Bootstrapping Society

Thursday, July 19th, 2007

I recently read Lucifer’s Hammer, by Larry Niven and Jerry Pournelle, and I realized that it made terrible bed-time reading — because it was entirely too thought-provoking, and I couldn’t get to sleep.

The premise is that a comet collides with the earth — or, rather, that many mountain-sized chunks of the comet collide with the earth — boiling the oceans, hurling tsunami waves to shore, triggering earthquakes, and sending enough water and dust into the air to ruin any hope of farming until next year.

Civilization breaks down, and few people are prepared for the disaster, which defied astronomers’ calculations. What do you do when there’s enough food for everyone for one month, and no more is coming for another year? One way or another, 11 out of 12 “survivors” are going to die. You’d better decide what to do quickly, because the refugees are on their way…

One of the heroes of the book, an übergeek JPL scientist, races back to his home as soon as “the Hammer” falls and frantically packs in plastic all the books mankind will need to rebuild civilization.

This is something I’ve been thinking about since I read Earth Abides years ago. What books go on the list? How do you rebuild 21st-century America, knowing that we haven’t been able to bring most of the existing world to that level, even with a working example?

Kevin Kelly has given the notion a bit of thought over at his Technium blog. There he notes that “A favorite fantasy game for engineers is to imagine how they might re-invent essential technology from scratch”:

Occasionally tinkerers get to engage their fantasy. In February 1942, R. Bradley, a British Officer in the Royal artillery in World War II was captured and then held prisoner by Japanese in Singapore. Their camp was remote, supplies were almost non-existent, and they were treated roughly as POWs; when they rebelled they were locked in a confinement shed without food. But they were tinkerers, too. Together with some other POWs in his camp, Bradley stole hand tools from the Japanese soldiers and from these bits and pieces he transformed scrap metal into a miniature lathe. The small lathe was ingenious. It was tiny enough to be kept a secret, big enough to be useful. It could be disassembled into pieces that could be tucked in a backpack and moved in the camp’s many relocations. Since large pieces of metal were hard to acquire without notice, the tailstock of the lathe was two steel pieces dovetailed together. The original bed plate was cut with a cold chisel.

The lathe was a tool-making egg; it was used to manufacture more sophisticated items. With it the prisoners machined a duplicate key for the solitary confinement shed (!), and manufactured a hidden battery source for a secret radio. During the two years of their interment the lathe remade the tools — like taps and dies — which were first used to create it. A lather has those self-reproductive qualities.

That is a wonderful story, and he presents another such wonderful story of a fellow named Gingery who was able to bootstrap a full-bore machine shop from alley scraps by making rough tools that made better tools, which then made tools good enough to make “real” stuff.

Kelly runs with the notion of bootstrapping and suggests a Forever Book as a seed for regrowing society (or the technium):

Clearly such a library would have to be able to convey, among all the other things, how to make a library full of books, since that is in many ways an essential part of civilization. Thus we have the library that can self-replicate, the forever library. What is the smallest possible self-replicating forever library? It is possible that with digital technology it will someday be no bigger than a book today. And since it contains primarily information we could think of the self-replicating forever library as a self-replicating book, Forever Book.

Of course, engineers generally side-step the much larger issue of creating a society where technological progress is likely to happen, where it’s rewarded, and where the fruits of ingenuity aren’t immediately seized or declared heretical.

Would texts on anthropology and economics be more important than texts on engineering?

One colleague made the interesting suggestion of using texts full of practical know-how to ensure literacy. If everyone learns the basics of daily survival through books like The Foxfire Book — which covers “Hog Dressing, Log Cabin Building, Mountain Crafts and Foods, Planting by the Signs, Snake Lore, Hunting Tales, Faith Healing, Moonshining” — then perhaps they won’t need literacy foisted upon them.

At any rate, I’d love to find a good book on bootstrapping technology.

When I read The Mysterious Island years ago, I realized that — unlike the Victorian-era engineer protagonist — I had no idea how to perform any useful chemical reactions without nicely labeled jars of simple compounds.

