Why Many in China Hate Iron Man 3′s Chinese Version

Thursday, May 2nd, 2013

The latest Iron Man movie has a second version with Chinese footage badly edited in for the Chinese market — only the Chinese seem to hate it:

In Dr. Wu’s office, you can see Tony’s Iron Man on a TV screen, surrounded by Chinese children and what looks like… Dr. Wu. The good doctor then calls Tony, but J.A.R.V.I.S., the A.I. butler, answers. It’s worth noting that in even in the subtitled version, there are no subtitles in this sequence; J.A.R.V.I.S. speaks in Mandarin Chinese. While speaking with J.A.R.V.I.S., Dr. Wu actually says in Chinese, “Tony doesn’t have to do this alone — China can help.”

There’s also this extra long shot of Dr. Wu awkwardly pouring a glass of Yili brand Chinese milk. But it’s pure product placement. Before the movie starts, there are two China specific ads: One of them is a Chinese milk commercial that, as The Hollywood Reporter points out, asks, “What does Iron Man rely on to revitalize his energy?” (The answer is a Yili milk drink.) The second commercial is for a Chinese manufacturer of tractors and cranes.

Making Mordor’s Economy Work

Wednesday, May 1st, 2013

Making Mordor’s economy work takes some effort, if you assume the ashen wasteland produces no food yet feeds an army:

If Mordor was trading something, then we imagine that this would be swords. Sauron had both mines and forges, and so supply should not have been an issue. A medieval sword cost around 6d (6 pence) each. We got in touch with expert Hector Cole, master arrowsmith and archaeological ironworker, who gave us some ideas of medieval sword manufacture.

Six smiths produce ten swords per day, 6d (6 pence) per sword, 60d revenue per day.

Bearing in mind that within Mordor itself there isn’t an economy; it’s a command system governed by Sauron and his Nazgul. So mining and manufacture costs aren’t monetary, and all 60d can be spent on other things. Like…

Food. Feeding an army isn’t easy. One option for mass consupmtion is pig.

A hog roast can feed about 100 at a sitting. Assuming 3 meals per day this is 33 orcs per pig. A medieval pig cost 2 shilling (24 pence) each. So 100 orcs can be fed for 72d per day.

So to keep 500 orcs fighting, around 35 orcs are needed to be smithing, and about 1 orc smelting.

Thus for Mordor’s economy to work, constant wars would be needed to keep up the demand for weapons, so that Mordor could trade them for food. This raises the question of how moral it would be for Sauron not to start wars. Due to the requirements of smithing and smelting, about 7% of orcs would be involved in ‘civilian’ roles. When considering firewood, building, and particularly mining, this figure would become much higher.

(Hat tip to Tyler Cowen.)

Jane Austen, Game Theorist

Friday, April 26th, 2013

Michael Chwe argues that Jane Austen laid the philosophical groundwork for a new theory of strategic action:

First among her as yet unequaled concepts is “cluelessness,” which in Mr. Chwe’s analysis isn’t just tween-friendly slang but an analytic concept worthy of consideration alongside game-theoretic chestnuts like “zero-sum,” “risk dominance” and “prisoner’s dilemma.”

Most game theory, he noted, treats players as equally “rational” parties sitting across a chessboard. But many situations, Mr. Chwe points out, involve parties with unequal levels of strategic thinking. Sometimes a party may simply lack ability. But sometimes a powerful party faced with a weaker one may not realize it even needs to think strategically.

Take the scene in “Pride and Prejudice” where Lady Catherine de Bourgh demands that Elizabeth Bennet promise not to marry Mr. Darcy. Elizabeth refuses to promise, and Lady Catherine repeats this to Mr. Darcy as an example of her insolence — not realizing that she is helping Elizabeth indirectly signal to Mr. Darcy that she is still interested.

