Sheep for Their Dogs

Monday, April 18th, 2011

Once upon a time, Americans got dogs for their sheep. Now they get sheep for their dogs:

Sue Foster knew what she needed to do when her border collie, Taff, was expelled from puppy school for herding the black Labs into a corner.

She rented some sheep.

Then she bought another border collie and rented some grazing land. Then she bought some sheep of her own. And a third border collie. Now, like the old lady who swallowed the fly, Ms. Foster keeps a llama to chase off the coyotes that threaten the lambs that go to market to finance the sheep that entertain her dogs.

This presents a business opportunity:

Each day, an average of 18 dogs visit Fido’s Farm outside Olympia, Wash., their owners paying $15 per dog to practice on the farm’s 200-head flock of sheep. Herding revenue at the farm is up 60% over the past five years, says owner Chris Soderstrom, who bought the farm in 2004.

“We get many people sent down here from the dog park in Seattle,” says Ms. Soderstrom, 63 years old. “They need to get their dog a job.” Newcomers get a 30-minute herding evaluation, to weed out biters and ovinophobes. One crucial test: Does the dog instinctively know it should circle around the sheep, not charge into the center of the flock?
[...]
Border collies appear willing to herd until they drop. In fact, they never appear to grow bored of organizing sheep. If they do, for an extra $5 dogs at Fido’s Farm can also herd ducks.

Beast’s Castle

Thursday, April 14th, 2011

Disney has a long history of using forced perspective at its parks, and Beast’s Castle, which they’re building as part of the new Fantasy Land in the Magic Kingdom, takes it to another level:

Will Five Guys overtake In-N-Out?

Monday, April 11th, 2011

Will Five Guys overtake In-N-Out? They’re making their move on the west coast:

Like In-N-Out, Five Guys’ menu is focused on single and double hamburgers and cheeseburgers, along with hand-cut fries. And like In-N-Out, Five Guys restaurants are red and white, with perky employees in red-and-white uniforms.

And Five Guys is coming on strong.

The privately held chain, which has 770 locations in the U.S. and Canada, began moving into California two years ago with a handful of shops in Orange County and the Inland Empire.

Now there are 27 locations in the state, but Five Guys has sold the rights to open 200 more in Southern California alone — nearly double the number operated here by In-N-Out. Next up is a Culver City location, set to open in mid-April.

But to really make inroads here, Five Guys will have to get past a major hurdle: the intense loyalty of In-N-Out customers.

Yes, both chains focus on burgers and have red-and-white decor, but Five Guys does not have perky employees — at least not with In ‘N’ Out’s remarkable consistency.

By the way, perky correlates shockingly well with middle-class — in the same way that sullen correlates with not middle-class.

How to Get a Real Education at College

Monday, April 11th, 2011

Scott Adams (Dilbert) understands why the top students in America study physics, chemistry, calculus and classic literature:

The kids in this brainy group are the future professors, scientists, thinkers and engineers who will propel civilization forward. But why do we make B students sit through these same classes? That’s like trying to train your cat to do your taxes — a waste of time and money. Wouldn’t it make more sense to teach B students something useful, like entrepreneurship?

He goes on to share his entrepreneurial anecdotes on how to get a real education at college:

One day the managers of The Coffee House had a meeting to discuss two topics. First, our Minister of Employment was recommending that we fire a bartender, who happened to be one of my best friends. Second, we needed to choose a leader for our group. On the first question, there was a general consensus that my friend lacked both the will and the potential to master the bartending arts. I reluctantly voted with the majority to fire him.

But when it came to discussing who should be our new leader, I pointed out that my friend — the soon-to-be-fired bartender — was tall, good-looking and so gifted at B.S. that he’d be the perfect leader. By the end of the meeting I had persuaded the group to fire the worst bartender that any of us had ever seen… and ask him if he would consider being our leader. My friend nailed the interview and became our Commissioner. He went on to do a terrific job. That was the year I learned everything I know about management.

I love his scheme to become a paid student manager of his dorm:

The dean required that our first order of business in the fall would be creating a dorm constitution and getting it ratified. That sounded like a nightmare to organize. To save time, I wrote the constitution over the summer and didn’t mention it when classes resumed.

