Indie Films Hit the Web

Monday, October 20th, 2008

A glut of movies is jockeying for theater screens, and the once-bullish market for “indie” movies has lost some of its core buyers, so now indie films are hitting the web and trying to figure out how to make a buck:

Offering art online rarely earns a creator much up front, but it boosts the odds of broad exposure. With no need for old-fashioned film prints, going on the Web is cheap and quick. And directors can get instant feedback from online viewers.

Mr. Wang’s “Princess” was made with the $200,000 the director had left over after delivering his traditionally released film “A Thousand Years of Good Prayers,” under budget.
[...]
On YouTube, which is offering “Princess” on its new Screening Room channel for professional short films and features, the movie will generate revenue from ads on the site. But Mr. Wang says the bigger payoff comes in viewership. Last week, before “Princess” was available, the trailer had been viewed more than 80,000 times. In theaters, the same trailer would have been seen some 5,000 times, the director estimates.
[...]
Director David Modigliani spent roughly three years making the documentary “Crawford,” a portrait of the people living in the adopted Texas hometown of President George W. Bush. The movie was first screened for the public last spring at the South By Southwest Film Festival in Austin, Texas. But as “Crawford” went on to get accepted into more than 30 other festivals, no solid offers came in that would land it in theaters or on television.

In late August, the director struck a deal that made “Crawford” the first film to make its debut on Hulu.com. A joint venture of NBC and News Corp. (which owns Dow Jones & Co., publisher of The Wall Street Journal), the seven-month-old Hulu primarily streams familiar TV shows and movies, such as “Saturday Night Live” and “Men In Black,” and offers tools that let viewers post these videos directly on their own blogs, Facebook pages and other sites. Since going up on the site 10 days ago, “Crawford” has been the top movie and one of the most-discussed videos on the site, says Hulu, which doesn’t release the number of views its videos generate.
[...]
His agreement with Hulu was brokered by B-Side, an Austin company that runs the Web sites of some 200 film festivals. Using email addresses and other data gathered from festival goers, B-Side organizes screening events around the country where movies are shown for free as a way to drive DVD sales. Now, with films like “Crawford,” B-Side is applying that strategy to the Web.

Hulu didn’t pay anything up front for “Crawford.” Instead, the company shares revenue generated by the six advertisements that run at various points during the 74-minute film. Neither Hulu or B-Side will say how much that amounts to, but B-Side only expects it to cover the company’s initial expenses on the film — a few thousand dollars. At a time when interest in politics is running high, B-Side is banking on a return from selling “Crawford” on DVD, offered online for $19.99. The director has no investors to pay back. He used his credit card and used tax-deductible contributions made through the Austin Film Society for the movie’s $100,000 budget.

Back-end revenue sources have long been key to recouping the high costs of producing and promoting films for theaters; in 2007, the specialty divisions of major studios spent an average of $26 million to market a film, up from $18 million the year before, according to the MPAA. By contrast, movies using the emerging online-only model don’t have to recoup on that kind of marketing push — but it’s still unclear how they’ll fare without it.

Buy American. I Am.

Friday, October 17th, 2008

Buy American. I Am. Why does Warren Buffett say this?

A little history here: During the Depression, the Dow hit its low, 41, on July 8, 1932. Economic conditions, though, kept deteriorating until Franklin D. Roosevelt took office in March 1933. By that time, the market had already advanced 30 percent. Or think back to the early days of World War II, when things were going badly for the United States in Europe and the Pacific. The market hit bottom in April 1942, well before Allied fortunes turned. Again, in the early 1980s, the time to buy stocks was when inflation raged and the economy was in the tank. In short, bad news is an investor’s best friend. It lets you buy a slice of America’s future at a marked-down price.

Over the long term, the stock market news will be good. In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497.

Super-Priced Art

Thursday, October 16th, 2008

Joseph V. Tirella calls it Super-Priced Art:

But it’s not just comic books and their cinematic adaptations that are big business; the market for comic art — the original pencil-and-ink drawings used to produce comic books — is in the middle of a boom that keeps moving into uncharted territory. “It hits a high point and then another and then an even higher point,” says Albert Moy, a New York-based dealer who has been buying and selling comic art for over two decades. (See a slideshow of works that have sold or are for sale.)