It’s a classic case of cluelessness, which is distinct from garden-variety stupidity, Mr. Chwe argues. “Lady Catherine doesn’t even think that Elizabeth” — her social inferior — “could be manipulating her,” he said. (Ditto for Mr. Darcy: gender differences can also “cause cluelessness,” he noted, though Austen was generally more tolerant of the male variety.)

The phenomenon is hardly limited to Austen’s fictional rural society. In a chapter called “Real-World Cluelessness,” Mr. Chwe argues that the moralistic American reaction to the 2004 killing and mutilation of four private security guards working with the American military in Falluja — L. Paul Bremer III, leader of the American occupation of Iraq, later compared the killers to “human jackals”— obscured a strategic truth: that striking back at the city as a whole would only be counterproductive.

“Calling your enemy an animal might improve your bargaining position or deaden your moral qualms, but at the expense of not being able to think about your enemy strategically,” Mr. Chwe writes.

The darker side of Austen is hardly unknown to literary scholars. “Regulated Hatred,” a classic 1940 paper by the psychologist D. W. Harding, argued that her novels explored containment strategies against the “eruption of fear and hatred into the relationships of everyday social life.”

But Mr. Chwe, who identifies some 50 “strategic manipulations” in Austen (in addition to a chapter on the sophisticated “folk game theory” insights in traditional African tales), is more interested in exploring the softer side of game theory. Game theory, he argues, isn’t just part of “hegemonic cold war discourse,” but what the political scientist James Scott called a subversive “weapon of the weak.”

Such analysis may not go over well with military types, to say nothing of literary scholars, many of whom see books like Mr. Chwe’s or “Graphing Jane Austen,” an anthology of Darwinian literary criticism published last year, as examples of ham-handed scientific imperialism.

Sun Gym Gang

Friday, April 19th, 2013

The TV show 48 Hours is covering the Sun Gym Gang, the inspiration for the new movie, Pain and Gain, featuring the Rock and Mark Wahlberg.

This lengthy Miami New Times story (parts 1, 2, 3) goes into the gruesome details of the original crimes, which took place in the mid-1990s.

An anonymous conservative returned to the story recently and didn’t find it nearly as comical as he’d remembered:

This was a case study in how stupid, mentally-damaged people can take down the smart, by exhibiting a level of stupidity that is not plausibly believable. You would never think someone would do things that are so stupid. You can walk out the door with them, thinking they would never kill you, because they were just seen with you in front of your neighbors, your cleaning lady, and your personal mechanic. Who would kill you after being seen with you in front of all those witnesses? The answer is, they would, because when dealing with the mentally damaged, there are no rules, and there is no logic. Next thing you know, your headless torso is sticking out of a chemical drum, while these tools argue over whether the chainsaw which is clogged with all your hair is returnable, since it did advertise that it would handle all of a customer’s cutting needs, and it clearly failed to effectively dismember your body.

You don’t want the attention of the wrong kind of people.

It’s called a town

Friday, April 19th, 2013

When Fitzhugh compares a southern plantation to a socialist commune, it reminds me of South Park‘s “Die Hippie, Die” episode:

Cinderella’s Prince as Master Strategist

Wednesday, April 17th, 2013

Pax Empyrean likes to think of Cinderella’s prince as a master strategist:

They had a ball and invited all the girls in the kingdom. This lets the prince see what all the girls look like when they’re dressed up and how well they conduct themselves at social functions, but that’s not actually all that important. What he needed, after determining whether a girl could pass muster as the public face of the monarchy, was an excuse to make a surprise visit to all of these girls to see what they look like when they’re not doing their best to dress up for him, because he’s a smart enough dude to know that makeup and fancy clothes are how women lie to you that they’re attractive when they really aren’t, and a monarch doesn’t stay in power for long without double checking everybody’s lies. The shoe is just an excuse to make these surprise visits. If that hadn’t happened, he’d have found something else.

(Hat tip to Borepatch.)