Frankly, in primitive conditions, I’m afraid I’d end up like the 20th-century American in Poul Anderson’s “The Man Who Came Early” (which is reason enough to buy The Best Time Travel Stories of the 20th Century). In Viking-age Iceland, without modern infrastructure, he finds himself useless, as none of his technical innovations are practical.

Peanuts as Manga

Wednesday, July 18th, 2007

I’m not sure what to make of these Peanuts characters redrawn in Japanese manga fashion. Charlie Brown looks like he’s about to unleash his devastating psychic powers…

Tapout T-Shirt at Hot Topic

Wednesday, July 18th, 2007

This Tapout T-Shirt at Hot Topic is one more sign that MMA has gone mainstream:

Get the ultimate gear for your no rules extreme fightin’ fix. This black T-shirt features a white front screen of the Tapout logo with a grey caged design. White eagle logo on back shoulder. In ya face! 100% cotton. Wash cold. Dry low. Imported.

Wait, Hot Topic isn’t mainstream!, you might exclaim. Well, Hot Topic is not punk rock either.

Comic Clobbers Comic in LA

Wednesday, July 18th, 2007

I don’t know how much I trust the New York Post Gossip column, but this is a crazy story that nonetheless rings true:

Laugh Factory owner Jamie Masada, who witnessed the assault, said, “Jon picked Andy up by the head and smashed him into the bar four or five times, and blood started pouring out of his nose.” Lovitz told Page Six, “All the comedians are glad I did it because this guy is a [bleep]hole.”

Lovitz and Dick have been at loggerheads since a 1997 Christmas party at Hartman’s house, five months before his troubled wife Brynn flipped out, fatally shooting Hartman, then killing herself. “Andy was doing cocaine, and he gave Brynn some after she had been sober for 10 years. Phil was furious about it – and then five months later he’s dead,” said Lovitz, adding that when he filled in on Hartman’s “Newsradio” sitcom, “I told Andy, ‘I wouldn’t be here now if you hadn’t given Brynn that cocaine.’ “

Last year, Lovitz related, a drunken Dick strolled up to his table at Ago in West Hollywood, rudely downed his guests’ peach liqueur drinks, and “looked at me and said, ‘I put the “Phil Hartman hex” on you – you’re the next one to die.’ I said, ‘What did you say?’ and he repeated it. I wanted to punch his face in, but I don’t hit women.”

When the two ran into each other at the Laugh Factory last Wednesday, “I wanted him to say he was sorry for the ‘Phil Hartman hex,’” Lovitz told us. “First he says, ‘I don’t remember saying that.’ Then he leans in and says, ‘You know why I said it? Because you said I killed Phil Hartman.’ Which I never said. Then he asked me to be in his new movie.

“I grabbed him by the shirt and leaned him over and said, ‘I don’t want to be in your movie! I don’t want to be in your life!’ I pushed him against the rail. Then I pushed him again really hard. A security guard broke it up. I’m not proud of it … but he’s a disgusting human being.” Dick’s rep said he had no comment.

Dick’s weirdness has been well documented. Last year, he licked the faces of Farrah Fawcett, Carrie Fisher and Patton Oswalt, then groped and bit the hand of Post reporter Mandy Stadtmiller at a comedy-festival taping.

I’d like to think there’s a special place in hell for a guy who offers coke to a recovered addict.

The Ron Paul Movement

Monday, July 16th, 2007

Jesse Walker of Reason compares The Ron Paul Movement to, well, I’ll let him explain:

Among the other firsts of his campaign, Ron Paul is probably the only presidential contender to be compared to a Samuel L. Jackson movie. The Texas congressman, a dark horse candidate for the Republican nomination, was being lightly grilled by Kevin Pereira, a host on the videogame-oriented cable channel G4. “Young people online, they were really psyched about Snakes on a Plane, but that didn’t translate into big ticket sales for Sam Jackson,” Pereira said. “Are you worried that page views on a MySpace page might not translate to primary votes?”

The reference was to the Internet sensation of 2006, an action movie whose cheesy title and premise had sparked a burst of online creativity: mash-ups, mock trailers, parody films, blogger in-jokes. Hollywood interpreted this activity as “buzz,” and New Line Cinema inflated its hopes for the movie’s box office take. When the film instead did about as well as you’d expect from a picture called Snakes on a Plane, the keepers of the conventional wisdom declared that this was proof of the great gulf between what’s popular on the Internet and what sells in the material world.