While some insiders estimate the global comic art market to be worth $25 million annually, others say it’s more like $70 million to $100 million. At the 2008 San Diego Comic-Con International in July, Joe Mannarino of All Star Auctions and Comic Art Appraisals in Ridgewood, New Jersey, did $1.2 million worth of business in four days, selling the Neal Adams/Bernie Wrightson artwork for Green Lantern No. 84 for $115,000 — a world record for the artist, he says — and two oil paintings by fantasy artist Frank Frazetta for more than $451,000. Anthony Snyder of Anthony’s Collectibles in New Jersey recently set a personal record when he closed a deal worth $150,000 for a 1964 Spider-Man page drawn by John Romita Sr. And dealers say the economic crisis hasn’t yet put a damper on things.

Why to Start a Startup in a Bad Economy

Thursday, October 16th, 2008

I enjoyed the opening to Paul Graham’s Why to Start a Startup in a Bad Economy:

The economic situation is apparently so grim that some experts fear we may be in for a stretch as bad as the mid seventies.

When Microsoft and Apple were founded.

Monkey Business

Wednesday, October 15th, 2008

This cute parable is making the rounds:

Once upon a time, in a place overrun with monkeys, a man appeared and announced to the villagers that he would buy monkeys for $10 each.

The villagers, seeing that there were many monkeys around, went out to the forest, and started catching them.

The man bought thousands at $10 and as supply started to diminish, they became harder to catch, so the villagers stopped their effort.

The man then announced that he would now pay $20 for each one. This renewed the efforts of the villagers and they started catching monkeys again. But soon the supply diminished even further and they were ever harder to catch, so people started going back to their farms and forgot about monkey catching.

The man increased his price to $25 each and the supply of monkeys became so sparse that it was an effort to even see a monkey, much less catch one.

The man now announced that he would buy monkeys for $50! However, since he had to go to the city on some business, his assistant would now buy on his behalf.

While the man was away the assistant told the villagers, ‘Look at all these monkeys in the big cage that the man has bought. I will sell them to you at $35 each and when the man returns from the city, you can sell them to him for $50 each.’

The villagers rounded up all their savings and bought all the monkeys. They never saw the man nor his assistant again, and once again there were monkeys everywhere.

Welcome to Wall Street.

(Hat tip à mon père.)

Indie Video Games Come of Age

Monday, October 6th, 2008

Christopher Lawton notes — “from the underground,” which is on odd place for a Wall Street Journal writer to be — that “indie” video games are coming of age:

“Chronotron” made its debut on Kongregate’s site in May and has since amassed more than one million game plays. In return, Kongregate gave Mr. Rheaume 50% of the advertising revenue it got from the ads that ran alongside the game. So far he’s made more than $1,000 from the advertising. “It’s been surprising,” says Mr. Rheaume of his success on Kongregate thus far.

I’m not sure that $1,000 over the course of five months is particularly impressive, but it was an amateur effort by one hobbyist — and the market as a whole is quite large:

Overall, revenue for the casual-gaming market — including downloads, subscription fees and advertising sales — reached roughly $1 billion last year, according to Parks Associates, a market-research firm. Michael Cai, an analyst with Parks, says there are more than 150 million Internet users in the U.S., and the majority of them play some kind of casual game.
[...]
Among the companies reaching out to smaller developers is Kongregate. Before, the San Francisco startup shared advertising revenue with its developers. But starting this month, the company will also give developers up to 80% of the revenue that’s generated when gamers purchase premium features.
[...]
Big gaming companies such as Microsoft Corp. and EA are also connecting with small game developers. In July, Microsoft began testing a service on Xbox Live — its online gaming and entertainment service — that allows independent developers to distribute games, set their download price and share in 70% of the revenue from premium fees. Microsoft also released XNA Game Studio, an easy-to-use software tool that lets the masses develop unique games. The software can be downloaded free online, but developers would have to pony up $99 a year in order to submit games to Xbox Live.

When Stocks Tank, Some Investors Stampede to Alpacas and Turn to Drink

Monday, October 6th, 2008

Jennifer Levitz notes that when stocks tank, some investors atampede to alpacas and turn to drink, “investing” in bottles of champagne, parking spaces in major cities, condos in Peru or Croatia, cypress farms in Costa Rica, odd farm animals like alpacas and emus, and bags of pre-1965 U.S dimes and quarters, which are 90% silver and in limited supply.

I found this bit slightly disingenuous:

Gold coins also are in great demand. Last week, the mint suspended sales of American Buffalo 24-karat gold coins because it can’t keep up with soaring sales. Last month, a record 14,000 bidders — 17% more than the previous high — turned out for a coin-and-currency auction in Long Beach, Calif., that generated $35 million in sales.

A real business does not suspend sales when it can’t keep up with demand. You’d think the Wall Street Journal would comment on that.