Korean Demographics

Monday, April 15th, 2013

I don’t know much about Korean demographics, but Psy seems to be catering to a nation of 13-year-old boys:

Annette Funicello Brought Ska to the US

Monday, April 8th, 2013

I had no idea that Annette Funicello brought ska to the US:

One cultural oddity is that ska music, a Jamaican forerunner to reggae and, on its own, a dance music that recurrently becomes a craze in the U.S. every decade or two, was introduced to the American public by Annette Funicello with her 1964 hit “Jamaica Ska.”

It’s not as good as late 1960s ska songs like Desmond Dekker’s “The Israelites” or Toots and the Maytals’ “Pressure Drop,” not to mention first revival ska songs like the English Beat’s “Mirror in the Bathroom” or Madness’s “One Step Beyond,” or second revival hits like Rancid’s “Time Bomb,” but “Jamaica Ska” was on AM radio in America in 1964.

Ska is unusual in that it’s a dance music genre that became increasingly monopolized by straight guys.

Women Are Generally Physically Weaker

Friday, April 5th, 2013

Men run much faster than women — to the point that being in the top five percent of young women would put you just outside the bottom five percent of young men — and men are much stronger than women, too.

Saying this is sexist, of course, and a sign that you shouldn’t be allowed to write female characters:

If you’ve ever had an issue with some of the women’s characters on AMC’s The Walking Dead — the root of the problem might be in the source material. Robert Kirkman, the creator of the comics, definitely has some… issues… with women.

Simon Abrams from the Village Voice reports Kirkman told him in an interview for The Comics Journal four years ago:

I don’t mean to sound sexist, but as far as women have come over the last 40 years, you don’t really see a lot of women hunters. They’re still in the minority in the military, and there’s not a lot of female construction workers. I hope that’s not taken the wrong way. I think women are as smart, resourceful, and capable in most things as any man could be … but they are generally physically weaker. That’s science.

First up, Kirkman, you totally do mean to sound sexist, so shut it with the crappy, disingenuous concern.

Since when do you need massive amounts of strength to hunt, even as they do on The Walking Dead? The average fit person would be good to go — especially if they’d all been living under the same circumstances for so long. Plus, if we want to speak “in general”, then women have more stamina than men — even swole bro trainers agree — and that’s probably more crucial than being ripped when it comes to hunting.

By the way, women do not have more stamina than men:

The average VO2max is about 33 milliliters of oxygen per kilogram of body mass per minute for sedentary young women and around 42 ml/kg/min for sedentary young men (Bouchard et al., Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise 30: 252-8, 1998). Elite female distance runners can sometimes reach VO2max readings of 70+ ml/kg/min (Pate et al., International Journal of Sports Medicine 8 (Suppl.): 91-5, 1987), whereas elite men can attain values in the 80s (Pollock, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 301: 310-22, 1977).

Ender’s Game

Thursday, April 4th, 2013

I didn’t realize that Orson Scott Card had posted his original short story version of Ender’s Game, which first appeared in the August 1977 issue of Analog.

It seems suited to that format.

I forgot how Boydian the story is, with an ansible-controlled fleet able to overcome a larger fleet with slower (light-speed) communications.

Book Publishers Scramble to Rewrite Their Future

Tuesday, March 26th, 2013

Publishers fear cultural irrelevance:

“The fact is that people don’t read anymore,” Steve Jobs told a reporter in 2008, blurting out the secret fear of bookish people everywhere. But consider this: In one week, people who don’t read anymore bought about half a million copies of a really long book called Steve Jobs. In the past year, Vintage has sold one book from the Fifty Shades of Grey trilogy for every six American adults. The Big Six publishers — Random House, Penguin, Hachette, Macmillan, Simon & Schuster, and HarperCollins — all make money, and at profit margins that are likely better than they were 50 years ago.