We held a constitutional convention to collect everyone’s input, and I listened to two hours of diverse opinions. At the end of the meeting I volunteered to take on the daunting task of crafting a document that reflected all of the varied and sometimes conflicting opinions that had been aired.

I waited a week, made copies of the document that I had written over the summer, presented it to the dorm as their own ideas and watched it get approved in a landslide vote. That was the year I learned everything I know about getting buy-in.

His bullet-list of entrepreneurial lessons:

  • Combine skills.
  • Fail forward.
  • Find the action.
  • Attract luck.
  • Conquer fear.
  • Write simply.
  • Learn persuasion.

Buying up the Golden Age of Illustration

Sunday, April 10th, 2011

Collectors are moving on from first editions to the original art that went into them:

Last October, Garth Williams’s original drawing for the cover of E.B. White’s 1952 book “Charlotte’s Web” sold at Heritage Auctions for $155,350, five times its high estimate. Two years before that, a British collector paid Sotheby’s in London a record $578,384 for Ms. Potter’s 6-inch-square watercolor, “The Rabbits’ Christmas Party: The Departure.”

On Monday, Sotheby’s in New York will test this market again by offering up 193 original illustrations for children’s books priced to sell for at least $989,000 combined.

Sotheby’s sale is peppered with recognizable characters like “Winnie-the-Pooh,” “Madeline” and “Babar,” each priced to sell for at least $40,000. But the pricier works in the sale stretch back to the late 1800s and early 1900s, including Jessie Willcox Smith’s 1910 portrait of a young girl with rosy cheeks, “How Doth the Little Busy Bee.” Originally published in “A Child’s Book of Old Verses,” the portrait is priced to sell for at least $200,000.

The pool of collectors who focus on original children’s book art is still relatively small and concentrated in America, Britain and Japan, according to Nick Clark, chief curator of the Eric Carle Museum of Picture Book Art in Amherst, Mass. But the category also draws its share of one-time buyers determined to own something by a childhood favorite like E.H. Shepard, who drew A.A. Milne’s “Pooh” characters.

By and large, collectors will pay more for an illustration used on a cover than for anything displayed inside; they’ll also pay more for a “Babar” elephant drawn by series creator Jean de Brunhoff than for subsequent versions by Mr. de Brunhoff’s son, Laurent.

Since the recession, values seem to be holding up best for children’s-book art made between 1880 and 1940, an era known as the Golden Age of Illustration when technological advances in printing presses made it possible to churn out colorfully ornate books.

Among children’s books, this canon includes British illustrator Arthur Rackham (1867-1939), whose otherworldly characters blend the grotesque imagery of Norse mythology with the Zen of Japanese woodblock prints. Sotheby’s wants at least $50,000 for Mr. Rackham’s pair of 1906 watercolors, “Two Winter Fables: Mother Goose [and] Jack Frost.” Other favorites include Danish illustrator Kay Nielsen (1886–1957), who is best known for his work in Walt Disney’s “Fantasia.”

The Return of the Class System

Friday, April 8th, 2011

As cruise ships have become more crowded, cruise lines have seen a need for the return of the class system:

Like first-class airline passengers, guests staying in the private complexes pay premiums for their perks. Depending upon the time of year, a three- or four-night cruise to the Bahamas on the Disney Dream, for example, costs $439 per person double occupancy in a regular stateroom with balcony. A balcony room on the concierge level is $2,159 per person.

While cruise lines must invest in the extra amenities and staff, these guests also tend to spend more when they’re onboard.

Royal Caribbean began what it calls its “suite enhancement program” two years ago after it noticed that guests staying in suites were giving their staterooms high marks in guest feedback surveys, but were rating the overall cruise less favorably than other passengers. Focus groups showed that these high-end guests “weren’t feeling like they were special when they left their suite,” says Lisa Bauer, senior vice president of hotel operations for Royal Caribbean International.

The top amenity the guests wanted was separate spaces reserved for them alone. So the brand added private pool-deck areas, reserved seating at the theaters, private cocktail parties with the ships’ captains and priority boarding and disembarking. “The ratings soared,” Ms. Bauer says.

A major perk of being a ship-within-a-ship guest is getting to skip the lines.

Lions Gate Finalizing Netflix Deal to Stream All Seasons of “Mad Men”

Tuesday, April 5th, 2011

Lions Gate Entertainment, which produces “Mad Men,” has finalized a deal with Netflix to stream all seven seasons for between $75 million and $100 million — close to $1 million per episode.