Entrepreneurs Scramble for Financing

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

Entrepreneurs Scramble for Financing as banks cut them off:

Small businesses are turning to angel investors, suppliers and personal credit cards as the financial crisis spreads to Main Street and access to commercial bank loans becomes more restricted.

After being rejected last month at two commercial banks, Education 4 Kids Inc. owner J.M. Ivler is back to financing his 5-year-old online retailer with personal credit cards. “I can’t get the banks to give me a loan,” complains Mr. Ivler, whose Las Vegas company is profitable and produced $350,000 in sales last year.

Brian Moran, president of magazine publisher Moran Media Group LLC, decided to sell $125,000 in accounts receivables and incur a 3%, 30-day rate on outstanding balances to finance his Paramus, N.J. company after a bank credit line wasn’t renewed. The bank told him it was cutting back on small business lending to minimize risk.

I smell a business opportunity…

The Solution to Hunting’s Woes? Setting Sights on Women

Thursday, October 2nd, 2008

The Solution to Hunting’s Woes? Setting Sights on Women:

As the number of male hunters has declined, the sport has targeted women with everything from pink guns to gender-specific hunting courses. Now, they’re seeking out spokesmodels and pushing weapons tailored for women, such as lighter crossbows. Television shows starring women shooters include “American Huntress” and “Family Traditions with Haley Heath,” chronicling the hunting adventures of a young woman and her tag-along husband and children.

The campaign received a boost in recent weeks from the Republican Party’s vice presidential nomination of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. Photographs have since emerged of the governor posing beside a caribou she’d shot, and supporters boasted that she knew how to field-dress a moose. Gov. Palin is an ideal role model, say some women hunters, because she defies the masculine image of the sport. “She’s a babe,” says Linda Burch, a bear-hunting Minnesota accounting executive who applies lipstick before posing for kill shots.

Gov. Palin also counters the stereotype of the woman hunter as poor, rural and uneducated. A 2003 survey of Texans who had attended a state hunting-and-outdoors training program for women found that 82% lived in cities, 79% had graduated from college and 39% had household incomes above $80,000 a year. They spent a mean of $3,250 a year on outdoor recreational pursuits, said the state wildlife agency, which conducted the survey.

The initial go-to strategy? Pink it and shrink it!

About five years ago, the outdoor-equipment industry began slapping pink paint on weapons, including handguns, and downsizing camouflage. “Initially their attitude was, ‘Pink it and shrink it’ and women will buy,” says Beth Ann Amico, an Oklahoma hunter and dog trainer who notes that pink defeats the purpose of camouflage. “We’re savvier than that.”

Now, arms makers are offering shorter gun stocks and barrels for women and crossbows requiring less upper-body strength. Apparel makers such as SHE Safari and Foxy Huntress LLC are marketing camouflage expressly to women. “The Foxy Huntress knows she’s dressed to kill in more ways than one,” says that three-year-old company’s Web site, touting “well-designed pieces cut with a female’s unique form and needs in mind.”

Dead Dead-Pledges?

Wednesday, October 1st, 2008

Bad mortgages are in the news quite a bit these days. How about vivgages? Meir Kohn’s The Capital Market Before 1600 sheds some etymological light on arcane financial terms:

Landowners had a major advantage in issuing long-term debt — the ability to secure it with land. Under Roman law there were two ways to do this. In a pignus or pawn, the property that secured the loan passed into the hands of the lender, to be returned on repayment of the loan. In a hypothec, the property remained with the borrower, but could be seized by the lender if the borrower defaulted.

The two arrangements differed principally in who bore the burden of suing for possession in the event of a dispute: in the first case, it was the borrower; in the second, it was the lender. Under feudalism, ownership of land became intertwined with lordship, so that courts rarely upheld a lender trying to seize land from a defaulting borrower. As a result, lending against land generally took the form of a pignus rather than a hypothec. In such a land-pawn, the income from the land — whether in the form of produce or of cash — went to the lender who was in possession of the land.

In one variation, the vivgage or live-pledge, the income counted against the outstanding principal, and the lender returned the property as soon as the loan was fully repaid. In a mortgage or dead-pledge, the income did not count against the principal but compensated the lender for making the loan; repayment of principal was due after a predetermined number of years, and if the borrower defaulted, the land became the property of the lender. Not surprisingly, the mortgage was more popular with lenders and less so with borrowers.

