John Emsley, Poison and ‘The Elements of Murder’

Tuesday, July 26th, 2005

NPR interviews chemist John Emsley, whose new book The Elements of Murder: A History of Poison, “chronicles cases of accidental and intentional use of lethal substances throughout the ages.”

Rare island birds threatened by ‘super mice’

Tuesday, July 26th, 2005

The Sci-Fi channel may need to make a movie about super mice. From Rare island birds threatened by ‘super mice’:

‘Monster mice’ are eating meter-high albatross chicks alive, threatening rare bird species on a remote south Atlantic island seen as the world’s most important seabird colony. Conservation groups say the avian massacre is occurring on Gough Island in the South Atlantic, a British territory about 1,600 kms (1,000 miles) southwest of Cape Town and home to more than 10 million birds. ‘Gough Island hosts an astonishing community of seabirds and this catastrophe could make many extinct within decades,’ said Dr Geoff Hilton, a senior research biologist with Britain’s Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB).

‘We think there are about 700,000 mice, which have somehow learned to eat chicks alive,’ he said in a statement.

The island is home to 99 percent of the world’s Tristan albatross and Atlantic petrel populations — the birds most often attacked. Just 2,000 Tristan albatross pairs remain.

‘The albatross chicks weigh up to 10 kg (22 lb) and … the mice weigh just 35 grams; it is like a tabby cat attacking a hippopotamus,’ Hilton said.

The house mice — believed to have made their way to Gough decades ago on sealing and whaling ships — have evolved to about three times their normal size.

This is a common phenomenon on island habitats — for reasons much debated among scientists — where small animal species often grow larger while big species such as elephants display ‘dwarfism’ and become smaller.

In the case of the mice of Gough Island, their remarkable growth seems to have been given a boost by a vast reservoir of fresh meat and protein.

The rapacious rodents gnaw into the bodies of the defenseless and flightless chicks, leaving a gaping wound that leads to an agonising death. Scientists say once one mouse attacks the blood seems to draw others to the feast.

The Great Alaskan Morel Rush of ’05

Sunday, July 24th, 2005

Those crazy mycophiles are at it again. From The Great Alaskan Morel Rush of ’05:

Alaska’s 2005 morel season actually started in the summer of 2004, when the state experienced its largest recorded wildfires, which burned more than 6.7 million acres, much of it around Fairbanks and Tok. Fairbanks locals wore dust masks for weeks, and a resident of Chicken, 60 miles from Tok and on the fire line, expressed the opinion that ‘there are two seasons in Alaska, winter and smoke.’

What was a trial for humans and wildlife was a treat for mycelia, the underground fungal webs that produce mushrooms. In a process known as mycorrhiza, mycelia form a symbiotic relationship with the roots of trees and other plants, the fungi receiving sugars and amino acids they need to grow, the roots receiving water and minerals. But morels are clever, as one theory has it, and instead of dying when trees do — in a fire or by insect infestation or other major disturbance — they tap a rush of nutrients from the decomposing roots, and thrive.

Tracking wildfires in order to locate next year’s crops is Wild Mushrooming 101. And most species that grow on the West Coast are reliable: Every spring there will be morels from Northern California to British Columbia; chanterelles flourish in the Pacific Northwest’s coastal regions in late summer; and come fall in central Oregon there’s the matsutake, a mushroom so highly prized by the Japanese that in years past it has sold for $1,200 a pound.

Of course, dependent as it is upon acts of god or accidents of nature, the mushroom trade is extraordinarily risky. Colloquially known as ‘cash in the woods,’ it can be quite profitable. In 2004, Alpine Foragers’ Exchange, the company Jay Southard buys for, purchased more than 200,000 pounds of chanterelles for as little as $1.50 a pound and sold them for as much as $6.50 a pound. But it can just as easily be ruinous: This year’s morel harvest in Oregon was one of the worst on record.

