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	<title>Comments on: Bad Policies Based on Fragile Science</title>
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		<title>By: Rollory</title>
		<link>https://www.isegoria.net/2015/01/bad-policies-based-on-fragile-science/comment-page-1/#comment-2073010</link>
		<dc:creator>Rollory</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2015 14:27:38 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Sounds a lot like what happened with Global Warming.

As a kid I played a lot of computer games, I particularly liked empire-building strategy games.  My dad got me &quot;Balance of the Planet&quot;, by Chris Crawford, in which the goal - running the whole planet - was similar enough to my usual preferences that I really got into it.  I also bought in fully to the greenie dogma around that time.  More recently, I dug up a copy of it on one of the abandonware sites and went through it again ... and immediately started noticing things.  For example, the game&#039;s formula for &quot;extent of grassland&quot; is &quot;last year&#039;s grassland, minus whatever has been removed by erosion&quot;.  That&#039;s it.  Grassland never expands on its own, it just shrinks at varying rates.  There&#039;s a multitude of other inherent assumptions in that game that turn its model of reality into the purest lying propaganda.  Crawford appears to be completely unaware of what he&#039;s doing; I remember flipping open his book on game design to a random page and seeing a sentence about how he modeled nuclear power that was so spectacularly wrong it was flabbergasting, especially given that the context was of Crawford congratulating himself on finding such a good way of doing it.  

Crawford himself has been out of professional game development for 20 years.  If you read his blog, you&#039;ll find a man lost in his own delusions, constantly patting himself on his back for his correct intuition and ground-breaking work on things that other developers have worked into published products 5 or 10 years ago; and convinced that the only reason he isn&#039;t receiving adulation from everyone is that there&#039;s conspiracies against him.  He does book reviews from time to time; they&#039;re notable for how the review depends entirely on if it confirms Crawford&#039;s preconceptions or not.

It wouldn&#039;t surprise me to find the same sort of mentality operating among dieticians.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sounds a lot like what happened with Global Warming.</p>
<p>As a kid I played a lot of computer games, I particularly liked empire-building strategy games.  My dad got me &#8220;Balance of the Planet&#8221;, by Chris Crawford, in which the goal &#8211; running the whole planet &#8211; was similar enough to my usual preferences that I really got into it.  I also bought in fully to the greenie dogma around that time.  More recently, I dug up a copy of it on one of the abandonware sites and went through it again &#8230; and immediately started noticing things.  For example, the game&#8217;s formula for &#8220;extent of grassland&#8221; is &#8220;last year&#8217;s grassland, minus whatever has been removed by erosion&#8221;.  That&#8217;s it.  Grassland never expands on its own, it just shrinks at varying rates.  There&#8217;s a multitude of other inherent assumptions in that game that turn its model of reality into the purest lying propaganda.  Crawford appears to be completely unaware of what he&#8217;s doing; I remember flipping open his book on game design to a random page and seeing a sentence about how he modeled nuclear power that was so spectacularly wrong it was flabbergasting, especially given that the context was of Crawford congratulating himself on finding such a good way of doing it.  </p>
<p>Crawford himself has been out of professional game development for 20 years.  If you read his blog, you&#8217;ll find a man lost in his own delusions, constantly patting himself on his back for his correct intuition and ground-breaking work on things that other developers have worked into published products 5 or 10 years ago; and convinced that the only reason he isn&#8217;t receiving adulation from everyone is that there&#8217;s conspiracies against him.  He does book reviews from time to time; they&#8217;re notable for how the review depends entirely on if it confirms Crawford&#8217;s preconceptions or not.</p>
<p>It wouldn&#8217;t surprise me to find the same sort of mentality operating among dieticians.</p>
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