Ron Paul is popular on the Internet, too, with more YouTube subscribers than any other candidate, the fastest-growing political presence in MySpace, a constant perch atop the Technorati rankings, and a near-Olympian record at winning unscientific Web polls. Like Snakes, he is the subject of scads of homemade videos and passionate blog posts. When Pereira mentioned the movie, he was making a clear comparison: Yes, your online fans are noisy, but will their enthusiasm actually translate into electoral success?

North by Northwest

Sunday, July 15th, 2007

I finally got around to watching Hitchcock’s classic, North by Northwest, and I quite enjoyed it, but one bit confused me, because I didn’t get the reference:

Roger Thornhill’s mother tells him jokingly, “Pay the two dollars,” after he futilely attempts to shed light on his kidnapping and be exonerated from his DWI charge. The line is a reference to a Depression-era Willie Howard vaudeville sketch written by Billy K. Wells. A man is in court to pay a $2 fine for spitting on the subway, but his lawyer insists on fighting the case. As the lawyer incurs greater and greater sentences, his defendant keeps pleading, “Pay the two dollars!” This sketch also appeared in Ziegfeld Follies (1946) with Edward Arnold portraying the attorney.

I Am America (And So Can You!)

Sunday, July 15th, 2007

Heroes, Stephen Colbert’s I Am America (And So Can You!) comes out October 9. You know what to do. You get it:

Actually, I’d buy it first. And then I’d read it. No libraries, okay? Libraries are for cowards. No free rides. The book is for heroes, and the heroes are the people who buy the book. Don’t lend the book.

Evolution of a sex ratio observed

Sunday, July 15th, 2007

I’ve been meaning to read Y: The Last Man, about a mysterious disease that has wiped out half of the mammals on earth — the males ones, with one or two survivors. Professor PZ Myers uses the graphic novel as a kickoff point for discussing the evolution of a sex ratio observed:

One thing that isn’t at all implausible, and actually has been observed, is a plague that selectively exterminates males.

It’s called Wolbachia. It’s not quite as dramatic as the plague that turns males into hemorrhaging corpses in the graphic novel — it kills developing males as embryos, or more sneakily, disrupts sex determination so that all the embryos develop as females. This is advantageous to the bacterium, because it is transmitted in the cytoplasm of the egg, so males won’t pass it on to their progeny and are useless from the point of view of Wolbachia. It is, like the plague in Y, something that infects a huge range of species, but each species varies in the severity of its response to the bacterium.

My readers with simple camera eyes will be relieved to know that the disease only affects arthropods. Those of you with compound eyes ought to worry: Wolbachia is also being being considered for use as a biological pesticide.

Now here’s a disease that can have dramatic effects on a population — in some cases, the sex ratio can shift from 50:50 females:males to 99:1. That can be devastating to a population, although of course it’s nowhere near as severe as if that ratio were reversed. Here’s where evolution comes into play. What if a mutation for resistance to the sex-distorter effects of Wolbachia arose? What if, say, one of the rare males carried an allele that made his male progeny able to fight off the deleterious effects of infection with Wolbachia?

I think you can guess. That would be a greatly beneficial mutation that would spread with extraordinary rapidity. Since the rare male carriers would face little competition and would be fertilizing many females, they ought to produce lots of progeny and lots more males, who would spread the resistance further.

Now such an example of evolution in action has been directly observed. Butterflies of the species Hypolimnas bolina, the Blue Moon butterfly, in the Polynesian islands have been known for several years to be suffering from an extreme case of the sex-ratio distorter infection, with populations consisting of greater than 99% females. In 2005-2006, males were found to be making a comeback, and a complete shift from a highly skewed sex ratio to the more normal 50:50 proportions was observed to occur in only 10 generations — about a year. It’s a beautiful example of how rapidly natural selection can transform a population when selection pressures are high.