Alaska is the great unknown on the mushroom circuit, having produced them on a commercial scale only once, after fires in 1990 resulted in what are often recalled as ‘carpets of morels’ near Fairbanks and Tok. If this ever happened before, no one had paid much attention, but by the spring of 1991 wild mushrooms had become a culinary essential, and a few prescient buyers made their way to the state. They were amply rewarded. That year, the 98,000-acre Tok River Fire yielded a morel harvest of 300,000 pounds. By comparison, this year’s burn is nearly 70 times larger.

(Hat tip to mi amigo, Todd.)

Robots to offer Japan’s elderly new lease on life

Saturday, July 23rd, 2005

Robots to offer Japan’s elderly new lease on life describes the new HAL 5 exoskeleton:

The sleek, high-tech get-up looks like a white suit of armor. It straps onto a person’s arms, legs and back and is equipped with a computer, motors and sensors that detect electric nerve signals transmitted from the brain when a person tries to move his limbs.

When the sensors detect the nerve signals, the computer starts up the relevant motors to assist the person’s motions.

Sankai says the suit, dubbed “Hybrid Assistive Limb (HAL) 5,” can let a person who can barely do an 176-pound leg press handle 397 pounds.

“The big goal is to expand or strengthen the physical capability of humans,” said Sankai, who set up a venture firm last year to market the robot suit and plans to start leasing HAL-5 to the elderly and disabled in Japan this year.

Danica McKellar

Saturday, July 23rd, 2005

Paul, of GeekPress, says “None of my math instructors at MIT ever looked like her” in reference to Danica McKellar, the actress who played Winnie on The Wonder Years before going on to get a degree in mathematics. From the New York Times profile:

Ms. McKellar was 13 when “The Wonder Years” started in 1988 and when it ended five years later, she took a respite from acting to attend U.C.L.A. She expected that she would resume acting when she graduated, and she expected that she would major in film.

In her freshman year, though, she found that she missed the structured logic that she had enjoyed in high school math, and she started taking math classes at U.C.L.A. “I felt my brain was getting mushy,” she said.

To her surprise, she excelled. Later, she was surprised by her surprise, because she had done well in math classes from elementary school through high school. But she had never considered studying math or science in college.

“It wasn’t like I thought about it and thought, ‘No, I can’t do that,’ ” she recalled. “It just never occurred to me.”

Next, she took the more complicated complex analysis course. The professor, Lincoln Chayes, invited her to enroll even though she had not taken all of the prerequisites. And then she had another class, real analysis, also taught by Professor Chayes.

She quizzed him with enough questions that he offered her and another student, Brandy Winn, the opportunity to tackle some original research, the first time he had given a research project to undergraduates.

There’s now a Chayes-McKellar-Winn theorem.

Buyout Mania

Saturday, July 23rd, 2005

According to Buyout Mania, American-style private-equity firms are moving into the European market — and the Europeans don’t like it:

The backlash against American ‘locusts’ in Germany reflects recent wrenching shifts in the way continental Europe does business. Germans in particular have taken pride in their ‘humane’ form of capitalism, characterized by relatively short working hours and high pay, in contrast to what they see as a more cutthroat, competitive American way. But as global competition grows, European firms are under pressure to trim costs. Private-equity transactions — in which investors buy up a company using substantial amounts of debt, overhaul operations, then sell out after a few years — have been common for years in the U.S. and Britain. They used to be the rare exception in continental Europe, where financial leverage has long been frowned on and relationships with investors were based on tradition. No longer.