We need a Door Number Three for IT professionals

Tuesday, September 30th, 2008

Cringely says, We need a Door Number Three for IT professionals:

I have a friend of 20 years who is in a key technical role at a very large company. He’s too vital to the company to risk losing but too geeky to fit in. He’s on the craft (non-management) salary scale, but way higher than he ought to be for having no direct responsibility. All he does, in fact, is from time to time save his company from ruin. And even more rarely, he saves all the rest of us from ruin, too, in ways I am not at liberty to explain. How do you manage such a guy? Where he works they have him report to the CEO. The Big Guy has 5-6 direct reports and one of them — my friend — doesn’t manage anyone or anything.

THAT’S Door Number Three.

America Must Rescue the Bonuses at Goldman Sachs

Monday, September 29th, 2008

Michael Lewis satirically pleads that America Must Rescue the Bonuses at Goldman Sachs:

The total collapse of the global financial system is one thing — everyone at Davos in January saw that coming. But the shrinkage of the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. bonus pool is another. Whatever else the Treasury achieves it must know that if the employees of Goldman suffer any sort of pay cut, it will be judged to have failed. And our country may never recover.

Last year Goldman paid its employees $20 billion, 44 percent of the firm’s revenue. Chief Executive Officer Lloyd Blankfein took home $68.5 million, and many otherwise ordinary human beings took home $10 million or more.

This inspired young people everywhere, many of whom may have privately wondered whether it was still worth their time to become investment bankers. Torn between a future in, say, the law and the manufacture of mezzanine CDOs they sucked up their courage and plunged onto Wall Street. And thank God for that: We needed the best and the brightest to get us into this mess, and we’ll need the best and the brightest to get us out of it.
[...]
To its credit the government has thus far done pretty much all it can to prevent any suffering inside the firm. Its extreme sensitivity to Goldman’s pain is the only way to explain its actions thus far.
[...]
Think of Wall Street as a poker game and Goldman as the smartest player. It’s sad when you think about it this way that so much of the dumb money on Wall Street has been forced out of the game. There’s no one left to play with. Just as Goldman was about to rake in its winnings and head home, the U.S. government stumbles in, fat and happy and looking for some action. I imagine the best and the brightest inside Goldman are right this moment trying to figure out how it uses the Treasury not only to sell their own crappy assets dear but also to buy other people’s crappy assets cheap.

At any rate, it won’t take long for Goldman Sachs to figure out how to make that $700 billion work for Goldman Sachs. This you can trust them to do. After all, Warren Buffett just did.

Competent Elites

Monday, September 29th, 2008

Eliezer Yudkowsky has dealt with some surpisingly competent elites:

One of the major surprises I received when I moved out of childhood into the real world, was the degree to which the world is stratified by genuine competence.
[...]
I was invited once to a gathering of the mid-level power elite, where around half the attendees were “CEO of something” — mostly technology companies, but occasionally “something” was a public company or a sizable hedge fund. I was expecting to be the youngest person there, but it turned out that my age wasn’t unusual — there were several accomplished individuals who were younger. This was the point at which I realized that my child prodigy license had officially completely expired.

Now, admittedly, this was a closed conference run by people clueful enough to think “Let’s invite Eliezer Yudkowsky” even though I’m not a CEO. So this was an incredibly cherry-picked sample. Even so…

Even so, these people of the Power Elite were visibly much smarter than average mortals. In conversation they spoke quickly, sensibly, and by and large intelligently. When talk turned to deep and difficult topics, they understood faster, made fewer mistakes, were readier to adopt others’ suggestions.

No, even worse than that, much worse than that: these CEOs and CTOs and hedge-fund traders, these folk of the mid-level power elite, seemed happier and more alive.

This, I suspect, is one of those truths so horrible that you can’t talk about it in public. This is something that reporters must not write about, when they visit gatherings of the power elite.

Because the last news your readers want to hear, is that this person who is wealthier than you, is also smarter, happier, and not a bad person morally. Your reader would much rather read about how these folks are overworked to the bone or suffering from existential ennui. Failing that, your readers want to hear how the upper echelons got there by cheating, or at least smarming their way to the top. If you said anything as hideous as, “They seem more alive,” you’d get lynched.

Read the whole thing — and the comments.

An Inconvenient Bag

Sunday, September 28th, 2008

Ellen Gamerman calls the trendy green giveaway of the moment, the reusable shopping bag, An Inconvenient Bag, because it is a case study in how tricky it is to make products environmentally friendly:

“If you don’t reuse them, you’re actually worse off by taking one of them,” says Bob Lilienfeld, author of the Use Less Stuff Report, an online newsletter about waste prevention. And because many of the bags are made from heavier material, they’re also likely to sit longer in landfills than their thinner, disposable cousins, according to Ned Thomas, who heads the department of material science and engineering at Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Used as they were intended, the totes can be an environmental boon, vastly reducing the number of disposable bags that do wind up in landfills. If each bag is used multiple times — at least once a week — four or five reusable bags can replace 520 plastic bags a year, says Nick Sterling, research director at Natural Capitalism Solutions, a nonprofit focused on corporate sustainability issues.
[...]
Finding a truly green bag is challenging. Plastic totes may be more eco-friendly to manufacture than ones made from cotton or canvas, which can require large amounts of water and energy to produce and may contain harsh chemical dyes. Paper bags, meanwhile, require the destruction of millions of trees and are made in factories that contribute to air and water pollution.

