it came from, and the incorporation of new equipment and systems.

The Constellation-class frigate seemed to suffer from a classic case of scope-creep, a term used to describe a program that keeps seeing new requirements tacked onto it as it develops, resulting in cost overruns and delays. As one lawmaker put it, the Navy kept chasing a 100% solution to the point where they ended up with 0% of the ship being delivered.

Some amazing rumors began to circulate through Santa Fe, some thirty miles away

November 29th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesAs the work got under way, General Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project), some amazing rumors began to circulate through Santa Fe, some thirty miles away:

Typical of these was that old stand-by that we were building a home for pregnant WAC’s.

[…]

After a number of Navy officers had been assigned to the project, and were seen on the streets of Santa Fe, rumors burgeoned about the new type of submarine that was being perfected on the Hill, as Los Alamos came to be known locally. Although the nearest navigable body of water was many hundreds of miles away, this rumor sounded entirely plausible to a number of people.

[…]

Colonel G. R. Tyler, the military commander at Los Alamos, once boarded a train at the railway stop nearest Santa Fe, and in the club car sat next to a man in civilian clothes who had gotten on at the same station. The stranger at once began a one-sided, rapid-fire conversation. It was obvious that he had failed to note the fact that Tyler had boarded the train at the same time that he had for, finally, he lowered his voice and said, “If we can find a secluded spot, I can tell you something which, I think, will interest you.”

Both men walked to the vestibule of the car, and stood while the man related his story. “You’d never believe the strange things that are happening on a certain mountain about fifty miles from Santa Fe. They’re doing some work that is very secret and the place is surrounded by belts of tall wire fencing. In order to keep intruders out, between these belts of fences they keep ferocious packs of wild African dogs. Besides, there are thousands of heavily armed soldier guards, and I can tell you that a number of people have been killed by the guards, or torn to pieces by the animals. It’s a frightful thing! However, I suppose that in wartime these things have to be.” He then told of other strange happenings on the Hill, none of which were true, and concluded with, “Of course, I happen to be one of the very few residents of Santa Fe who know what they are doing up there, but I do hope that you won’t ask me any questions. You see, I’ve given my word of honor that I will not divulge their secrets.”

By this time the train was approaching Tyler’s station, and as the stranger followed him to the platform he said, “Colonel, I forgot to ask you, but where are you stationed, and what sort of an assignment have you?” The officer replied, “I am stationed at Los Alamos, and I command the military personnel there.” The horrified and now extremely red-faced stranger said, “I hope that you’ll forget everything that I’ve told you. I don’t really know what’s going on at the Hill. I merely repeated some of the things that I’ve heard.”

He had finished Yale in 1950 and wanted to be a writer

November 28th, 2025

As Peter Matthiessen tells it, he had finished Yale in 1950 and wanted to be a writer — but how do you just become a writer?

His English professor Norman Holmes Pearson tapped him on the shoulder and asked if he wanted to do something for his country. This was happening quite a lot at Yale at the time. One of Matthiessen’s contemporaries estimated that two dozen of their classmates were recruited for the CIA through various professors. The agency called them the “P source,” for “professor.” Matthiessen wrote that Pearson opened him “like an oyster.” Not because he was ideologically driven — his politics at that point were unformed and chaotic — but because he wanted a stipend and an excuse to go to Paris, which was a city that he and his first wife, Patsy Southgate, really loved. The CIA then was reputationally much more benign, at least domestically. It hadn’t yet become known by most Americans for its involvement in coups and things like that.

[…]

He was at the Hotchkiss School during the war, in high school, and he would watch a lot of the young men slightly older than him go off to fight. He saw it as a rite of passage, a badge of honor. By the time it was his turn, when he was doing basic training in Sampson, New York, V-J Day happened. So he missed out. His letters to his girlfriends at the time are really conflicted. He was happy the war was over, but he also felt that he’d been denied something. Eventually, toward the end of 1945, he got sent off anyway, to Hawaii. His job was to do the laundry of the real soldiers who were being demobilized and sent home. He felt incredibly emasculated by this.

[…]

He would take the metro to meet his CIA handler in the Jeu de Paume, and they would stroll from the museum to the gardens near the Louvre and discuss his assignments. What he was actually working on for the CIA is still opaque. Matthiessen described it later as “deceiving people” and “serial lying.” Until the CIA releases its files, it’s always going to be a bit shadowy. I assume he was spying on other expat Americans, his friends. That’s probably why he was always cagey about it—the shame he felt about doing that.