Starting in the late 1990s, all the big U.S. players, including Blackstone, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR), Carlyle Group and Texas Pacific Group, set up small-scale European operations. They’re now bustling, growing rapidly and accounting for ever more of the U.S. groups’ business. In four years, Blackstone’s investments in Europe have jumped from about 10% to 30% to 40% of its total business, and the firm has opened offices in London, Hamburg and Paris. ‘It has become quite a significant part of our business,’ says Stephen Schwarzman, Blackstone’s CEO and one of its co-founders. ‘It’s a moment of structural change in Europe.’ The American moneymen last year were involved in about one-third of all European buyouts, doing deals worth more than $25 billion. That’s triple the amount in 2001 (see chart). And there’s no end in sight: several of the groups, including Blackstone and KKR, are in the process of setting up new investment funds aimed in part or entirely at Europe.
[...]
One reason Europe is attractive: such huge firms as electronics giant Siemens, automakers DaimlerChrysler and Fiat and the French media company Vivendi Universal have shed operations they deem no longer core to their fundamental business. Also, investors have been buying medium-size companies whose family owners are looking to sell. Once the Americans take over, they move fast, prodding the firms to make their operations leaner and frequently reshuffling management. The worse off an operation is, the more money the investors stand to make from selling after turning it around. “We like the complexity of Europe,” says Jim Coulter, a San Francisco-based founding partner of Texas Pacific. “It often means there is more inefficiency.”

That’s where the controversy kicks in. In their drive to reduce working capital and improve cash flow to pay off the debts incurred during the buyout, managers can’t afford to be sentimental about businesses that don’t do well. They spin off, reorganize or shut down poorly performing subsidiaries. Thousands of workers can lose their jobs in the process. But what’s bad for the workers is good for the company’s financials.

Hawaiian caterpillars hunt like spiders

Friday, July 22nd, 2005

Hawaiian caterpillars hunt like spiders:

‘Although all caterpillars have silk glands, this predatory caterpillar uses silk in a spiderlike fashion to capture and immobilize prey,’ Daniel Rubinoff and William Haines at University of Hawaii wrote in their report.

The caterpillars of the newly described species, Hyposmocoma molluscivora, are small — about a third of an inch (8 mm) long. Wrapped in their cocoons, they ‘lumber along’ leaves, Rubinoff and Haines said.

‘The caterpillars do not eat plant foliage, even when starving,’ they wrote.

Instead, they hunt Tornatellides snails.

When they find one, ‘they immediately begin to spin silk webbing attaching the snail shell to the leaf on which it rests, apparently to prevent the snail from sealing itself against the leaf or dropping to the ground,’ the researchers wrote.

‘The larva (caterpillar) then wedges its case next to or inside the snail shell and stretches much of its body out of its silk case, pursuing the retreating snail to the end of the shell from which there is no escape. We observed 18 attacks by 10 different larvae following this sequence.’

Sometimes the caterpillars decorate their silk casings with empty snail shells, probably as a form of camouflage, the researchers said.

The caterpillars eventually become small moths.

The researchers say they are surprised by the findings and note the caterpillars join a range of unusual Hawaiian fauna, including spiders that impale their prey in flight.

‘Caterpillars and terrestrial snails co-occur widely on all the continents where they are present, but only in Hawaii have caterpillars evolved to hunt snails,’ they wrote.

The Personal MBA 40

Thursday, July 21st, 2005

Josh Kaufman has finalized The Personal MBA 40, the 40 books he thinks you should read to learn what you’d learn in business school (instead of wasting all that time and money):

