Los Angeles with a Past

Thursday, July 9th, 2015

Michael Lewis describes the financial situation in Greece — writing five years ago:

Moody’s, the ratings agency, had just lowered Greece’s credit rating to the level that turned all Greek government bonds into junk — and so no longer eligible to be owned by many of the investors who currently owned them. The resulting dumping of Greek bonds onto the market was, in the short term, no big deal, because the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank had between them agreed to lend Greece — a nation of about 11 million people, or two million fewer than Greater Los Angeles — up to $145 billion. In the short term Greece had been removed from the free financial markets and become a ward of other states.

That was the good news. The long-term picture was far bleaker. In addition to its roughly $400 billion (and growing) of outstanding government debt, the Greek number crunchers had just figured out that their government owed another $800 billion or more in pensions. Add it all up and you got about $1.2 trillion, or more than a quarter-million dollars for every working Greek. Against $1.2 trillion in debts, a $145 billion bailout was clearly more of a gesture than a solution. And those were just the official numbers; the truth is surely worse. “Our people went in and couldn’t believe what they found,” a senior I.M.F. official told me, not long after he’d returned from the I.M.F.’s first Greek mission. “The way they were keeping track of their finances — they knew how much they had agreed to spend, but no one was keeping track of what he had actually spent. It wasn’t even what you would call an emerging economy. It was a Third World country.”

As it turned out, what the Greeks wanted to do, once the lights went out and they were alone in the dark with a pile of borrowed money, was turn their government into a piñata stuffed with fantastic sums and give as many citizens as possible a whack at it. In just the past decade the wage bill of the Greek public sector has doubled, in real terms — and that number doesn’t take into account the bribes collected by public officials. The average government job pays almost three times the average private-sector job. The national railroad has annual revenues of 100 million euros against an annual wage bill of 400 million, plus 300 million euros in other expenses. The average state railroad employee earns 65,000 euros a year. Twenty years ago a successful businessman turned minister of finance named Stefanos Manos pointed out that it would be cheaper to put all Greece’s rail passengers into taxicabs: it’s still true. “We have a railroad company which is bankrupt beyond comprehension,” Manos put it to me. “And yet there isn’t a single private company in Greece with that kind of average pay.” The Greek public-school system is the site of breathtaking inefficiency: one of the lowest-ranked systems in Europe, it nonetheless employs four times as many teachers per pupil as the highest-ranked, Finland’s. Greeks who send their children to public schools simply assume that they will need to hire private tutors to make sure they actually learn something. There are three government-owned defense companies: together they have billions of euros in debts, and mounting losses. The retirement age for Greek jobs classified as “arduous” is as early as 55 for men and 50 for women. As this is also the moment when the state begins to shovel out generous pensions, more than 600 Greek professions somehow managed to get themselves classified as arduous: hairdressers, radio announcers, waiters, musicians, and on and on and on. The Greek public health-care system spends far more on supplies than the European average — and it is not uncommon, several Greeks tell me, to see nurses and doctors leaving the job with their arms filled with paper towels and diapers and whatever else they can plunder from the supply closets.

Where waste ends and theft begins almost doesn’t matter; the one masks and thus enables the other. It’s simply assumed, for instance, that anyone who is working for the government is meant to be bribed. People who go to public health clinics assume they will need to bribe doctors to actually take care of them. Government ministers who have spent their lives in public service emerge from office able to afford multi-million-dollar mansions and two or three country homes.

Oddly enough, the financiers in Greece remain more or less beyond reproach. They never ceased to be anything but sleepy old commercial bankers. Virtually alone among Europe’s bankers, they did not buy U.S. subprime-backed bonds, or leverage themselves to the hilt, or pay themselves huge sums of money. The biggest problem the banks had was that they had lent roughly 30 billion euros to the Greek government — where it was stolen or squandered. In Greece the banks didn’t sink the country. The country sank the banks.

I enjoyed this bit of local color:

Athens somehow manages to be bright white and grubby at the same time. The most beautiful freshly painted neoclassical homes are defaced with new graffiti. Ancient ruins are everywhere, of course, but seem to have little to do with anything else. It’s Los Angeles with a past.

Read the whole thing.

Comments

  1. Slovenian Guest says:

    It was fraud from the get go, a conspiracy!

    “Greece has admitted joining the euro in 2001 on the basis of figures that showed its budget deficit to be much lower than it really was.”

    Goldman Sachs helped them fudge numbers to dip below the qualification bar. Tho bravo, they really milked the EU for all it’s worth.

    But I do hope they don’t default, because:

    “Slovenia’s exposure to Greek debt is the third largest after Portugal and Cyprus in terms of GDP%.”

  2. Slovenian Guest says:

    Speaking of Los Angeles, congratulations, it’s official: Latinos now outnumber whites in California! (New Mexico is the other state where this is also true)

    They are just taking their land back you say?

    Not so fast:

    1) Mexico’s claim to the American Southwest it lost to the United States devolved to Mexican rule from Spanish claims, claims which were never universally recognized. In many cases, it was merely a 12-man expedition passing through and giving places names and claiming them for Spain in the name of God and the King. Further, as the Vancouver and Sir Francis Drake expeditions had already claimed the Pacific Coast right up from around present-day Rosarita, Baja all the way up to what is today Vancouver Island in British Columbia, OUR royal ancestors were first in claim and right in any case, if one accepts this sort of claim as having legal force.

    2) Additionally, and more importantly, Spain did not settle any of these lands in any serious manner. The most significant settlements were the string of Catholic Missions up through California to San Francisco, and these settlements were of a religious character with a religious mission rather than building new Spanish settlements.

    3) When Mexico inherited the claim by default when it acquired its independence, it discovered that “its” lands were almost entire devoid of Mexicans and by far the largest group present in them were Anglo-Americans, who, unlike the Spanish, had built actual settlements, roads, farms, towns, militias, etc.

    4) Mexico attempted to counter-act the facts on the ground by the classic Spanish tactic of Latifundia, i.e. the awarding of HUGE ranches to wealthy landowners in Mexico City who were politically connected. Not surprisingly, only a few of these newly-minted rancheros actually took possession of their lands.

    5) In Texas, Mexican attempts to deal with the Anglo-Americans there ended up in a military conflict, and Mexico lost, fair and square. I don’t know much about this, I’ll let the Lone Stars speak for themselves.

    6) In California, by contrast, those same Mexican rancheros *joined* with the Anglo-Americans to form the California Republic. Thus, Mexico did not just lose historic land to the Americans, it lost it to a joint rebellion of Americans and its own citizens. And it lost them for good reason: they didn’t really rule the territory in anything other than Spain’s old “plant the flag” sense.

    6) The rest of the land lost was still largely empty and Mexico knew it couldn’t hold them if they couldn’t hold Tejas and California, and for good reason: again, their sovereignty over that land was more theory than practice.

    Said by a commenter named “Jourdan” over at voxday.

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