[…]

The problem with Matthiessen’s cover soon became clear — the labor of a writer is pretty invisible to the outside world. It looks like we’re just sitting inside and not doing anything at all. Matthiessen’s handler told him he needed a visible profession.

[…]

The question of whether the CIA ever directly funded The Paris Review is an incredibly complicated one. The editors were all raising money to run the magazine, canvassing all their parents’ friends. Julius Fleischmann, of the instant-yeast family, was one of Matthiessen’s father’s friends. He and Matty Matthiessen would drink highballs on boats down in the Caribbean together. Fleischmann was a well-known philanthropist and arts patron, but it came out later that he was also a frontman for the CIA. So it’s hard to say, when he gave money to the Review, if it was his own money or if he was funneling it to the magazine through the Farfield Foundation, which the agency used to fund pro-Western propaganda.

[…]

Matthiessen felt he had to atone for all the advantages he’d enjoyed coming from this powerful family. Around 1968, he got involved with social justice movements, with Cesar Chavez and then later with the American Indian Movement. He wrote a two-part New Yorker profile of Chavez, which he then expanded into a book. And then In the Spirit of Crazy Horse, his chronicle of the shoot-out at Pine Ridge in 1975, where two FBI agents and a Native man died, was the most controversial thing he ever wrote. He was subjected to a lawsuit from the governor of South Dakota and another from an active FBI agent. His third wife, Maria, said to me at one point that he felt like he had to make up for not only his own privilege, but to atone for all the dreadful things America had done.

Piecing together of bits of published information is a prime source of knowledge to every intelligence organization

November 27th, 2025

Now It Can Be Told by Leslie M. GrovesThe general principles governing control of information were simple, General Groves explains (in Now It Can Be Told: The Story of the Manhattan Project):

First, nothing should be published that would in any way disclose vital information. Second, nothing should be published that might attract attention to any phase of the project. Third, it was particularly important to keep such matters out of any magazine or newspaper that was likely to be read by an enemy agent or by anyone whose knowledge of scientific progress would enable him to guess what was going on.

[…]

We were only too aware that the piecing together of bits of published information is a prime source of knowledge to every intelligence organization.

It was in order to prevent speculative articles as well as the publicizing of any of our efforts that the press and radio had been asked to avoid the use of certain words, such as “atomic energy.” Certain decoy words, such as “yttrium,” were included in the list to camouflage its real purpose. This was a step we did not want to take, for it automatically pointed out to the press that the government was interested. However, Howard insisted that we simply had to do it if press security was to be maintained. Most reluctantly we agreed. As it turned out, it was a very wise move and an absolutely essential one.

We wished, too, to avoid any widespread mention of such places as Hanford or Oak Ridge and all mention of Los Alamos, as well as any reference to the MED. We also did not want any mention of my name that might arouse the interest of a foreign agent in my activities. Yet to have banned all reference in the near-by papers to Oak Ridge or Hanford would have been neither practical nor desirable, for it would only have tended to attract attention locally. We did try to keep Los Alamos entirely out of the news, but the Knoxville papers were permitted to carry items—mostly in the nature of social notes—about employees and events at Oak Ridge, though nothing, of course, that would help the average reader determine the purpose of the project or its importance. The same leeway was given to the papers close to Hanford.

We did have several unfortunate security breaks, but none of them, so far as we could ever find out, attracted any particular interest. The one with the worst potential for damage was a radio program that discussed the possibilities of an atomic explosion. The script for this had been prepared for the regular news reporter on a network program; he himself had had nothing to do with writing it. Unfortunately, in order to meet his travel schedule, he delivered it from a small affiliated station, where apparently it had not been reviewed to make certain that it did not violate press censorship rules.

From all that we could ever discover, there had been no deliberate breach of security. The information on which the talk was based came from a scientist who was not connected with the project in any way but who evidently had an inkling of what was going on, gleaned, we thought, from some of the project’s scientists at the large laboratory in his city. The actual text was written for the reporter by a friend of the scientist. There was never any question in my mind but that the reporter delivered it in good faith. The failure of the radio station to stop it was attributable to plain carelessness.

Another incident that concerned us greatly was the appearance in a national magazine of an article hinting at the theory of implosion. While it did not violate any rules, it was most disturbing. A thorough investigation indicated that it resulted from the work of an alert and inquisitive reporter in another country.

There was one unfortunate happening not too long before the bombing, when a Congressman, in discussing an appropriations bill, commented on the importance of the Hanford Project. This item was picked out of the Congressional Record and was republished in a newspaper without any comment. I could never disabuse myself of the feeling that this newspaper did it with the deliberate intent of letting me know that our security prohibitions were not so effective as we thought.