From the ancient Greek for equality in freedom of speech; an eclectic mix of thoughts, large and small
The Lion’s Gate
Sunday, May 11th, 2014
Steven Pressfield has embraced his (secular) Jewish heritage and written a new book about the Six Day War, The Lion’s Gate. He discusses the process with his agent, and this bit on MiG-killers and the death burst caught my attention:
Scipio Americanus: I have it on the word of a very reliable source that the criteria for declassification of anything related to nuclear weapons have been massively and unreasonably tightened over the last few years. I’d venture a guess that it’s due to technically ignorant sensitivity to proliferation risk.
Senexada: Another incident of the null hypothesis is the Cherokee Land Lottery of 1832, a “natural experiment” which had nearly universal participation by white males, and in which the winners received a wealth shock equal to roughly the median wealth. The result: Sons of winners have no better adult outcomes (wealth, income, literacy) than the sons of non-winners, and winners’ grandchildren do not have higher literacy or school attendance than non-winners’ grandchildren. This suggests only a...
ETat: Yet one more reason not to get a Facebook account.
Grasspunk: These are the best photos the WSJ could come up with? These guys aren’t attractive enough to be hipsters.
Slovenian Guest: The Empire kicking rebel ass, hell yeah, git-r-done! It’s almost scary how right they got the ’80s look, feel & sound… as if the creators of the Galaxy Rangers went on and made a Star Wars cartoon. The current “official” Star Wars Rebels 3D CGI animated television series looks like an abomination in comparison.
Isegoria: The full report implies that “moderate-to-severe” crashes involve more than 1 g of acceleration: For this study, 1,691 moderate-to-severe crashes involving young drivers ages 16-19 were reviewed. Of these crashes, 727 were vehicle-to-vehicle crashes in which the force of the impact was 1.0g or greater, and 964 were single-vehicle crashes in which the vehicle’s tires left the roadway and impacted (with a force of 1.0g or greater) one or more natural or artificial objects. While the extent of any...
Isegoria: While cell phones don’t provide the majority of distractions, I think it’s fair to say that they introduce a new, large source of distractions. I agree that there’s a certain circularity, in that teens with bad judgment tend to compound their problems by introducing more distractions — but the teens in the videos certainly appeared typical. Also, the increase was in “moderate-to-sever e” crashes — which presumably excludes fender-benders.
Alrenous: It’s extremely important that cell phones are not even the majority of distractions, even though they consistently get top billing. The worst distraction is other people. Their statistics don’t add up properly, but something like two thirds of distractions statically associated with accidents are neither cellphones nor people. There’s also the ever-present racism causation problem. Does distraction cause poor driving or are poor drivers likely to let themselves get distracted?...
Brendan: Oh, and if my explanation (complements/substitutes ) is right, and their explanation (kumbaya chemistry) is wrong, then I doubt we’ll see the “too much talent” effect is many other contexts. Brains are more flexible than bodies. If Bob Noyce takes over what Gordon Moore was doing before, I think you can still find work that’s more useful for Moore than the NBA equivalent of stashing the 28% 3-point-shooting D. Wade in a corner.