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	<title>Isegoria &#187; Bruce Bueno de Mesquita</title>
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		<title>The Dictator&#8217;s Handbook</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2011/10/the-dictators-handbook/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2011/10/the-dictators-handbook/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Oct 2011 14:21:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.isegoria.net/?p=26737</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has decided to popularize his ideas with a new book, The Dictator&#8217;s Handbook, co-written with Alastair Smith. Michael Moynihan reviews the &#8220;lucidly written, shrewdly argued meditation on how democrats and dictators preserve political authority&#8221;: So how is it that undemocratic leaders — who exploit, imprison and brutalize their subjects — frequently [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<title>The Predictioneer</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2010/03/the-predictioneer/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2010/03/the-predictioneer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Mar 2010 20:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4988</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[New Scientist has a piece on Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, who has successfully branded himself as the predictioneer: Bueno de Mesquita&#8217;s &#8220;predictioneering&#8221; began in 1979 when he was on a Guggenheim fellowship writing a book about the conditions that lead to war. He had designed a mathematical model to examine the choices people could make [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<title>Foreign Aid Keeps Autocrats in Power</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2010/01/foreign-aid-keeps-autocrats-in-power/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2010/01/foreign-aid-keeps-autocrats-in-power/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Jan 2010 16:59:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4668</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[External aid often promotes longevity in office for autocratic leaders who are otherwise at risk of being deposed, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita explains, because it helps them patronize their core group of supporters: In such cases, aid not only fails to promote economic growth, but it also diminishes the odds that the political system will [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<title>The economic logic of autocracy</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2010/01/the-economic-logic-of-autocracy/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2010/01/the-economic-logic-of-autocracy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jan 2010 16:53:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4662</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita explains the economic logic of autocracy: Just as we naturally consider successful those leaders who foster economic growth and prosperity for their citizens, we expect that leaders who produce famine, poverty and misery will earn a rapid retirement. But the data show that leaders who produce poverty and misery through the [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<title>Politics is predictable</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/12/politics-is-predictable/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/12/politics-is-predictable/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Dec 2009 17:47:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4527</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Politics is predictable, predictioneer Bruce Bueno de Mesquita says, and Copenhagen is destined to fail: Today&#8217;s emerging powerhouses like Brazil, India, and China simply won&#8217;t stand for serious curbs on their emissions, and the pro-regulation crowd in the United States and Europe won&#8217;t be strong enough to force their hands. BdM has used his game-theoretic [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<title>Bruce Bueno de Mesquita on the Daily Show</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/10/bruce-bueno-de-mesquita-on-the-daily-show/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/10/bruce-bueno-de-mesquita-on-the-daily-show/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 00:41:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4273</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I haven&#8217;t watched The Daily Show in quite some time, but Bruce Bueno de Mesquita made a recent appearance to push his new book: (Hat tip à mon père.)]]></description>
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		<title>Can Game Theory Predict When Iran Will Get the Bomb?</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/can-game-theory-predict-when-iran-will-get-the-bomb/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/can-game-theory-predict-when-iran-will-get-the-bomb/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 14:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4092</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has a new book coming out for a popular audience, The Predictioneer&#8217;s Game, and Clive Thompson of the New York Times visits him to ask, Can game theory predict when Iran will get the Bomb? A tall man with a slab of gray hair, Bueno de Mesquita, who is 62, welcomed [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<title>Political Survival, Catholic Theology, and Marxist Frameworks</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/political-survival-catholic-theology-and-marxist-frameworks/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/political-survival-catholic-theology-and-marxist-frameworks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Aug 2009 19:11:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4034</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In discussing Bruce Bueno de Mesquita&#8217;s fascinating thoughts on political survival, Anomaly UK makes this aside: I have a bit of an interest in Catholic theology, on the basis that since this is what the brightest minds half the world could produce spent about a thousand years on, it is likely to have some value, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<title>The New Nostradamus</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/the-new-nostradamus/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/the-new-nostradamus/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 15:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4011</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Michael Lerner and Ethan Hill have dubbed Bruce Bueno de Mesquita the new Nostradamus for predictions like these: Forecasted the second Intifada and the death of the Mideast peace process, two years before it happened. Defied Russia specialists by predicting who would succeed Brezhnev. “The model identified Andropov, who nobody at the time even considered [&#8230;]]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>Selectorate</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/selectorate/</link>
		<comments>https://www.isegoria.net/2009/08/selectorate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 14:50:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Isegoria</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bruce Bueno de Mesquita]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://isegoria.net/isegoria/?p=4009</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Joseph Fouche calls Bruce Bueno de Mesquita&#8216;s theory of the selectorate a quant theory of politics and summarizes Bueno de Mesquita&#8217;s own slide-based summary. The key notion is that the populace is divided into three categories: The selectorate is the subset with a say in selecting the leader. This group is small in a monarchy [&#8230;]]]></description>
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