A Herd Makes Money on Wall Street

Friday, March 25th, 2011

Jonah Lehrer discusses a new study showing how traders who “sync up” via instant-messaging make better trades — and draws a tenuous connection to fish forming schools to deal with predators:

After getting access to the internal files of the hedge fund, they analyzed every IM sent by 66 day traders over an 18-month period. They discovered that these traders sent out an astonishing number of messages, more than two million exchanges over the course of the study, the average trader engaging in 16 IM conversations at a time. [...] After a burst of messages in response to a news event, the traders often acted in sync, converging on the same conclusion and executing a large number of trades at the exact same time. (These IMs typically featured short bits of analysis and did not involve the spread of insider information.) Although they weren’t trying to coordinate their buying and selling, they ended up acting together, just like a school of fish moving as one. This synchronous behavior proved to be an immense advantage. Though typical traders barely beat random chance, those acting at peak moments of sync made money on more than 70% of their stock trades. They also made nearly twice as much money per trade, which explains why traders who frequently “sync up” were the best performers at the firm. (The worst traders, by contrast, were the ones who instant-messaged the least.) “These plugged-in traders have an edge that puts them in a superclass,” Mr. Uzzi says. “What’s interesting is that their edge comes from the crowd, from everyone else around them.” At the moment, it’s unclear how individual investors or financial firms can take advantage of synchronous behavior. One possibility that Mr. Uzzi suggests is to “double-down” on investments that occur when traders are synced, since those are so much more likely to be profitable. “When you see a lot of IM traffic, and then traders within the firm start acting in unison, the odds are that’s going to be a good decision,” he says. “Those are the trades that I’d bet on.”

Or they could simply be moving the market together.

Shaolin Kung Fu

Monday, March 14th, 2011

Shaolin Kung Fu is known around the world for its powerful… brand:

Scholars dismiss much of this as legend embroidered with bits of truth. Bare-handed martial arts existed in China long before the fifth century and likely arrived at Shaolin with ex-soldiers seeking refuge. For much of its history, the temple was essentially a wealthy estate with a well-trained private army. The more the monks fought, the more proficient they became as fighters, and the more their fame grew. Yet they were not unbeatable. The temple was sacked repeatedly during its history. The most devastating blow came in 1928, when a vengeful warlord burned down most of the temple, including its library. Centuries of scrolls detailing kung fu theory and training as well as treatises on Chinese medicine and Buddhist scriptures—essentially the temple’s soul—were destroyed, leaving the legacy of Shaolin kung fu to be passed down master to disciple, through men such as Yang Guiwu.

Today, however, temple officials seem more interested in building the Shaolin brand than in restoring its soul. Over the past decade Shi Yongxin, the 45-year-old abbot, has built an international business empire—including touring kung fu troupes, film and TV projects, an online store selling Shaolin-brand tea and soap—and franchised Shaolin temples abroad, including one planned in Australia that will be attached to a golf resort. Furthermore, many of the men manning the temple’s numerous cash registers—men with shaved heads and wearing monks’ robes—admit they’re not monks but employees paid to look the part.

Over tea in his office at the temple, Yongxin calmly makes the case that all of these efforts further Buddhism. “We make more people know about Zen Buddhism,” he says. A slightly jowly, sad-eyed man, he has a politician’s gift for imbuing his remarks with the sense that he believes deeply in what he’s saying. “By registering the Shaolin brand name in other countries, promoting Shaolin traditional cultures, including kung fu, we’re having people around the world know better and believe in Zen Buddhism.”

It is an argument he has made many times in both the Chinese and foreign press, and he isn’t the first abbot to face criticism that Shaolin has pursued riches over enlightenment. A 17th-century magistrate railed against the temple’s “lofty mansions and splendid furnishings.” And yet, whether a force for evangelizing or profitmaking, the Shaolin Temple has helped foster an undeniable kung fu renaissance, which has coincided with China’s own resurgence as an international power. Nowhere is this more evident than in Dengfeng, a sprawling city of 650,000 just six miles from the temple gates. Here some 60 martial arts academies have sprouted over the past two decades and now boast more than 50,000 students. A drive down a main road passes some of the biggest schools. They rise like Vegas casinos, with towering dormitories adorned with murals of kung fu fighters, dragons, and tigers.

