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	<title>Comments on: Egypt is the Nile, and the Nile is Egypt</title>
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	<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2025/05/egypt-is-the-nile-and-the-nile-is-egypt/</link>
	<description>From the ancient Greek for equality in freedom of speech; an eclectic mix of thoughts, large and small</description>
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		<title>By: Jim</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2025/05/egypt-is-the-nile-and-the-nile-is-egypt/comment-page-1/#comment-3758004</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2025 02:10:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isegoria.net/?p=52887#comment-3758004</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Thanks, Franklin.

Redan, I considered that possibility, but the text gives no hint of it: &quot;Egypt…will remain in the news…as it struggles to…feed[] 84 million people a day…and guard[] the Suez Canal, through which passes 8 percent of the world&#039;s entire trade every day.&quot; &quot;World&#039;s entire trade&quot; clearly suggests trade of oil and non-oil alike, and the later 2.5-percent figure of the world&#039;s oil trade through the Suez Canal is given as a specific elaboration.

Strictly speaking, U.S. EIA&#039;s report aggregates the SUMED pipeline with the Suez Canal, whereas the author makes no mention of the pipeline. Nevertheless, the author mentions the Suez Canal in the context of &quot;an Islamist [sic] insurgency&quot; and the &quot;guarding&quot; of the Canal therefrom, and one may reasonably assume that the security profile of the Canal and the pipeline are similar: whoever controls one is extremely likely to control the other.

Per U.S. EIA&#039;s &lt;i&gt;Three important oil trade chokepoints are located around the Arabian Peninsula&lt;/i&gt; (August 4, 2017), in 2016, &quot;3.9 million b/d of crude oil and refined products transited the Suez Canal in both directions&quot;, and &quot;1.6 million b/d of crude oil [were] transported through the SUMED Pipeline to the Mediterranean Sea and then loaded onto tankers for seaborne trade&quot;. Inferentially, the SUMED pipeline accounts for about two-fifths, and the Suez Canal accounts for about three-fifths, of oil transit through Egypt. In the same year, per U.S. EIA&#039;s &lt;i&gt;World Oil Transit Chokepoints&lt;/i&gt; (July 25, 2017), world total oil supply was 97.2 million b/d, such that about 3.4 percent passed through the Suez Canal, about 2.3 percent passed through the SUMED pipeline, and about 5.7 percent passed through both in the aggregate.

It isn&#039;t clear why the author chose to mention the oil transit of the Suez Canal without mentioning that of the SUMED pipeline. Perhaps he does so later in his work.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks, Franklin.</p>
<p>Redan, I considered that possibility, but the text gives no hint of it: &#8220;Egypt…will remain in the news…as it struggles to…feed[] 84 million people a day…and guard[] the Suez Canal, through which passes 8 percent of the world&#8217;s entire trade every day.&#8221; &#8220;World&#8217;s entire trade&#8221; clearly suggests trade of oil and non-oil alike, and the later 2.5-percent figure of the world&#8217;s oil trade through the Suez Canal is given as a specific elaboration.</p>
<p>Strictly speaking, U.S. EIA&#8217;s report aggregates the SUMED pipeline with the Suez Canal, whereas the author makes no mention of the pipeline. Nevertheless, the author mentions the Suez Canal in the context of &#8220;an Islamist [sic] insurgency&#8221; and the &#8220;guarding&#8221; of the Canal therefrom, and one may reasonably assume that the security profile of the Canal and the pipeline are similar: whoever controls one is extremely likely to control the other.</p>
<p>Per U.S. EIA&#8217;s <i>Three important oil trade chokepoints are located around the Arabian Peninsula</i> (August 4, 2017), in 2016, &#8220;3.9 million b/d of crude oil and refined products transited the Suez Canal in both directions&#8221;, and &#8220;1.6 million b/d of crude oil [were] transported through the SUMED Pipeline to the Mediterranean Sea and then loaded onto tankers for seaborne trade&#8221;. Inferentially, the SUMED pipeline accounts for about two-fifths, and the Suez Canal accounts for about three-fifths, of oil transit through Egypt. In the same year, per U.S. EIA&#8217;s <i>World Oil Transit Chokepoints</i> (July 25, 2017), world total oil supply was 97.2 million b/d, such that about 3.4 percent passed through the Suez Canal, about 2.3 percent passed through the SUMED pipeline, and about 5.7 percent passed through both in the aggregate.</p>
<p>It isn&#8217;t clear why the author chose to mention the oil transit of the Suez Canal without mentioning that of the SUMED pipeline. Perhaps he does so later in his work.</p>
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		<title>By: Redan</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2025/05/egypt-is-the-nile-and-the-nile-is-egypt/comment-page-1/#comment-3758001</link>
		<dc:creator>Redan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 May 2025 18:33:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isegoria.net/?p=52887#comment-3758001</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Transposition, perhaps?

Would &#039;2.5% of world&#039;s entire trade&#039; and &#039;8% of world&#039;s oil&#039; fit?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Transposition, perhaps?</p>
<p>Would &#8217;2.5% of world&#8217;s entire trade&#8217; and &#8217;8% of world&#8217;s oil&#8217; fit?</p>
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		<title>By: Franklin</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2025/05/egypt-is-the-nile-and-the-nile-is-egypt/comment-page-1/#comment-3758000</link>
		<dc:creator>Franklin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 May 2025 17:18:09 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Great catch, Jim. The discrepancy calls into question the validity of the authors claims. I suppose in this climate, volatility is something that skews data in general, which is somewhat deflating given I thought the book was well constructed.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great catch, Jim. The discrepancy calls into question the validity of the authors claims. I suppose in this climate, volatility is something that skews data in general, which is somewhat deflating given I thought the book was well constructed.</p>
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		<title>By: Jim</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2025/05/egypt-is-the-nile-and-the-nile-is-egypt/comment-page-1/#comment-3757988</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 May 2025 14:55:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.isegoria.net/?p=52887#comment-3757988</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Per U.S. EIA’s &lt;i&gt;Country Analysis Brief: World Oil Transit Chokepoints&lt;/i&gt; (June 25, 2024), about 8.6% of the world’s oil passed through the Suez Canal and SUMED pipeline in 2023, considerably more than the 2.5% claimed by the author. The book was published in 2015, and there is some fluctuation year-to-year, but even in 2018 the figure was about 8.2%.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Per U.S. EIA’s <i>Country Analysis Brief: World Oil Transit Chokepoints</i> (June 25, 2024), about 8.6% of the world’s oil passed through the Suez Canal and SUMED pipeline in 2023, considerably more than the 2.5% claimed by the author. The book was published in 2015, and there is some fluctuation year-to-year, but even in 2018 the figure was about 8.2%.</p>
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