Meanwhile, readers have an unprecedented array of options. E-readers have gotten consistently cheaper and better since the first Kindle shipped in 2007, giving customers instant access to millions of titles. For a couple of dollars you can buy a self-published sensation or a Kindle Single rather than a full-length book. Add it all together and you have a more vibrant market for literary material than ever before, with nearly 3 billion copies sold every year. Amazon likes to point out that new Kindle buyers go on to purchase almost five times as many books from Amazon, print and digital, in the ensuing year as they did in the prior one. “I believe we’ll look back in five years,” says Russ Grandinetti, VP of Kindle content for Amazon, “and realize that digital was one of the great expansions of the publishing business.”

For all the digital optimism, not even Amazon is ready to declare the traditional model dead. In May 2011 the company announced that it was going head-to-head with the Big Six by launching a general-interest imprint in Manhattan, headed by respected industry veteran Larry Kirshbaum. It signed up celebrity authors, paying a reported $850,000 for a memoir by Laverne & Shirley star Penny Marshall and winning over best-selling self-help author Timothy Ferriss. Tired of being undersold by Amazon and wary of its encroachment into their business, many brick-and-mortar booksellers refused to stock the titles. The boycott has worked so far: Marshall’s book flopped, and Ferriss’ undersold his previous offering. Ferriss says he doesn’t regret his experiment with Amazon Publishing, but he allows, “I could have made more money — certainly up to this point — by staying with Random House.”

Still, it’s not clear that traditional publishers are well positioned to own the digital future. They are saddled with the costs of getting dead trees to customers — paper, printing, binding, warehousing, and shipping — and they cannot simply jettison those costs, because that system accounts for roughly 80 percent of their business. Ebooks continue to gain ground, but the healthiness of the profit margins is unclear. J. K. Rowling’s latest book helps illustrate this bind. At a rumored advance of $7 million, Little, Brown essentially backed up an armored car to Rowling’s house to pay her before seeing a nickel in revenue. The publisher then paid highly trained people to improve the novel and well-connected people to publicize and market it until it was inescapable. Little, Brown’s landlord in Manhattan occasionally asks for rent too. If a reader can buy the Kindle edition for $8.99, the public might eventually find it absurd to pay $19.99 for a printed version, let alone the $35 that Little, Brown wants for the hardcover.

Psychohistory and Cliodynamics

Tuesday, March 26th, 2013

Peter Turchin discusses the differences between Asimov’s imaginary psychohistory and his own real cliodynamics:

Asimov wrote Foundation in the 1940s — way before the discovery of what we now call ‘mathematical chaos.’ In Asimov’s book, Hari Seldon and psychohistorians develop mathematical methods to make very precise predictions years and decades in advance. Due to discoveries made in the 1970s and 80s we know that this is impossible.

In Asimov books Psychohistory, quite appropriately, deals not with individuals, but with huge conglomerates of them. It basically adopts a ‘thermodynamic’ approach, in which no attempt is made to follow the erratic trajectories of individual molecules (human beings), but instead models averages of billions of molecules. This is in many ways similar to the ideas of Leo Tolstoy, and indeed to cliodynamics, which also deals with large collectives of individuals.

What Asimov did not know is that even when you can ignore such things as individual free will, you still run against very strict limits to predictability.

[...]

In addition to the impassivity of precisely predicting the future, Asimov insisted that any knowledge of psychohistorian predictions must be kept hidden from the people. Otherwise, when people learn what is in store, that will affect their actions and cause the prediction to fail. There are several things wrong with it. For one, most people couldn’t care less about what some egg headed scientist predicts. For example, I feel quite safe making the prediction that there will be a peak of political violence in 2020 (plus/minus a few years). If this prediction fails, it will be a result of the theory going wrong, or some massive unforeseen event affecting the social system, or something completely unforeseen (the “unknown unknowns,” in the brilliant characterization of Donald Rumsfeld). But I am fairly certain it will not be because the American policy makers suddenly take a note of what an obscure professor wrote and take action to avoid this undesirable outcome.

And if they do, I will be quite happy. Prediction is overrated. What we really should be striving for, with our social science, is ability to bring about desirable outcomes and to avoid unwanted outcomes. What’s the point of predicting future, if it’s very bleak and we are not able to change it? We would be like the person condemned to hang before sunrise – perfect knowledge of the future, zero ability to do anything about it.