Largest mall in the world is a Chinese ghost town

Wednesday, March 9th, 2011

The largest mall in the world is a Chinese ghost town:

The New South China Mall is twice the size of Minnesota’s Mall of America, but hovers at around a 1% occupancy. The rows of empty shops are piped with serene elevator music, and guards police the empty halls with echoing footsteps.

Announced in 2005, the mall is located in Dongguan in the Guangdong province of southern China. The location is between Guangzhou and Shenzen in an area that may one day be considered the world’s largest mega city, estimated to have a population near 50 million. Today, the mall has yet to live up to any distinction associated with mega cities, and is a sobering example of what happens when idea implementation precedes growth. Separated into seven districts modeled after international cities, the mall boasts an Arc de Triomphe, Venice canals, and even a mini Egypt. Of the 2,350 leasable store spaces, around 50 are actually in use.

If you want more, we’ll sell you another

Thursday, March 3rd, 2011

Before launching 37signals, Jason Fried worked as  a freelance web designer:

I charged clients by the hour. I work quickly. But I soon realized that charging hourly penalizes efficiency. If I can finish something in an hour that might take someone else three or four hours, why should I be penalized?

So when he launched his company, he decided to charge by the project:

It worked great. But as the projects started getting bigger and costing a lot more, I noticed that clients became more reticent about signing on. Big numbers and long time frames make people nervous. More money and more time mean more risk, and risk is something all companies would prefer to avoid.

I thought about the problem and decided to try something new. Instead of doing long, expensive projects, we’d do short, affordable ones. Instead of billing $50,000 for a 15-page website redesign that would take three months, we’d charge $3,500 per page and offer to complete the page in a week. If you want another page, it’s another $3,500 and another week. We called it 37express.

It took off. It took the risk out. It let companies try us out before committing to something big. And it was a lot more fun for us — fewer meetings, less stress, fewer decisions to be made. Just a quick one-week project for a fixed price. If you want more, we’ll sell you another.

People will pay for things they love

Wednesday, March 2nd, 2011

Jason Fried suggests charging real money for real products:

Around my senior year of high school, I started getting interested in computers. I also liked music. My collection of tapes and CDs was growing, and I wanted a better way to keep track of what I had and what I’d loaned out to friends.

This was before the World Wide Web. So I tossed one of those junk mail AOL CDs in the computer, installed the program, and convinced my parents it was worth the monthly fee. (“It’ll help me research and study!” I argued.) I started searching for tools to help organize a music collection.

There were a ton of them. Most were made with software called FileMaker Pro, a program that makes it easy to create simple databases without really knowing how to program. FileMaker also lets you design your own interface, so you can make things look any way you’d like. Most of the music-organization programs were free and pretty lousy — ugly, hard to use, loaded with unnecessary features.

I decided to figure out how to make my own. I got FileMaker Pro (I paid for it with the stash I’d saved up selling stuff to my friends) and started messing around. After a few months, I had solved the problems I had with organizing my music. I knew what music I had, where it was, whom I had loaned it to, how much I paid for it. The solution was elegant and easy to use. I called it Audiofile.

Most of the music-collection products on AOL’s file section were freeware. Download them, install them, and you don’t owe the author a dime. There were a few shareware options (you pay if you use them, but it’s mostly an honor system), but most were free.

I’d already learned that I really enjoyed making money. And I thought that Audiofile was good. And even then, I thought that if something was good, then it was worth paying for. So before making it available to other AOL users, I added a limit in the program — people could file 25 CDs for free; after that, it would cost $20 to unlock Audiofile and remove the limit.

I remember my first customer. One day my parents gave me an envelope. It came from Germany and had those airmail stripes at the top. I opened it up, found a screenshot of Audiofile printed on a piece of paper — and a crisp $20 bill. More envelopes rolled in. Over the next few years, Audiofile probably generated $50,000 — not bad for a kid in college in the early ’90s.

The lesson: People are happy to pay for things that work well. Never be afraid to put a price on something. If you pour your heart into something and make it great, sell it. For real money. Even if there are free options, even if the market is flooded with free. People will pay for things they love.
[...]
When you put a price on something, you get really honest feedback from customers. When entrepreneurs ask me how to get customers to tell us what they really think, I respond with two words: Charge them. They’ll tell you what they think, demand excellence, and take the product seriously in a way they never would if they were just using it for free.