Top 10 Manliest Moments From Man vs Wild

Sunday, July 15th, 2007

Linkognito has compiled a list of the Top 10 Manliest Moments From Man vs Wild:

Honorable Mention: Escapes Quicksand

10. Eats A Sheeps Eyeball

9. Pees On Shirt (Then Wears It)

8. Eats A Delicious Trout

7. Eats A Live Snake

6. Eats a Tiger Scorpion

5. Eats a Crucifix Spider

4. Has A Nice Salmon Lunch

3. Drinks Liquid From Elephant Shit

2. Munches On Some Zebra

1. Drinks Own Piss

Summer of Drugs

Friday, July 13th, 2007

Ted Nugent, writing for the Wall Street Journal — let’s take a moment to let that sink in — calls the summer of 1967 the Summer of Drugs:

This summer marks the 40th anniversary of the so-called Summer of Love. Honest and intelligent people will remember it for what it really was: the Summer of Drugs.

Forty years ago hordes of stoned, dirty, stinky hippies converged on San Francisco to “turn on, tune in, and drop out,” which was the calling card of LSD proponent Timothy Leary. Turned off by the work ethic and productive American Dream values of their parents, hippies instead opted for a cowardly, irresponsible lifestyle of random sex, life-destroying drugs and mostly soulless rock music that flourished in San Francisco.

The Summer of Drugs climaxed with the Monterey Pop Festival which included some truly virtuoso musical talents such as Jimi Hendrix and Janis Joplin, both of whom would be dead a couple of years later due to drug abuse. Other musical geniuses such as Jim Morrison and Mama Cass would also be dead due to drugs within a few short years. The bodies of chemical-infested, brain-dead liberal deniers continue to stack up like cordwood.

As a diehard musician, I terribly miss these very talented people who squandered God’s gifts in favor of poison and the joke of hipness. I often wonder what musical peaks they could have climbed had they not gagged to death on their own vomit. Their choice of dope over quality of life, musical talent and meaningful relationships with loved ones can only be categorized as despicably selfish.
[...]
While I salute and commend the political and cultural activism of the 1960s that fueled the civil rights movement, other than that, the decade is barren of any positive cultural or social impact. Honest people will remember 1967 for what is truly was.

Robert Heinlein at 100

Tuesday, July 10th, 2007

Brian Doherty looks at Robert Heinlein at 100 and “how the science fiction master created the template for our looser, hipper, more pluralist world”:

Heinlein venerated the armed forces, most notoriously in his 1959 novel Starship Troopers, which celebrated an elite military order. Just two years later, he was publishing the counterculture classic Stranger in a Strange Land, with its simultaneously beatific, sexy, and heroic vision of Martian-inspired communal living. A rich mix of bohemian and straight-arrow values, Heinlein’s unique take on American individualism made him the bridge between such disparate ’60s icons as Barry Goldwater and Charles Manson.

Heinlein’s novels and short stories reflected the rough-hewn anti-government but pro-defense message associated with Goldwater and the conservative movement he sparked. At the same time, his writings exuded the communal desire to live in blissful togetherness, ignoring the repressive sexual and religious mores of bourgeois America. With a libertarian vision that appealed to individualists of both the left and the right, Heinlein not only set the template for the American 1960s but helped create the looser, hipper, more pluralist world of the decades since.

Read the whole article.

Rain Dance

Tuesday, July 10th, 2007

Jim Kunstler identifies the multi-continental Live Earth concert as an elaborate Rain Dance:

Am I the only one who wonders whether rock and roll extravaganzas in the service of Great Causes might be exercises in grandiosity and futility? What I wonder especially: is this the only way we know how to respond to the difficulties that life on earth presents — to engage a corps of professional narcissists to strut and pose in stadiums, affecting to wave their magic wands (or Fender Stratocasters) and make everybody feel better about a given problem (distress on the farm, disease in Africa, global warming….)? Can’t we think of other, more meaningful things to do? Or are we stuck in a perpetually delusional rut of Woodstock-style symbolism, out doing a global rain dance instead of really changing our behavior?

Dark Side of the Uke

Monday, July 9th, 2007

The Tatamimats — great name, by the way — perform a little number they call Dark Side of the Uke — Pink Floyd performed on ukuleles.