  1. Mastery by George Leonard
  2. Now, Discover Your Strengths by Marcus Buckingham & Donald O. Clifton
  3. Getting Things Done by David Allen
  4. The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People by Stephen Covey
  5. What the CEO Wants You to Know by Ram Charan
  6. Profitable Growth Is Everyone’s Business by Ram Charan
  7. On Competition by Michael Porter
  8. Blue Ocean Strategy by W. Chan Kim, Renee Mauborgne
  9. Seeing What’s Next by Clayton M. Christensen, Erik A. Roth, Scott D. Anthony
  10. The Essential Drucker by Peter Drucker
  11. First, Break All the Rules by Marcus Buckingham & Curt Coffman
  12. The One Thing You Need to Know by Marcus Buckingham
  13. The Essays of Warren Buffett by Warren Buffett & Lawrence Cunningham
  14. Poor Charlie’s Almanack by Charlie Munger
  15. The McGraw-Hill 36-Hour Course in Finance for Nonfinancial Managers by Robert A. Cooke
  16. Essentials of Accounting by Robert Newton Anthony and Leslie K. Pearlman
  17. The Goal: A Process of Ongoing Improvement by Eliyahu Goldratt & Jeff Cox
  18. Lean Thinking by James Womack & Daniel Jones
  19. The Substance of Style by Virginia Postrel
  20. The Design of Everyday Things by Donald A. Norman
  21. Economics in One Lesson by Harry Hazlitt
  22. The Marketing Playbook by John Zagula & Richard Tong
  23. Purple Cow by Seth Godin
  24. Free Prize Inside by Seth Godin
  25. The Art of the Start by Guy Kawasaki
  26. The Bootstrapper’s Bible by Seth Godin
  27. Crucial Conversations by Kerry Patterson, Joseph Grenny, Ron McMillan, and Al Switzler
  28. On Writing Well by William Zinsser
  29. How To Win Friends and Influence People by Dale Carnegie
  30. Influence by Robert B. Cialdini
  31. The Little Red Book of Selling by Jeffrey Gitomer
  32. Flawless Consulting by Peter Block
  33. Real Estate Principles for the New Economy by Norman Miller & David Geltner
  34. Getting To Yes by Fisher, Ury, and Patton
  35. Principles of Statistics by M.G. Bulmer
  36. A Primer on Business Ethics by Tibor Machan & James Chesher
  37. Brand New by Nancy F. Koehn
  38. American Business, 1920-2000 by Thomas K. McCraw, John H. Franklin, and A. S. Eisenstadt
  39. The Little Book of Business Wisdom by Peter Krass (Editor)
  40. Re-imagine by Tom Peters

At 6, Koby Blunt Is Retiring at the Top In Mutton Bustin’

Thursday, July 21st, 2005

I’m sure you can catch mutton bustin’ late at night on ESPN8, The Ocho. At 6, Koby Blunt Is Retiring at the Top In Mutton Bustin’:

Koby Blunt gently lowered himself into the rodeo chute, climbing down the white fencing until he straddled his opponent: 250 pounds of bleating ovine.

He wedged his right hand under the riding rope wrapped around the sheep’s chest, squeezed his legs tight around its shaggy flanks and positioned his boots, spurs at the ready. He lifted his left arm into the air and instructed his assistants: ‘I’m ready, boys, let him out.’

When that gate flew open at the Winchester Open Rodeo earlier this month, it was a bittersweet moment in Koby Blunt’s career. The rodeo was one of the last times Koby will compete in mutton bustin’, the event he has dominated in Washington state and the Idaho panhandle. He can’t compete after this season because he hit retirement age on July 6: 6 years old.

‘I’m the goodest sheep rider in the whole world,’ Koby says. Then he catches himself and adds: ‘Except Jesus.’

Wannabe rodeo stars start small. They ride sheep. Like bull riders, mutton busters are scored on a scale of 100 points. The rider must stay on the animal for six seconds, at which point the judges award half the points for the style of the rider and half for the aggressive qualities of the sheep. Some sheep refuse to leave the starting chute. Some go for a leisurely stroll in the arena. But some leave the chute in a fury, trying to get rid of the weight on their backs. ‘If the sheep runs out and starts bunny-hopping, you’ll have a nice score,’ says Koby.

In most rodeos, mutton busters can’t compete after they turn 6 or weigh 50 pounds, whichever comes first. When they get too big, they have to move on, usually to calf riding, which leads to steer riding, which leads to junior bull riding, and finally ends with senior bull riding — eight seconds of chaos on the back of an angry 2,000-pound mass of muscle, horn and hoof.

Tinted Contact Lenses For the Weekend Warriors

Thursday, July 21st, 2005

Tinted Contact Lenses For the Weekend Warriors describes one more high-tech sporting good poised to make the transition from the pro leagues to the consumer market:

The Baltimore Orioles have an unlikely secret weapon this season: Brian Roberts’s contact lenses.

Mr. Roberts, a second baseman who leads the American League in hitting, has been testing a new type of prescription contacts developed jointly by Nike Inc. and eye-care-products maker Bausch & Lomb Inc. The tinted contacts, which give Mr. Roberts a devilish red-eyed appearance, function much like sunglasses by cutting down on glare.

[...]

Nike’s MaxSight Sport-Tinted Contact Lenses will sell for about $20 a pair. Nike says a red-colored version cuts blue light to make a fast-moving ball stand out more clearly. A green-colored pair enhances red and green light to help a golfer better see the slope of a putting green.

‘When I first put them on, it was the last day of spring training and it was bright and sunny, and it was just perfect because guys at the plate couldn’t see anything when they were hitting,’ Mr. Roberts wrote in an email. ‘They would come back from the dugout saying, ‘I can’t see!’ and that day I went 3 for 3.’

The Contest Between Taxeaters and Taxpayers

Wednesday, July 20th, 2005

In The Contest Between Taxeaters and Taxpayers, City Journal contributing editor Steven Malanga discusses his new book, The New New Left: How American Politics Works Today:

The original framers of the War on Poverty were well-intentioned if naive and ultimately wrongheaded. Sargent Shriver declared back then that we could end poverty in a decade and President Johnson declared that massive urban aid would help create ‘cities of spacious beauty and living promise.’ But somewhere along the way the War on Poverty got hijacked by a new brand of social service professional just starting to come out of our college and university social service departments at a time in the late 1960s and early 1970s when they were becoming radicalized. These folks were intellectually at war with our free market system and wanted to use the War on Poverty as a means of ramping up government spending which would force taxes higher, thereby helping redistribute income in our country, they believed. They did things like help turn welfare from a program of temporary assistance into a permanent ‘civil right’ for many recipients. They introduced the notion that the poor in our cities were not only suffering economically but that our system had robbed them of their sense of community and inner worth, which could only be revived with the help of government social service programs. Not only did these kinds of changes in attitude, especially about welfare, wreck havoc on the lives of millions and create a new kind of urban, inter-generational dependency, but they created a whole economy of people whose profession revolved around government funding to fix social problems.

Good Old Fashioned Fiscal Discipline

Wednesday, July 20th, 2005

Good Old Fashioned Fiscal Discipline describes the Republic of Genoa’s unique fiscal policy institution:

Government budget deficits are a worldwide problem. Ondrej Schneider, an economics lecturer from Prague’s Charles University, recently proposed a solution. Schneider outlined the idea of an independent non-partisan regulatory body, which would oversee fiscal policy in the same manner as central banks govern monetary policy. It has been convincingly shown that truly independent central banks can successfully tame inflation and reduce the risk of monetary crises. Why not use a similar prescription to cure the chronic fiscal diseases of modern economies?

The very notion of political independence of fiscal policy may sound oxymoronic to many. What’s more political than state budget and public expenditures, after all? However, Schneider’s idea not only has sound theoretical background, it is also time-tested. An arrangement based on an independent fiscal policy regulatory authority once worked in the Republic of Genoa — successfully for centuries.

From 1407 until 1805, there was a financial institution called Officium procuratorum Sanctii Georgii super diminutione debitorum (St. George’s Supervisory Authority to Reduce Indebtedness, literally translated). San Giorgio, for short. It was a specialized financial institution aimed at protecting the interests of government bondholders and diminishing the risk that the Republic would not meet her obligations.

San Giorgio was built on no profound economic theory. Its origins were purely practical. Until 1528, when energetic leader Andrea Doria came to power, the Republic of Genoa had suffered from notoriously weak government, the result of persistent conflicts between feudal nobility and the merchant class. The credit quality of the government was poor. Creditors formed associations to protect their interests. These organizations were subsequently recognized by the government as formal partners. By the beginning of the 15th century, public debt became so heavy that the Republic created San Giorgio, formed on the basis of these associations. San Giorgio was a tool to reduce the debt burden of public finance, says Professor Michele Fratianni, who wrote a remarkable and extremely thoughtful paper on Genovese financial history.

San Giorgio’s legal status was as a joint-stock company with a banking license, whose shareholders were creditors of the government. It purchased government debt for its clients’ money and collected the due part of taxes. San Giorgio was far more than just an interest group lobbying on behalf of creditors, though. Its main strength was expert knowledge in the field of public finance and risk management. The institution managed fiscal policy to the point that it dictated to the government the extent of maximum allowed indebtedness — in a similar manner in which modern risk management departments dictate commercial banks the allowed level of credit risk. Besides that, the government partially outsourced tax collection to San Giorgio — tax farming, as this practice was called. The most important favorable result of the independently governed fiscal policy was reduced risk of government default. The Republic of Genoa thus could have borrowed money at lower rates than it was common in other Italian city-states.

San Giorgio introduced an investment security that hasn’t quite been replicated since:

The financially savvy Genovese also invented a special class of securities: sort of a cross-breed between government bonds and preferred stocks.

“The Bank of San Giorgio issued, on behalf of the Republic of Genoa, placements of perpetual bonds, called luoghi, at a nominal value of 100 lira each. Their income was secured by specific taxes farmed out to the bank. The luoghi did not pay a fixed rate of interest […] but paid dividends which depended on the amount of taxes collected after payment of the expenses of the bank,” write Sidney Homer and Richard Sylla in their book, A History of Interest Rates.

The luoghi can be viewed as either dividend-paying government bonds or government preferred shares without voting power. Such a class of securities does not exist in the modern financial world, which is certainly a pity.

The dividend government bonds would be welcome in many risk-averse portfolios of pension funds and insurance companies worldwide, since they are inherently inflation-adjusted (unlike conventional bonds and stocks), carrying sovereign credit risk (as government bonds), but offering theoretically unlimited room for growth (as stocks). Their risk-return-correlation characteristics would most likely make dividend government bonds a desired class of securities. They would offer investors more possibilities of portfolio diversification, while reducing risk of government default and providing government treasuries more flexibility. Not surprisingly, luoghi were in high demand among charities in the times of the Republic of Genoa.

Take a Hike

Wednesday, July 20th, 2005

In Take a Hike, Duane D. Freese explains that “It’s what kids do, not what adults say, that matters regarding obesity:

Research shows TV advertising aimed at kids — in terms of dollars spent by the industry, minutes on TV and actually attention paid to it by youngsters — has gone down even as childhood obesity has gone from 11% in the period 1988-90 to 16% in the 1999-2002 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

As Todd Zywicki, a former FTC director of policy planning and now a George Mason University law professor who examined research on child advertising and obesity said, ‘The case for saying advertising is the cause of increasing obesity in children is pretty weak.’

A recent Lancet study explains the real problem: kids aren’t active anymore.

Just two to five hours of brisk walking a week — 17 to 43 minutes a day — would prevent girls gaining 9 to 20 pounds, according to the study.

At Starbucks, a Blend of Coffee And Music Creates a Potent Mix

Tuesday, July 19th, 2005

Starbucks sells more than coffee and scones; it sells lots and lots of CDs. According to At Starbucks, a Blend of Coffee And Music Creates a Potent Mix, one challenge is choosing the right music for their increasingly diverse customer base:

Five years ago, about 3% of Starbucks customers were between the ages of 18 and 24, 16% were people of color, 78% had college degrees, and overall they had an average annual income of $81,000. Today, however, about 13% of the company’s customers are between 18 and 24, 37% are people of color, 56% are college graduates, and they earn on average $55,000 a year.

The Logic of Suicide Terrorism

Monday, July 18th, 2005

Bruce Hoffman describes The Logic of Suicide Terrorism:

First you feel nervous about riding the bus. Then you wonder about going to a mall. Then you think twice about sitting for long at your favorite café. Then nowhere seems safe. Terrorist groups have a strategy — to shrink to nothing the areas in which people move freely — and suicide bombers, inexpensive and reliably lethal, are their latest weapons. Israel has learned to recognize and disrupt the steps on the path to suicide attacks. We must learn too.