Many of the cheap, reusable bags that retailers favor are produced in Chinese factories and made from nonwoven polypropylene, a form of plastic that requires about 28 times as much energy to produce as the plastic used in standard disposable bags and eight times as much as a paper sack, according to Mr. Sterling, of Natural Capitalism Solutions.
[...]
Getting people to actually use the bags is another matter. Maximizing their benefits requires changing deeply ingrained behavior, like getting used to taking 30-second showers to lower one’s energy and water use. At present, many of the bags go unused — remaining stashed instead in consumers’ closets or in the trunks of their cars. Earlier this year, KPIX in San Francisco polled 500 of its television viewers and found that more than half — 58% — said they almost never take reusable cloth shopping bags to the grocery store.

Phil Rozenski, director of environmental strategies at the plastic bag maker Hilex Poly Co., believes even fewer people remember to use them. Based on consumer surveys conducted by the company, he says roughly the same number of people reuse their bags as bring disposable bags back to the grocery store for recycling — a figure he puts at about 10% of consumers, according to industry data.
[...]
Mr. Shiv also says that according to surveys done by his graduate students, many shoppers say they are less likely to carry a retailer’s branded reusable bag into a competing store. “What these bags are doing is increasing loyalty to the store,” he says.

This anecdote says a lot:

Sarah De Belen, a 35-year-old mother of two from Hoboken, N.J., says she uses about 30 or 40 plastic bags at the grocery store every week. Late last year, she saw a woman at the supermarket with a popular canvas tote by London designer Anya Hindmarch and promptly purchased one online for about $45.

But Ms. De Belen says she soon realized she’d need 12 of them to accommodate an average grocery run. “It can hold, like, a head of lettuce,” she says. Besides, she adds, it’s too nice to load up with diapers or dripping chicken breasts.

The New Old Country

Saturday, September 27th, 2008

Stan Sesser explains how tourists are flocking to The New Old Country:

Places that once struggled to attract tourists now worry about where to put them. Foreign visitors to Krakow last year numbered 2.5 million — almost quadruple the number in 2003. “The word has spread,” says Katarzyna Gadek, director of the city’s Office of Tourist Development. “When we entered the European Union in 2004, that made a big difference.” So has the increased number of direct flights in. Ten years ago, most tourists arrived from Western Europe by bus or train, or they caught a connecting flight in Warsaw.

Another prime example is in Slovenia, once part of the former Yugoslavia (and today often confused with Slovakia to the northeast). Slovenia’s capital, Ljubljana (loob-lee-YA-na), went from unknown to trendy in just a few years. But be warned: It has so few hotel rooms that by early June the best places are largely booked for summer.

With its medieval Old Town of clean cobblestone streets and outdoor markets, a 16th-century castle perched on a hill and an array of first-rate restaurants, Ljubljana ranks as one of Europe’s most attractive capitals. Plus, mountain lakes and the Adriatic coast are just an hour or two away. I had no idea what I’d find when I went there. But taking everything into account — scenery, food, prices and the friendliness of the people — I think Slovenia could qualify as Europe’s single best country for tourism.

Arriving in Ljubljana is like turning the clock back 50 years. The local road from the tiny airport into town is lined with trees and grass. The train station is so close to the Old City that you can walk to most hotels. Tourist information is available at the station in two small rooms, one devoted to transport and the other to local attractions. I asked the man at the tourism counter what happens to people who show up without a reservation in this city of just 16 hotels. “We put them in a hotel further out, in an apartment rental or with a family,” he replied. “No one ever has to sleep on a park bench.”

I booked my trip just one week in advance — too late for a hotel room — so I made reservations with an apartment-booking agency. Little did I suspect I’d end up in what may be the nicest accommodations I’ve ever had in Europe. My reward for walking up five flights of stairs (the medieval buildings have no elevators) was a big penthouse apartment in an impeccably renovated building next to Town Hall, with a terrace, modern kitchen and bathroom and high-speed Internet. The price? €120 ($175) a night — less than the cost of a closet-size hotel room in London or Milan.