High Kings and Galactic Emperors

Tuesday, March 19th, 2013

Science fiction curiously includes a large number of High Kings and Galactic Emperors:

“Curiously” in the sense that (at any rate to ‘Murricans) it is a form of government associated with the past, and certainly not with rocket ships, monorails, food pills, cyborgs, or the rest of the retro-future paraphernalia that sci-fi still loosely connotes in the popular culture.

[...]

For my purpose, the virtues or defects of monarchism as a political position are fairly beside the point. Kingship has certainly been widespread, suggesting that it was a workable default position, at any rate in the agrarian age. For an intellectual defense you probably still can’t do better than Hobbes’ Leviathan. Not to mention that as a critique of anarchism and its cousins, it is hard to improve on solitary, poor, nasty, brutish, and short.

But I would argue — in fact, I will argue — that the roots of monarchism in SF have less to do with political philosophy than with basic story considerations.

Bourgeois representative democracy, classical Athenian-style democracy, classical Roman-style republicanism, medieval oligarchical republicanism a la Venice, military juntas, fascistic fuehrerprinzip, Leninist dictatorship of the proletariat, nominally Communist party-committee oligarchy, pure bureaucratic functionary-ism, and both Iranian and al-Queda style theocracy, all have at least one thing in common: The likelihood of a teenage girl becoming head of state under any of these systems is pretty much nil.

[...]

Or, to put it another way, hereditary monarchy is singularly well-suited to Romance. By fully entangling the personal and the political it provides great story fuel. And story trumps futurism, or even political philosophy, every time.

One of the commenters mentions the Dune Encyclopedia, which was written as if it existed in the fictional universe of the books:

It filtered all that was known about the present through a “Monarchist” filter. So World War II became a “minor trade dispute between House Tokyo and House Washington in the British Empire”.

Actually, here’s the original passage, featuring the Houses WashingtonNippon, and Windsor:

The practice of maintaining stockpiles of atomic weapons as an integral part of a House’s defenses began when primitive nuclear weapons were invented on Old Terra on the eve of the Little Diaspora, by the “Raw Mentat,” Einstein, who was working for House Washington. When Einstein succeeded in his attempts to construct these weapons, two of the first were used to settle a trade dispute with House Nippon. These weapons were of such a primitive nature that fewer than a million casualties were caused by the explosions — but one must remember that the entire empire at this time had only three billion subjects, all on one planet. The demonstration, though unremarkable by later standards, served two purposes: the destruction of two small cities and the threat of the destruction of others forced House Nippon to concede the lucrative Pacific trade routes to House Washington; and possession of the Empire’s only atomic weapons gave House Washington the prestige and power it needed to displace House Windsor.

Conservative in a Mask and Cape

Friday, March 15th, 2013

While previous cinematic portrayals of Batman focused on the freak-show aspect of the character and his world, Nolan has recast Gotham City’s most famous avenger as a defender of order, civility, manners, and common decency, Peter Sudernman says — a small-c British conservative in a mask and cape.

Jeff Gordon Test Drive

Thursday, March 14th, 2013

The Pepsi Max ad where NASCAR driver Jeff Gordon takes a test drive has gone viral:

Uploaded to Youtube by Pepsi on Tuesday, the video racked up more than 7 million views by Thursday, fooling a few people in the process.

The L.A. Times reported that the comic video was produced by Gifted You, which is owned by Will Ferrell’s Funny or Die company. According to the Independent Tribune, Brad Noffsinger, a racer with the Richard Petty Driving Experience, was behind the wheel for the stunt driving.

For those looking for an expert breakdown of the several clues that the Pepsi ad was faked, Jalopnik.com broke down every element of the video, including the fact that Chevy never made an ’09 Camaro, and that the interior shots were actually that of a 2013 model. The auto news and gossip site also tried to track down the “salesman” at the dealership in the spot only to be told he was “unavailable.”