What People Really Want to Know

Tuesday, March 1st, 2011

Jason Fried of 37signals explains how to make money, starting with a lesson he learned at his second job, as a teenager:

I was working at Shelby’s Pro Shop, a golf and tennis retailer in Deerfield, where I grew up. I sold shoes and tennis rackets. I didn’t play tennis, but I learned how to be a very good tennis-shoe and tennis-racket salesman. That’s because I made the discovery that people’s reasons for buying things often don’t match up with the company’s reason for selling them.

Manufacturers used to dispatch reps to the pro shop to educate us on their latest and greatest technologies. They’d tell us about the new ethylene vinyl acetate midsoles that made shoes more comfortable; the Goodyear-brand rubber outsoles that made the shoes more durable; the new variation of Nike Air that was miles ahead of the competition.

They thought they were arming us with facts that would impress the customers. But, it turned out, none of that stuff mattered. In fact, it had a negative effect. When you describe things in terms people don’t understand, they tend not to trust you as much. Trust is important. You can bluff your way into money, but for only so long.

Once I stopped slinging the technical terms, I realized that when customers shop for shoes, they do three things. They consider the look and style. They try them on to see if they’re comfortable. And they consider the price. Endorsements by famous athletes help a lot, too. But the technology, the features, the special-testing labs — I can’t remember a single customer who cared. I sold a boatload of shoes and tennis rackets that summer.

Understanding what people really want to know — and how that differs from what you want to tell them — is a fundamental tenet of sales. And you can’t get good at making money unless you get good at selling.

Aerotropolis

Monday, February 28th, 2011

Dubai has been able to transform itself from a backwater to an aerotropolis along the new Silk Road, Greg Lindsay says:

It now has more in common with Hong Kong, Singapore and Bangalore than with Saudi Arabia next door. It is a textbook example of an aerotropolis, which can be narrowly defined as a city planned around its airport or, more broadly, as a city less connected to its land-bound neighbors than to its peers thousands of miles away. The ideal aerotropolis is an amalgam of made-to-order office parks, convention hotels, cargo complexes and even factories, which in some cases line the runways. It is a pure node in a global network whose fast-moving packets are people and goods instead of data. And it is the future of the global city.
[...]
The basic aim of an aerotropolis is to disrupt local incumbents and monopolies using the long arm of air travel. It allows Indian hospitals to entice American heart patients for top-notch surgery at rock-bottom prices. It lets factories move out to the far reaches of western China to manufacture the iPad for lower wages while absorbing millions of urban migrants. Detroit’s leaders are even building an aerotropolis in a Hail Mary bid for Chinese investment.

Floating above it all, meanwhile, are the globe-trotting executives chasing emerging markets. They are the denizens not only of Dubai and Singapore but of new business districts such as the Zuidas on the southern edge of Amsterdam, which was designed to be eight minutes from the airport by train and is home to the Netherlands’ biggest financial service firms.

Made in China?

Sunday, February 27th, 2011

The iPhone’s supply chain highlights some problems with trade statistics:

Trade statistics in both countries consider the iPhone a Chinese export to the U.S., even though it is entirely designed and owned by a U.S. company, and is made largely of parts produced in several Asian and European countries. China’s contribution is the last step — assembling and shipping the phones.

So the entire $178.96 estimated wholesale cost of the shipped phone is credited to China, even though the value of the work performed by the Chinese workers at Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. accounts for just 3.6%, or $6.50, of the total, the researchers calculated in a report published this month.

The value-added approach, in fact, shows that sales of the iPhone are adding to the U.S. economy — rather than subtracting from it, as the traditional approach would imply.

Based on U.S. sales of 11.3 million iPhones in 2009, the researchers estimate Chinese iPhone exports at $2.02 billion. After deducting $121.5 million in Chinese imports for parts produced by U.S. firms such as chip maker Broadcom Corp., they arrive at the figure of the $1.9 billion Chinese trade surplus — and U.S. trade deficit — in iPhones.

If China was credited with producing only its portion of the value of an iPhone, its exports to the U.S. for the same amount of iPhones would be a U.S. trade surplus of $48.1 million, after accounting for the parts U.S. firms contribute.