I think I prefer their album art to their stage show — it could use a laser light show — but I applaud the lunacy of the whole endeavor.

(Hat tip to Mike.)

Ratatouille

Monday, July 2nd, 2007

I managed to catch a matinee of Ratatouille on Friday, opening day, and it was, of course, superb — with Pixar and Brad Bird behind it, how could it not be? — but I’m dismayed to find out that it did not open to massive numbers:

According to studio estimates issued on Sunday, “Ratatouille” about a rat who aspires to become a gourmet chef sold $47.2 million worth of tickets during its first three days. It took the No. 1 slot ahead of the new Bruce Willis movie “Live Free or Die Hard” with $33.2 million.

It was the lowest opening for a Pixar-produced release since the studio’s second effort, “A Bug’s Life,” launched with $33.3 million in 1998 on its way to a $163 million total.

By contrast last year’s Pixar entry, “Cars,” drove off with $60.1 million — a figure regarded as something of a disappointment — and finished with $244 million.

If “Ratatouille” follows the same pattern as “Cars,” it will gross about $189 million, becoming the third consecutive Pixar release to underperform its predecessor. But Disney was confident “Ratatouille” would easily pass $200 million.

Of course, it did break my rule to never name a product anything French, because Americans can neither spell nor pronounce anything in French. This raises another question: What exactly is ratatouille?

Ratatouille (IPA:[ræt??tui, -?twi]; English [r?t'?-t?'?] “ra-ta-TOO-ee”) is a traditional French Provençal stewed vegetable dish. [...] Tomatoes are a key ingredient, with garlic, onions, zucchini (courgettes), eggplant (aubergine), bell peppers (capsicum), some herbes de Provence, and sometimes basil. All the ingredients are sautéed in olive oil.

The name of the dish appears to derive from the French touiller, “to stir”, although the root of the first element rata is slang from the French Army meaning “chunky stew”.

As a Brad Bird film, Ratatouille deals with intriguing philosophical issues, all under the guise of a simple family film. In fact, one issue, lightly touched on, is family, and how Remy’s family demands hinder his development — I won’t spoil the movie by saying any more.

This has come up before, in The World’s Most Toxic Value System, for instance:

It’s very common to read accounts of entrepreneurs in Third World countries who could easily achieve even greater success but deliberately refrain because if they did, they would be inundated by extended family members. Could there be a more effective mechanism for keeping a society poor?

Dereliction Express brings up the same issue to explain why things don’t get repaired in Africa:

A third explanation sees communal claims and the parasitism of extended family, clan, and tribe making individual progress impossible and nepotism inevitable. These reasons for the engulfing mess and hopelessness come variously combined in different places — as we find in the reports of Tim Harford, Paul Theroux, and V. S. Naipaul.

As a young man, Theodore Dalrymple worked as a doctor in Rhodesia, where black doctors earned as much as white doctors — but didn’t get on as well as one might expect:

The young black doctors who earned the same salary as we whites could not achieve the same standard of living for a very simple reason: they had an immense number of social obligations to fulfill. They were expected to provide for an ever expanding circle of family members (some of whom may have invested in their education) and people from their village, tribe, and province. An income that allowed a white to live like a lord because of a lack of such obligations scarcely raised a black above the level of his family. Mere equality of salary, therefore, was quite insufficient to procure for them the standard of living that they saw the whites had and that it was only human nature for them to desire — and believe themselves entitled to, on account of the superior talent that had allowed them to raise themselves above their fellows. In fact, a salary a thousand times as great would hardly have been sufficient to procure it: for their social obligations increased pari passu with their incomes.

One of Remy’s chief conflicts with his family is that they’re rats, and they steal garbage from humans, while he wants to create something, which calls to mind Paul Graham’s How to Make Wealth — which I’m shocked to realize I have not blogged on yet.

Inner City Pressure

Saturday, June 30th, 2007

I got quite a kick out of the first episode of the Flight of the Conchords — binary solo! — and the first music video of the second episode, Inner City Pressure, made me laugh:

I had already seen one version of She’s So Hot, BOOM!, so a bit of the shock was lost, but it’s still great fun:

And, in case you missed it, you really should check out The Humans Are Dead: